AMATApplied Materials, Inc.Technology · Semiconductorsas of 2026-09-25
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-25 at $485.00 · now $485.00 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, AMAT has typically landed between $406.56 and $593.25 — a range of −16.2% to +22.3% from the issuance price $485.00.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,692 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.7% (90% CI 51.5–55.9%, ≈1,391 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($485.00) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where AMAT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $485 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$406.56worst · -16.2%$593.25best · +22.3%
  • now $485 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $495.51 (+2.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $455.05–$535.98
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $406.56–$593.25
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,692 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-25. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-20−42.8%−42.8%+0.0%
2020-02-19−40.4%−41.9%+0.0%
2020-02-18−39.9%−39.9%+3.5%
3 best
2026-05-29+60.6%+0.0%+60.6%
2026-05-28+54.5%+0.0%+54.5%
2026-05-19+51.8%+0.0%+51.8%

4,692 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$425.8B
market cap
$10.64
EPS (TTM)
50.4
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-13
next earnings
Revenue$28.4B
'20'25
Net income$7.0B
'20'25
Free cash flow$5.7B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr24.7%
'20'25
ROE · by yr34.3%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.35
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 80 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $485.00$-462.41$1,001
  • DCF (intrinsic)$-361.49
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 34.2× · n=80$363.94
  • Analyst target · range $425.00–$900.00$582.50
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-25$485.00

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
61%
+4.3%
n=18
Feb
79%
+6.0%
n=19
Mar
58%
+1.2%
n=19
Apr
47%
−0.1%
n=19
May
74%
+4.0%
n=19
Jun
47%
+4.0%
n=19
Jul
47%
+0.7%
n=19
Aug
32%
−3.0%
n=19
Sep
47%
+0.1%
n=19
Oct
56%
+1.4%
n=18
Nov
72%
+5.7%
n=18
Dec
67%
+2.1%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$723$1562026-09-08: 1 insider sale, $465K — BRUNER JUDY2026-08-25: 1 insider sale, $3.6M — Hill Brice2026-06-30: 2 insider sales, $14.7M — DICKERSON GARY E …2026-06-29: 2 insider sales, $40.8M — DICKERSON GARY E …2026-06-18: 1 insider sale, $6.3M — Raja Prabu G.2026-06-16: 18 insider sales, $62.5M — DICKERSON GARY E, Iannotti Thomas J, Nalamasu Omkaram …2026-06-15: 4 insider sales, $18.1M — DICKERSON GARY E, Deane Timothy M, Nalamasu Omkaram …2026-06-04: 4 insider sales, $25.3M — Raja Prabu G. …2026-06-03: 1 insider sale, $1.2M — Hill Brice2026-05-26: 1 insider sale, $508K — BRUNER JUDY2026-05-22: 1 insider sale, $116K — Sanders Adam2026-02-25: 1 insider sale, $979K — BRUNER JUDY2026-02-24: 1 insider sale, $202K — Sanders Adam2026-02-23: 2 insider sales, $1.5M — BRUNER JUDY …2026-02-17: 1 insider sale, $1.8M — Hill Brice2025-12-01: 1 insider sale, $156K — Sanders Adam2025-11-25: 1 insider sale, $953K — Little Teri A.2025-11-19: 1 insider sale, $936K — Little Teri A.2025-11: 2 open-market sales, $1.9M2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $156K2026-02: 5 open-market sales, $4.5M2026-05: 2 open-market sales, $624K2026-06: 32 open-market sales, $169.0M2026-08: 1 open-market sale, $3.6M2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $465K↑ buys↓ salesdirector BRUNER JUDY — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Hill Brice — Sale on 2026-08-25, filed 2 days after the tradedirector DICKERSON GARY E — Sale on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector DICKERSON GARY E — Sale on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradedirector DICKERSON GARY E — Sale on 2026-06-29, filed 2 days after the tradedirector DICKERSON GARY E — Sale on 2026-06-29, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Raja Prabu G. — Sale on 2026-06-18, filed 4 days after the tradedirector DICKERSON GARY E — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector DICKERSON GARY E — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector DICKERSON GARY E — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Iannotti Thomas J — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector DICKERSON GARY E — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector DICKERSON GARY E — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Nalamasu Omkaram — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Nalamasu Omkaram — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector DICKERSON GARY E — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector DICKERSON GARY E — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector DICKERSON GARY E — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Nalamasu Omkaram — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Nalamasu Omkaram — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Nalamasu Omkaram — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector DICKERSON GARY E — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Nalamasu Omkaram — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Nalamasu Omkaram — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector DICKERSON GARY E — Sale on 2026-06-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector DICKERSON GARY E — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Deane Timothy M — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Nalamasu Omkaram — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Nalamasu Omkaram — Sale on 2026-06-15, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Raja Prabu G. — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Raja Prabu G. — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Raja Prabu G. — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Raja Prabu G. — Sale on 2026-06-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Hill Brice — Sale on 2026-06-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector BRUNER JUDY — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Sanders Adam — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 4 days after the tradedirector BRUNER JUDY — Sale on 2026-02-25, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Sanders Adam — Sale on 2026-02-24, filed same daydirector BRUNER JUDY — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 1 day after the tradedirector BRUNER JUDY — Sale on 2026-02-23, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Hill Brice — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Sanders Adam — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Little Teri A. — Sale on 2025-11-25, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Little Teri A. — Sale on 2025-11-19, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-08BRUNER JUDYdirectorSale1,000 @ $465.00$465K−3.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open25,544Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-25Hill BricedirectorSale7,500 @ $479.25$3.6M−5.5% of holding−1.4%not yet — horizon still open128,613Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-30DICKERSON GARY EdirectorSale19,970 @ $735.22$14.7M−1.2% of holding−29.9%not yet — horizon still open1,599,873Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-30DICKERSON GARY EdirectorSale30 @ $736.05$22K−0.0% of holding−29.9%not yet — horizon still open1,599,843Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-29DICKERSON GARY EdirectorSale50,332 @ $700.21$35.2M−3.0% of holding−35.6%not yet — horizon still open1,627,832Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-29DICKERSON GARY EdirectorSale7,989 @ $701.33$5.6M−0.5% of holding−35.6%not yet — horizon still open1,619,843Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-18Raja Prabu G.officerSale10,000 @ $633.53$6.3M−2.8% of holding−8.7%not yet — horizon still open346,642Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-06-16DICKERSON GARY EdirectorSale15,755 @ $590.52$9.3M−0.9% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open1,751,136Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-16DICKERSON GARY EdirectorSale13,505 @ $596.82$8.1M−0.8% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open1,702,884Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-16DICKERSON GARY EdirectorSale10,411 @ $592.18$6.2M−0.6% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open1,731,539Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-16Iannotti Thomas JdirectorSale9,250 @ $599.77$5.5M−18.6% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open40,559Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-16DICKERSON GARY EdirectorSale9,186 @ $591.40$5.4M−0.5% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open1,741,950Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-16DICKERSON GARY EdirectorSale5,933 @ $595.59$3.5M−0.3% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open1,716,389Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-16Nalamasu OmkaramofficerSale4,782 @ $591.53$2.8M−2.9% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open162,882Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-16Nalamasu OmkaramofficerSale4,726 @ $593.58$2.8M−2.9% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open155,744Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-16DICKERSON GARY EdirectorSale4,682 @ $593.51$2.8M−0.3% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open1,726,857Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-16DICKERSON GARY EdirectorSale4,535 @ $594.74$2.7M−0.3% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open1,722,322Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-16DICKERSON GARY EdirectorSale4,457 @ $597.45$2.7M−0.3% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open1,698,427Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-16Nalamasu OmkaramofficerSale4,028 @ $595.50$2.4M−2.6% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open150,591Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-16Nalamasu OmkaramofficerSale3,675 @ $596.52$2.2M−2.4% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open146,916Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-16Nalamasu OmkaramofficerSale3,515 @ $590.48$2.1M−2.1% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open167,664Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-16DICKERSON GARY EdirectorSale2,426 @ $598.56$1.5M−0.1% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open1,696,001Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-16Nalamasu OmkaramofficerSale2,412 @ $592.40$1.4M−1.5% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open160,470Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-16Nalamasu OmkaramofficerSale1,125 @ $594.85$669K−0.7% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open154,619Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-16DICKERSON GARY EdirectorSale837 @ $599.35$502K−0.0% of holding−6.1%not yet — horizon still open1,695,164Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-15DICKERSON GARY EdirectorSale11,273 @ $590.03$6.7M−0.6% of holding−4.0%not yet — horizon still open1,766,891Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-15Deane Timothy MofficerSale8,621 @ $590.76$5.1M−6.0% of holding−4.0%not yet — horizon still open134,631Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-15Nalamasu OmkaramofficerSale6,938 @ $590.20$4.1M−3.8% of holding−4.0%not yet — horizon still open174,978Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-15Nalamasu OmkaramofficerSale3,799 @ $595.14$2.3M−2.2% of holding−4.0%not yet — horizon still open171,179Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-04Raja Prabu G.officerSale25,309 @ $504.66$12.8M−6.2% of holding+11.5%not yet — horizon still open381,333Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-04Raja Prabu G.officerSale15,083 @ $505.51$7.6M−4.0% of holding+11.5%not yet — horizon still open366,250Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-04Raja Prabu G.officerSale7,805 @ $506.46$4.0M−2.1% of holding+11.5%not yet — horizon still open358,445Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-04Raja Prabu G.officerSale1,803 @ $507.06$914K−0.5% of holding+11.5%not yet — horizon still open356,642Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-03Hill BricedirectorSale2,500 @ $498.86$1.2M−1.8% of holding+18.5%not yet — horizon still open136,113Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-26BRUNER JUDYdirectorSale1,128 @ $450.00$508K−4.1% of holding+48.8%not yet — horizon still open26,544Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-22Sanders AdamofficerSale268 @ $434.22$116K−5.9% of holding+37.7%not yet — horizon still open4,280Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-25BRUNER JUDYdirectorSale2,500 @ $391.71$979K−8.7% of holding−7.6%+10.5%26,089Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-24Sanders AdamofficerSale534 @ $379.16$202K−10.4% of holding+1.9%+15.2%4,625Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-23BRUNER JUDYdirectorSale2,458 @ $376.49$925K−7.5% of holding+4.1%+17.3%30,100Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-23BRUNER JUDYdirectorSale1,511 @ $377.89$571K−5.0% of holding+4.1%+17.3%28,589Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-17Hill BricedirectorSale5,000 @ $361.21$1.8M−3.5% of holding+0.6%+30.4%138,565Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-01Sanders AdamofficerSale609 @ $255.53$156K−12.1% of holding+0.3%+85.6%4,413Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-25Little Teri A.officerSale4,000 @ $238.24$953K−4.5% of holding+5.4%+73.4%84,351Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-19Little Teri A.officerSale4,000 @ $234.08$936K−4.3% of holding+6.2%+71.4%88,351Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-24Sanders AdamofficerSale562 @ $178.60$100K−9.6% of holding−0.1%+30.9%5,300Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-03DICKERSON GARY EdirectorPurchase48,581 @ $137.29$6.7M+2.9% of holding+9.1%+36.0%1,714,639Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-04-03DICKERSON GARY EdirectorPurchase1,419 @ $137.70$195K+0.1% of holding+9.1%+36.0%1,716,058Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-04-01Sanders AdamofficerSale450 @ $144.83$65K−6.9% of holding+2.7%+30.5%6,077Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-24Sanders AdamofficerSale271 @ $172.72$47K−4.0% of holding−5.5%−11.6%6,479Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-06-21Iannotti Thomas JdirectorSale9,827 @ $236.65$2.3M−16.7% of holding−8.4%−39.1%49,185Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-06-18DICKERSON GARY EdirectorSale376,015 @ $246.41$92.7M−19.4% of holding−15.6%−41.8%1,566,254Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-06-18Raja Prabu G.officerSale50,000 @ $249.17$12.5M−9.8% of holding−15.6%−41.8%458,417Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-06-18DICKERSON GARY EdirectorSale23,985 @ $247.04$5.9M−1.5% of holding−15.6%−41.8%1,542,269Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-06-07Little Teri A.officerSale2,500 @ $221.62$554K−3.2% of holding+9.5%−36.2%76,212Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2024-05-31Little Teri A.officerSale7,500 @ $213.02$1.6M−8.7% of holding+7.5%−33.4%78,712Form 4 · filed same day
2024-05-28Hill BricedirectorSale20,000 @ $222.34$4.4M−15.6% of holding+1.6%−34.3%108,356Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

114 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-27Palkhiwala Akash J.directorAward / grant279279Form 4
2026-07-01Sanders AdamofficerWithheld for tax1254,155Form 4
2026-06-16DICKERSON GARY EdirectorGift17,0001,678,164Form 4
2026-06-16Iannotti Thomas JdirectorGift75039,809Form 4
2026-06-15Deane Timothy MofficerGift1,545133,086Form 4
2026-05-21DE GEUS AARTdirectorGift17,85593,928Form 4
2026-04-01Sanders AdamofficerWithheld for tax1254,548Form 4
2026-03-12ANDERSON JAMES ROBERTdirectorAward / grant7411,547Form 4
2026-03-12DE GEUS AARTdirectorAward / grant741111,783Form 4
2026-03-12MCGREGOR SCOTT AdirectorAward / grant74124,577Form 4
2026-03-12MARCH KEVIN PdirectorAward / grant7412,324Form 4
2026-03-12Iannotti Thomas JdirectorAward / grant74151,309Form 4
2026-03-12Karsner AlexanderdirectorAward / grant74116,849Form 4
2026-03-12BRUNER JUDYdirectorAward / grant741741Form 4
2026-03-12Borkar RanidirectorAward / grant741741Form 4
2026-03-12CHEN XUNdirectorAward / grant74145,970Form 4
2026-01-01Deane Timothy MofficerWithheld for tax1,891143,204Form 4
2026-01-01Sanders AdamofficerWithheld for tax3245,159Form 4
2025-12-31CHEN XUNdirectorAward / grant18745,229Form 4
2025-12-19DICKERSON GARY EdirectorWithheld for tax130,8431,778,116Form 4
2025-12-19Raja Prabu G.officerWithheld for tax33,406169,328Form 4
2025-12-19Hill BricedirectorWithheld for tax28,062143,565Form 4
2025-12-19Nalamasu OmkaramofficerWithheld for tax20,307181,868Form 4
2025-12-19Deane Timothy MofficerWithheld for tax16,465145,095Form 4
2025-12-19Little Teri A.officerWithheld for tax15,47291,949Form 4
2025-12-12Raja Prabu G.officerGift50202,734Form 4
2025-12-11DICKERSON GARY EdirectorAward / grant27,3041,908,959Form 4
2025-12-11Sanders AdamofficerAward / grant1,0705,483Form 4
2025-12-11Nalamasu OmkaramofficerAward / grant9,534202,175Form 4
2025-12-11Nalamasu OmkaramofficerAward / grant9,734183,107Form 4
2025-12-11Nalamasu OmkaramofficerAward / grant9,534192,641Form 4
2025-12-11Little Teri A.officerAward / grant7,33491,685Form 4
2025-12-11Little Teri A.officerAward / grant7,86899,553Form 4
2025-12-11Little Teri A.officerAward / grant7,868107,421Form 4
2025-12-11Hill BricedirectorAward / grant13,884157,743Form 4
2025-12-11Hill BricedirectorAward / grant13,884171,627Form 4
2025-12-11Hill BricedirectorAward / grant13,334143,859Form 4
2025-12-11Deane Timothy MofficerAward / grant7,467141,196Form 4
2025-12-11Deane Timothy MofficerAward / grant10,182151,378Form 4
2025-12-11Deane Timothy MofficerAward / grant10,182161,560Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-25 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$15–50K
Dan NewhouseHousesale2026-07-172026-07-10$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-16$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-04-072026-03-10$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-24$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-19$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-05$15–50K
John BoozmanSenatesale2026-03-062026-02-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-29$1–15K
Markwayne MullinSenatepurchase2026-01-162025-12-29$15–50K
Dan NewhouseHousepurchase2025-09-172025-08-18$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-09-092025-08-19$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-09-092025-08-19$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-09-092025-08-26$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.