ALTGAlta Equipment Group Inc.Industrials · Rental & Leasing Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $5.82 · now $5.82 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ALTG has typically landed between $4.52 and $7.47 — a range of −22.4% to +28.4% from the issuance price $5.82.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,838 overlapping 1 month windows · 2019-04-25 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($5.82) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ALTG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $5.82 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$4.52worst · -22.4%$7.47best · +28.4%
  • now $5.82 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $5.75 (-1.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $5.07–$6.43
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $4.52–$7.47
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,838 windows spanning 2019-04-25 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-19−64.6%−64.6%+0.0%
2020-02-18−64.2%−64.2%+0.9%
2020-02-20−64.1%−64.1%+0.0%
3 best
2020-05-14+96.6%+0.0%+101.8%
2020-05-13+76.5%−8.8%+84.1%
2020-05-08+62.2%−19.6%+62.2%

1,838 overlapping windows · 2019-04-25 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~8 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
57%
+9.3%
n=7
Feb
57%
−1.8%
n=7
Mar
29%
−10.1%
n=7
Apr
29%
+3.2%
n=7
May
50%
+0.5%
n=8
Jun
50%
+6.3%
n=8
Jul
63%
+8.3%
n=8
Aug
63%
−3.6%
n=8
Sep
25%
−4.8%
n=8
Oct
29%
−4.3%
n=7
Nov
71%
+3.8%
n=7
Dec
71%
+3.7%
n=7

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$9$42026-03-13: 1 insider purchase, $23K — Mill Road Capital III, L.P.2026-03-12: 1 insider purchase, $355K — Mill Road Capital III, L.P.2026-03-11: 2 insider purchases, $121K — Mill Road Capital III, L.P., Nair Sidhartha2026-03-09: 1 insider purchase, $7K — Nair Sidhartha2026-03-05: 1 insider purchase, $7K — Nair Sidhartha2026-03-03: 2 insider sales, $255K — Greenawalt Ryan, Colucci Anthony2026-03-03: 1 insider purchase, $7K — Nair Sidhartha2025-12-08: 1 insider purchase, $203K — Shribman Daniel2025-12: 1 open-market purchase, $203K2026-03: 7 open-market purchases, $519K2026-03: 2 open-market sales, $255K↑ buys↓ salestenPercentOwner Mill Road Capital III, L.P. — Purchase on 2026-03-13, filed 3 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Mill Road Capital III, L.P. — Purchase on 2026-03-12, filed 4 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Mill Road Capital III, L.P. — Purchase on 2026-03-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Nair Sidhartha — Purchase on 2026-03-11, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Nair Sidhartha — Purchase on 2026-03-09, filed 7 days after the tradedirector Nair Sidhartha — Purchase on 2026-03-05, filed 11 days after the tradedirector Greenawalt Ryan — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed same dayofficer Colucci Anthony — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed same daydirector Nair Sidhartha — Purchase on 2026-03-03, filed 13 days after the tradedirector Shribman Daniel — Purchase on 2025-12-08, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-03-13Mill Road Capital III, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase3,798 @ $5.95$23K+0.1% of holding+1.2%−18.1%4,373,208Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-12Mill Road Capital III, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase58,162 @ $6.10$355K+1.3% of holding−0.3%−18.5%4,369,410Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-11Mill Road Capital III, L.P.tenPercentOwnerPurchase18,040 @ $6.36$115K+0.4% of holding−3.4%−23.1%4,311,248Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-11Nair SidharthadirectorPurchase1,000 @ $6.37$6K+2.7% of holding−3.4%−23.1%37,806Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-03-09Nair SidharthadirectorPurchase1,000 @ $6.75$7K+2.8% of holding−12.6%−21.5%36,806Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade
2026-03-05Nair SidharthadirectorPurchase1,000 @ $7.00$7K+2.9% of holding−19.6%−31.6%35,806Form 4 · filed 11 days after the trade
2026-03-03Greenawalt RyandirectorSale27,986 @ $7.05$197K−0.5% of holding−24.6%−34.1%5,721,710Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-03Colucci AnthonyofficerSale8,137 @ $7.05$57K−3.3% of holding−24.6%−34.1%240,750Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-03Nair SidharthadirectorPurchase1,000 @ $7.13$7K+3.0% of holding−24.6%−34.1%34,806Form 4 · filed 13 days after the trade
2025-12-08Shribman DanieldirectorPurchase40,000 @ $5.07$203K+43.8% of holding+14.7%+20.9%131,393Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-30STUDDERT ANDREW PdirectorPurchase3,257 @ $4.80$16K+3.5% of holding+36.4%−13.9%96,591Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-29STUDDERT ANDREW PdirectorPurchase6,743 @ $4.80$32K+7.8% of holding+24.5%−16.1%93,334Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-05Brubaker CraigofficerSale5,294 @ $5.00$26K−5.1% of holding−13.5%+51.4%98,640Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

54 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-29WILSON COLINdirectorAward / grant14,90343,937Form 4
2026-05-29Nair SidharthadirectorAward / grant14,90352,709Form 4
2026-05-29STUDDERT ANDREW PdirectorAward / grant14,903131,716Form 4
2026-05-29White Katherine EdirectorAward / grant14,90382,204Form 4
2026-05-29Shribman DanieldirectorAward / grant14,903361,796Form 4
2026-05-29Nair SidharthadirectorAward / grant14,90352,709Form 4
2026-05-29STUDDERT ANDREW PdirectorAward / grant14,903131,716Form 4
2026-05-29Shribman DanieldirectorAward / grant14,903361,796Form 4
2026-05-29WILSON COLINdirectorAward / grant14,90343,937Form 4
2026-05-29White Katherine EdirectorAward / grant14,90382,204Form 4
2026-02-27Colucci AnthonyofficerAward / grant10,595232,038Form 4
2026-02-27Colucci AnthonyofficerAward / grant16,849248,887Form 4
2026-02-27Hoover Jeffrey AlanofficerAward / grant24,95683,161Form 4
2026-02-27Greenawalt RyandirectorAward / grant72,8325,633,859Form 4
2026-02-27Greenawalt RyandirectorAward / grant115,8375,749,696Form 4
2026-02-27Hoover Jeffrey AlanofficerAward / grant15,69258,205Form 4
2026-02-27Greenawalt RyandirectorAward / grant72,8325,633,859Form 4
2026-02-27Greenawalt RyandirectorAward / grant115,8375,749,696Form 4
2026-02-27Colucci AnthonyofficerAward / grant10,595232,038Form 4
2026-02-27Colucci AnthonyofficerAward / grant16,849248,887Form 4
2026-02-27Hoover Jeffrey AlanofficerAward / grant15,69258,205Form 4
2026-02-27Hoover Jeffrey AlanofficerAward / grant24,95683,161Form 4
2025-05-30STUDDERT ANDREW PdirectorAward / grant20,222116,813Form 4
2025-05-30Shribman DanieldirectorAward / grant20,222346,893Form 4
2025-05-30Shribman DanieldirectorAward / grant20,222346,893Form 4
2025-05-30STUDDERT ANDREW PdirectorAward / grant20,222116,813Form 4
2025-05-30Nair SidharthadirectorAward / grant20,22233,806Form 4
2025-05-30WILSON COLINdirectorAward / grant8,8128,812Form 4
2025-05-30White Katherine EdirectorAward / grant20,22267,301Form 4
2025-05-30Nair SidharthadirectorAward / grant20,22233,806Form 4
2025-05-30WILSON COLINdirectorAward / grant20,22229,034Form 4
2025-05-30WILSON COLINdirectorAward / grant8,8128,812Form 4
2025-05-30WILSON COLINdirectorAward / grant20,22229,034Form 4
2025-05-30White Katherine EdirectorAward / grant20,22267,301Form 4
2025-03-18Hoover Jeffrey AlanofficerAward / grant30,91242,513Form 4
2025-03-18Colucci AnthonyofficerAward / grant20,870221,443Form 4
2025-03-18Hoover Jeffrey AlanofficerAward / grant30,91242,513Form 4
2025-03-18Brubaker CraigofficerAward / grant14,192112,832Form 4
2025-03-18Greenawalt RyandirectorAward / grant143,4875,561,027Form 4
2025-03-18Colucci AnthonyofficerAward / grant20,870221,443Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.