Issued 2026-09-16 at $55.01 · now $55.01 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ANDG has typically landed between $45.83 and $71.97 — a range of −16.7% to +30.8% from the issuance price $55.01.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
166 overlapping 1 month windows · 2025-12-17 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($55.01) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where ANDG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $55.01 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $55.01 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $62.01 (+12.7%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $56.98–$67.04
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $45.83–$71.97
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-01-12 | −23.4% | −23.4% | +0.0% |
| 2026-01-13 | −16.2% | −20.3% | +2.6% |
| 2026-01-09 | −16.1% | −17.0% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-03-16 | +41.6% | +0.0% | +41.6% |
| 2026-03-27 | +40.1% | +0.0% | +41.5% |
| 2026-03-25 | +37.9% | −2.5% | +37.9% |
166 overlapping windows · 2025-12-17 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Durable Capital Partners LP | tenPercentOwner | Sale | 336,736 @ $40.01 | $13.5M | −20.2% of holding | +19.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 1,333,749 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Gunderson Robert V JR | director | Purchase | 2,367 @ $35.82 | $85K | +18.7% of holding | −4.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 15,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-18 | Gunderson Robert V JR | director | Purchase | 12,633 @ $16.00 | $202K | ownership Δ n/a | −11.5% | +38.2% | 12,633 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-18 | JOYCE JOHN R | director | Purchase | 10,422 @ $16.00 | $167K | ownership Δ n/a | −11.5% | +38.2% | 10,422 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-18 | Nicolai John | director | Purchase | 9,475 @ $16.00 | $152K | ownership Δ n/a | −11.5% | +38.2% | 9,475 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-18 | OLSON RONALD L | director | Purchase | 7,896 @ $16.00 | $126K | ownership Δ n/a | −11.5% | +38.2% | 7,896 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | Durable Capital Partners LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 250,000 @ $20.59 | $5.1M | +19.0% of holding | −6.9% | +41.1% | 1,562,500 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-17 | Durable Capital Partners LP | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 107,985 @ $21.36 | $2.3M | +6.9% of holding | −6.9% | +41.1% | 1,670,485 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
4 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | Vorsatz Mark Lawrence | director | Gift | 200,000 | 2,000,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Vorsatz Mark Lawrence | director | Gift | 200,000 | 5,000,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Vorsatz Mark Lawrence | director | Gift | 200,000 | 5,000,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-02-02 | Vorsatz Mark Lawrence | director | Gift | 200,000 | 2,000,000 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.