Issued 2026-09-16 at $30.00 · now $30.00 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ANRO has typically landed between $20.38 and $44.32 — a range of −32.1% to +47.7% from the issuance price $30.00.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
634 overlapping 1 month windows · 2024-02-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($30.00) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where ANRO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $30 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $30 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $31.62 (+5.4%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $26.25–$36.98
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $20.38–$44.32
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2024-10-22 | −71.9% | −74.5% | +0.0% |
| 2024-10-21 | −70.0% | −74.0% | +2.0% |
| 2024-10-18 | −69.0% | −74.3% | +0.7% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2025-09-30 | +256.2% | +0.0% | +256.2% |
| 2025-09-29 | +250.1% | +0.0% | +250.1% |
| 2025-10-01 | +248.6% | +0.0% | +251.8% |
634 overlapping windows · 2024-02-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~3 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
98 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 | Miller Andrew Craig | director | Award / grant | 26,000 | 26,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-14 | Etkin Amit | director | Gift | 400,000 | 833,949 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Manji Husseini | director | Award / grant | 10,958 | 10,958 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Dreyfus Andrew | director | Award / grant | 10,958 | 10,958 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Cox Christopher Nixon | director | Award / grant | 10,958 | 10,958 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | Sanchez Ramiro | director | Award / grant | 10,958 | 10,958 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-12 | York Gwill | director | Award / grant | 10,958 | 10,958 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Etkin Amit | director | Withheld for tax | 6,227 | 1,233,949 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-01 | Smith Nicholas Conrad | officer | Withheld for tax | 2,806 | 24,060 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Savitz Adam | officer | Award / grant | 124,000 | 124,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Smith Nicholas Conrad | officer | Award / grant | 200,000 | 200,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Hanley Jr. Michael Conick | officer | Award / grant | 131,000 | 131,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-11 | Etkin Amit | director | Award / grant | 306,000 | 306,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Cox Christopher Nixon | director | Award / grant | 7,189 | 7,189 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | York Gwill | director | Award / grant | 5,243 | 5,243 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Manji Husseini | director | Award / grant | 4,228 | 4,228 | Form 4 |
| 2026-01-02 | Sanchez Ramiro | director | Award / grant | 3,806 | 3,806 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-12 | Sanchez Ramiro | director | Award / grant | 3,928 | 3,928 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-12 | Sanchez Ramiro | director | Award / grant | 30,574 | 30,574 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-03 | Hanley Jr. Michael Conick | officer | Award / grant | 8,000 | 8,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-03 | Hanley Jr. Michael Conick | officer | Disposition | 8,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-03 | Hanley Jr. Michael Conick | officer | Award / grant | 188,000 | 188,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-03 | Hanley Jr. Michael Conick | officer | Disposition | 188,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-03 | Hanley Jr. Michael Conick | officer | Award / grant | 125,000 | 125,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-03 | Hanley Jr. Michael Conick | officer | Disposition | 125,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-03 | Savitz Adam | officer | Award / grant | 22,481 | 22,481 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-03 | Savitz Adam | officer | Disposition | 22,481 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-03 | Savitz Adam | officer | Award / grant | 33,008 | 33,008 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-03 | Savitz Adam | officer | Disposition | 33,008 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-03 | Savitz Adam | officer | Award / grant | 123,645 | 123,645 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-03 | Savitz Adam | officer | Disposition | 123,645 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-03 | Savitz Adam | officer | Award / grant | 73,000 | 73,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-03 | Savitz Adam | officer | Disposition | 73,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-03 | Savitz Adam | officer | Award / grant | 76,000 | 76,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-03 | Savitz Adam | officer | Disposition | 76,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-03 | Hanley Jr. Michael Conick | officer | Disposition | 8,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-03 | Hanley Jr. Michael Conick | officer | Award / grant | 188,000 | 188,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-03 | Hanley Jr. Michael Conick | officer | Disposition | 188,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-03 | Hanley Jr. Michael Conick | officer | Award / grant | 125,000 | 125,000 | Form 4 |
| 2025-07-03 | Hanley Jr. Michael Conick | officer | Disposition | 125,000 | 0 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.