ALTI · TickerCove

ALTIAlTi Global, Inc.Financial Services · Asset Management - Globalas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.16 · now $3.16 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ALTI has typically landed between $2.39 and $4.06 — a range of −24.3% to +28.3% from the issuance price $3.16.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,332 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-04-27 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.16) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$3.16 · 15% of range

$2.81 low$5.19 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.1%

typical move · IQR 14.5%

−24.3%worst (p90)+28.3%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where ALTI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.16 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $3.16 (+0.0%)
typical $3.16 (-0.1%)
middle 50% $2.93–$3.39
90% range $2.39–$4.06

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,332 windows spanning 2021-04-27 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2023-04-06	−61.8%	−61.8%	+0.0%
2023-04-10	−59.0%	−61.6%	+0.0%
2023-04-12	−58.5%	−60.6%	+0.0%
3 best
2023-02-03	+83.9%	+0.0%	+83.9%
2023-05-26	+82.9%	+0.0%	+82.9%
2023-05-25	+80.6%	+0.0%	+90.6%

1,332 overlapping windows · 2021-04-27 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

40%

−13.4%

n=5

Feb

20%

−1.0%

n=5

Mar

20%

+0.2%

n=5

Apr

20%

−11.8%

n=5

May

33%

−5.7%

n=6

Jun

67%

+19.5%

n=6

Jul

50%

−0.8%

n=6

Aug

50%

−1.8%

n=6

Sep

33%

−7.7%

n=6

Oct

80%

+2.4%

n=5

Nov

80%

+7.9%

n=5

Dec

60%

+6.4%

n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-06-03	Tiedemann Michael	director	Sale	42,199 @ $3.47	$146K	−7.2% of holding	+12.7%	−1.3%	541,143	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-03	Moran Kevin P.	officer	Sale	28,509 @ $3.47	$99K	−32.1% of holding	+12.7%	−1.3%	60,311	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-03	Graham Colleen A	officer	Sale	22,934 @ $3.47	$80K	−35.3% of holding	+12.7%	−1.3%	41,960	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-03	Connell Brooke	officer	Sale	21,462 @ $3.47	$74K	−9.0% of holding	+12.7%	−1.3%	216,389	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-03	Keenan Patrick T.	officer	Sale	4,562 @ $3.47	$16K	−40.8% of holding	+12.7%	−1.3%	6,613	Form 4 · filed 49 days after the trade
2025-05-13	ALLIANZ SE	tenPercentOwner	Purchase	18,471 @ $1000.00	$18.5M	+13.2% of holding	+7.5%	−1.6%	158,471	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

151 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-07-02	ALLIANZ SE	tenPercentOwner	Other acquisition	4,118	173,052	Form 4
2026-07-02	ALLIANZ SE	tenPercentOwner	Other acquisition	1,272,329	22,979,542	Form 4
2026-07-02	ALLIANZ SE	tenPercentOwner	Other acquisition	1,272,329	22,979,542	Form 4
2026-07-02	ALLIANZ SE	tenPercentOwner	Other acquisition	4,118	173,052	Form 4
2026-06-17	Bouzarif Ali	director	Award / grant	34,736	34,736	Form 4
2026-06-17	Brophy Warson Tracey	director	Award / grant	34,736	34,736	Form 4
2026-06-17	Cetin Nazim	director	Award / grant	34,736	34,736	Form 4
2026-06-17	Corio Norma	director	Award / grant	34,736	34,736	Form 4
2026-06-17	Keaney Timothy F	director	Award / grant	53,684	53,684	Form 4
2026-06-17	FURLONG MARK F	director	Award / grant	34,736	34,736	Form 4
2026-06-17	Wimmer Andreas	director	Award / grant	34,736	34,736	Form 4
2026-06-16	FURLONG MARK F	director	Option exercise	30,732	0	Form 4
2026-06-16	Brophy Warson Tracey	director	Option exercise	30,732	0	Form 4
2026-06-16	Wimmer Andreas	director	Option exercise	30,732	0	Form 4
2026-06-16	Cetin Nazim	director	Option exercise	30,732	0	Form 4
2026-06-16	Corio Norma	director	Option exercise	30,732	0	Form 4
2026-06-16	Bouzarif Ali	director	Option exercise	30,732	0	Form 4
2026-06-16	Keaney Timothy F	director	Option exercise	47,495	0	Form 4
2026-06-16	Bouzarif Ali	director	Option exercise	30,732	84,520	Form 4
2026-06-16	Cetin Nazim	director	Option exercise	30,732	53,507	Form 4
2026-06-16	Keaney Timothy F	director	Option exercise	47,495	207,680	Form 4
2026-06-16	Brophy Warson Tracey	director	Option exercise	30,732	84,520	Form 4
2026-06-16	Wimmer Andreas	director	Option exercise	30,732	53,507	Form 4
2026-06-16	Bouzarif Ali	director	Option exercise	30,732	84,520	Form 4
2026-06-16	Brophy Warson Tracey	director	Option exercise	30,732	84,520	Form 4
2026-06-16	Cetin Nazim	director	Option exercise	30,732	53,507	Form 4
2026-06-16	Corio Norma	director	Option exercise	30,732	71,409	Form 4
2026-06-16	FURLONG MARK F	director	Option exercise	30,732	96,409	Form 4
2026-06-16	Keaney Timothy F	director	Option exercise	47,495	207,680	Form 4
2026-06-16	Wimmer Andreas	director	Option exercise	30,732	53,507	Form 4
2026-06-16	Corio Norma	director	Option exercise	30,732	71,409	Form 4
2026-06-16	FURLONG MARK F	director	Option exercise	30,732	96,409	Form 4
2026-03-31	Graham Colleen A	officer	Award / grant	97,550	97,550	Form 4
2026-03-31	Moran Kevin P.	officer	Award / grant	119,822	119,822	Form 4
2026-03-31	Harrington Michael W	officer	Award / grant	68,597	68,597	Form 4
2026-03-31	Keenan Patrick T.	officer	Award / grant	14,922	14,922	Form 4
2026-03-31	Connell Brooke	officer	Award / grant	77,506	77,506	Form 4
2026-02-15	Graham Colleen A	officer	Option exercise	28,892	147,093	Form 4
2026-02-15	Graham Colleen A	officer	Option exercise	28,892	57,784	Form 4
2026-02-15	Weeber Robert	officer	Option exercise	35,796	1,163,239	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i