ATRO · TickerCove

ATROAstronics CorporationIndustrials · Aerospace & Defenseas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $66.28 · now $66.28 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ATRO has typically landed between $54.95 and $85.88 — a range of −17.1% to +29.6% from the issuance price $66.28.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($66.28) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$66.28 · 55% of range

$33.4 low$93.45 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+3.1%

typical move · IQR 19.0%

−17.1%worst (p90)+29.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where ATRO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $66.28 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $66.28 (+0.0%)
typical $68.3 (+3.1%)
middle 50% $62–$74.6
90% range $54.95–$85.88

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-21	−70.9%	−70.9%	+0.0%
2020-02-20	−69.6%	−69.6%	+1.2%
2020-02-24	−68.6%	−70.2%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-05-06	+114.5%	+0.0%	+114.5%
2008-07-14	+98.7%	−1.9%	+98.7%
2008-07-15	+94.8%	+0.0%	+102.6%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

55%

+2.4%

n=20

Feb

70%

+4.9%

n=20

Mar

45%

+0.3%

n=20

Apr

35%

−0.6%

n=20

May

65%

+8.5%

n=20

Jun

65%

+4.3%

n=20

Jul

60%

+1.6%

n=20

Aug

45%

−1.2%

n=20

Sep

55%

+2.3%

n=20

Oct

50%

−1.0%

n=20

Nov

45%

+3.4%

n=20

Dec

55%

+4.0%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-12-01	Mulato James	other	Sale	9,734 @ $53.24	$518K	−26.4% of holding	+1.5%	+45.6%	27,078	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-05	Mulato James	other	Sale	1,000 @ $38.21	$38K	−2.3% of holding	+20.7%	+86.8%	42,287	Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade
2025-09-05	Mulato James	other	Sale	129 @ $37.73	$5K	−10.8% of holding	+20.7%	+86.8%	1,066	Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade
2025-05-09	Keane Robert S	director	Sale	37,700 @ $26.50	$999K	−100.0% of holding	+13.1%	+51.2%	0	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-08	Keane Robert S	director	Sale	200,000 @ $27.01	$5.4M	−100.0% of holding	+17.5%	+55.7%	0	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-07	Keane Robert S	director	Sale	51,058 @ $24.55	$1.3M	−100.0% of holding	+0.9%	+43.6%	0	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-07	Keane Robert S	director	Sale	26,041 @ $24.55	$639K	−100.0% of holding	+0.9%	+43.6%	0	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-23	PEABODY MARK	officer	Sale	511 @ $15.75	$8K	−1.1% of holding	+7.9%	+108.2%	45,951	Form 4 · filed 78 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

182 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-25	Keane Robert S	director	Conversion	76,000	76,000	Form 4
2026-08-25	Keane Robert S	director	Conversion	76,000	173,838	Form 4
2026-08-18	PEABODY MARK	officer	Gift	150	62,233	Form 4
2026-08-17	FRISBY JEFFRY D	director	Gift	2,000	45,056	Form 4
2026-06-15	Mulato James	other	Other acquisition	5,400	5,400	Form 4
2026-06-15	PEABODY MARK	officer	Other acquisition	1,108	1,831	Form 4
2026-06-15	PEABODY MARK	officer	Other acquisition	1,612	2,664	Form 4
2026-06-15	PEABODY MARK	officer	Other acquisition	1,856	1,856	Form 4
2026-06-15	PEABODY MARK	officer	Other acquisition	2,720	2,720	Form 4
2026-06-15	PEABODY MARK	officer	Other acquisition	4,050	4,050	Form 4
2026-06-15	PEABODY MARK	officer	Other acquisition	4,900	4,900	Form 4
2026-06-15	PEABODY MARK	officer	Other acquisition	5,340	5,340	Form 4
2026-06-15	PEABODY MARK	officer	Other acquisition	3,180	3,180	Form 4
2026-06-15	PEABODY MARK	officer	Other acquisition	1,660	1,660	Form 4
2026-06-15	PEABODY MARK	officer	Other acquisition	3,030	3,030	Form 4
2026-06-15	PEABODY MARK	officer	Other acquisition	1,535	1,535	Form 4
2026-06-15	BRADY ROBERT T	director	Other acquisition	53,085	229,451	Form 4
2026-06-15	BRADY ROBERT T	director	Other acquisition	920	1,520	Form 4
2026-06-15	Mulato James	other	Other acquisition	7,645	10,098	Form 4
2026-06-15	Mulato James	other	Other acquisition	1,508	2,492	Form 4
2026-06-15	Mulato James	other	Other acquisition	1,828	3,021	Form 4
2026-06-15	Mulato James	other	Other acquisition	2,314	2,314	Form 4
2026-06-15	Mulato James	other	Other acquisition	3,630	3,630	Form 4
2026-06-15	Mulato James	other	Other acquisition	6,540	6,540	Form 4
2026-06-15	Mulato James	other	Other acquisition	7,120	7,120	Form 4
2026-06-15	Mulato James	other	Other acquisition	1,660	1,660	Form 4
2026-06-15	Mulato James	other	Other acquisition	3,710	3,710	Form 4
2026-06-15	Mulato James	other	Other acquisition	3,540	3,540	Form 4
2026-06-15	Mulato James	other	Other acquisition	1,535	1,535	Form 4
2026-06-15	O'Brien Linda	director	Other acquisition	4,274	4,274	Form 4
2026-06-15	O'Brien Linda	director	Other acquisition	240	240	Form 4
2026-06-15	GUNDERMANN PETER J	director	Other acquisition	168,375	916,286	Form 4
2026-06-15	GUNDERMANN PETER J	director	Other acquisition	3,325	5,494	Form 4
2026-06-15	GUNDERMANN PETER J	director	Other acquisition	6,049	9,994	Form 4
2026-06-15	GUNDERMANN PETER J	director	Other acquisition	6,958	6,958	Form 4
2026-06-15	GUNDERMANN PETER J	director	Other acquisition	12,240	12,240	Form 4
2026-06-15	GUNDERMANN PETER J	director	Other acquisition	19,780	19,780	Form 4
2026-06-15	GUNDERMANN PETER J	director	Other acquisition	23,160	23,160	Form 4
2026-06-15	GUNDERMANN PETER J	director	Other acquisition	25,000	25,000	Form 4
2026-06-15	GUNDERMANN PETER J	director	Other acquisition	16,780	16,780	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i