Issued 2026-09-16 at $5.34 · now $5.34 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ANTX has typically landed between $3.24 and $8.18 — a range of −39.3% to +53.2% from the issuance price $5.34.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,097 overlapping 1 month windows · 2022-03-25 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($5.34) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where ANTX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $5.34 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $5.34 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $5.3 (-0.8%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $4.59–$6
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $3.24–$8.18
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,097 windows spanning 2022-03-25 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2024-02-05 | −86.0% | −86.8% | +0.0% |
| 2024-02-02 | −85.9% | −86.4% | +2.9% |
| 2024-02-01 | −85.9% | −86.1% | +5.3% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-02-04 | +415.1% | −2.8% | +415.1% |
| 2026-02-06 | +399.1% | −5.5% | +400.9% |
| 2026-02-05 | +380.2% | −2.8% | +415.1% |
1,097 overlapping windows · 2022-03-25 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
25%
+0.9%
n=4
Feb
0%
−23.6%
n=4
Mar
75%
+56.7%
n=4
Apr
40%
−3.7%
n=5
May
0%
−13.8%
n=5
Jun
60%
+4.6%
n=5
Jul
60%
+7.0%
n=5
Aug
80%
+27.5%
n=5
Sep
60%
+2.9%
n=5
Oct
25%
−7.4%
n=4
Nov
50%
+8.6%
n=4
Dec
50%
−0.1%
n=4
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Readnour Robin Shane | director | Sale | 585 @ $6.02 | $4K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 624,765 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-09 | Readnour Robin Shane | director | Sale | 523 @ $6.02 | $3K | −0.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 557,467 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-08 | Readnour Robin Shane | director | Sale | 5,294 @ $6.02 | $32K | −0.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 625,350 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-08 | Readnour Robin Shane | director | Sale | 4,725 @ $6.02 | $28K | −0.8% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 557,990 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-09-03 | Readnour Robin Shane | director | Sale | 3,223 @ $6.07 | $20K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 630,644 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-03 | Readnour Robin Shane | director | Sale | 2,877 @ $6.07 | $17K | −0.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 562,715 | Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | FitzPatrick Margaret M | director | Purchase | 2,098 @ $5.53 | $12K | +24.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 10,708 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Williams Sarah Joanne | officer | Sale | 272 @ $5.53 | $2K | −0.4% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 66,311 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Readnour Robin Shane | director | Sale | 18,706 @ $6.01 | $112K | −2.9% of holding | −4.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 633,867 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-08-17 | Readnour Robin Shane | director | Sale | 16,696 @ $6.01 | $100K | −2.9% of holding | −4.4% | not yet — horizon still open | 565,592 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-08 | Eizen Joshua M | officer | Sale | 5,945 @ $4.17 | $25K | −2.8% of holding | +34.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 206,554 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-29 | Williams Sarah Joanne | officer | Sale | 265 @ $4.43 | $1K | −0.4% of holding | +12.8% | not yet — horizon still open | 66,583 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-03 | Williams Sarah Joanne | officer | Sale | 327 @ $1.06 | $347 | −0.5% of holding | +220.8% | +447.1% | 66,848 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-06 | Eizen Joshua M | officer | Sale | 6,931 @ $1.01 | $7K | −4.3% of holding | +1.1% | +316.4% | 152,499 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-06 | Chanda Sanjay | officer | Sale | 5,956 @ $1.01 | $6K | −7.3% of holding | +1.1% | +316.4% | 75,823 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-06 | Day Lucy | officer | Sale | 5,512 @ $1.01 | $6K | −6.8% of holding | +1.1% | +316.4% | 75,363 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-06 | Prior Stephen David | officer | Sale | 2,858 @ $1.01 | $3K | −4.6% of holding | +1.1% | +316.4% | 59,086 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | Eizen Joshua M | officer | Sale | 17,923 @ $1.00 | $18K | −10.1% of holding | −0.7% | +310.2% | 159,430 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | Prior Stephen David | officer | Sale | 3,604 @ $1.00 | $4K | −5.5% of holding | −0.7% | +310.2% | 61,944 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | Day Lucy | officer | Sale | 3,295 @ $1.00 | $3K | −3.9% of holding | −0.7% | +310.2% | 80,875 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | Chanda Sanjay | officer | Sale | 3,295 @ $1.00 | $3K | −3.9% of holding | −0.7% | +310.2% | 81,779 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-04 | Eizen Joshua M | officer | Sale | 2,819 @ $1.14 | $3K | −1.6% of holding | −7.5% | +303.9% | 177,353 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-11-04 | Prior Stephen David | officer | Sale | 765 @ $1.14 | $872 | −1.2% of holding | −7.5% | +303.9% | 65,548 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-02 | Easom Eric | director | Purchase | 10,000 @ $1.07 | $11K | +4.1% of holding | −3.1% | −16.4% | 256,380 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-05-30 | Leonard Braden Michael | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 425,000 @ $1.01 | $429K | −11.6% of holding | −6.0% | −13.8% | 3,224,432 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-30 | Leonard Braden Michael | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 7,000 @ $1.03 | $7K | −0.2% of holding | −6.0% | −13.8% | 3,217,432 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-05-28 | Leonard Braden Michael | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 2,000,000 @ $1.16 | $2.3M | −34.8% of holding | −11.0% | −19.9% | 3,749,432 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-28 | Leonard Braden Michael | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 200,000 @ $1.09 | $218K | −6.2% of holding | −11.0% | −19.9% | 3,017,432 | Form 4 · filed 19 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-28 | Leonard Braden Michael | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 100,000 @ $1.16 | $116K | −2.7% of holding | −11.0% | −19.9% | 3,649,432 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-28 | FitzPatrick Margaret M | director | Purchase | 8,610 @ $1.18 | $10K | ownership Δ n/a | −11.0% | −19.9% | 8,610 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-01-03 | Eizen Joshua M | officer | Sale | 9,663 @ $1.34 | $13K | −7.6% of holding | −19.7% | −30.7% | 116,672 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-03 | Day Lucy | officer | Sale | 2,957 @ $1.34 | $4K | −8.3% of holding | −19.7% | −30.7% | 32,670 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-03 | Chanda Sanjay | officer | Sale | 2,957 @ $1.34 | $4K | −9.0% of holding | −19.7% | −30.7% | 29,824 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-03 | Prior Stephen David | officer | Sale | 2,029 @ $1.34 | $3K | −5.7% of holding | −19.7% | −30.7% | 33,313 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-10 | Readnour Robin Shane | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $1.49 | $7K | +0.8% of holding | −13.3% | −28.8% | 652,573 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-10 | Readnour Robin Shane | director | Purchase | 5,000 @ $1.49 | $7K | +0.9% of holding | −13.3% | −28.8% | 582,288 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-09 | Readnour Robin Shane | director | Purchase | 18,483 @ $1.43 | $26K | +2.9% of holding | −8.3% | −20.9% | 647,573 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-09 | Readnour Robin Shane | director | Purchase | 12,289 @ $1.43 | $18K | +2.2% of holding | −8.3% | −20.9% | 577,288 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2024-12-06 | Readnour Robin Shane | director | Purchase | 12,711 @ $1.45 | $18K | +2.3% of holding | −7.0% | −20.4% | 564,999 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-06 | Readnour Robin Shane | director | Purchase | 6,517 @ $1.45 | $9K | +1.0% of holding | −7.0% | −20.4% | 629,090 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
194 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-15 | Trenor Cameron C. III | officer | Award / grant | 233,333 | 233,333 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-15 | Trenor Cameron C. III | officer | Award / grant | 116,667 | 116,667 | Form 4 |
| 2026-08-14 | Zakrzewski Joseph S | director | Gift | 405,880 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-10 | Martin Patricia A. | director | Award / grant | 766 | 18,863 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-10 | Aziz Kabeer | director | Award / grant | 2,852 | 59,106 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-10 | Marks Gilbert Lynn | director | Award / grant | 2,789 | 81,873 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-10 | Aziz Kabeer | director | Award / grant | 3,775 | 56,254 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-10 | Marks Gilbert Lynn | director | Award / grant | 3,775 | 79,084 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-10 | Martin Patricia A. | director | Award / grant | 1,192 | 18,097 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Marks Gilbert Lynn | director | Award / grant | 23,742 | 23,742 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Marks Gilbert Lynn | director | Disposition | 23,742 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Spigelman Melvin K | director | Disposition | 10,362 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Spigelman Melvin K | director | Award / grant | 23,742 | 23,742 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Spigelman Melvin K | director | Disposition | 23,742 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Eizen Joshua M | officer | Award / grant | 92,000 | 92,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Easom Eric | director | Award / grant | 249,999 | 249,999 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Eizen Joshua M | officer | Disposition | 92,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Easom Eric | director | Disposition | 249,999 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Eizen Joshua M | officer | Award / grant | 50,150 | 50,150 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Easom Eric | director | Award / grant | 225,000 | 225,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Eizen Joshua M | officer | Disposition | 50,150 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Easom Eric | director | Disposition | 225,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Easom Eric | director | Award / grant | 267,650 | 267,650 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Easom Eric | director | Disposition | 267,650 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Zakrzewski Joseph S | director | Award / grant | 99,999 | 99,999 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Zakrzewski Joseph S | director | Disposition | 99,999 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Zakrzewski Joseph S | director | Award / grant | 10,362 | 10,362 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Zakrzewski Joseph S | director | Disposition | 10,362 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Zakrzewski Joseph S | director | Award / grant | 23,742 | 23,742 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Zakrzewski Joseph S | director | Disposition | 23,742 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Wong Stephanie | director | Award / grant | 24,999 | 24,999 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Wong Stephanie | director | Disposition | 24,999 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Wong Stephanie | director | Award / grant | 10,362 | 10,362 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Wong Stephanie | director | Disposition | 10,362 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Chanda Sanjay | officer | Award / grant | 66,000 | 66,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Wong Stephanie | director | Award / grant | 23,742 | 23,742 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Chanda Sanjay | officer | Disposition | 66,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Chanda Sanjay | officer | Award / grant | 57,950 | 57,950 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Chanda Sanjay | officer | Disposition | 57,950 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-19 | Chanda Sanjay | officer | Award / grant | 41,665 | 41,665 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.