Issued 2026-09-16 at $10.65 · now $10.65 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, AMAN has typically landed between $10.57 and $11.25 — a range of −0.8% to +5.6% from the issuance price $10.65.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
62 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-05-19 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($10.65) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where AMAN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $10.65 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $10.65 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $10.78 (+1.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $10.62–$10.94
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $10.57–$11.25
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-05-26 | −0.7% | −0.7% | +0.2% |
| 2026-05-22 | −0.7% | −0.8% | +0.1% |
| 2026-05-27 | −0.7% | −0.9% | +0.0% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-07-23 | +6.3% | +0.0% | +6.3% |
| 2026-07-24 | +6.0% | +0.0% | +6.0% |
| 2026-07-21 | +5.9% | −0.4% | +5.9% |
62 overlapping windows · 2026-05-19 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-20 | Kulkarni Sandeep Chidambar | director | Purchase | 300,000 | — | ownership Δ n/a | −0.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 300,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Amanat Sponsor Holdings LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 300,000 | — | ownership Δ n/a | −0.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 300,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Amanat Sponsor Holdings LLC | tenPercentOwner | Purchase | 300,000 | — | ownership Δ n/a | −0.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 300,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
| 2026-05-20 | Kulkarni Sandeep Chidambar | director | Purchase | 300,000 | — | ownership Δ n/a | −0.9% | not yet — horizon still open | 300,000 | Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade |
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
2 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-02 | Amanat Sponsor Holdings LLC | tenPercentOwner | Other acquisition | 281,250 | 1,875,000 | Form 4 |
| 2026-07-02 | Kulkarni Sandeep Chidambar | director | Other acquisition | 281,250 | 1,875,000 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.