Issued 2026-09-16 at $44.27 · now $44.27 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ATMU has typically landed between $38.97 and $51.63 — a range of −12.0% to +16.6% from the issuance price $44.27.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
808 overlapping 1 month windows · 2023-05-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($44.27) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where ATMU has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $44.27 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $44.27 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $45.55 (+2.9%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $42.4–$48.71
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $38.97–$51.63
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-04-30 | −27.8% | −27.8% | +0.0% |
| 2026-04-20 | −23.3% | −23.3% | +0.6% |
| 2026-04-29 | −22.7% | −22.7% | +4.7% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-03-04 | +43.3% | −0.3% | +43.3% |
| 2024-03-06 | +43.1% | +0.0% | +43.8% |
| 2024-03-05 | +40.1% | −0.1% | +43.6% |
808 overlapping windows · 2023-05-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~4 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Swan Renee | officer | Sale | 3,870 @ $50.89 | $197K | −7.6% of holding | −11.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 46,875 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-12 | Macadam Stephen E. | director | Purchase | 2,000 @ $49.78 | $100K | +5.2% of holding | −7.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 40,588 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Disher Stephanie | director | Sale | 25,652 @ $45.25 | $1.2M | −6.6% of holding | +10.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 363,024 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Kienzler Jack | officer | Sale | 5,132 @ $45.25 | $232K | −6.3% of holding | +10.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 75,804 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Masters Charles | officer | Sale | 2,890 @ $45.25 | $131K | −6.2% of holding | +10.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 43,579 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Swan Renee | officer | Sale | 2,566 @ $45.25 | $116K | −4.8% of holding | +10.1% | not yet — horizon still open | 50,745 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | HAGGERTY GRETCHEN R | director | Purchase | 1,872 @ $55.74 | $104K | +7.8% of holding | −13.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 25,741 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | HAGGERTY GRETCHEN R | director | Purchase | 100 @ $55.71 | $6K | +0.4% of holding | −13.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,868 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-05-12 | HAGGERTY GRETCHEN R | director | Purchase | 1 @ $55.74 | $56 | +0.0% of holding | −13.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 23,869 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | Donoso Diego | director | Sale | 20 @ $48.84 | $977 | −0.2% of holding | +8.1% | −7.0% | 9,058 | Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-05 | Donoso Diego | director | Purchase | 15 @ $45.81 | $687 | +0.2% of holding | −8.3% | +21.2% | 9,078 | Form 4 · filed 75 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-13 | Donoso Diego | director | Purchase | 25 @ $45.00 | $1K | +0.3% of holding | −0.1% | +30.3% | 9,063 | Form 4 · filed 98 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-02 | Donoso Diego | director | Sale | 40 @ $37.79 | $2K | −0.4% of holding | −5.1% | −2.1% | 9,038 | Form 4 · filed 231 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
50 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Sharp Heath | director | Award / grant | 2,619 | 5,733 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Bennett Roy Edwin | director | Award / grant | 2,619 | 19,320 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Donoso Diego | director | Award / grant | 2,619 | 11,697 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | TAYLOR STUART A II | director | Award / grant | 2,619 | 11,697 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Carpenter Kevin N | officer | Award / grant | 28,509 | 28,509 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Leipold Jane A | director | Award / grant | 2,619 | 20,538 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Macadam Stephen E. | director | Award / grant | 2,619 | 38,588 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | HAGGERTY GRETCHEN R | director | Award / grant | 2,619 | 28,360 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Kienzler Jack | officer | Award / grant | 5,163 | 80,936 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Heltebran Laura | officer | Award / grant | 3,717 | 24,161 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Disher Stephanie | director | Award / grant | 31,492 | 388,676 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Masters Charles | officer | Award / grant | 4,130 | 46,469 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-01 | Swan Renee | officer | Award / grant | 1,962 | 53,311 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Disher Stephanie | director | Withheld for tax | 66,639 | 373,038 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Kienzler Jack | officer | Withheld for tax | 16,266 | 79,624 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Disher Stephanie | director | Withheld for tax | 15,854 | 357,184 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Swan Renee | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,570 | 53,603 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Masters Charles | officer | Withheld for tax | 9,046 | 44,470 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Kienzler Jack | officer | Withheld for tax | 3,851 | 75,773 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Swan Renee | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,254 | 51,349 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-27 | Masters Charles | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,131 | 42,339 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | Swan Renee | officer | Award / grant | 18,536 | 63,173 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | Disher Stephanie | director | Award / grant | 169,209 | 439,677 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | Masters Charles | officer | Award / grant | 21,152 | 53,516 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-13 | Kienzler Jack | officer | Award / grant | 41,094 | 95,890 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-05 | Sharp Heath | director | Award / grant | 614 | 3,114 | Form 4 |
| 2025-11-18 | Donoso Diego | director | Other acquisition | 20 | 9,078 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-03 | Masters Charles | officer | Withheld for tax | 28 | 32,364 | Form 4 |
| 2025-10-03 | Kienzler Jack | officer | Withheld for tax | 25 | 54,796 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-14 | Swan Renee | officer | Withheld for tax | 5,007 | 44,637 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-20 | TAYLOR STUART A II | director | Award / grant | 3,886 | 9,078 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-20 | Leipold Jane A | director | Award / grant | 3,886 | 17,919 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-20 | HAGGERTY GRETCHEN R | director | Award / grant | 3,886 | 23,768 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-20 | Donoso Diego | director | Award / grant | 3,886 | 9,078 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-20 | Bennett Roy Edwin | director | Award / grant | 3,886 | 16,701 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-20 | Macadam Stephen E. | director | Award / grant | 3,886 | 35,969 | Form 4 |
| 2025-05-13 | Heltebran Laura | officer | Award / grant | 20,444 | 20,444 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-01 | Kienzler Jack | officer | Award / grant | 6,804 | 54,821 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-01 | Masters Charles | officer | Award / grant | 4,402 | 32,392 | Form 4 |
| 2025-04-01 | Disher Stephanie | director | Award / grant | 40,021 | 270,468 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.