AMCX · TickerCove

AMCXAMC Global Media Inc.Communication Services · Entertainmentas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $12.14 · now $12.14 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, AMCX has typically landed between $9.15 and $15.21 — a range of −24.6% to +25.3% from the issuance price $12.14.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

3,814 overlapping 1 month windows · 2011-06-16 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($12.14) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$12.14 · 89% of range

$6.52 low$12.85 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−1.1%

typical move · IQR 21.2%

−24.6%worst (p90)+25.3%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where AMCX has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $12.14 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $12.14 (+0.0%)
typical $12.01 (-1.1%)
middle 50% $10.73–$13.3
90% range $9.15–$15.21

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,814 windows spanning 2011-06-16 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2024-06-03	−47.4%	−49.9%	+0.0%
2024-05-28	−46.2%	−46.2%	+7.4%
2024-06-04	−46.0%	−49.0%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-12-23	+77.3%	−2.4%	+77.3%
2020-12-22	+72.7%	+0.0%	+72.7%
2021-02-04	+66.0%	+0.0%	+66.0%

3,814 overlapping windows · 2011-06-16 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~16 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

53%

+6.2%

n=15

Feb

67%

+1.5%

n=15

Mar

13%

−6.7%

n=15

Apr

40%

−2.1%

n=15

May

60%

+4.6%

n=15

Jun

53%

−3.6%

n=15

Jul

50%

+1.6%

n=16

Aug

31%

−2.6%

n=16

Sep

50%

−1.3%

n=16

Oct

47%

−3.8%

n=15

Nov

73%

+9.4%

n=15

Dec

53%

−0.0%

n=15

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-14	Sherin Michael J. III	officer	Sale	10,648 @ $12.35	$132K	−100.0% of holding	not yet — horizon still open	not yet — horizon still open	0	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-10	Sherin Michael J. III	officer	Sale	2,700 @ $7.95	$21K	−16.3% of holding	−6.2%	+32.0%	13,911	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10	Sherin Michael J. III	officer	Sale	2,400 @ $7.97	$19K	−18.4% of holding	−6.2%	+32.0%	10,648	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10	Sherin Michael J. III	officer	Sale	863 @ $7.97	$7K	−6.2% of holding	−6.2%	+32.0%	13,048	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-11	Charles F. Dolan 2009 Revocable Trust	other	Sale	20,833 @ $6.89	$144K	−100.0% of holding	−11.4%	−10.0%	0	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-10	Charles F. Dolan 2009 Revocable Trust	other	Sale	154,345 @ $6.95	$1.1M	−88.1% of holding	−9.0%	−5.2%	20,833	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

292 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-15	Cohen Joseph	director	Option exercise	40,206	40,206	Form 4
2026-09-15	Cohen Joseph	director	Disposition	40,206	0	Form 4
2026-09-15	Mills Stephen	director	Option exercise	29,236	29,736	Form 4
2026-09-15	Mills Stephen	director	Disposition	29,236	500	Form 4
2026-09-15	Cohen Joseph	director	Option exercise	40,206	3,647	Form 4
2026-09-15	Mills Stephen	director	Option exercise	29,236	0	Form 4
2026-09-15	Cohen Joseph	director	Option exercise	40,206	3,647	Form 4
2026-09-15	Mills Stephen	director	Option exercise	29,236	0	Form 4
2026-06-16	Lokhandwala Hozefa	officer	Award / grant	19,511	19,511	Form 4
2026-06-16	Lokhandwala Hozefa	officer	Award / grant	19,511	19,511	Form 4
2026-06-16	Blank Matthew	director	Award / grant	10,926	10,926	Form 4
2026-06-16	DOLAN JAMES LAWRENCE	director	Award / grant	10,926	10,926	Form 4
2026-06-16	Cox Christopher James	director	Award / grant	10,926	10,926	Form 4
2026-06-16	Perelman Debra Golding	director	Award / grant	10,926	10,926	Form 4
2026-06-16	TESE VINCENT	director	Award / grant	10,926	10,926	Form 4
2026-06-16	VOGEL CARL E	director	Award / grant	10,926	10,926	Form 4
2026-06-16	Perelman Debra Golding	director	Award / grant	10,926	10,926	Form 4
2026-06-16	TESE VINCENT	director	Award / grant	10,926	10,926	Form 4
2026-06-16	VOGEL CARL E	director	Award / grant	10,926	10,926	Form 4
2026-06-16	Cox Christopher James	director	Award / grant	10,926	10,926	Form 4
2026-06-16	Lokhandwala Hozefa	officer	Award / grant	19,511	19,511	Form 4
2026-06-16	Lokhandwala Hozefa	officer	Award / grant	19,511	19,511	Form 4
2026-06-16	Blank Matthew	director	Award / grant	10,926	10,926	Form 4
2026-06-16	Sweeney Brian	director	Award / grant	10,926	10,926	Form 4
2026-06-16	Dolan Aidan J	director	Award / grant	10,926	10,926	Form 4
2026-06-16	Sweeney Brian	director	Award / grant	10,926	10,926	Form 4
2026-06-16	DOLAN THOMAS CHARLES	director	Award / grant	10,926	10,926	Form 4
2026-06-16	Dolan Aidan J	director	Award / grant	10,926	10,926	Form 4
2026-06-16	Sweeney Brian	director	Award / grant	10,926	10,926	Form 4
2026-06-16	DOLAN THOMAS CHARLES	director	Award / grant	10,926	10,926	Form 4
2026-06-16	DOLAN JAMES LAWRENCE	director	Award / grant	10,926	10,926	Form 4
2026-06-16	DOLAN JAMES LAWRENCE	director	Award / grant	10,926	10,926	Form 4
2026-03-11	Dolan Kristin A	director	Award / grant	503,778	503,778	Form 4
2026-03-11	Kelleher Kimberly	officer	Award / grant	88,161	88,161	Form 4
2026-03-11	McDermott Dan	officer	Award / grant	100,756	100,756	Form 4
2026-03-11	Romanello Salvatore	officer	Award / grant	50,378	50,378	Form 4
2026-03-11	McDermott Dan	officer	Award / grant	100,756	100,756	Form 4
2026-03-11	Romanello Salvatore	officer	Award / grant	50,378	50,378	Form 4
2026-03-11	Sherin Michael J. III	officer	Award / grant	21,411	21,411	Form 4
2026-03-11	Dolan Kristin A	director	Award / grant	503,778	503,778	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i