APOGApogee Enterprises, Inc.Basic Materials · Construction Materialsas of 2026-09-17
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-17 at $37.70 · now $37.70 (2026-09-17, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-17 close, APOG has typically landed between $32.55 and $43.89 — a range of −13.7% to +16.4% from the issuance price $37.70.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,004 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-18 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,377 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-17 issuance close ($37.70) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-16, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where APOG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-17 close of $37.7 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$32.55worst · -13.7%$43.89best · +16.4%
  • now $37.7 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $38.15 (+1.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $35.62–$40.67
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $32.55–$43.89
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,004 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-17. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−57.0%−57.0%+1.7%
2020-02-21−56.6%−57.7%+0.0%
2020-02-20−55.3%−57.4%+0.9%
3 best
2008-12-01+70.1%+0.0%+70.1%
2008-11-21+66.8%+0.0%+66.8%
2008-12-04+65.8%+0.0%+65.8%

5,004 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-17 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
45%
−0.1%
n=20
Feb
65%
+1.3%
n=20
Mar
50%
+0.1%
n=20
Apr
45%
+3.4%
n=20
May
50%
+0.1%
n=20
Jun
60%
+3.6%
n=20
Jul
60%
+1.2%
n=20
Aug
35%
−2.2%
n=20
Sep
50%
−1.0%
n=20
Oct
55%
+1.6%
n=20
Nov
75%
+3.7%
n=20
Dec
55%
+2.4%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$49$31↑ buys↓ sales
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

139 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-11STREICH JULIE KdirectorAward / grant2,5302,530Form 4
2026-08-07Wagner Patricia KdirectorGift2,4195,341Form 4
2026-08-05HAYEK JOSEPH BdirectorAward / grant2,4542,454Form 4
2026-08-05Krishna SureshdirectorAward / grant2,4542,454Form 4
2026-07-06Ede Christopher WillliamofficerAward / grant5,08926,283Form 4
2026-07-06Ede Christopher WillliamofficerAward / grant5,02621,194Form 4
2026-06-30Nolan Donald AdirectorAward / grant43073,275Form 4
2026-06-30POMPA MARK AdirectorAward / grant14727,728Form 4
2026-06-30Alvord Christina MdirectorAward / grant6313,343Form 4
2026-06-30Nolan Donald AdirectorAward / grant6210,675Form 4
2026-06-30POMPA MARK AdirectorAward / grant6010,135Form 4
2026-06-30Lilly Elizabeth MurphydirectorAward / grant419,682Form 4
2026-06-24Parker Herbert KdirectorAward / grant2,74116,224Form 4
2026-06-24POMPA MARK AdirectorAward / grant2,74127,581Form 4
2026-06-24Wagner Patricia KdirectorAward / grant2,7417,760Form 4
2026-06-24Alvord Christina MdirectorAward / grant2,74113,280Form 4
2026-06-24Lilly Elizabeth MurphydirectorAward / grant2,7419,641Form 4
2026-04-30Jewell Brent CofficerWithheld for tax2,80651,790Form 4
2026-04-30Johnson Troy RofficerWithheld for tax2,47172,846Form 4
2026-04-30Augdahl Mark RichardofficerWithheld for tax1,98042,478Form 4
2026-04-30Lakkundi Veena MdirectorWithheld for tax1,30639,158Form 4
2026-04-30Christian Matthew SeanofficerWithheld for tax70837,817Form 4
2026-04-30Welp Bryan AlanofficerWithheld for tax1809,525Form 4
2026-04-22Augdahl Mark RichardofficerAward / grant11,63043,981Form 4
2026-04-22Lakkundi Veena MdirectorAward / grant9,58340,464Form 4
2026-04-22Johnson Troy RofficerAward / grant8,67174,152Form 4
2026-04-22Jewell Brent CofficerAward / grant8,06753,384Form 4
2026-04-22Christian Matthew SeanofficerAward / grant6,62838,525Form 4
2026-04-22Welp Bryan AlanofficerAward / grant5,6399,705Form 4
2026-04-22Jewell Brent CofficerAward / grant2,52755,911Form 4
2026-04-22Johnson Troy RofficerAward / grant2,38576,537Form 4
2026-04-22Jewell Brent CofficerWithheld for tax1,31554,596Form 4
2026-04-22Johnson Troy RofficerWithheld for tax1,22075,317Form 4
2026-04-22Augdahl Mark RichardofficerAward / grant90544,886Form 4
2026-04-22Augdahl Mark RichardofficerWithheld for tax42844,458Form 4
2026-03-31Nolan Donald AdirectorAward / grant58072,845Form 4
2026-03-31POMPA MARK AdirectorAward / grant19924,840Form 4
2026-03-31Johnson Lloyd EmersondirectorAward / grant15319,264Form 4
2026-03-31Nolan Donald AdirectorAward / grant8510,613Form 4
2026-03-31Alvord Christina MdirectorAward / grant8410,539Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.