ATENA10 Networks, Inc.Technology · Software - Infrastructureas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $26.54 · now $26.54 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ATEN has typically landed between $22.87 and $31.70 — a range of −13.8% to +19.4% from the issuance price $26.54.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,120 overlapping 1 month windows · 2014-03-21 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($26.54) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ATEN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $26.54 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$22.87worst · -13.8%$31.7best · +19.4%
  • now $26.54 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $26.94 (+1.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $25.11–$28.76
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $22.87–$31.7
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,120 windows spanning 2014-03-21 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2014-09-15−63.2%−63.2%+1.4%
2014-09-16−63.1%−63.2%+1.3%
2014-09-17−63.1%−63.7%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-18+93.6%+0.0%+100.0%
2020-03-17+86.4%−2.7%+94.7%
2020-03-16+71.6%−9.4%+81.3%

3,120 overlapping windows · 2014-03-21 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
42%
−2.2%
n=12
Feb
50%
+1.9%
n=12
Mar
42%
−1.4%
n=12
Apr
54%
−1.3%
n=13
May
77%
+6.9%
n=13
Jun
69%
+5.4%
n=13
Jul
62%
+1.4%
n=13
Aug
54%
+1.2%
n=13
Sep
46%
−3.1%
n=13
Oct
50%
−1.5%
n=12
Nov
67%
+4.8%
n=12
Dec
67%
+2.3%
n=12

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$38$162026-08-25: 1 insider sale, $68K — Wolf Dana Elizabeth2026-08-11: 1 insider sale, $392K — Weber Robert Scott2026-05-05: 1 insider sale, $672K — Singer Eric2026-02-13: 1 insider sale, $685K — Trivedi Dhrupad2026-02-12: 1 insider sale, $685K — Trivedi Dhrupad2026-02-11: 1 insider sale, $690K — Trivedi Dhrupad2025-08-13: 1 insider sale, $115K — Becker Brian2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $115K2026-02: 3 open-market sales, $2.1M2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $672K2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $460K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Wolf Dana Elizabeth — Sale on 2026-08-25, filed same dayofficer Weber Robert Scott — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Singer Eric — Sale on 2026-05-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Trivedi Dhrupad — Sale on 2026-02-13, filed same daydirector Trivedi Dhrupad — Sale on 2026-02-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Trivedi Dhrupad — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Becker Brian — Sale on 2025-08-13, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-25Wolf Dana ElizabethdirectorSale2,652 @ $25.65$68K−4.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open57,409Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-11Weber Robert ScottofficerSale14,086 @ $27.86$392K−21.8% of holding−8.6%not yet — horizon still open50,586Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-05Singer EricdirectorSale24,698 @ $27.21$672K−26.4% of holding+12.5%not yet — horizon still open68,806Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-13Trivedi DhrupaddirectorSale33,334 @ $20.55$685K−4.5% of holding+4.3%+18.4%713,597Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-12Trivedi DhrupaddirectorSale33,333 @ $20.56$685K−5.1% of holding+4.1%+20.8%615,415Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-11Trivedi DhrupaddirectorSale33,333 @ $20.69$690K−4.9% of holding+4.8%+16.6%648,748Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-13Becker BrianofficerSale6,400 @ $18.03$115K−7.6% of holding−5.4%+6.8%77,599Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-28Weber Robert ScottofficerSale2,500 @ $17.48$44K−4.1% of holding+6.6%−15.2%58,507Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-27Weber Robert ScottofficerSale2,500 @ $17.26$43K−3.9% of holding+5.5%−16.5%61,007Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-04Trivedi DhrupaddirectorSale26,813 @ $19.80$531K−3.7% of holding−14.7%−24.2%688,396Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-03Trivedi DhrupaddirectorSale26,812 @ $20.59$552K−3.6% of holding−14.0%−23.8%715,209Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-28Trivedi DhrupaddirectorSale26,813 @ $20.57$552K−3.5% of holding−15.8%−23.4%742,021Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-12-06Weber Robert ScottofficerSale812 @ $18.19$15K−2.8% of holding+5.8%+0.0%28,230Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

125 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-06Weber Robert ScottofficerWithheld for tax1,89764,672Form 4
2026-05-15Trivedi DhrupaddirectorWithheld for tax32,858887,847Form 4
2026-05-15Weber Robert ScottofficerWithheld for tax1,93065,527Form 4
2026-05-15Caron Michelle ElizabethofficerWithheld for tax74835,626Form 4
2026-05-14Trivedi DhrupaddirectorOption exercise63,4060Form 4
2026-05-14Trivedi DhrupaddirectorOption exercise63,406920,705Form 4
2026-05-14Weber Robert ScottofficerOption exercise3,70663,575Form 4
2026-05-14Trivedi DhrupaddirectorOption exercise65,7580Form 4
2026-05-14Caron Michelle ElizabethofficerOption exercise2,9890Form 4
2026-05-14Caron Michelle ElizabethofficerOption exercise2,98936,374Form 4
2026-05-14Weber Robert ScottofficerOption exercise3,8820Form 4
2026-05-14Weber Robert ScottofficerOption exercise3,7060Form 4
2026-05-14Weber Robert ScottofficerOption exercise3,88267,457Form 4
2026-05-14Trivedi DhrupaddirectorOption exercise65,758857,299Form 4
2026-05-06Trivedi DhrupaddirectorWithheld for tax32,858791,536Form 4
2026-05-06Caron Michelle ElizabethofficerWithheld for tax2,99433,385Form 4
2026-05-06Weber Robert ScottofficerWithheld for tax1,93059,869Form 4
2026-05-05Weber Robert ScottofficerOption exercise3,88258,092Form 4
2026-05-05Weber Robert ScottofficerOption exercise3,70761,799Form 4
2026-05-05Trivedi DhrupaddirectorOption exercise65,75365,763Form 4
2026-05-05Weber Robert ScottofficerOption exercise3,8823,882Form 4
2026-05-05Weber Robert ScottofficerOption exercise3,7073,706Form 4
2026-05-05Trivedi DhrupaddirectorOption exercise65,753824,394Form 4
2026-05-05Caron Michelle ElizabethofficerOption exercise2,9892,989Form 4
2026-05-05Trivedi DhrupaddirectorOption exercise63,406758,641Form 4
2026-05-05Caron Michelle ElizabethofficerOption exercise13,7060Form 4
2026-05-05Caron Michelle ElizabethofficerOption exercise2,98936,379Form 4
2026-05-05Caron Michelle ElizabethofficerOption exercise13,70633,390Form 4
2026-05-05Trivedi DhrupaddirectorOption exercise63,40663,406Form 4
2026-04-22Singer EricdirectorAward / grant7,23393,504Form 4
2026-04-22Wolf Dana ElizabethdirectorAward / grant7,23360,061Form 4
2026-04-22Braham TordirectorAward / grant7,233192,812Form 4
2026-04-22CHUNG PETER YdirectorAward / grant7,233207,298Form 4
2026-02-28Trivedi DhrupaddirectorWithheld for tax10,101695,235Form 4
2026-02-28Weber Robert ScottofficerWithheld for tax75754,210Form 4
2026-02-24Trivedi DhrupaddirectorWithheld for tax8,261705,336Form 4
2026-02-12Khoury Sheen GeorgeofficerAward / grant7,77144,294Form 4
2026-02-12Trivedi DhrupaddirectorAward / grant131,516131,516Form 4
2026-02-12Weber Robert ScottofficerAward / grant7,41354,967Form 4
2026-02-12Weber Robert ScottofficerAward / grant7,4137,413Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.