ASTEAstec Industries, Inc.Industrials · Industrial - Machineryas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $40.91 · now $40.91 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ASTE has typically landed between $33.26 and $49.41 — a range of −18.7% to +20.8% from the issuance price $40.91.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($40.91) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ASTE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $40.91 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$33.26worst · -18.7%$49.41best · +20.8%
  • now $40.91 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $40.97 (+0.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $37.41–$44.53
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $33.26–$49.41
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-13−39.9%−39.9%+0.0%
2008-09-23−39.5%−39.5%+0.0%
2020-02-11−38.4%−38.4%+2.2%
3 best
2008-11-17+47.7%−10.4%+47.7%
2008-11-20+46.9%+0.0%+64.7%
2008-11-21+44.5%+0.0%+61.4%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
−0.8%
n=20
Feb
70%
+5.3%
n=20
Mar
50%
+1.5%
n=20
Apr
55%
+1.2%
n=20
May
45%
−2.2%
n=20
Jun
50%
+1.8%
n=20
Jul
45%
+0.4%
n=20
Aug
35%
−1.6%
n=20
Sep
55%
−1.6%
n=20
Oct
30%
−1.6%
n=20
Nov
80%
+5.9%
n=20
Dec
65%
+2.5%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$65$402026-03-03: 1 insider sale, $60K — GILBERT EDWARD TERRELL JR2025-09-11: 1 insider sale, $118K — SNYMAN BAREND2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $118K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $60K↑ buys↓ salesofficer GILBERT EDWARD TERRELL JR — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer SNYMAN BAREND — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-03-03GILBERT EDWARD TERRELL JRofficerSale975 @ $61.07$60K−9.9% of holding−5.6%−45.5%8,828Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-11SNYMAN BARENDofficerSale2,498 @ $47.22$118K−13.8% of holding−6.5%+10.4%15,559Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-01GILBERT EDWARD TERRELL JRofficerSale512 @ $36.40$19K−6.1% of holding−1.8%+3.5%7,921Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

198 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-28Hartley Chad JeffreyofficerAward / grant3813,017Form 4
2026-08-28PUTNEY ROBERT GERALDofficerAward / grant32,290Form 4
2026-08-28GILBERT EDWARD TERRELL JRofficerAward / grant228,887Form 4
2026-08-28Knoll Linda I.directorAward / grant714,502Form 4
2026-08-28Jain NalindirectorAward / grant712,939Form 4
2026-08-28Cook Tracey HdirectorAward / grant1820,258Form 4
2026-08-28Merwe Jaco van derofficerAward / grant41,404Form 4
2026-08-28Merwe Jaco van derofficerAward / grant139113,376Form 4
2026-08-28HOWELL MARY LdirectorAward / grant720,238Form 4
2026-08-28NORRIS MICHAEL PAULofficerAward / grant2322,448Form 4
2026-08-28WINFORD JAMES MURPHY JRdirectorAward / grant710,521Form 4
2026-08-28Harris Brian JamesofficerAward / grant3715,770Form 4
2026-08-28Shannon Patrick SdirectorAward / grant189,799Form 4
2026-08-28Jackson Jeffrey TdirectorAward / grant2512,324Form 4
2026-08-28Gliebe Mark JosephdirectorAward / grant712,925Form 4
2026-08-01Hartley Chad JeffreyofficerAward / grant12,97912,979Form 4
2026-07-31Jackson Jeffrey TdirectorAward / grant39012,299Form 4
2026-05-29Harris Brian JamesofficerAward / grant3215,733Form 4
2026-05-29HOWELL MARY LdirectorAward / grant620,231Form 4
2026-05-29Gliebe Mark JosephdirectorAward / grant612,918Form 4
2026-05-29Jackson Jeffrey TdirectorAward / grant2111,909Form 4
2026-05-29Shannon Patrick SdirectorAward / grant159,781Form 4
2026-05-29Merwe Jaco van derofficerAward / grant121113,237Form 4
2026-05-29Merwe Jaco van derofficerAward / grant41,399Form 4
2026-05-29Cook Tracey HdirectorAward / grant1520,240Form 4
2026-05-29Jain NalindirectorAward / grant612,932Form 4
2026-05-29Knoll Linda I.directorAward / grant614,495Form 4
2026-05-29WINFORD JAMES MURPHY JRdirectorAward / grant610,514Form 4
2026-05-29GILBERT EDWARD TERRELL JRofficerAward / grant198,865Form 4
2026-05-29NORRIS MICHAEL PAULofficerAward / grant2022,425Form 4
2026-05-29PUTNEY ROBERT GERALDofficerAward / grant32,287Form 4
2026-04-27Knoll Linda I.directorAward / grant2,36514,489Form 4
2026-04-27Cook Tracey HdirectorAward / grant2,36520,225Form 4
2026-04-27Shannon Patrick SdirectorAward / grant2,3659,766Form 4
2026-04-27HOWELL MARY LdirectorAward / grant2,36520,225Form 4
2026-04-27Jackson Jeffrey TdirectorAward / grant2,36511,571Form 4
2026-04-27Jackson Jeffrey TdirectorAward / grant31711,888Form 4
2026-04-27Jain NalindirectorAward / grant2,36512,926Form 4
2026-04-27Gliebe Mark JosephdirectorAward / grant2,36512,912Form 4
2026-04-27WINFORD JAMES MURPHY JRdirectorAward / grant2,36510,508Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.