ASAmer Sports, Inc.as of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $27.13 · now $27.13 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, AS has typically landed between $22.25 and $35.26 — a range of −18.0% to +30.0% from the issuance price $27.13.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

625 overlapping 1 month windows · 2024-02-01 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($27.13) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where AS has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $27.13 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$22.25worst · -18.0%$35.26best · +30.0%
  • now $27.13 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $27.33 (+0.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $24.92–$29.74
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $22.25–$35.26
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 625 windows spanning 2024-02-01 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2024-06-05−26.6%−26.6%+0.0%
2026-02-19−25.9%−25.9%+1.1%
2025-03-20−25.7%−28.1%+1.0%
3 best
2025-04-21+72.5%+0.0%+72.5%
2025-04-22+66.3%+0.0%+68.0%
2025-04-23+61.5%+0.0%+61.5%

625 overlapping windows · 2024-02-01 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~3 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+6.2%
n=2
Feb
50%
−1.4%
n=2
Mar
0%
−8.0%
n=3
Apr
33%
−5.0%
n=3
May
100%
+19.7%
n=3
Jun
33%
−5.5%
n=3
Jul
33%
−3.1%
n=3
Aug
67%
+3.7%
n=3
Sep
33%
−2.0%
n=3
Oct
50%
+0.9%
n=2
Nov
100%
+33.2%
n=2
Dec
100%
+3.4%
n=2

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$42$272026-09-02: 1 insider sale, $58K — Page Andrew E2026-06-03: 1 insider sale, $17.2M — Zheng Jie (James)2026-06-01: 3 insider sales, $8.1M — Haselden Stuart, Chen Wen-Chang (Victor) …2026-05-26: 2 insider sales, $3.9M — Page Andrew E …2026-04-16: 3 insider sales, $656K — Haselden Stuart, Page Andrew E, Karlsson Jutta C2026-04-02: 3 insider sales, $300K — Haselden Stuart, Page Andrew E, Karlsson Jutta C2026-04: 6 open-market sales, $957K2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $3.9M2026-06: 4 open-market sales, $25.3M2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $58K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Page Andrew E — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed same daydirector Zheng Jie (James) — Sale on 2026-06-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Haselden Stuart — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Haselden Stuart — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Chen Wen-Chang (Victor) — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Page Andrew E — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Page Andrew E — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Haselden Stuart — Sale on 2026-04-16, filed same daydirector Page Andrew E — Sale on 2026-04-16, filed same dayofficer Karlsson Jutta C — Sale on 2026-04-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Haselden Stuart — Sale on 2026-04-02, filed same daydirector Page Andrew E — Sale on 2026-04-02, filed same dayofficer Karlsson Jutta C — Sale on 2026-04-02, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-02Page Andrew EdirectorSale2,022 @ $28.63$58K−23.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open6,575Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-03Zheng Jie (James)directorSale500,000 @ $34.42$17.2M−28.4% of holding+1.5%not yet — horizon still open1,262,385Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-01Haselden StuartofficerSale200,000 @ $35.58$7.1M−92.9% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open15,275Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-01Haselden StuartofficerSale15,275 @ $35.43$541K−100.0% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open0Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-01Chen Wen-Chang (Victor)officerSale13,075 @ $35.62$466K−8.0% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open149,821Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-26Page Andrew EdirectorSale97,485 @ $36.75$3.6M−89.2% of holding−5.6%not yet — horizon still open11,828Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-26Page Andrew EdirectorSale7,745 @ $36.78$285K−65.5% of holding−5.6%not yet — horizon still open4,083Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-16Haselden StuartofficerSale11,438 @ $36.26$415K−42.8% of holding−14.2%not yet — horizon still open15,275Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-16Page Andrew EdirectorSale6,005 @ $36.26$218K−33.7% of holding−14.2%not yet — horizon still open11,828Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-16Karlsson Jutta CofficerSale662 @ $36.26$24K−5.3% of holding−14.2%not yet — horizon still open11,791Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-02Haselden StuartofficerSale6,511 @ $33.28$217K−54.4% of holding−7.9%not yet — horizon still open5,448Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-02Page Andrew EdirectorSale2,052 @ $33.28$68K−33.4% of holding−7.9%not yet — horizon still open4,083Form 4 · filed same day
2026-04-02Karlsson Jutta CofficerSale457 @ $33.28$15K−4.0% of holding−7.9%not yet — horizon still open10,968Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

65 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Page Andrew EdirectorOption exercise4,5149,028Form 4
2026-09-01Page Andrew EdirectorOption exercise4,5148,597Form 4
2026-09-01Page Andrew EdirectorOption exercise4,5148,597Form 4
2026-09-01Page Andrew EdirectorOption exercise4,5148,597Form 4
2026-09-01Page Andrew EdirectorOption exercise4,5148,597Form 4
2026-06-03Zheng Jie (James)directorOption exercise500,0001,762,385Form 4
2026-06-03Zheng Jie (James)directorOption exercise500,000228,206Form 4
2026-06-01Haselden StuartofficerOption exercise200,000215,275Form 4
2026-06-01Haselden StuartofficerOption exercise200,000499,982Form 4
2026-05-26Page Andrew EdirectorOption exercise97,485109,313Form 4
2026-05-26Page Andrew EdirectorOption exercise97,48560,984Form 4
2026-05-14Spear Catherine EvadirectorAward / grant5,2505,250Form 4
2026-05-14Salzer BrunodirectorAward / grant5,2505,250Form 4
2026-05-14Teffner Carrie W.directorAward / grant5,2505,250Form 4
2026-05-14Yiu Kin Wah StephendirectorAward / grant5,2505,250Form 4
2026-05-08Teffner Carrie W.directorOption exercise7,2650Form 4
2026-05-08Yiu Kin Wah StephendirectorOption exercise7,2650Form 4
2026-05-08Spear Catherine EvadirectorOption exercise7,2650Form 4
2026-05-08Salzer BrunodirectorOption exercise7,2650Form 4
2026-05-08Teffner Carrie W.directorOption exercise7,26522,338Form 4
2026-05-08Salzer BrunodirectorOption exercise7,26522,338Form 4
2026-05-08Teffner Carrie W.directorOption exercise7,26522,338Form 4
2026-05-08Spear Catherine EvadirectorOption exercise7,26522,338Form 4
2026-05-08Yiu Kin Wah StephendirectorOption exercise7,26531,338Form 4
2026-05-08Salzer BrunodirectorOption exercise7,26522,338Form 4
2026-05-08Yiu Kin Wah StephendirectorOption exercise7,26531,338Form 4
2026-05-08Spear Catherine EvadirectorOption exercise7,26522,338Form 4
2026-05-01Karlsson Jutta CofficerAward / grant5,1805,180Form 4
2026-05-01Page Andrew EdirectorAward / grant30,35730,357Form 4
2026-05-01Chen Wen-Chang (Victor)officerAward / grant7,9347,934Form 4
2026-04-15Page Andrew EdirectorOption exercise13,75013,750Form 4
2026-04-15Zheng Jie (James)directorOption exercise33,35033,350Form 4
2026-04-15Haselden StuartofficerOption exercise21,26521,264Form 4
2026-04-15Karlsson Jutta CofficerOption exercise1,4851,484Form 4
2026-04-15Chen Wen-Chang (Victor)officerOption exercise6,0896,089Form 4
2026-04-15Zheng Jie (James)directorOption exercise33,3501,262,385Form 4
2026-04-15Haselden StuartofficerOption exercise21,26526,713Form 4
2026-04-15Chen Wen-Chang (Victor)officerOption exercise6,089162,896Form 4
2026-04-15Karlsson Jutta CofficerOption exercise1,48512,453Form 4
2026-04-15Page Andrew EdirectorOption exercise13,75017,833Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.