Issued 2026-09-16 at $32.13 · now $32.13 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ATLO has typically landed between $29.28 and $35.73 — a range of −8.9% to +11.2% from the issuance price $32.13.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($32.13) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where ATLO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $32.13 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $32.13 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $32.52 (+1.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $31.27–$33.78
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $29.28–$35.73
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2009-02-09 | −42.7% | −43.2% | +0.0% |
| 2009-01-16 | −41.9% | −41.9% | +0.0% |
| 2009-02-05 | −40.7% | −40.7% | +5.2% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2008-07-15 | +54.3% | +0.0% | +56.4% |
| 2008-07-02 | +41.9% | −4.4% | +54.2% |
| 2008-07-14 | +41.8% | −4.5% | +49.4% |
5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Baker Jeffery C | director | Purchase | 300 @ $31.88 | $10K | +8.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,879 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-31 | Cassabaum Michelle R | director | Purchase | 180 @ $31.54 | $6K | +1.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 10,308 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-20 | Beals Douglas W | director | Purchase | 325 @ $31.16 | $10K | +11.0% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 3,275 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-08-14 | Schreier Richard | other | Purchase | 316 @ $31.60 | $10K | +4.2% of holding | +6.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 7,848 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-31 | Cassabaum Michelle R | director | Purchase | 140 @ $30.20 | $4K | +1.4% of holding | +0.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,128 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | Cassabaum Michelle R | director | Purchase | 170 @ $28.83 | $5K | +1.7% of holding | +4.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,988 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-15 | Hagan Patrick G | director | Purchase | 200 @ $27.69 | $6K | +2.1% of holding | +8.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,600 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-05-12 | Hagan Patrick G | director | Purchase | 100 @ $27.65 | $3K | +1.1% of holding | +9.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,400 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-04-30 | Cassabaum Michelle R | director | Purchase | 84 @ $28.08 | $2K | +0.9% of holding | −3.5% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,818 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-27 | Cassabaum Michelle R | director | Purchase | 205 @ $27.25 | $6K | +2.2% of holding | +10.6% | +5.3% | 9,734 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-01-30 | Cassabaum Michelle R | director | Purchase | 280 @ $26.11 | $7K | +3.1% of holding | +5.9% | +10.4% | 9,193 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-10 | Trost Scot A. | director | Purchase | 200 @ $22.88 | $5K | +25.0% of holding | −3.2% | +23.3% | 1,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-02 | Bauer Scott T | other | Purchase | 20 @ $21.68 | $434 | +0.5% of holding | +5.4% | +26.5% | 4,009 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-11-21 | Swartz Kevin L | director | Purchase | 200 @ $20.80 | $4K | +3.9% of holding | +3.2% | +21.7% | 5,380 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-17 | PUTZIER JEFFREY K | other | Purchase | 200 @ $21.25 | $4K | +5.5% of holding | +13.7% | +26.0% | 3,827 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-13 | Beals Douglas W | director | Purchase | 500 @ $21.37 | $11K | +20.4% of holding | +11.6% | +22.8% | 2,950 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-31 | Cassabaum Michelle R | director | Purchase | 44 @ $20.82 | $916 | +0.5% of holding | +3.9% | +32.3% | 8,913 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-24 | Hagan Patrick G | director | Purchase | 300 @ $20.85 | $6K | +3.3% of holding | +4.1% | +34.1% | 9,300 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-08-29 | Cassabaum Michelle R | director | Purchase | 278 @ $19.83 | $6K | +3.2% of holding | −2.4% | +31.3% | 8,869 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-07-31 | Cassabaum Michelle R | director | Purchase | 164 @ $18.29 | $3K | +1.9% of holding | +9.8% | +37.4% | 8,591 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-20 | Baker Jeffery C | director | Purchase | 500 @ $17.18 | $9K | +17.0% of holding | +0.8% | +26.8% | 3,449 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-11 | Johnson Dan E | other | Purchase | 210 @ $17.75 | $4K | +15.6% of holding | −0.1% | +21.5% | 1,558 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-03 | Wilson Michael A | officer | Purchase | 200 @ $17.50 | $4K | +13.3% of holding | −0.2% | +8.8% | 1,700 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-02 | BAUDLER HORRAS BETTY A | director | Purchase | 100 @ $17.50 | $2K | +0.5% of holding | −0.9% | +10.9% | 22,275 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-30 | Cassabaum Michelle R | director | Purchase | 314 @ $17.54 | $6K | +3.9% of holding | −0.8% | +10.1% | 8,427 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-28 | BAUDLER HORRAS BETTY A | director | Purchase | 100 @ $17.52 | $2K | +0.5% of holding | −3.2% | +12.1% | 22,175 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-23 | Beals Douglas W | director | Purchase | 400 @ $17.29 | $7K | +19.5% of holding | −3.8% | +11.5% | 2,450 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-22 | Hagan Patrick G | director | Purchase | 200 @ $17.65 | $4K | +2.3% of holding | −1.3% | +10.8% | 9,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-21 | Schreier Richard | other | Purchase | 279 @ $17.90 | $5K | +4.0% of holding | −3.2% | +5.2% | 7,276 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-21 | Snodgrass Adam | other | Purchase | 200 @ $17.80 | $4K | +22.6% of holding | −3.2% | +5.2% | 1,084 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-19 | Thomas Robert A | other | Purchase | 164 @ $17.75 | $3K | +7.7% of holding | −2.6% | +7.1% | 2,300 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-15 | Thomas Robert A | other | Purchase | 36 @ $17.65 | $635 | +1.7% of holding | −3.4% | +6.9% | 2,136 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-02 | Beals Douglas W | director | Purchase | 275 @ $17.59 | $5K | +15.5% of holding | −4.0% | −0.5% | 2,050 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-30 | Cassabaum Michelle R | director | Purchase | 122 @ $17.05 | $2K | +1.5% of holding | −4.9% | −2.4% | 8,113 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-04-28 | Hagan Patrick G | director | Purchase | 500 @ $16.65 | $8K | +6.0% of holding | −3.5% | +2.4% | 8,800 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-04-25 | Clausen Justin C | officer | Purchase | 119 @ $16.81 | $2K | +13.1% of holding | −1.6% | +3.0% | 1,025 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-28 | Cassabaum Michelle R | director | Purchase | 288 @ $18.62 | $5K | +3.7% of holding | −1.1% | −0.4% | 7,991 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-31 | Cassabaum Michelle R | director | Purchase | 70 @ $18.14 | $1K | +1.0% of holding | +5.8% | −2.3% | 7,374 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-13 | Hagan Patrick G | director | Purchase | 200 @ $16.75 | $3K | +2.5% of holding | +5.4% | +6.3% | 8,300 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-06 | Johnson Dan E | other | Purchase | 210 @ $17.23 | $4K | +19.4% of holding | −1.4% | +4.6% | 1,291 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-05 | Trost Scot A. | director | Purchase | 200 @ $17.56 | $4K | +33.3% of holding | −2.3% | +4.5% | 800 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-04 | Wilson Michael A | officer | Purchase | 300 @ $17.51 | $5K | +25.0% of holding | −4.2% | +5.2% | 1,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.