ASIXAdvanSix Inc.Basic Materials · Chemicals - Specialtyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $16.63 · now $16.63 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ASIX has typically landed between $13.49 and $19.56 — a range of −18.9% to +17.6% from the issuance price $16.63.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,493 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-09-15 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($16.63) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ASIX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $16.63 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$13.49worst · -18.9%$19.56best · +17.6%
  • now $16.63 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $16.39 (-1.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $14.98–$17.79
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $13.49–$19.56
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,493 windows spanning 2016-09-15 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-11−56.2%−56.2%+0.6%
2020-02-06−51.4%−51.4%+1.2%
2020-02-10−50.2%−50.2%+4.2%
3 best
2022-02-18+53.5%+0.0%+66.8%
2022-02-23+53.3%+0.0%+62.3%
2022-02-24+51.7%+0.0%+58.1%

2,493 overlapping windows · 2016-09-15 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+2.9%
n=10
Feb
60%
+2.5%
n=10
Mar
40%
−2.3%
n=10
Apr
50%
+1.4%
n=10
May
50%
−1.7%
n=10
Jun
50%
−3.3%
n=10
Jul
90%
+8.1%
n=10
Aug
40%
−4.9%
n=10
Sep
60%
+2.5%
n=10
Oct
40%
+1.5%
n=10
Nov
50%
+2.1%
n=10
Dec
50%
+2.4%
n=10

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$26$142025-10-03: 1 insider sale, $12K — Kintiroglou Achilles B.2025-09-02: 1 insider sale, $12K — Kintiroglou Achilles B.2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $12K2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $12K2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $12K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Kintiroglou Achilles B. — Sale on 2025-10-03, filed same dayofficer Kintiroglou Achilles B. — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2025-10-03Kintiroglou Achilles B.officerSale577 @ $20.00$12K−1.9% of holding−6.5%+30.1%30,265Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-02Kintiroglou Achilles B.officerSale571 @ $21.20$12K−1.8% of holding−14.3%−12.4%30,842Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-01Kintiroglou Achilles B.officerSale571 @ $20.18$12K−1.8% of holding+7.5%−25.2%31,413Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-07-02Kintiroglou Achilles B.officerSale571 @ $24.85$14K−1.8% of holding−23.7%−40.2%31,984Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-02Kintiroglou Achilles B.officerSale571 @ $23.65$14K−1.7% of holding+1.8%−49.1%32,555Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-01Kintiroglou Achilles B.officerSale3,237 @ $21.34$69K−8.9% of holding+4.9%−33.8%33,126Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-04-01Kintiroglou Achilles B.officerSale4,000 @ $22.24$89K−9.9% of holding−4.6%−33.8%36,363Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-03Kintiroglou Achilles B.officerSale4,000 @ $27.75$111K−9.0% of holding−12.2%−30.3%40,363Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-03Kane Erin NdirectorSale4,400 @ $30.12$133K−0.9% of holding−10.9%−43.8%503,395Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-03Kane Erin NdirectorSale600 @ $30.71$18K−0.1% of holding−10.9%−43.8%502,795Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-02Kane Erin NdirectorSale4,700 @ $28.10$132K−0.9% of holding+9.2%−15.7%508,095Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-02Kane Erin NdirectorSale300 @ $28.90$9K−0.1% of holding+9.2%−15.7%507,795Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

50 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-30Williams PatrickdirectorAward / grant66043,434Form 4
2026-06-22O'Brien Dana C.directorAward / grant6,2076,207Form 4
2026-06-22NEWMAN DONALD PdirectorAward / grant6,20721,513Form 4
2026-06-22Williams PatrickdirectorAward / grant6,20742,774Form 4
2026-06-22Spurlin SharondirectorAward / grant6,20780,953Form 4
2026-06-22Bird Jeffrey J.directorAward / grant6,2076,207Form 4
2026-06-22Karran Todd D.directorAward / grant6,20791,946Form 4
2026-06-22Roberts DaryldirectorAward / grant6,2076,207Form 4
2026-06-22Lovett Gena CdirectorAward / grant6,20721,369Form 4
2026-04-27Day Patrick C.officerAward / grant19,01919,019Form 4
2026-04-27Day Patrick C.officerAward / grant19,01938,038Form 4
2026-03-31Williams PatrickdirectorAward / grant53736,567Form 4
2026-03-24Ryan Rachael EofficerWithheld for tax2,07416,513Form 4
2026-02-28Kane Erin NdirectorWithheld for tax33,642623,103Form 4
2026-02-28Kintiroglou Achilles B.officerWithheld for tax8,00850,363Form 4
2026-02-28SLIETER KELLYofficerWithheld for tax5,42465,029Form 4
2026-02-28Gramm ChristopherofficerWithheld for tax2,62473,025Form 4
2026-02-26Kane Erin NdirectorAward / grant111,298656,745Form 4
2026-02-26Kintiroglou Achilles B.officerAward / grant28,10658,371Form 4
2026-02-26SLIETER KELLYofficerAward / grant22,48570,453Form 4
2026-02-26Gramm ChristopherofficerAward / grant21,07975,649Form 4
2026-02-26Ryan Rachael EofficerAward / grant5,62118,587Form 4
2025-12-15NEWMAN DONALD PdirectorAward / grant1,72115,306Form 4
2025-12-15Williams PatrickdirectorAward / grant82135,923Form 4
2025-09-30NEWMAN DONALD PdirectorAward / grant1,41813,497Form 4
2025-09-30Williams PatrickdirectorAward / grant67734,965Form 4
2025-06-30NEWMAN DONALD PdirectorAward / grant97712,026Form 4
2025-06-30Williams PatrickdirectorAward / grant55234,193Form 4
2025-06-18Lovett Gena CdirectorAward / grant5,02015,162Form 4
2025-06-18Spurlin SharondirectorAward / grant5,02074,746Form 4
2025-06-18NEWMAN DONALD PdirectorAward / grant5,02011,049Form 4
2025-06-18Sansone Daniel FdirectorAward / grant5,02036,288Form 4
2025-06-18Williams PatrickdirectorAward / grant5,02033,641Form 4
2025-06-18Karran Todd D.directorAward / grant5,02085,739Form 4
2025-03-31NEWMAN DONALD PdirectorAward / grant9936,023Form 4
2025-03-31Williams PatrickdirectorAward / grant57928,545Form 4
2025-03-24Ryan Rachael EofficerAward / grant4,32212,966Form 4
2025-03-24Ryan Rachael EofficerAward / grant8,6448,644Form 4
2025-02-28Kane Erin NdirectorWithheld for tax22,213480,582Form 4
2025-02-28Kintiroglou Achilles B.officerWithheld for tax4,73128,507Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.