APLEApple Hospitality REIT, Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Hotel & Motelas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $15.43 · now $15.43 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, APLE has typically landed between $13.91 and $17.20 — a range of −9.8% to +11.5% from the issuance price $15.43.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,829 overlapping 1 month windows · 2015-05-18 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($15.43) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where APLE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $15.43 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$13.91worst · -9.8%$17.2best · +11.5%
  • now $15.43 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $15.49 (+0.4%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $14.86–$16.11
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $13.91–$17.2
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,829 windows spanning 2015-05-18 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−68.0%−68.0%+0.0%
2020-02-20−64.3%−67.7%+0.0%
2020-02-19−63.8%−67.5%+0.6%
3 best
2020-03-18+70.2%+0.0%+97.8%
2020-05-07+57.6%−13.7%+57.6%
2020-05-06+52.2%−10.1%+52.2%

2,829 overlapping windows · 2015-05-18 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~12 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
36%
+0.5%
n=11
Feb
55%
−0.0%
n=11
Mar
45%
−3.6%
n=11
Apr
45%
+0.8%
n=11
May
45%
+0.4%
n=11
Jun
67%
+0.5%
n=12
Jul
50%
+1.1%
n=12
Aug
25%
+0.9%
n=12
Sep
50%
−0.6%
n=12
Oct
45%
+1.9%
n=11
Nov
64%
+5.2%
n=11
Dec
64%
−0.0%
n=11

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$17$112026-05-11: 1 insider purchase, $70K — KNIGHT GLADE M2025-12-11: 1 insider purchase, $60K — KNIGHT GLADE M2025-11-13: 1 insider purchase, $12K — Hugh Redd2025-11-11: 1 insider purchase, $24K — Woolley Howard E.2025-08-19: 1 insider purchase, $61K — KNIGHT GLADE M2025-08: 1 open-market purchase, $61K2025-11: 2 open-market purchases, $36K2025-12: 1 open-market purchase, $60K2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $70K↑ buys↓ salesdirector KNIGHT GLADE M — Purchase on 2026-05-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector KNIGHT GLADE M — Purchase on 2025-12-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Hugh Redd — Purchase on 2025-11-13, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Woolley Howard E. — Purchase on 2025-11-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector KNIGHT GLADE M — Purchase on 2025-08-19, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-11KNIGHT GLADE MdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $13.96$70K+0.7% of holding+17.5%not yet — horizon still open747,191Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-11KNIGHT GLADE MdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $11.91$60K+0.7% of holding+3.8%+30.9%710,344Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-13Hugh RedddirectorPurchase1,000 @ $11.75$12K+0.7% of holding+5.0%+15.4%138,254Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-11Woolley Howard E.directorPurchase2,000 @ $11.94$24K+6.9% of holding−0.0%+12.7%30,930Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-19KNIGHT GLADE MdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $12.29$61K+0.7% of holding−0.7%−4.8%705,344Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-04Hugh RedddirectorPurchase1,000 @ $11.57$12K+0.7% of holding−0.9%−8.9%137,254Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-09Perkins ElizabethofficerPurchase2,100 @ $11.72$25K+0.6% of holding−5.1%−16.2%362,644Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-08Labrecque RachelofficerPurchase1,000 @ $11.45$11K+0.4% of holding−4.4%−18.5%234,933Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-06KNIGHT GLADE MdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $11.43$114K+1.4% of holding−3.2%−18.9%700,344Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-06Woolley Howard E.directorPurchase2,000 @ $11.35$23K+9.0% of holding−3.2%−18.9%24,248Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-06Hugh RedddirectorPurchase1,000 @ $11.37$11K+0.7% of holding−3.2%−18.9%136,254Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-12Handlon Carolyn BdirectorPurchase7,250 @ $13.70$99K+48.0% of holding−10.8%−21.7%22,363Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-28Hugh RedddirectorPurchase1,000 @ $14.57$15K+0.7% of holding−6.7%−17.6%135,254Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-02-27KNIGHT GLADE MdirectorPurchase5,000 @ $14.54$73K+0.8% of holding−6.4%−17.8%641,990Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

165 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-31MCGARVIE BLYTHE JdirectorAward / grant2,11615,935Form 4
2026-08-31Woolley Howard E.directorAward / grant2,11640,106Form 4
2026-08-31Handlon Carolyn BdirectorAward / grant2,1164,413Form 4
2026-08-31Bunting Glenn W JrdirectorAward / grant2,11673,803Form 4
2026-08-31Hugh RedddirectorAward / grant2,11631,924Form 4
2026-08-31Fosheim Jon AdirectorAward / grant1,90413,584Form 4
2026-08-31Hugh RedddirectorOther acquisition44932,373Form 4
2026-08-31Fosheim Jon AdirectorOther acquisition42428,790Form 4
2026-08-31Woolley Howard E.directorOther acquisition34223,076Form 4
2026-08-31Fosheim Jon AdirectorAward / grant21228,366Form 4
2026-08-31Handlon Carolyn BdirectorOther acquisition354,448Form 4
2026-05-29MCGARVIE BLYTHE JdirectorAward / grant2,29715,935Form 4
2026-05-29Bunting Glenn W JrdirectorAward / grant2,29771,687Form 4
2026-05-29Woolley Howard E.directorAward / grant2,29737,990Form 4
2026-05-29Hugh RedddirectorAward / grant2,29729,366Form 4
2026-05-29Handlon Carolyn BdirectorAward / grant2,2972,297Form 4
2026-05-29Fosheim Jon AdirectorAward / grant2,06811,680Form 4
2026-05-29Fosheim Jon AdirectorOther acquisition44928,154Form 4
2026-05-29Hugh RedddirectorOther acquisition44229,808Form 4
2026-05-29Woolley Howard E.directorOther acquisition36522,734Form 4
2026-05-29Fosheim Jon AdirectorAward / grant22927,705Form 4
2026-03-03KNIGHT JUSTIN GdirectorAward / grant94,4652,029,064Form 4
2026-03-03KNIGHT JUSTIN GdirectorWithheld for tax42,6032,046,292Form 4
2026-03-03Knight NelsonofficerAward / grant40,976960,325Form 4
2026-03-03Perkins ElizabethofficerAward / grant40,582388,576Form 4
2026-03-03Gallagher Karen CatherineofficerAward / grant37,824383,892Form 4
2026-03-03Labrecque RachelofficerAward / grant24,765250,858Form 4
2026-03-03Rash MatthewofficerAward / grant24,765263,208Form 4
2026-03-03Clarke JeanetteofficerAward / grant22,120201,073Form 4
2026-03-03KNIGHT GLADE MdirectorAward / grant18,779729,123Form 4
2026-03-03Knight NelsonofficerWithheld for tax18,480967,798Form 4
2026-03-03Perkins ElizabethofficerWithheld for tax18,302395,977Form 4
2026-03-03Gallagher Karen CatherineofficerWithheld for tax17,058390,791Form 4
2026-03-03Rash MatthewofficerWithheld for tax11,169267,725Form 4
2026-03-03Labrecque RachelofficerWithheld for tax11,169255,375Form 4
2026-03-03Clarke JeanetteofficerWithheld for tax9,976205,107Form 4
2026-03-03Knight NelsonofficerAward / grant25,953986,278Form 4
2026-03-03Clarke JeanetteofficerAward / grant14,010215,083Form 4
2026-03-03KNIGHT GLADE MdirectorAward / grant11,894741,017Form 4
2026-03-03Gallagher Karen CatherineofficerAward / grant23,957407,849Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.