Issued 2026-09-16 at $13.85 · now $13.85 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ASYS has typically landed between $10.61 and $18.61 — a range of −23.4% to +34.4% from the issuance price $13.85.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($13.85) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where ASYS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $13.85 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $13.85 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $13.7 (-1.1%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $12.15–$15.24
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $10.61–$18.61
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2008-10-23 | −66.9% | −66.9% | +0.0% |
| 2008-10-22 | −62.1% | −62.1% | +0.0% |
| 2008-10-24 | −60.5% | −64.2% | +2.3% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-08-12 | +90.1% | +0.0% | +90.1% |
| 2025-08-13 | +87.0% | +0.0% | +87.0% |
| 2009-12-01 | +85.4% | +0.0% | +86.8% |
5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-14 | SABOL THOMAS B | officer | Purchase | 2,000 @ $14.13 | $28K | ownership Δ n/a | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 2,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-24 | Shechter Guy | officer | Purchase | 3,450 @ $14.34 | $49K | +6.9% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 53,450 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-16 | Averick Robert M | director | Purchase | 21,377 @ $3.54 | $76K | +3.3% of holding | +18.5% | +93.1% | 675,260 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-16 | DAIGLE ROBERT C | director | Purchase | 355 @ $3.48 | $1K | +0.2% of holding | +18.5% | +93.1% | 156,890 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-15 | DAIGLE ROBERT C | director | Purchase | 2,498 @ $3.49 | $9K | +1.6% of holding | +17.4% | +95.6% | 156,535 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-14 | Averick Robert M | director | Purchase | 46,272 @ $3.46 | $160K | +7.6% of holding | +14.8% | +101.1% | 653,883 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-14 | DAIGLE ROBERT C | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $3.48 | $17K | +3.4% of holding | +14.8% | +101.1% | 154,037 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-10 | Averick Robert M | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $4.86 | $49K | +1.7% of holding | +0.3% | +49.8% | 607,611 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-05 | Averick Robert M | director | Purchase | 1,523 @ $4.85 | $7K | +0.3% of holding | +1.0% | +17.5% | 589,312 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-03-03 | Averick Robert M | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $4.89 | $24K | +0.9% of holding | +0.6% | +9.2% | 587,789 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-13 | Averick Robert M | director | Purchase | 22,000 @ $4.85 | $107K | +3.9% of holding | +7.8% | −2.7% | 582,789 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-07 | Averick Robert M | director | Purchase | 54,789 @ $5.02 | $275K | +10.8% of holding | +3.0% | −14.2% | 560,789 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-13 | Averick Robert M | director | Purchase | 7,500 @ $5.63 | $42K | +1.5% of holding | −5.0% | −26.2% | 506,000 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-12 | Averick Robert M | director | Purchase | 19,500 @ $5.70 | $111K | +4.1% of holding | −4.8% | −25.0% | 498,500 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-11 | Averick Robert M | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $5.65 | $28K | +1.1% of holding | −1.3% | −25.4% | 479,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
44 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | SABOL THOMAS B | officer | Award / grant | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | DAIGLE ROBERT C | director | Award / grant | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-04 | Shechter Guy | officer | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Averick Robert M | director | Option exercise | 6,000 | 719,341 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Averick Robert M | director | Option exercise | 6,000 | 725,341 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Averick Robert M | director | Option exercise | 6,000 | 713,341 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-28 | Averick Robert M | director | Option exercise | 6,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Shechter Guy | officer | Award / grant | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Shechter Guy | officer | Award / grant | 50,000 | 50,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | SABOL THOMAS B | officer | Award / grant | 45,000 | 45,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | SABOL THOMAS B | officer | Award / grant | 45,000 | 45,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | LUDWIG MICHAEL M | director | Option exercise | 8,081 | 2,839 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Averick Robert M | director | Option exercise | 8,081 | 707,341 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | GARNREITER MICHAEL | director | Option exercise | 8,081 | 38,569 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | GARNREITER MICHAEL | director | Option exercise | 8,081 | 2,839 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Jakwani Asif Y. | director | Option exercise | 8,081 | 8,081 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | LUDWIG MICHAEL M | director | Option exercise | 8,081 | 33,069 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Averick Robert M | director | Option exercise | 8,081 | 2,839 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-05 | Jakwani Asif Y. | director | Option exercise | 8,081 | 2,839 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Averick Robert M | director | Award / grant | 2,839 | 10,920 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | GARNREITER MICHAEL | director | Award / grant | 2,839 | 2,839 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Jakwani Asif Y. | director | Award / grant | 2,839 | 2,839 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | LUDWIG MICHAEL M | director | Award / grant | 2,839 | 2,839 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-02 | Averick Robert M | director | Option exercise | 6,000 | 687,260 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-02 | Averick Robert M | director | Option exercise | 6,000 | 681,260 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-02 | Averick Robert M | director | Option exercise | 6,000 | 699,260 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-02 | Averick Robert M | director | Option exercise | 6,000 | 693,260 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-02 | Averick Robert M | director | Option exercise | 6,000 | 30,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-02 | Averick Robert M | director | Option exercise | 6,000 | 36,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-02 | Averick Robert M | director | Option exercise | 6,000 | 24,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-09-02 | Averick Robert M | director | Option exercise | 6,000 | 18,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-08 | DAIGLE ROBERT C | director | Award / grant | 100,000 | 100,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-08 | DAIGLE ROBERT C | director | Award / grant | 100,000 | 100,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-19 | Jenke Wade Michael | officer | Award / grant | 25,000 | 25,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-06 | Averick Robert M | director | Option exercise | 8,299 | 8,081 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-06 | GARNREITER MICHAEL | director | Option exercise | 8,299 | 8,081 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-06 | LUDWIG MICHAEL M | director | Option exercise | 8,299 | 24,988 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-06 | GARNREITER MICHAEL | director | Option exercise | 8,299 | 30,488 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-06 | LUDWIG MICHAEL M | director | Option exercise | 8,299 | 8,081 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-06 | Averick Robert M | director | Option exercise | 8,299 | 597,611 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.