ASB · TickerCove

ASBAssociated Banc-CorpFinancial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $29.76 · now $29.76 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ASB has typically landed between $26.24 and $34.09 — a range of −11.8% to +14.6% from the issuance price $29.76.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($29.76) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$29.76 · 71% of range

$23.47 low$32.33 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+1.1%

typical move · IQR 11.1%

−11.8%worst (p90)+14.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where ASB has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $29.76 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $29.76 (+0.0%)
typical $30.09 (+1.1%)
middle 50% $28.44–$31.75
90% range $26.24–$34.09

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-21	−45.1%	−45.1%	+0.0%
2020-02-20	−42.1%	−42.7%	+0.0%
2020-02-18	−41.6%	−41.6%	+1.9%
3 best
2008-08-20	+52.8%	−2.1%	+52.8%
2009-03-05	+52.0%	−2.2%	+52.0%
2009-03-06	+47.0%	−3.6%	+49.9%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

+0.0%

n=20

Feb

70%

+1.2%

n=20

Mar

55%

−1.2%

n=20

Apr

55%

+0.8%

n=20

May

50%

−1.0%

n=20

Jun

45%

−1.6%

n=20

Jul

45%

+0.2%

n=20

Aug

45%

−1.6%

n=20

Sep

45%

+0.5%

n=20

Oct

65%

+4.3%

n=20

Nov

70%

+3.0%

n=20

Dec

55%

+1.6%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-03	Ahern Patrick Edward	officer	Sale	1,209 @ $30.85	$37K	−2.7% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	43,843	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-03	Ahern Patrick Edward	officer	Sale	100 @ $30.85	$3K	−0.2% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	43,743	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-12	Erickson Randall J.	officer	Sale	43,561 @ $32.04	$1.4M	−43.7% of holding	−5.4%	not yet — horizon still open	56,091	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-12	Warsek Gregory	officer	Sale	13,018 @ $32.01	$417K	−48.5% of holding	−5.4%	not yet — horizon still open	13,809	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-12	Warsek Gregory	officer	Sale	3,282 @ $32.00	$105K	−19.2% of holding	−5.4%	not yet — horizon still open	13,809	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04	Utz John A.	officer	Sale	44,465 @ $31.73	$1.4M	−31.1% of holding	−2.9%	not yet — horizon still open	98,687	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-30	Erickson Randall J.	officer	Sale	90,573 @ $30.75	$2.8M	−65.1% of holding	−3.2%	not yet — horizon still open	48,542	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-29	Meyer Derek S.	officer	Sale	10,000 @ $30.74	$307K	−14.0% of holding	−5.4%	not yet — horizon still open	61,662	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-28	Kitowski Nicole M	officer	Sale	6,255 @ $30.91	$193K	−11.8% of holding	−4.1%	not yet — horizon still open	46,735	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-28	Kitowski Nicole M	officer	Sale	1,408 @ $30.91	$44K	−3.0% of holding	−4.1%	not yet — horizon still open	45,327	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-10	Utz John A.	officer	Sale	5,000 @ $28.82	$144K	−4.1% of holding	+4.0%	not yet — horizon still open	118,156	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-09	Braeger Matthew R	officer	Sale	4,000 @ $28.17	$113K	−23.8% of holding	+5.1%	not yet — horizon still open	12,777	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-09	Braeger Matthew R	officer	Sale	1,000 @ $28.18	$28K	−7.8% of holding	+5.1%	not yet — horizon still open	11,777	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-26	DeLoye Dennis	officer	Sale	9,299 @ $28.26	$263K	−30.3% of holding	+12.1%	not yet — horizon still open	21,385	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-26	DeLoye Dennis	officer	Sale	5,000 @ $28.26	$141K	−14.0% of holding	+12.1%	not yet — horizon still open	30,684	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-04	Erickson Randall J.	officer	Sale	28,311 @ $27.84	$788K	−16.9% of holding	−7.8%	not yet — horizon still open	139,115	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-01	Erickson Randall J.	officer	Sale	2,000 @ $28.30	$57K	−1.2% of holding	−6.7%	not yet — horizon still open	167,426	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-28	WILLIAMS JOHN B	director	Sale	4,000 @ $28.18	$113K	−5.6% of holding	−7.2%	not yet — horizon still open	67,420	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-19	KAMERICK EILEEN A	director	Sale	6,600 @ $28.02	$185K	−11.8% of holding	−8.0%	−1.5%	49,264	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10	Ahern Patrick Edward	officer	Sale	11,193 @ $29.04	$325K	−22.1% of holding	−10.0%	+0.9%	39,401	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10	Ahern Patrick Edward	officer	Sale	3,538 @ $29.01	$103K	−8.2% of holding	−10.0%	+0.9%	39,401	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-03	WILLIAMS JOHN B	director	Sale	2,325 @ $28.05	$65K	−3.2% of holding	−6.1%	+1.4%	70,959	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-09	Utz John A.	officer	Sale	1,872 @ $26.41	$49K	−1.7% of holding	−0.8%	+4.1%	109,842	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-09	Utz John A.	officer	Sale	135 @ $26.45	$4K	−0.1% of holding	−0.8%	+4.1%	109,842	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-09	Utz John A.	officer	Sale	128 @ $26.41	$3K	−0.1% of holding	−0.8%	+4.1%	111,714	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-04	Ahern Patrick Edward	officer	Sale	30,489 @ $25.70	$784K	−55.9% of holding	+1.8%	+0.0%	24,055	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-03	Ahern Patrick Edward	officer	Sale	3,161 @ $25.79	$82K	−7.1% of holding	+1.5%	+0.9%	41,354	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-03	Ahern Patrick Edward	officer	Sale	166 @ $25.80	$4K	−0.4% of holding	+1.5%	+0.9%	41,188	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

272 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-10	Kotouc Wende L	director	Gift	3,328,692	3,328,692	Form 4
2026-09-10	Kotouc Wende L	director	Gift	3,328,692	4,993,039	Form 4
2026-08-17	ZANDPOUR STEVEN S.	officer	Other acquisition	75	18,625	Form 4
2026-08-17	Williams Terry Lynn	officer	Other acquisition	71	24,336	Form 4
2026-08-17	Utz John A.	officer	Other acquisition	42	98,729	Form 4
2026-08-17	Kitowski Nicole M	officer	Other acquisition	23	45,350	Form 4
2026-08-17	Manso Julio	officer	Other acquisition	13	14,914	Form 4
2026-08-17	HLADIO JAYNE C	officer	Other acquisition	12	16,646	Form 4
2026-08-12	Erickson Randall J.	officer	Option exercise	43,561	99,652	Form 4
2026-08-12	Warsek Gregory	officer	Option exercise	13,018	26,827	Form 4
2026-08-12	Erickson Randall J.	officer	Option exercise	43,561	0	Form 4
2026-08-12	Warsek Gregory	officer	Option exercise	13,018	0	Form 4
2026-08-12	Warsek Gregory	officer	Discretionary	14,927	13,605	Form 4
2026-08-04	Utz John A.	officer	Option exercise	24,465	143,152	Form 4
2026-08-04	Utz John A.	officer	Option exercise	24,465	0	Form 4
2026-07-30	Erickson Randall J.	officer	Option exercise	26,480	75,022	Form 4
2026-07-30	Erickson Randall J.	officer	Option exercise	26,480	0	Form 4
2026-07-20	Haddad Michael J	director	Award / grant	679	70,082	Form 4
2026-07-15	ZANDPOUR STEVEN S.	officer	Other acquisition	79	18,550	Form 4
2026-07-15	Williams Terry Lynn	officer	Other acquisition	75	24,265	Form 4
2026-07-15	Utz John A.	officer	Other acquisition	44	118,687	Form 4
2026-07-15	Kitowski Nicole M	officer	Other acquisition	25	52,990	Form 4
2026-07-15	Manso Julio	officer	Other acquisition	13	14,901	Form 4
2026-07-15	HLADIO JAYNE C	officer	Other acquisition	13	16,634	Form 4
2026-06-15	Harmening Andrew J	director	Other acquisition	2,554	396,492	Form 4
2026-06-15	Utz John A.	officer	Award / grant	441	118,643	Form 4
2026-06-15	VAN LITH KAREN	director	Award / grant	355	61,211	Form 4
2026-06-15	WILLIAMS JOHN B	director	Award / grant	355	67,813	Form 4
2026-06-15	KAMERICK EILEEN A	director	Award / grant	355	50,118	Form 4
2026-06-15	Nettles Cory L	director	Award / grant	344	47,259	Form 4
2026-06-15	Meyer Derek S.	officer	Award / grant	127	71,662	Form 4
2026-06-15	Greffin Judith P	director	Award / grant	105	17,741	Form 4
2026-06-15	ZANDPOUR STEVEN S.	officer	Other acquisition	82	18,471	Form 4
2026-06-15	Williams Terry Lynn	officer	Other acquisition	78	24,190	Form 4
2026-06-15	Utz John A.	officer	Other acquisition	46	118,202	Form 4
2026-06-15	Ludgate Kristen M	director	Award / grant	38	10,085	Form 4
2026-06-15	SULLIVAN OWEN J	director	Award / grant	38	10,085	Form 4
2026-06-15	VAN LITH KAREN	director	Award / grant	38	60,856	Form 4
2026-06-15	WILLIAMS JOHN B	director	Award / grant	38	67,458	Form 4
2026-06-15	KAMERICK EILEEN A	director	Award / grant	38	49,763	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i