ATRC · TickerCove

ATRCAtriCure, Inc.Healthcare · Medical - Instruments & Suppliesas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $57.14 · now $57.14 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ATRC has typically landed between $46.48 and $70.46 — a range of −18.7% to +23.3% from the issuance price $57.14.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($57.14) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$57.14 · 100% of range

$25.86 low$57.14 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.5%

typical move · IQR 16.7%

−18.7%worst (p90)+23.3%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where ATRC has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $57.14 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $57.14 (+0.0%)
typical $56.3 (-1.5%)
middle 50% $51.52–$61.09
90% range $46.48–$70.46

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-10-08	−65.4%	−65.4%	+0.0%
2008-10-22	−65.4%	−65.4%	+0.0%
2008-10-09	−63.4%	−64.5%	+0.0%
3 best
2009-04-24	+139.3%	+0.0%	+185.0%
2009-04-06	+117.9%	−23.6%	+117.9%
2009-04-07	+114.7%	−17.1%	+136.4%

5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

+0.2%

n=20

Feb

40%

−2.2%

n=20

Mar

50%

−0.7%

n=20

Apr

55%

+1.2%

n=20

May

55%

+4.0%

n=20

Jun

75%

+6.5%

n=20

Jul

55%

+3.6%

n=20

Aug

50%

+0.8%

n=20

Sep

45%

+0.6%

n=20

Oct

55%

+0.6%

n=20

Nov

75%

+4.0%

n=20

Dec

70%

+4.9%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-11	GROVES REGINA E	director	Sale	5,313 @ $54.22	$288K	−13.3% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	34,546	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-09-08	Privitera Salvatore	officer	Sale	3,657 @ $55.00	$201K	−2.4% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	147,264	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-02	Privitera Salvatore	officer	Sale	7,763 @ $52.50	$408K	−4.9% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	150,921	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-24	Dahlquist Karl S.	officer	Sale	9,370 @ $48.89	$458K	−9.7% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	87,319	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-05	Prange Karen	director	Sale	3,564 @ $38.80	$138K	−13.5% of holding	+32.9%	not yet — horizon still open	22,809	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-05	Yuen Maggie	director	Sale	3,500 @ $38.42	$134K	−20.0% of holding	+32.9%	not yet — horizon still open	14,015	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-29	Noznesky Justin J	officer	Sale	6,182 @ $38.80	$240K	−5.8% of holding	+14.8%	not yet — horizon still open	100,219	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-28	WEHRWEIN SVEN	director	Sale	25,000 @ $37.84	$946K	−38.2% of holding	+17.8%	not yet — horizon still open	40,518	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-28	Doraiswamy Vinayak	officer	Sale	6,000 @ $38.88	$233K	−6.5% of holding	+17.8%	not yet — horizon still open	86,511	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-20	Prange Karen	director	Sale	3,000 @ $28.65	$86K	−10.2% of holding	−2.6%	not yet — horizon still open	26,373	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-15	Doraiswamy Vinayak	officer	Sale	5,000 @ $28.13	$141K	−5.2% of holding	−2.0%	not yet — horizon still open	91,875	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-12	Doraiswamy Vinayak	officer	Sale	5,000 @ $29.83	$149K	−4.9% of holding	−6.3%	+69.3%	96,875	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-26	Noznesky Justin J	officer	Sale	5,166 @ $37.29	$193K	−6.2% of holding	+10.7%	−38.7%	78,798	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-25	WEHRWEIN SVEN	director	Sale	4,967 @ $38.00	$189K	−12.6% of holding	+2.2%	−40.8%	34,374	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-24	WEHRWEIN SVEN	director	Sale	5,033 @ $37.32	$188K	−12.8% of holding	+3.9%	−39.1%	34,374	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-21	Yuen Maggie	director	Sale	3,000 @ $35.72	$107K	−20.9% of holding	+7.4%	−38.6%	11,371	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-12	Noznesky Justin J	officer	Sale	3,000 @ $36.30	$109K	−3.4% of holding	+0.4%	−15.6%	83,964	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-22	WEHRWEIN SVEN	director	Sale	5,000 @ $37.00	$185K	−12.7% of holding	−5.8%	−24.4%	34,374	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-19	WEHRWEIN SVEN	director	Sale	5,000 @ $36.00	$180K	−12.7% of holding	−1.2%	−17.3%	34,374	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-06	GROVES REGINA E	director	Sale	2,452 @ $36.82	$90K	−6.8% of holding	−5.4%	−8.6%	33,715	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-05	Doraiswamy Vinayak	officer	Sale	2,500 @ $36.58	$91K	−3.4% of holding	−8.4%	−11.9%	71,872	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-28	Doraiswamy Vinayak	officer	Sale	2,500 @ $33.44	$84K	−3.3% of holding	−8.7%	−0.8%	73,550	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-05	Prange Karen	director	Sale	6,100 @ $38.12	$233K	−25.5% of holding	−5.4%	−17.8%	17,828	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

94 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-30	CARREL MICHAEL H	director	Gift	4,000	774,434	Form 4
2026-07-30	CARREL MICHAEL H	director	Gift	700	778,434	Form 4
2026-07-28	WEHRWEIN SVEN	director	Option exercise	25,000	65,518	Form 4
2026-07-28	WEHRWEIN SVEN	director	Option exercise	25,000	0	Form 4
2026-06-30	Doraiswamy Vinayak	officer	Award / grant	636	92,511	Form 4
2026-06-30	Privitera Salvatore	officer	Award / grant	636	158,684	Form 4
2026-06-30	CARREL MICHAEL H	director	Award / grant	636	779,134	Form 4
2026-06-30	Dahlquist Karl S.	officer	Award / grant	636	96,689	Form 4
2026-06-30	Seith Douglas J	officer	Award / grant	527	229,867	Form 4
2026-05-18	JOHNSON B KRISTINE	director	Award / grant	6,144	55,954	Form 4
2026-05-18	Nachman Shlomo	director	Award / grant	6,144	24,655	Form 4
2026-05-18	Telman Deborah H	director	Award / grant	6,144	28,328	Form 4
2026-05-18	GROVES REGINA E	director	Award / grant	6,144	39,859	Form 4
2026-05-18	Prange Karen	director	Award / grant	6,144	29,373	Form 4
2026-05-18	WEHRWEIN SVEN	director	Award / grant	6,144	40,518	Form 4
2026-05-18	Yuen Maggie	director	Award / grant	6,144	17,515	Form 4
2026-05-18	WHITE ROBERT S.	director	Award / grant	6,144	128,318	Form 4
2026-03-10	WHITE ROBERT S.	director	Option exercise	10,000	122,174	Form 4
2026-03-10	WHITE ROBERT S.	director	Option exercise	10,000	0	Form 4
2026-03-06	CARREL MICHAEL H	director	Gift	5,000	779,498	Form 4
2026-03-06	CARREL MICHAEL H	director	Gift	1,000	778,498	Form 4
2026-03-01	CARREL MICHAEL H	director	Withheld for tax	72,777	784,498	Form 4
2026-03-01	Wirick Angela L	officer	Withheld for tax	22,965	204,893	Form 4
2026-03-01	Seith Douglas J	officer	Withheld for tax	22,948	229,340	Form 4
2026-03-01	Dahlquist Karl S.	officer	Withheld for tax	15,687	96,053	Form 4
2026-03-01	Noznesky Justin J	officer	Withheld for tax	15,586	106,401	Form 4
2026-03-01	Doraiswamy Vinayak	officer	Withheld for tax	15,585	101,875	Form 4
2026-03-01	Privitera Salvatore	officer	Withheld for tax	13,127	158,048	Form 4
2026-03-01	CARREL MICHAEL H	director	Award / grant	101,280	857,275	Form 4
2026-03-01	Noznesky Justin J	officer	Award / grant	27,991	106,789	Form 4
2026-03-01	Noznesky Justin J	officer	Award / grant	15,198	121,987	Form 4
2026-03-01	Wirick Angela L	officer	Award / grant	39,987	204,757	Form 4
2026-03-01	Dahlquist Karl S.	officer	Award / grant	27,991	96,542	Form 4
2026-03-01	Dahlquist Karl S.	officer	Award / grant	15,198	111,740	Form 4
2026-03-01	Privitera Salvatore	officer	Award / grant	30,390	155,977	Form 4
2026-03-01	Privitera Salvatore	officer	Award / grant	15,198	171,175	Form 4
2026-03-01	Seith Douglas J	officer	Award / grant	42,386	226,756	Form 4
2026-03-01	Seith Douglas J	officer	Award / grant	25,532	252,288	Form 4
2026-03-01	Doraiswamy Vinayak	officer	Award / grant	30,390	102,262	Form 4
2026-03-01	Doraiswamy Vinayak	officer	Award / grant	15,198	117,460	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i