Issued 2026-09-16 at $54.31 · now $54.31 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ANAB has typically landed between $42.89 and $71.32 — a range of −21.0% to +31.3% from the issuance price $54.31.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
2,400 overlapping 1 month windows · 2017-01-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($54.31) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where ANAB has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $54.31 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $54.31 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $55.37 (+2.0%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $49.4–$61.34
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $42.89–$71.32
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,400 windows spanning 2017-01-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2019-10-17 | −70.3% | −72.2% | +4.5% |
| 2019-10-10 | −70.2% | −70.2% | +11.8% |
| 2019-10-18 | −70.2% | −72.0% | +5.2% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2017-09-12 | +120.7% | −2.0% | +120.7% |
| 2017-09-11 | +115.9% | −2.9% | +115.9% |
| 2017-09-13 | +113.4% | −3.5% | +117.2% |
2,400 overlapping windows · 2017-01-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~10 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Jan
56%
+3.8%
n=9
Feb
80%
+8.9%
n=10
Mar
40%
−5.5%
n=10
Apr
50%
+10.0%
n=10
May
40%
−4.1%
n=10
Jun
60%
+2.7%
n=10
Jul
50%
+0.5%
n=10
Aug
60%
+2.1%
n=10
Sep
50%
+5.0%
n=10
Oct
67%
+20.1%
n=9
Nov
33%
−4.4%
n=9
Dec
67%
+5.5%
n=9
Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-30 | Schmid John P. | director | Sale | 12,596 @ $55.71 | $702K | −24.1% of holding | +56.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 39,671 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-30 | Schmid John P. | director | Sale | 7,527 @ $56.70 | $427K | −19.0% of holding | +56.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 32,144 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-30 | Schmid John P. | director | Sale | 522 @ $57.40 | $30K | −1.6% of holding | +56.3% | not yet — horizon still open | 31,622 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-03-27 | Faga Daniel | director | Sale | 3,662 @ $58.62 | $215K | −0.7% of holding | +60.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 506,902 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-27 | Faga Daniel | director | Sale | 3,155 @ $64.19 | $203K | −0.6% of holding | +60.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 499,103 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-27 | Faga Daniel | director | Sale | 3,038 @ $65.20 | $198K | −0.6% of holding | +60.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 496,065 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-27 | Faga Daniel | director | Sale | 2,592 @ $63.35 | $164K | −0.5% of holding | +60.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 502,258 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-27 | Faga Daniel | director | Sale | 2,570 @ $57.91 | $149K | −0.5% of holding | +60.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 510,564 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-27 | Faga Daniel | director | Sale | 1,012 @ $62.15 | $63K | −0.2% of holding | +60.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 504,850 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-27 | Faga Daniel | director | Sale | 550 @ $60.63 | $33K | −0.1% of holding | +60.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 505,862 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-27 | Faga Daniel | director | Sale | 490 @ $59.62 | $29K | −0.1% of holding | +60.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 506,412 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-27 | Faga Daniel | director | Sale | 510 @ $56.61 | $29K | −0.1% of holding | +60.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 513,134 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-03-27 | Faga Daniel | director | Sale | 100 @ $65.99 | $7K | −0.0% of holding | +60.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 495,965 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-02-11 | LOUMEAU ERIC J | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $54.00 | $540K | −43.8% of holding | +21.6% | +39.1% | 12,835 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | Marquet Magda | director | Sale | 9,290 @ $48.12 | $447K | −44.4% of holding | +17.3% | +55.1% | 11,640 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-15 | Marquet Magda | director | Sale | 1,710 @ $48.85 | $84K | −14.7% of holding | +17.3% | +55.1% | 9,930 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-08 | Faga Daniel | director | Sale | 14,281 @ $44.71 | $639K | −2.9% of holding | +13.4% | +129.8% | 479,344 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-08 | Lizzul Paul F. | officer | Sale | 3,650 @ $44.71 | $163K | −8.0% of holding | +13.4% | +129.8% | 42,088 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-08 | MULROY DENNIS | officer | Sale | 2,515 @ $44.71 | $112K | −10.3% of holding | +13.4% | +129.8% | 21,852 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-08 | LOUMEAU ERIC J | officer | Sale | 2,210 @ $44.71 | $99K | −14.7% of holding | +13.4% | +129.8% | 12,835 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-07 | Faga Daniel | director | Sale | 9,202 @ $45.11 | $415K | −1.9% of holding | +9.8% | +110.2% | 466,787 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-07 | LOUMEAU ERIC J | officer | Sale | 5,281 @ $45.38 | $240K | −31.5% of holding | +9.8% | +110.2% | 11,498 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-07 | Lizzul Paul F. | officer | Sale | 2,235 @ $45.11 | $101K | −5.7% of holding | +9.8% | +110.2% | 37,213 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-07 | LOUMEAU ERIC J | officer | Sale | 2,017 @ $45.11 | $91K | −10.7% of holding | +9.8% | +110.2% | 16,779 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-07 | MULROY DENNIS | officer | Sale | 1,908 @ $45.11 | $86K | −9.7% of holding | +9.8% | +110.2% | 17,667 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-07 | LOUMEAU ERIC J | officer | Sale | 1,841 @ $46.13 | $85K | −16.0% of holding | +9.8% | +110.2% | 9,657 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-07 | LOUMEAU ERIC J | officer | Sale | 500 @ $47.23 | $24K | −5.2% of holding | +9.8% | +110.2% | 9,157 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | Faga Daniel | director | Sale | 15,309 @ $43.26 | $662K | −3.2% of holding | +12.2% | +117.9% | 458,139 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | Lizzul Paul F. | officer | Sale | 4,219 @ $43.26 | $183K | −11.2% of holding | +12.2% | +117.9% | 33,303 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | MULROY DENNIS | officer | Sale | 3,363 @ $43.26 | $145K | −19.0% of holding | +12.2% | +117.9% | 14,330 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-05 | LOUMEAU ERIC J | officer | Sale | 2,983 @ $43.26 | $129K | −18.4% of holding | +12.2% | +117.9% | 13,251 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-23 | Ware J. Anthony | director | Sale | 3,900 @ $49.58 | $193K | −28.8% of holding | −6.5% | +82.8% | 9,630 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-22 | LOUMEAU ERIC J | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $51.00 | $510K | −52.8% of holding | −6.2% | +70.1% | 8,947 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-22 | MULROY DENNIS | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $50.00 | $500K | −51.5% of holding | −6.2% | +70.1% | 9,401 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-22 | Lizzul Paul F. | officer | Sale | 1,500 @ $50.00 | $75K | −5.3% of holding | −6.2% | +70.1% | 26,967 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-18 | LOUMEAU ERIC J | officer | Sale | 141 @ $46.99 | $7K | −1.6% of holding | −3.4% | +78.2% | 8,947 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-12-17 | LOUMEAU ERIC J | officer | Sale | 10,000 @ $46.00 | $460K | −52.4% of holding | −0.1% | +85.2% | 9,088 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | MULROY DENNIS | officer | Sale | 9,365 @ $44.62 | $418K | −37.3% of holding | −0.8% | +80.7% | 15,761 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | LOUMEAU ERIC J | officer | Sale | 8,305 @ $44.68 | $371K | −38.5% of holding | −0.8% | +80.7% | 13,283 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | MULROY DENNIS | officer | Sale | 6,360 @ $45.21 | $288K | −40.4% of holding | −0.8% | +80.7% | 9,401 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-16 | LOUMEAU ERIC J | officer | Sale | 4,195 @ $45.24 | $190K | −31.6% of holding | −0.8% | +80.7% | 9,088 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-30 | LOUMEAU ERIC J | officer | Sale | 8,240 @ $29.00 | $239K | −47.6% of holding | +14.8% | +86.3% | 9,088 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-08-08 | RENTON HOLLINGS | director | Sale | 7,121 @ $19.70 | $140K | −58.9% of holding | +3.1% | +128.0% | 4,965 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-08 | RENTON HOLLINGS | director | Sale | 3,110 @ $19.44 | $60K | −20.5% of holding | +3.1% | +128.0% | 12,086 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-02 | RENTON HOLLINGS | director | Sale | 13,675 @ $23.82 | $326K | −73.4% of holding | +3.2% | +92.5% | 4,965 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-07-02 | RENTON HOLLINGS | director | Sale | 7,250 @ $23.09 | $167K | −28.0% of holding | +3.2% | +92.5% | 18,640 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-06-18 | RENTON HOLLINGS | director | Sale | 3,015 @ $23.97 | $72K | −37.8% of holding | +6.4% | +82.4% | 4,965 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-18 | FENTON DENNIS M | director | Sale | 3,015 @ $23.97 | $72K | −37.8% of holding | +6.4% | +82.4% | 4,965 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-02 | EcoR1 Capital, LLC | director | Purchase | 6,646 @ $12.95 | $86K | +0.1% of holding | +20.6% | +74.7% | 7,880,094 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2024-12-31 | EcoR1 Capital, LLC | director | Purchase | 13,268 @ $12.93 | $172K | +0.2% of holding | +23.8% | +70.5% | 7,873,448 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2024-12-30 | EcoR1 Capital, LLC | director | Purchase | 65,184 @ $12.92 | $842K | +0.8% of holding | +33.3% | +72.7% | 7,860,180 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
220 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-15 | Schmid John P. | director | Option exercise | 6,030 | 37,652 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Schmid John P. | director | Option exercise | 6,030 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | RENTON HOLLINGS | director | Option exercise | 6,030 | 10,995 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | RENTON HOLLINGS | director | Option exercise | 6,030 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Orwin John A | director | Option exercise | 6,030 | 16,695 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-15 | Orwin John A | director | Option exercise | 6,030 | 0 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Hughes Owen | director | Award / grant | 11,250 | 11,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-05-11 | Murphy Christopher M. | officer | Award / grant | 25,765 | 25,765 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-27 | GRAY SUSANNAH | director | Award / grant | 11,250 | 11,250 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Schmid John P. | director | Disposition | 10,600 | 10,600 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Schmid John P. | director | Disposition | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Schmid John P. | director | Award / grant | 15,000 | 15,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Schmid John P. | director | Disposition | 6,000 | 6,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Schmid John P. | director | Award / grant | 6,000 | 6,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Schmid John P. | director | Disposition | 11,000 | 11,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Schmid John P. | director | Award / grant | 11,000 | 11,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Schmid John P. | director | Disposition | 9,200 | 9,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Schmid John P. | director | Award / grant | 9,200 | 9,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | RENTON HOLLINGS | director | Award / grant | 10,600 | 10,600 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | RENTON HOLLINGS | director | Disposition | 16,510 | 16,510 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | RENTON HOLLINGS | director | Award / grant | 16,510 | 16,510 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | RENTON HOLLINGS | director | Disposition | 5,500 | 5,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | RENTON HOLLINGS | director | Award / grant | 5,500 | 5,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Faga Daniel | director | Disposition | 11,000 | 16,510 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Faga Daniel | director | Award / grant | 11,000 | 11,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Faga Daniel | director | Disposition | 2,321 | 2,321 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Faga Daniel | director | Award / grant | 2,321 | 2,321 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Faga Daniel | director | Disposition | 9,200 | 9,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Faga Daniel | director | Award / grant | 9,200 | 9,200 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Faga Daniel | director | Award / grant | 194,900 | 194,900 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Faga Daniel | director | Disposition | 379,620 | 379,620 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Faga Daniel | director | Award / grant | 379,620 | 379,620 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Faga Daniel | director | Disposition | 305,500 | 305,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Faga Daniel | director | Award / grant | 305,500 | 305,500 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Faga Daniel | director | Disposition | 133,400 | 133,400 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Faga Daniel | director | Award / grant | 133,400 | 133,400 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Faga Daniel | director | Disposition | 194,900 | 194,900 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Schmid John P. | director | Award / grant | 10,600 | 10,600 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Schmid John P. | director | Disposition | 16,510 | 16,510 | Form 4 |
| 2026-04-20 | Schmid John P. | director | Award / grant | 16,510 | 16,510 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.