ATKRAtkore Inc.Industrials · Electrical Equipment & Partsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $94.52 · now $94.52 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ATKR has typically landed between $78.40 and $115.94 — a range of −17.1% to +22.7% from the issuance price $94.52.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,560 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-06-10 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($94.52) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ATKR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $94.52 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$78.4worst · -17.1%$115.94best · +22.7%
  • now $94.52 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $94.81 (+0.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $87.22–$102.41
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $78.4–$115.94
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,560 windows spanning 2016-06-10 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−71.5%−71.5%+1.5%
2020-02-19−64.2%−71.9%+0.0%
2020-02-21−55.4%−71.2%+0.0%
3 best
2020-10-30+95.1%+0.0%+96.2%
2020-11-04+92.9%+0.0%+92.9%
2020-10-28+90.8%−1.0%+94.3%

2,560 overlapping windows · 2016-06-10 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~11 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
+5.8%
n=10
Feb
30%
+2.3%
n=10
Mar
30%
−5.8%
n=10
Apr
50%
+4.8%
n=10
May
50%
+0.6%
n=10
Jun
50%
+0.7%
n=10
Jul
64%
+3.6%
n=11
Aug
55%
−0.4%
n=11
Sep
45%
−0.8%
n=11
Oct
60%
+0.3%
n=10
Nov
90%
+19.1%
n=10
Dec
50%
+1.6%
n=10

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$95$552026-08-10: 1 insider sale, $28K — Lamps Mark F.2026-05-08: 2 insider sales, $449K — James Wilbert W Jr, Kershaw Justin A2026-02-17: 1 insider sale, $66K — Lamps Mark F.2025-11-17: 1 insider sale, $65K — Lamps Mark F.2025-08-15: 1 insider sale, $59K — Lamps Mark F.2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $59K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $65K2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $66K2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $449K2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $28K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Lamps Mark F. — Sale on 2026-08-10, filed same daydirector James Wilbert W Jr — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed same daydirector Kershaw Justin A — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed same dayofficer Lamps Mark F. — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed same dayofficer Lamps Mark F. — Sale on 2025-11-17, filed same dayofficer Lamps Mark F. — Sale on 2025-08-15, filed 3 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-10Lamps Mark F.officerSale300 @ $93.75$28K−0.8% of holding+1.9%not yet — horizon still open35,803Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-08James Wilbert W JrdirectorSale3,299 @ $73.61$243K−16.2% of holding+9.3%not yet — horizon still open17,063Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-08Kershaw Justin AdirectorSale2,799 @ $73.67$206K−13.1% of holding+9.3%not yet — horizon still open18,610Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-17Lamps Mark F.officerSale1,000 @ $65.78$66K−2.7% of holding−13.7%+28.2%35,982Form 4 · filed same day
2025-11-17Lamps Mark F.officerSale1,000 @ $64.75$65K−3.2% of holding−1.8%+6.3%29,923Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-15Lamps Mark F.officerSale1,000 @ $59.37$59K−3.0% of holding+5.1%+10.0%31,873Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-09Lamps Mark F.officerSale1,000 @ $69.16$69K−3.0% of holding−2.5%−21.6%32,828Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-10Lamps Mark F.officerSale500 @ $65.00$33K−1.5% of holding−0.2%−24.2%33,760Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

177 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-28Zeffiro A MarkdirectorAward / grant4823,994Form 4
2026-08-28Kelly Daniel SofficerAward / grant3632,666Form 4
2026-08-28James Wilbert W JrdirectorAward / grant6017,191Form 4
2026-08-28Lamps Mark F.officerAward / grant4735,850Form 4
2026-08-28Deitzer John MichaelofficerAward / grant4718,928Form 4
2026-08-28Alvey James WilliamofficerAward / grant95,449Form 4
2026-08-28Pregenzer John WofficerAward / grant8261,411Form 4
2026-08-28SCHROCK MICHAEL VdirectorAward / grant822,187Form 4
2026-08-28Waltz William E Jr.directorAward / grant242123,653Form 4
2026-08-28Kershaw Justin AdirectorAward / grant6618,750Form 4
2026-08-28Edwards Barbara JoannedirectorAward / grant186,099Form 4
2026-08-28Lowe LeAngela W.officerAward / grant3636,063Form 4
2026-08-28Edmonds Franklin S. Jr.directorAward / grant102,844Form 4
2026-08-28Isbell Jeri LdirectorAward / grant9830,656Form 4
2026-08-28MUSE SCOTT HdirectorAward / grant9532,724Form 4
2026-08-28WYNN BETTY R.directorAward / grant2820,616Form 4
2026-05-29Deitzer John MichaelofficerAward / grant5318,881Form 4
2026-05-29Pregenzer John WofficerAward / grant9261,329Form 4
2026-05-29Edwards Barbara JoannedirectorAward / grant206,081Form 4
2026-05-29Lamps Mark F.officerAward / grant5336,103Form 4
2026-05-29Lowe LeAngela W.officerAward / grant4136,027Form 4
2026-05-29Edmonds Franklin S. Jr.directorAward / grant112,834Form 4
2026-05-29SCHROCK MICHAEL VdirectorAward / grant922,179Form 4
2026-05-29Alvey James WilliamofficerAward / grant115,440Form 4
2026-05-29Isbell Jeri LdirectorAward / grant11030,558Form 4
2026-05-29MUSE SCOTT HdirectorAward / grant10732,629Form 4
2026-05-29WYNN BETTY R.directorAward / grant3120,588Form 4
2026-05-29Zeffiro A MarkdirectorAward / grant5423,945Form 4
2026-05-29Kelly Daniel SofficerAward / grant4132,630Form 4
2026-05-29Waltz William E Jr.directorAward / grant272123,411Form 4
2026-05-29James Wilbert W JrdirectorAward / grant6817,131Form 4
2026-05-29Kershaw Justin AdirectorAward / grant7418,684Form 4
2026-05-08Waltz William E Jr.directorGift13,00036,836Form 4
2026-05-08Waltz William E Jr.directorGift13,000123,139Form 4
2026-02-27Edmonds Franklin S. Jr.directorAward / grant142,822Form 4
2026-02-27WYNN BETTY R.directorAward / grant3920,557Form 4
2026-02-27Waltz William E Jr.directorAward / grant346136,139Form 4
2026-02-27Alvey James WilliamofficerAward / grant135,430Form 4
2026-02-27Zeffiro A MarkdirectorAward / grant6923,891Form 4
2026-02-27Pregenzer John WofficerAward / grant11861,237Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.