ANDE · TickerCove

ANDEThe Andersons, Inc.Consumer Defensive · Food Distributionas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $71.43 · now $71.43 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ANDE has typically landed between $61.12 and $84.74 — a range of −14.4% to +18.6% from the issuance price $71.43.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($71.43) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$71.43 · 78% of range

$37.83 low$80.87 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+2.2%

typical move · IQR 13.3%

−14.4%worst (p90)+18.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where ANDE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $71.43 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $71.43 (+0.0%)
typical $73.04 (+2.2%)
middle 50% $68.28–$77.8
90% range $61.12–$84.74

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-10-22	−56.7%	−56.7%	+0.0%
2008-10-28	−56.5%	−56.5%	+0.0%
2008-10-30	−55.4%	−55.4%	+6.4%
3 best
2009-05-06	+71.6%	+0.0%	+71.6%
2009-04-20	+68.0%	+0.0%	+69.8%
2009-05-01	+62.0%	+0.0%	+62.0%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

45%

−0.7%

n=20

Feb

75%

+4.6%

n=20

Mar

70%

+3.4%

n=20

Apr

70%

+2.3%

n=20

May

20%

−5.7%

n=20

Jun

45%

+1.7%

n=20

Jul

65%

+2.2%

n=20

Aug

60%

+4.5%

n=20

Sep

45%

−1.7%

n=20

Oct

70%

+1.8%

n=20

Nov

50%

−1.3%

n=20

Dec

60%

+3.9%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-22	Bowe Patrick E.	director	Sale	3,534 @ $80.53	$285K	−4.5% of holding	−18.8%	not yet — horizon still open	74,875	Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-06-04	Rex Anne G	officer	Sale	1,827 @ $73.10	$134K	−7.7% of holding	−5.6%	not yet — horizon still open	22,002	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-05	Bowe Patrick E.	director	Sale	16,466 @ $80.76	$1.3M	−17.4% of holding	−12.6%	not yet — horizon still open	78,409	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-30	Bowe Patrick E.	director	Sale	19,100 @ $78.31	$1.5M	−16.8% of holding	−13.0%	not yet — horizon still open	94,875	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-29	Bowe Patrick E.	director	Sale	900 @ $78.06	$70K	−0.8% of holding	−15.3%	not yet — horizon still open	113,975	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-23	Bowe Patrick E.	director	Sale	2,407 @ $76.67	$185K	−2.1% of holding	−12.9%	not yet — horizon still open	114,875	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-22	Bowe Patrick E.	director	Sale	12,093 @ $76.11	$920K	−9.3% of holding	−11.9%	not yet — horizon still open	117,282	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-21	Bowe Patrick E.	director	Sale	500 @ $76.01	$38K	−0.4% of holding	−12.0%	not yet — horizon still open	129,375	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-04-06	Bowe Patrick E.	director	Sale	15,000 @ $74.33	$1.1M	−10.4% of holding	−3.4%	not yet — horizon still open	129,875	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-25	Bowe Patrick E.	director	Sale	14,200 @ $72.78	$1.0M	−8.9% of holding	−4.7%	not yet — horizon still open	144,875	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-24	Bowe Patrick E.	director	Sale	800 @ $72.09	$58K	−0.5% of holding	−0.9%	not yet — horizon still open	159,075	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-17	Stout John T Jr	director	Sale	2,500 @ $70.30	$176K	−9.6% of holding	−3.1%	−10.3%	23,441	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-16	Bowe Patrick E.	director	Sale	15,000 @ $70.41	$1.1M	−8.6% of holding	−3.9%	−11.6%	159,875	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-12	Walz Brian K.	officer	Sale	8,975 @ $70.74	$635K	−43.0% of holding	+0.9%	−15.2%	11,913	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-04	Rex Anne G	officer	Sale	2,624 @ $65.16	$171K	−9.9% of holding	+17.5%	−2.3%	23,829	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-04	Rex Anne G	officer	Sale	0 @ $64.98	$8	−0.0% of holding	+17.5%	−2.3%	23,829	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-12	Walz Brian K.	officer	Sale	200 @ $70.00	$14K	−0.9% of holding	+4.0%	−18.0%	20,888	Form 4 · filed 22 days after the trade
2025-12-15	Stout John T Jr	director	Sale	5,000 @ $55.00	$275K	−16.2% of holding	+2.2%	+13.4%	25,941	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-12	Stout John T Jr	director	Sale	2,500 @ $53.00	$133K	−7.5% of holding	+5.9%	+18.4%	30,941	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-10	Stout John T Jr	director	Sale	4,000 @ $51.62	$206K	−9.3% of holding	+5.6%	+31.1%	38,941	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-10	Stout John T Jr	director	Sale	3,000 @ $51.82	$155K	−7.7% of holding	+5.6%	+31.1%	35,941	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-10	Stout John T Jr	director	Sale	2,900 @ $51.71	$150K	−6.3% of holding	+5.6%	+31.1%	42,941	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-10	Stout John T Jr	director	Sale	2,500 @ $52.00	$130K	−7.0% of holding	+5.6%	+31.1%	33,441	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-10	Stout John T Jr	director	Sale	100 @ $51.71	$5K	−0.2% of holding	+5.6%	+31.1%	45,841	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

276 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-02	Zibbel Sarah	officer	Withheld for tax	602	3,526	Form 4
2026-09-02	Zibbel Sarah	officer	Option exercise	1,944	5,470	Form 4
2026-09-02	Zibbel Sarah	officer	Option exercise	1,944	0	Form 4
2026-09-02	Zibbel Sarah	officer	Option exercise	1,944	0	Form 4
2026-09-02	Zibbel Sarah	officer	Option exercise	1,944	0	Form 4
2026-09-02	Zibbel Sarah	officer	Option exercise	1,944	0	Form 4
2026-09-01	Zibbel Sarah	officer	Award / grant	70	4,128	Form 4
2026-08-24	Heppner David R	director	Award / grant	37	514	Form 4
2026-08-03	Heppner David R	director	Award / grant	283	477	Form 4
2026-07-22	Douglas Gary A.	director	Award / grant	6	2,368	Form 4
2026-07-22	Hershberger Pamela S	director	Award / grant	6	2,368	Form 4
2026-07-22	Hershberger Pamela S	director	Award / grant	9	3,424	Form 4
2026-07-22	Hershberger Pamela S	director	Award / grant	8	3,232	Form 4
2026-07-22	Hershberger Pamela S	director	Award / grant	6	2,368	Form 4
2026-07-22	Hershberger Pamela S	director	Award / grant	8	3,232	Form 4
2026-07-22	Douglas Gary A.	director	Award / grant	8	3,232	Form 4
2026-07-22	Douglas Gary A.	director	Award / grant	8	3,232	Form 4
2026-07-22	Douglas Gary A.	director	Award / grant	6	2,368	Form 4
2026-07-22	Hershberger Pamela S	director	Award / grant	9	3,424	Form 4
2026-07-21	Douglas Gary A.	director	Other acquisition	32	12,474	Form 4
2026-06-24	Heppner David R	director	Award / grant	194	194	Form 4
2026-06-23	Heppner David R	director	Award / grant	1,651	1,651	Form 4
2026-06-23	Heppner David R	director	Award / grant	1,651	1,651	Form 4
2026-05-07	KILBANE CATHERINE M	director	Award / grant	39	53,444	Form 4
2026-05-07	ANDERSON GERARD M	director	Award / grant	39	43,972	Form 4
2026-05-07	ANDERSON GERARD M	director	Option exercise	3,376	43,932	Form 4
2026-05-07	OAKLAND STEVEN	director	Option exercise	2,626	2,626	Form 4
2026-05-07	OAKLAND STEVEN	director	Award / grant	23	2,649	Form 4
2026-05-07	KING ROBERT J JR	director	Option exercise	3,376	11,895	Form 4
2026-05-07	KING ROBERT J JR	director	Award / grant	39	11,934	Form 4
2026-05-07	Douglas Gary A.	director	Option exercise	3,376	12,403	Form 4
2026-05-07	Douglas Gary A.	director	Award / grant	39	12,442	Form 4
2026-05-07	KILBANE CATHERINE M	director	Option exercise	3,376	53,405	Form 4
2026-05-07	Campbell Steven K.	director	Option exercise	3,376	10,287	Form 4
2026-05-07	Stout John T Jr	director	Option exercise	3,376	26,817	Form 4
2026-05-07	Stout John T Jr	director	Award / grant	39	26,856	Form 4
2026-05-07	Campbell Steven K.	director	Award / grant	39	10,327	Form 4
2026-05-07	MANIRE ROSS W	director	Option exercise	3,376	36,943	Form 4
2026-05-07	MANIRE ROSS W	director	Award / grant	39	36,982	Form 4
2026-05-07	Campbell Steven K.	director	Option exercise	3,376	0	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i