Issued 2026-09-16 at $13.33 · now $13.33 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, AMWL has typically landed between $9.26 and $17.73 — a range of −30.5% to +33.0% from the issuance price $13.33.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
1,485 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-09-17 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($13.33) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where AMWL has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $13.33 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $13.33 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $12.73 (-4.5%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $10.95–$14.51
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $9.26–$17.73
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2023-07-26 | −47.7% | −47.7% | +3.4% |
| 2023-07-27 | −43.2% | −47.0% | +4.7% |
| 2021-01-27 | −42.8% | −42.8% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2024-07-02 | +90.3% | +0.0% | +90.3% |
| 2024-07-03 | +84.2% | +0.0% | +87.2% |
| 2022-05-23 | +63.3% | −2.8% | +63.3% |
1,485 overlapping windows · 2020-09-17 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.
iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | HIRSCHHORN MARK | officer | Sale | 10,751 @ $11.80 | $127K | −4.5% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 228,188 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | Gotlib Phyllis | officer | Sale | 3,573 @ $11.80 | $42K | −2.3% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 149,181 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-09-01 | McNeice Paul Francis | officer | Sale | 112 @ $11.80 | $1K | −1.1% of holding | not yet — horizon still open | not yet — horizon still open | 9,739 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-07-01 | Zamansky Dmitry | officer | Sale | 8,460 @ $9.33 | $79K | −3.5% of holding | +14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 232,620 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-01 | Gotlib Phyllis | officer | Sale | 6,677 @ $9.33 | $62K | −4.2% of holding | +14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 152,754 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-01 | HIRSCHHORN MARK | officer | Sale | 4,299 @ $9.33 | $40K | −1.8% of holding | +14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 238,939 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-07-01 | McNeice Paul Francis | officer | Sale | 653 @ $9.33 | $6K | −6.2% of holding | +14.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 9,851 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2026-06-11 | Schlegel Stephen J. | director | Sale | 9,750 @ $8.76 | $85K | −15.2% of holding | +16.6% | not yet — horizon still open | 54,553 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | HIRSCHHORN MARK | officer | Sale | 10,761 @ $9.74 | $105K | −4.2% of holding | +5.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 243,238 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | Gotlib Phyllis | officer | Sale | 3,573 @ $9.74 | $35K | −2.2% of holding | +5.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 159,431 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-06-01 | McNeice Paul Francis | officer | Sale | 112 @ $9.74 | $1K | −1.1% of holding | +5.0% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,504 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-07 | Schoenberg Ido | director | Purchase | 670 @ $7.37 | $5K | +0.6% of holding | +11.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 114,920 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Zamansky Dmitry | officer | Sale | 5,575 @ $5.30 | $30K | −2.3% of holding | +5.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 241,080 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | Gotlib Phyllis | officer | Sale | 3,706 @ $5.30 | $20K | −2.2% of holding | +5.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 163,004 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-04-01 | McNeice Paul Francis | officer | Sale | 383 @ $5.30 | $2K | −3.5% of holding | +5.7% | not yet — horizon still open | 10,616 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | HIRSCHHORN MARK | officer | Sale | 10,796 @ $5.24 | $57K | −5.0% of holding | +4.2% | +113.5% | 203,586 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Gotlib Phyllis | officer | Sale | 3,573 @ $5.24 | $19K | −3.0% of holding | +4.2% | +113.5% | 116,297 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | Zamansky Dmitry | officer | Sale | 2,472 @ $5.45 | $13K | −1.2% of holding | +4.2% | +113.5% | 196,242 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-03-02 | McNeice Paul Francis | officer | Sale | 130 @ $5.24 | $681 | −4.2% of holding | +4.2% | +113.5% | 2,933 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Zamansky Dmitry | officer | Sale | 6,243 @ $4.85 | $30K | −3.2% of holding | −11.4% | +75.3% | 191,468 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | Gotlib Phyllis | officer | Sale | 3,707 @ $4.85 | $18K | −3.0% of holding | −11.4% | +75.3% | 119,870 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2026-01-02 | McNeice Paul Francis | officer | Sale | 384 @ $4.85 | $2K | −11.1% of holding | −11.4% | +75.3% | 3,063 | Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-18 | Jackson Deborah C | director | Sale | 600 @ $4.71 | $3K | −98.0% of holding | −5.6% | +66.8% | 12 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-18 | Jackson Deborah C | director | Sale | 12 @ $4.75 | $57 | −100.0% of holding | −5.6% | +66.8% | 0 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | Gotlib Phyllis | officer | Sale | 3,574 @ $4.06 | $15K | −2.8% of holding | +21.9% | +99.5% | 123,577 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-12-01 | McNeice Paul Francis | officer | Sale | 113 @ $4.06 | $458 | −3.2% of holding | +21.9% | +99.5% | 3,447 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-01 | Gotlib Phyllis | officer | Sale | 4,959 @ $6.11 | $30K | −3.8% of holding | −18.4% | −9.7% | 127,151 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-10-01 | McNeice Paul Francis | officer | Sale | 332 @ $6.11 | $2K | −8.5% of holding | −18.4% | −9.7% | 3,560 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-15 | Jackson Deborah C | director | Sale | 4,531 @ $6.56 | $30K | −10.4% of holding | −10.1% | −16.7% | 39,132 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-03 | Zamansky Dmitry | officer | Sale | 25,605 @ $6.77 | $173K | −11.5% of holding | −16.3% | −25.8% | 197,711 | Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade |
| 2025-09-02 | Gotlib Phyllis | officer | Sale | 4,781 @ $6.78 | $32K | −3.5% of holding | −13.1% | −26.7% | 132,110 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-02 | Jackson Deborah C | director | Sale | 4,531 @ $6.79 | $31K | −9.4% of holding | −13.1% | −26.7% | 43,663 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-09-02 | McNeice Paul Francis | officer | Sale | 113 @ $6.78 | $766 | −2.8% of holding | −13.1% | −26.7% | 3,892 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-08-19 | Jackson Deborah C | director | Sale | 4,531 @ $7.10 | $32K | −8.6% of holding | −11.3% | −26.8% | 48,194 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-07-01 | Gotlib Phyllis | officer | Sale | 4,958 @ $8.63 | $43K | −3.5% of holding | −14.8% | −54.7% | 136,891 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-07-01 | McNeice Paul Francis | officer | Sale | 331 @ $8.63 | $3K | −2.3% of holding | −14.8% | −54.7% | 14,005 | Form 4 · filed same day |
| 2025-06-02 | Gotlib Phyllis | officer | Sale | 4,782 @ $6.61 | $32K | −3.3% of holding | +25.6% | −54.5% | 141,849 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-06-02 | McNeice Paul Francis | officer | Sale | 113 @ $6.61 | $747 | −0.8% of holding | +25.6% | −54.5% | 14,366 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-01 | Gotlib Phyllis | officer | Sale | 299 @ $7.21 | $2K | −0.2% of holding | +0.2% | −39.2% | 146,631 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-05-01 | McNeice Paul Francis | officer | Sale | 8 @ $7.21 | $58 | −0.1% of holding | +0.2% | −39.2% | 14,479 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-01 | Gotlib Phyllis | officer | Sale | 1,068 @ $7.28 | $8K | −0.7% of holding | −13.2% | −33.7% | 146,930 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-04-01 | McNeice Paul Francis | officer | Sale | 96 @ $7.28 | $699 | −0.7% of holding | −13.2% | −33.7% | 14,487 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | Gotlib Phyllis | officer | Sale | 4,781 @ $8.80 | $42K | −3.1% of holding | −14.4% | −33.2% | 147,998 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-03-03 | McNeice Paul Francis | officer | Sale | 130 @ $8.80 | $1K | −0.9% of holding | −14.4% | −33.2% | 14,583 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-03 | Gotlib Phyllis | officer | Sale | 299 @ $10.51 | $3K | −0.3% of holding | −16.4% | −27.1% | 108,611 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-02-03 | McNeice Paul Francis | officer | Sale | 9 @ $10.51 | $95 | −0.1% of holding | −16.4% | −27.1% | 9,192 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-02 | Gotlib Phyllis | officer | Sale | 1,068 @ $7.17 | $8K | −1.0% of holding | +52.9% | +13.9% | 108,840 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-02 | Paunovich Vukasin | officer | Sale | 444 @ $7.17 | $3K | −0.4% of holding | +52.9% | +13.9% | 116,121 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
| 2025-01-02 | McNeice Paul Francis | officer | Sale | 98 @ $7.17 | $703 | −1.1% of holding | +52.9% | +13.9% | 9,201 | Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
21 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Goldwasser Rivka | director | Award / grant | 14,501 | 105,861 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Ross Derek | director | Award / grant | 14,501 | 71,183 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Webb Robert Thomas | director | Award / grant | 14,501 | 72,559 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Cosgrove Delos M. | director | Award / grant | 14,501 | 71,193 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Schlegel Stephen J. | director | Award / grant | 14,501 | 69,054 | Form 4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Jackson Deborah C | director | Award / grant | 14,501 | 53,633 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Gotlib Phyllis | officer | Award / grant | 50,413 | 166,710 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | HIRSCHHORN MARK | officer | Award / grant | 50,413 | 253,999 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | Zamansky Dmitry | officer | Award / grant | 50,413 | 246,655 | Form 4 |
| 2026-03-04 | McNeice Paul Francis | officer | Award / grant | 8,066 | 10,999 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-13 | Schoenberg Roy | director | Award / grant | 25,000 | 133,302 | Form 4 |
| 2025-08-13 | Schoenberg Ido | director | Award / grant | 50,000 | 114,250 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-11 | Slavin Peter L. | director | Award / grant | 20,891 | 56,561 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-11 | Ross Derek | director | Award / grant | 20,891 | 56,682 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-11 | Cosgrove Delos M. | director | Award / grant | 20,891 | 56,692 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-11 | Schlegel Stephen J. | director | Award / grant | 27,855 | 64,303 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-11 | Goldwasser Rivka | director | Award / grant | 24,373 | 91,360 | Form 4 |
| 2025-06-11 | Jackson Deborah C | director | Award / grant | 20,891 | 52,725 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Gotlib Phyllis | officer | Award / grant | 44,168 | 152,779 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | McNeice Paul Francis | officer | Award / grant | 5,521 | 14,713 | Form 4 |
| 2025-03-03 | Zamansky Dmitry | officer | Award / grant | 220,844 | 223,316 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.