ANNAAleAnna, Inc.Energy · Oil & Gas Exploration & Productionas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.15 · now $3.15 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ANNA has typically landed between $2.33 and $3.98 — a range of −26.0% to +26.3% from the issuance price $3.15.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,124 overlapping 1 month windows · 2022-02-22 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.15) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ANNA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.15 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$2.33worst · -26.0%$3.98best · +26.3%
  • now $3.15 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.16 (+0.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.11–$3.21
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.33–$3.98
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,124 windows spanning 2022-02-22 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-03-30−60.6%−64.5%+0.0%
2026-04-07−60.6%−60.6%+0.0%
2026-04-06−56.5%−56.5%+1.0%
3 best
2026-02-25+229.8%+0.0%+229.8%
2026-02-26+205.7%−14.9%+205.7%
2026-02-20+194.3%−1.1%+194.3%

1,124 overlapping windows · 2022-02-22 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
75%
+16.5%
n=4
Feb
50%
−9.7%
n=4
Mar
60%
+41.8%
n=5
Apr
60%
−3.2%
n=5
May
40%
−5.9%
n=5
Jun
40%
−5.4%
n=5
Jul
60%
−6.3%
n=5
Aug
80%
−2.4%
n=5
Sep
80%
+2.4%
n=5
Oct
25%
−5.8%
n=4
Nov
75%
+0.2%
n=4
Dec
50%
−11.4%
n=4

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$10$22026-03-06: 2 insider sales, $343K — WILDER C JOHN …2026-03-05: 1 insider sale, $231K — WILDER C JOHN2026-03-04: 1 insider sale, $116K — WILDER C JOHN2026-03-03: 2 insider sales, $348K — WILDER C JOHN …2026-03-02: 1 insider sale, $76K — WILDER C JOHN2026-02-27: 1 insider sale, $111K — WILDER C JOHN2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $111K2026-03: 7 open-market sales, $1.1M↑ buys↓ salesdirector WILDER C JOHN — Sale on 2026-03-06, filed same daydirector WILDER C JOHN — Sale on 2026-03-06, filed same daydirector WILDER C JOHN — Sale on 2026-03-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector WILDER C JOHN — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILDER C JOHN — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector WILDER C JOHN — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector WILDER C JOHN — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WILDER C JOHN — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 5 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-03-06WILDER C JOHNdirectorSale77,588 @ $4.13$320K−0.3% of holding+54.4%−37.3%30,157,612Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-06WILDER C JOHNdirectorSale4,672 @ $4.86$23K−0.0% of holding+54.4%−37.3%30,152,940Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-05WILDER C JOHNdirectorSale62,156 @ $3.71$231K−0.2% of holding+108.4%−35.5%30,235,200Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-04WILDER C JOHNdirectorSale34,595 @ $3.34$116K−0.1% of holding+146.1%−16.9%30,297,356Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-03WILDER C JOHNdirectorSale64,698 @ $3.69$239K−68.1% of holding+125.6%−26.3%30,359Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-03WILDER C JOHNdirectorSale26,675 @ $4.09$109K−0.1% of holding+125.6%−26.3%30,331,951Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02WILDER C JOHNdirectorSale22,224 @ $3.41$76K−0.1% of holding+103.7%−25.3%30,423,324Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-27WILDER C JOHNdirectorSale33,176 @ $3.36$111K−0.1% of holding+195.8%−9.6%30,445,548Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

26 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-05Ronald Ivan EdwardofficerWithheld for tax16,377170,086Form 4
2026-08-05Ronald Ivan EdwardofficerAward / grant35,557186,463Form 4
2026-04-13Ronald Ivan EdwardofficerAward / grant110,954150,906Form 4
2026-04-13Brun MarcoofficerOption exercise98,6460Form 4
2026-04-13vant Hoff GrahamdirectorAward / grant46,809148,504Form 4
2026-04-13HEBERT CURTIS L JRdirectorAward / grant38,549132,980Form 4
2026-04-13Palmer DuncandirectorAward / grant38,549132,980Form 4
2026-04-13Brun MarcoofficerOption exercise98,646218,578Form 4
2026-04-13Brun MarcoofficerOption exercise98,646218,578Form 4
2026-03-15Dirks William K.directorAward / grant21,61721,617Form 4
2026-03-15Brun MarcoofficerAward / grant119,932119,932Form 4
2025-10-29Palmer DuncandirectorAward / grant33,89894,431Form 4
2025-10-29vant Hoff GrahamdirectorAward / grant60,53360,533Form 4
2025-10-29vant Hoff GrahamdirectorAward / grant41,162101,695Form 4
2025-10-29Ronald Ivan EdwardofficerAward / grant39,95239,952Form 4
2025-10-29Palmer DuncandirectorAward / grant60,53360,533Form 4
2025-10-29HEBERT CURTIS L JRdirectorAward / grant60,53360,533Form 4
2025-10-29HEBERT CURTIS L JRdirectorAward / grant33,89894,431Form 4
2024-12-13WILDER C JOHNdirectorAward / grant37,134,19437,134,194Form 4
2024-12-13WILDER C JOHNdirectorGift6,655,47030,478,724Form 4
2024-12-13WILDER C JOHNdirectorAward / grant25,994,40025,994,400Form 4
2024-12-13Loch AstonofficerOther acquisition5,600,0000Form 4
2024-12-13JONES GEORGE LdirectorOther acquisition5,600,0000Form 4
2024-12-13Swiftmerge Holdings, LPtenPercentOwnerOther acquisition5,600,0000Form 4
2024-12-13Swiftmerge Holdings, LPtenPercentOwnerOther acquisition2,706,012793,988Form 4
2024-12-13Bremner JohndirectorOther acquisition5,600,0000Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.