APPAppLovin CorporationTechnology · Software - Applicationas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $326.56 · now $326.56 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, APP has typically landed between $231.00 and $458.93 — a range of −29.3% to +40.5% from the issuance price $326.56.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,341 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-04-152026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($326.56) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where APP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $326.56 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$231worst · -29.3%$458.93best · +40.5%
  • now $326.56 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $333.31 (+2.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $283.23$383.4
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $231$458.93
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,341 windows spanning 2021-04-15 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2025-02-14−45.3%−53.3%+0.0%
2022-04-11−45.3%−45.3%+4.1%
2026-01-13−45.1%−45.1%+0.0%
3 best
2024-11-06+138.2%+0.0%+138.2%
2024-11-04+134.9%+0.0%+134.9%
2024-11-05+129.5%+0.0%+129.5%

1,341 overlapping windows · 2021-04-152026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$131.7B
market cap
$11.64
EPS (TTM)
33.7
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-05
next earnings
Revenue$5.5B
'20'25
Net income$3.3B
'20'25
Free cash flow$3.9B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr60.8%
'20'25
ROE · by yr156.2%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr1.66
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 80 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $326.56$71.27$827.13
  • DCF (intrinsic)$123.40
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 34.2× · n=80$398.15
  • Analyst target · range $340.00$775.00$662.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$326.56

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
60%
−4.7%
n=5
Feb
40%
+4.3%
n=5
Mar
40%
+0.1%
n=5
Apr
80%
−1.4%
n=5
May
83%
+29.0%
n=6
Jun
50%
−5.1%
n=6
Jul
50%
−2.0%
n=6
Aug
67%
+7.2%
n=6
Sep
67%
+11.6%
n=6
Oct
40%
+6.5%
n=5
Nov
40%
+14.7%
n=5
Dec
60%
−1.7%
n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$734$2992026-07-06: 9 insider sales, $1.6M — WEBB MAYNARD G JR …2026-06-16: 27 insider sales, $82.6M — Vivas Eduardo …2026-06-12: 25 insider sales, $20.4M — Foroughi Arash Adam …2026-06-11: 21 insider sales, $20.2M — Foroughi Arash Adam …2026-06-10: 23 insider sales, $10.5M — Foroughi Arash Adam …2026-06-05: 8 insider sales, $1.8M — WEBB MAYNARD G JR …2026-06-04: 29 insider sales, $11.3M — Valenzuela Victoria …2026-05-28: 1 insider sale, $5.4M — Stumpf Matthew2026-05-22: 60 insider sales, $41.5M — Shikin Vasily …2026-03-16: 20 insider sales, $74.3M — Vivas Eduardo …2026-03-13: 3 insider sales, $11.0M — Vivas Eduardo, Dorosh Dmitriy …2026-03-12: 20 insider sales, $22.9M — Foroughi Arash Adam …2026-03-11: 22 insider sales, $23.1M — Foroughi Arash Adam …2025-08: 412 open-market sales, $497.0M2025-09: 6 open-market sales, $17.7M2025-11: 302 open-market sales, $196.6M2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $5.1M2026-03: 189 open-market sales, $175.2M2026-05: 61 open-market sales, $46.9M2026-06: 133 open-market sales, $146.8M2026-07: 9 open-market sales, $1.6M↑ buys↓ salesdirector WEBB MAYNARD G JR — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WEBB MAYNARD G JR — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WEBB MAYNARD G JR — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WEBB MAYNARD G JR — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WEBB MAYNARD G JR — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WEBB MAYNARD G JR — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WEBB MAYNARD G JR — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WEBB MAYNARD G JR — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WEBB MAYNARD G JR — Sale on 2026-07-06, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WEBB MAYNARD G JR — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed same daydirector WEBB MAYNARD G JR — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed same daydirector WEBB MAYNARD G JR — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed same daydirector WEBB MAYNARD G JR — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed same daydirector WEBB MAYNARD G JR — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed same daydirector WEBB MAYNARD G JR — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed same daydirector WEBB MAYNARD G JR — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed same daydirector WEBB MAYNARD G JR — Sale on 2026-06-05, filed same daydirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Valenzuela Victoria — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Stumpf Matthew — Sale on 2026-05-28, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Shikin Vasily — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Vivas Eduardo — Sale on 2026-03-13, filed 7 days after the tradeofficer Dorosh Dmitriy — Sale on 2026-03-13, filed same dayofficer Dorosh Dmitriy — Sale on 2026-03-13, filed same daydirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-12, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Foroughi Arash Adam — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-07-06WEBB MAYNARD G JRdirectorSale1,140 @ $523.49$597K−0.9% of holding−25.5%not yet — horizon still open120,706Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-06WEBB MAYNARD G JRdirectorSale412 @ $522.42$215K−0.3% of holding−25.5%not yet — horizon still open121,846Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-06WEBB MAYNARD G JRdirectorSale380 @ $516.25$196K−0.3% of holding−25.5%not yet — horizon still open123,140Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-06WEBB MAYNARD G JRdirectorSale262 @ $524.12$137K−0.2% of holding−25.5%not yet — horizon still open120,444Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-06WEBB MAYNARD G JRdirectorSale240 @ $519.56$125K−0.2% of holding−25.5%not yet — horizon still open122,516Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-06WEBB MAYNARD G JRdirectorSale202 @ $517.19$104K−0.2% of holding−25.5%not yet — horizon still open122,938Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-06WEBB MAYNARD G JRdirectorSale182 @ $518.63$94K−0.1% of holding−25.5%not yet — horizon still open122,756Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-06WEBB MAYNARD G JRdirectorSale138 @ $520.60$72K−0.1% of holding−25.5%not yet — horizon still open122,378Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-06WEBB MAYNARD G JRdirectorSale120 @ $521.49$63K−0.1% of holding−25.5%not yet — horizon still open122,258Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale19,421 @ $498.52$9.7M−0.3% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,907,346Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale17,871 @ $499.46$8.9M−0.3% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,889,475Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale13,628 @ $497.50$6.8M−0.2% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,926,767Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale11,122 @ $503.50$5.6M−0.2% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,860,598Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale10,683 @ $512.54$5.5M−0.2% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,797,171Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale9,693 @ $504.42$4.9M−0.1% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,850,905Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale9,319 @ $505.46$4.7M−0.1% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,841,586Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale8,198 @ $506.45$4.2M−0.1% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,833,388Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale6,991 @ $502.61$3.5M−0.1% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,871,720Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale6,523 @ $509.54$3.3M−0.1% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,820,487Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale6,456 @ $510.43$3.3M−0.1% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,814,031Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale6,177 @ $511.59$3.2M−0.1% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,807,854Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale5,895 @ $501.43$3.0M−0.1% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,878,711Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale5,311 @ $514.35$2.7M−0.1% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,786,600Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale5,260 @ $513.39$2.7M−0.1% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,791,911Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale4,869 @ $500.39$2.4M−0.1% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,884,606Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale4,695 @ $496.49$2.3M−0.1% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,940,395Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale4,222 @ $507.43$2.1M−0.1% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,829,166Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale3,754 @ $495.49$1.9M−0.1% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,945,090Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale2,156 @ $508.50$1.1M−0.0% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,827,010Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale547 @ $518.22$283K−0.0% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,785,475Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale408 @ $515.14$210K−0.0% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,786,192Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale348 @ $520.30$181K−0.0% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,785,087Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale153 @ $494.84$76K−0.0% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,948,844Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale100 @ $516.81$52K−0.0% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,786,092Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale70 @ $517.60$36K−0.0% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,786,022Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-16Vivas EduardodirectorSale40 @ $519.50$21K−0.0% of holding−16.9%not yet — horizon still open6,785,435Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-12Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorSale4,884 @ $495.01$2.4M−0.2% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open2,337,006Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorSale4,257 @ $496.91$2.1M−0.2% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open2,330,278Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorSale3,421 @ $485.66$1.7M−0.1% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open2,353,476Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorSale2,820 @ $494.01$1.4M−0.1% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open2,341,890Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorSale2,471 @ $496.09$1.2M−0.1% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open2,334,535Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorSale2,324 @ $476.36$1.1M−0.1% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open2,365,347Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorSale2,160 @ $484.73$1.0M−0.1% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open2,356,897Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorSale2,003 @ $491.94$985K−0.1% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open2,346,465Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorSale1,755 @ $493.14$865K−0.1% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open2,344,710Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorSale1,674 @ $498.03$834K−0.1% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open2,328,604Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorSale1,699 @ $486.82$827K−0.1% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open2,351,777Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorSale1,610 @ $477.34$769K−0.1% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open2,363,737Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorSale1,280 @ $487.62$624K−0.1% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open2,350,497Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorSale1,284 @ $482.47$619K−0.1% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open2,360,137Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorSale1,160 @ $490.92$569K−0.0% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open2,348,468Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorSale1,080 @ $483.69$522K−0.0% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open2,359,057Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorSale920 @ $498.91$459K−0.0% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open2,327,684Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorSale860 @ $478.32$411K−0.0% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open2,362,877Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorSale840 @ $475.39$399K−0.0% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open2,367,671Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorSale840 @ $473.92$398K−0.0% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open2,368,511Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorSale812 @ $481.71$391K−0.0% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open2,361,421Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorSale600 @ $489.94$294K−0.0% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open2,349,628Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorSale360 @ $479.52$173K−0.0% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open2,362,517Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorSale284 @ $480.51$136K−0.0% of holding−10.9%not yet — horizon still open2,362,233Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

32 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-20Ge XiaochuanofficerWithheld for tax5,459968,735Form 4
2026-08-20Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorWithheld for tax2,7302,324,954Form 4
2026-08-20Valenzuela VictoriadirectorWithheld for tax2,730241,231Form 4
2026-08-20Stumpf MatthewofficerWithheld for tax2,021175,429Form 4
2026-08-20Cacovean Corina IofficerWithheld for tax1,5404,787Form 4
2026-08-13Chen Herald YdirectorGift100,000100,000Form 4
2026-08-13Chen Herald YdirectorGift100,000151,245Form 4
2026-08-13Chen Herald YdirectorConversion143,791251,245Form 4
2026-08-13Chen Herald YdirectorConversion143,791223,676Form 4
2026-08-13Chen Herald YdirectorConversion143,791223,676Form 4
2026-08-13Chen Herald YdirectorConversion143,791223,676Form 4
2026-08-13Chen Herald YdirectorConversion143,791223,676Form 4
2026-08-07Vivas EduardodirectorGift213,6756,571,412Form 4
2026-08-07Vivas EduardodirectorGift213,675213,675Form 4
2026-07-15Messing BarbaradirectorAward / grant4010,190Form 4
2026-07-15WEBB MAYNARD G JRdirectorAward / grant413,198Form 4
2026-06-10Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorGift16,6672,411,017Form 4
2026-06-03Morgenfeld Todd RdirectorAward / grant52514,312Form 4
2026-06-03Georgiadis Mary Margaret HastingsdirectorAward / grant52536,710Form 4
2026-06-03Vivas EduardodirectorAward / grant5256,948,997Form 4
2026-06-03Messing BarbaradirectorAward / grant52510,150Form 4
2026-06-03WEBB MAYNARD G JRdirectorAward / grant5253,157Form 4
2026-06-03Chen Herald YdirectorAward / grant525207,454Form 4
2026-06-03Billings Craig ScottdirectorAward / grant5254,232Form 4
2026-05-20Shikin VasilyofficerWithheld for tax2,7303,252,543Form 4
2026-05-20Foroughi Arash AdamdirectorWithheld for tax2,7302,427,684Form 4
2026-05-20Valenzuela VictoriadirectorWithheld for tax2,730263,961Form 4
2026-05-20Stumpf MatthewofficerWithheld for tax2,341186,502Form 4
2026-05-20Dorosh DmitriyofficerWithheld for tax331111,213Form 4
2026-05-08WEBB MAYNARD G JRdirectorGift20,920126,596Form 4
2026-04-15WEBB MAYNARD G JRdirectorAward / grant372,632Form 4
2026-04-15Messing BarbaradirectorAward / grant379,625Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-27$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-06-082026-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-13$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-05-082026-04-14$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-30$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-04-072026-03-13$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-04-072026-03-18$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-04-072026-03-10$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-04-072026-03-23$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-03-092026-02-10$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-17$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-24$15–50K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.