ATAI · TickerCove

ATAIAtai Beckley Inc.Healthcare · Biotechnologyas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $7.35 · now $7.35 (2026-09-10, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ATAI has typically landed between $5.08 and $10.70 — a range of −30.9% to +45.6% from the issuance price $7.35.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,291 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-06-21 – 2026-08-11 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($7.35) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$7.35 · 98% of range

$3.35 low$7.44 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-10 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−2.4%

typical move · IQR 28.8%

−30.9%worst (p90)+45.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where ATAI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $7.35 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $7.35 (+0.0%)
typical $7.18 (-2.4%)
middle 50% $6.12–$8.23
90% range $5.08–$10.7

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,291 windows spanning 2021-06-21 to 2026-09-10. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2022-12-07	−48.1%	−48.1%	+3.5%
2021-11-15	−46.9%	−46.9%	+0.0%
2022-12-08	−46.8%	−49.8%	+0.0%
3 best
2025-06-23	+92.1%	+0.0%	+92.1%
2023-12-07	+87.2%	−4.3%	+87.2%
2026-06-15	+86.2%	+0.0%	+86.2%

1,291 overlapping windows · 2021-06-21 – 2026-09-10 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

40%

−5.7%

n=5

Feb

60%

+3.7%

n=5

Mar

40%

−5.1%

n=5

Apr

80%

+3.6%

n=5

May

40%

+5.7%

n=5

Jun

20%

−3.3%

n=5

Jul

83%

+25.2%

n=6

Aug

67%

−1.1%

n=6

Sep

33%

−7.8%

n=6

Oct

20%

−3.0%

n=5

Nov

40%

+2.8%

n=5

Dec

40%

−7.9%

n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

300 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Filing
2026-09-11	Angermayer Christian	director	Disposition	624,000	Form 4
2026-09-11	Angermayer Christian	director	Disposition	64,000	Form 4
2026-09-11	Angermayer Christian	director	Disposition	131,698	Form 4
2026-09-11	Angermayer Christian	director	Disposition	1,247,932	Form 4
2026-09-11	Angermayer Christian	director	Disposition	121,968	Form 4
2026-09-11	JOHNSON SABRINA MARTUCCI	director	Disposition	64,000	Form 4
2026-09-11	JOHNSON SABRINA MARTUCCI	director	Disposition	103,000	Form 4
2026-09-11	JOHNSON SABRINA MARTUCCI	director	Disposition	121,968	Form 4
2026-09-11	Braunstein Scott	director	Disposition	206,000	Form 4
2026-09-11	Angermayer Christian	director	Disposition	17,930	Form 4
2026-09-11	Angermayer Christian	director	Disposition	1,247,932	Form 4
2026-09-11	Angermayer Christian	director	Disposition	559,232	Form 4
2026-09-11	Angermayer Christian	director	Disposition	53,398,214	Form 4
2026-09-11	Angermayer Christian	director	Disposition	1,799,302	Form 4
2026-09-11	Angermayer Christian	director	Disposition	64,000	Form 4
2026-09-11	Angermayer Christian	director	Disposition	17,930	Form 4
2026-09-11	Angermayer Christian	director	Disposition	1,247,932	Form 4
2026-09-11	Angermayer Christian	director	Disposition	131,698	Form 4
2026-09-11	Angermayer Christian	director	Disposition	103,000	Form 4
2026-09-11	Angermayer Christian	director	Disposition	121,968	Form 4
2026-09-11	JOHNSON SABRINA MARTUCCI	director	Disposition	64,000	Form 4
2026-09-11	JOHNSON SABRINA MARTUCCI	director	Disposition	103,000	Form 4
2026-09-11	HERSHBERG ROBERT	director	Disposition	48,858	Form 4
2026-09-11	HERSHBERG ROBERT	director	Disposition	404,869	Form 4
2026-09-11	HERSHBERG ROBERT	director	Disposition	62,394	Form 4
2026-09-11	HERSHBERG ROBERT	director	Disposition	103,000	Form 4
2026-09-11	HERSHBERG ROBERT	director	Disposition	121,968	Form 4
2026-09-11	Braunstein Scott	director	Disposition	208,063	Form 4
2026-09-11	Angermayer Christian	director	Disposition	559,232	Form 4
2026-09-11	Angermayer Christian	director	Disposition	53,398,214	Form 4
2026-09-11	Angermayer Christian	director	Disposition	1,799,302	Form 4
2026-09-11	Angermayer Christian	director	Disposition	624,000	Form 4
2026-09-11	Angermayer Christian	director	Disposition	64,000	Form 4
2026-09-11	Angermayer Christian	director	Disposition	17,930	Form 4
2026-09-11	Angermayer Christian	director	Disposition	131,698	Form 4
2026-09-11	Angermayer Christian	director	Disposition	103,000	Form 4
2026-09-11	Braunstein Scott	director	Disposition	103,000	Form 4
2026-09-11	Braunstein Scott	director	Disposition	56,818	Form 4
2026-09-11	Braunstein Scott	director	Disposition	206,000	Form 4
2026-09-11	Braunstein Scott	director	Disposition	103,000	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i