APAM · TickerCove

APAMArtisan Partners Asset Management Inc.Financial Services · Asset Managementas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $36.33 · now $36.33 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, APAM has typically landed between $31.41 and $42.04 — a range of −13.5% to +15.7% from the issuance price $36.33.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

3,382 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-03-07 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($36.33) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$36.33 · 24% of range

$33.97 low$43.64 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.5%

typical move · IQR 12.4%

−13.5%worst (p90)+15.7%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where APAM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $36.33 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $36.33 (+0.0%)
typical $36.52 (+0.5%)
middle 50% $34.27–$38.78
90% range $31.41–$42.04

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,382 windows spanning 2013-03-07 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-13	−50.3%	−50.3%	+0.0%
2020-02-21	−47.0%	−47.2%	+0.0%
2020-02-11	−44.8%	−44.8%	+1.6%
3 best
2020-04-03	+49.2%	+0.0%	+50.3%
2020-04-02	+48.8%	−0.2%	+50.0%
2020-04-01	+47.6%	−0.2%	+50.0%

3,382 overlapping windows · 2013-03-07 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~14 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

38%

+0.3%

n=13

Feb

46%

−1.5%

n=13

Mar

38%

−2.3%

n=13

Apr

43%

+1.1%

n=14

May

71%

+3.9%

n=14

Jun

50%

+2.6%

n=14

Jul

86%

+5.6%

n=14

Aug

36%

−1.9%

n=14

Sep

43%

−3.0%

n=14

Oct

62%

−0.1%

n=13

Nov

85%

+9.1%

n=13

Dec

38%

−0.5%

n=13

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-19	Ramirez Gregory K	officer	Sale	7,000 @ $42.59	$298K	−6.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	109,194	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-04	Ramirez Gregory K	officer	Sale	2,500 @ $46.50	$116K	−2.4% of holding	−1.7%	−10.8%	102,336	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-04	DALEY CHARLES J JR	officer	Sale	15,448 @ $40.45	$625K	−14.5% of holding	+10.1%	−6.8%	91,363	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-15	Sellers Samuel Bentson	officer	Sale	6,801 @ $44.24	$301K	−14.4% of holding	−3.6%	−13.3%	40,529	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-07	Ramirez Gregory K	officer	Sale	5,905 @ $43.16	$255K	−5.3% of holding	−7.3%	−1.7%	104,836	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

57 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-03-02	Kwei Eileen Lee	officer	Award / grant	2,275	2,275	Form 4
2026-03-02	DALEY CHARLES J JR	officer	Award / grant	19,438	110,801	Form 4
2026-03-02	GOTTLIEB JASON A	director	Award / grant	36,880	228,352	Form 4
2026-03-02	Von Hoff Ryan George	officer	Award / grant	1,134	3,828	Form 4
2026-03-02	Ramirez Gregory K	officer	Award / grant	13,858	116,194	Form 4
2026-03-02	Colson Eric R	director	Award / grant	44,410	368,607	Form 4
2026-03-02	Krein Christopher J	officer	Award / grant	22,816	124,209	Form 4
2026-03-02	Kwei Eileen Lee	officer	Award / grant	13,783	77,544	Form 4
2026-03-02	Simpson Laura Ellen	officer	Award / grant	10,682	42,139	Form 4
2026-03-02	Sellers Samuel Bentson	officer	Award / grant	13,375	51,272	Form 4
2026-03-02	Sellers Samuel Bentson	officer	Award / grant	2,275	2,275	Form 4
2026-03-02	Kwei Eileen Lee	officer	Award / grant	2,275	2,275	Form 4
2026-03-02	Sellers Samuel Bentson	officer	Award / grant	2,275	2,275	Form 4
2026-03-02	Sellers Samuel Bentson	officer	Award / grant	2,275	2,275	Form 4
2026-03-02	Kwei Eileen Lee	officer	Award / grant	2,275	2,275	Form 4
2026-02-17	GOTTLIEB JASON A	director	Withheld for tax	5,189	191,472	Form 4
2026-02-17	Kwei Eileen Lee	officer	Withheld for tax	4,246	63,761	Form 4
2026-02-17	Krein Christopher J	officer	Withheld for tax	3,000	101,393	Form 4
2026-02-17	Sellers Samuel Bentson	officer	Withheld for tax	2,632	37,897	Form 4
2026-02-17	Simpson Laura Ellen	officer	Withheld for tax	1,686	31,457	Form 4
2026-02-17	Von Hoff Ryan George	officer	Withheld for tax	324	2,694	Form 4
2026-01-29	Crawford Peter B.	director	Award / grant	5,752	5,752	Form 4
2026-01-29	Barger Matthew R	director	Award / grant	5,522	35,368	Form 4
2026-01-29	DIMARCO STEPHANIE	director	Award / grant	5,407	49,964	Form 4
2026-01-29	Multani Saloni S	director	Award / grant	4,601	29,327	Form 4
2026-01-29	Brenan Clarence Kane	director	Award / grant	2,876	2,876	Form 4
2026-01-29	JOERRES JEFFREY A	director	Award / grant	5,522	77,157	Form 4
2026-01-29	BARBETTA JENNIFER	director	Award / grant	4,601	27,727	Form 4
2025-06-04	DALEY CHARLES J JR	officer	Gift	5,000	106,811	Form 4
2025-03-03	Krein Christopher J	officer	Award / grant	22,508	104,393	Form 4
2025-03-03	DALEY CHARLES J JR	officer	Award / grant	18,456	111,811	Form 4
2025-03-03	Colson Eric R	director	Award / grant	42,764	324,197	Form 4
2025-03-03	Kwei Eileen Lee	officer	Award / grant	15,756	68,007	Form 4
2025-03-03	Simpson Laura Ellen	officer	Award / grant	10,129	33,143	Form 4
2025-03-03	GOTTLIEB JASON A	director	Award / grant	35,000	196,661	Form 4
2025-03-03	Ramirez Gregory K	officer	Award / grant	13,280	110,741	Form 4
2025-03-03	Sellers Samuel Bentson	officer	Award / grant	14,180	47,330	Form 4
2025-02-18	GOTTLIEB JASON A	director	Withheld for tax	16,436	161,661	Form 4
2025-02-18	Krein Christopher J	officer	Withheld for tax	10,349	81,885	Form 4
2025-02-18	Kwei Eileen Lee	officer	Withheld for tax	3,484	52,251	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i