ARRYArray Technologies, Inc.Energy · Solaras of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.20 · now $4.20 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ARRY has typically landed between $2.96 and $5.75 — a range of −29.6% to +36.9% from the issuance price $4.20.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,465 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-10-15 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.20) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ARRY has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.2 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$2.96worst · -29.6%$5.75best · +36.9%
  • now $4.2 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $4.11 (-2.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.53–$4.69
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.96–$5.75
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,465 windows spanning 2020-10-15 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2021-04-13−53.7%−53.7%+5.3%
2021-04-14−50.2%−53.6%+5.5%
2021-04-16−48.6%−51.4%+10.5%
3 best
2022-07-14+111.8%−1.5%+114.4%
2022-07-15+111.6%+0.0%+117.7%
2022-07-12+110.5%−3.3%+110.5%

1,465 overlapping windows · 2020-10-15 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
−0.0%
n=6
Feb
33%
−12.7%
n=6
Mar
50%
−0.9%
n=6
Apr
17%
−11.0%
n=6
May
83%
+17.7%
n=6
Jun
17%
−9.9%
n=6
Jul
50%
+1.2%
n=6
Aug
67%
+13.8%
n=6
Sep
0%
−8.4%
n=6
Oct
60%
+1.5%
n=5
Nov
50%
+0.4%
n=6
Dec
33%
−0.8%
n=6

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$12$4↑ buys↓ sales
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2024-12-16Manning NeilofficerPurchase5,700 @ $5.21$30K+24.1% of holding+39.8%+44.6%29,366Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

135 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-19Cohen Emily RacheldirectorAward / grant22,64122,641Form 4
2026-05-19Schmid GerrarddirectorAward / grant22,64122,641Form 4
2026-05-19ASHFORD ORLANDO DdirectorOption exercise22,1640Form 4
2026-05-19Alstead TroydirectorAward / grant22,64122,641Form 4
2026-05-19Alstead TroydirectorOption exercise22,16474,333Form 4
2026-05-19Alstead TroydirectorOption exercise22,1640Form 4
2026-05-19Murff CarolynedirectorAward / grant22,64122,641Form 4
2026-05-19ASHFORD ORLANDO DdirectorOption exercise22,16474,333Form 4
2026-05-19ASHFORD ORLANDO DdirectorAward / grant22,64122,641Form 4
2026-05-19Forth John BradforddirectorOption exercise22,164151,020Form 4
2026-05-19Forth John BradforddirectorOption exercise22,1640Form 4
2026-05-19Forth John BradforddirectorAward / grant22,64122,641Form 4
2026-05-19Iyengar JayanthidirectorOption exercise22,16473,807Form 4
2026-05-19Iyengar JayanthidirectorOption exercise22,1640Form 4
2026-05-19Iyengar JayanthidirectorAward / grant22,64122,641Form 4
2026-05-19Jokinen Tracy CdirectorOption exercise22,16444,516Form 4
2026-05-19Jokinen Tracy CdirectorOption exercise22,1640Form 4
2026-05-19Jokinen Tracy CdirectorAward / grant22,64122,641Form 4
2026-05-19Schmid GerrarddirectorOption exercise22,16485,785Form 4
2026-05-19Schmid GerrarddirectorOption exercise22,1640Form 4
2026-03-18Hostetler Kevin G.directorWithheld for tax52,341324,266Form 4
2026-03-18Jennings H. KeithdirectorWithheld for tax11,61429,168Form 4
2026-03-18Gunning Gina KofficerWithheld for tax5,87724,666Form 4
2026-03-18Collins Terrance LofficerWithheld for tax5,57763,518Form 4
2026-03-18Manning NeilofficerWithheld for tax5,47553,925Form 4
2026-03-18Zhu JamesofficerWithheld for tax3,28517,637Form 4
2026-03-18Hostetler Kevin G.directorOption exercise125,067250,136Form 4
2026-03-18Gunning Gina KofficerOption exercise21,88643,774Form 4
2026-03-18Jennings H. KeithdirectorOption exercise40,78281,567Form 4
2026-03-18Manning NeilofficerOption exercise20,39140,783Form 4
2026-03-18Zhu JamesofficerOption exercise12,23424,470Form 4
2026-03-18Collins Terrance LofficerOption exercise20,39140,783Form 4
2026-03-18Collins Terrance LofficerOption exercise20,39169,095Form 4
2026-03-18Zhu JamesofficerOption exercise12,23420,922Form 4
2026-03-18Jennings H. KeithdirectorOption exercise40,78240,782Form 4
2026-03-18Manning NeilofficerOption exercise20,39159,400Form 4
2026-03-18Hostetler Kevin G.directorOption exercise125,067376,607Form 4
2026-03-18Manning NeilofficerOption exercise20,39159,400Form 4
2026-03-18Zhu JamesofficerOption exercise12,23420,922Form 4
2026-03-18Gunning Gina KofficerOption exercise21,88630,543Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.