ALOT · TickerCove

ALOTAstroNova, Inc.Technology · Computer Hardwareas of 2026-09-04

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-04 at $28.99 · now $28.99 (2026-08-26, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-04 close, ALOT has typically landed between $24.30 and $33.73 — a range of −16.2% to +16.3% from the issuance price $28.99.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,988 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-07-28 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 54.0% (90% CI 51.7–56.2%, ≈1,353 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-04 issuance close ($28.99) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-05, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$28.99 · 100% of range

$7.01 low$28.99 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-08-26 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,353 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

54.0%

90% CI 51.7%–56.2%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.2%

typical move · IQR 11.9%

−16.2%worst (p90)+16.3%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where ALOT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-04 close of $28.99 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $28.99 (+0.0%)
typical $29.06 (+0.2%)
middle 50% $27.33–$30.79
90% range $24.3–$33.73

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,988 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-08-26. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-20	−46.8%	−46.8%	+0.0%
2020-03-05	−45.0%	−45.0%	+0.0%
2020-02-21	−44.6%	−45.9%	+0.0%
3 best
2026-05-19	+102.7%	+0.0%	+103.8%
2026-05-26	+101.8%	+0.0%	+102.5%
2026-05-20	+101.7%	+0.0%	+102.9%

4,988 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-26 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

60%

+1.3%

n=20

Feb

30%

−3.2%

n=20

Mar

70%

+1.6%

n=20

Apr

65%

+3.9%

n=20

May

70%

+4.2%

n=20

Jun

45%

+3.1%

n=20

Jul

45%

−0.5%

n=20

Aug

55%

+0.6%

n=20

Sep

21%

−1.7%

n=19

Oct

40%

−0.9%

n=20

Nov

60%

+2.5%

n=20

Dec

65%

+2.7%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-06-17	QUAIN MITCHELL I	director	Purchase	10,000 @ $9.05	$91K	+11.4% of holding	+16.8%	−30.2%	97,719	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-04-17	WARZALA RICHARD S	director	Purchase	20,000 @ $8.07	$161K	+49.5% of holding	−1.8%	−6.6%	60,385	Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

209 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Filing
2026-08-26	MICHAS ALEXIS P	director	Disposition	535,203	Form 4
2026-08-26	Ittmann Jorik	director	Disposition	130,775	Form 4
2026-08-26	QUAIN MITCHELL I	director	Disposition	108,910	Form 4
2026-08-26	DeByle Thomas D.	officer	Disposition	87,183	Form 4
2026-08-26	WARZALA RICHARD S	director	Disposition	75,711	Form 4
2026-08-26	Schlaeppi Yvonne	director	Disposition	51,921	Form 4
2026-08-26	Natalizia Michael J	officer	Disposition	47,632	Form 4
2026-08-26	Finn Padraig	officer	Disposition	43,591	Form 4
2026-08-26	Carll Thomas Wayne	officer	Disposition	43,591	Form 4
2026-08-26	Carll Thomas Wayne	officer	Disposition	33,952	Form 4
2026-08-26	MICHAS ALEXIS P	director	Disposition	29,319	Form 4
2026-08-26	Natalizia Michael J	officer	Disposition	21,795	Form 4
2026-08-26	NEVIN DARIUS G	director	Disposition	30,000	Form 4
2026-08-26	QUAIN MITCHELL I	director	Disposition	16,701	Form 4
2026-08-26	DeByle Thomas D.	officer	Disposition	15,483	Form 4
2026-08-26	Ittmann Jorik	director	Disposition	13,115	Form 4
2026-08-26	Kravetz Shawn W	director	Disposition	9,464	Form 4
2026-08-26	DeByle Thomas D.	officer	Disposition	6,886	Form 4
2026-08-26	DeByle Thomas D.	officer	Disposition	6,790	Form 4
2026-08-26	Natalizia Michael J	officer	Disposition	17,500	Form 4
2026-08-26	Carll Thomas Wayne	officer	Disposition	17,500	Form 4
2026-08-26	DeByle Thomas D.	officer	Disposition	6,170	Form 4
2026-08-26	Finn Padraig	officer	Disposition	4,590	Form 4
2026-08-26	Natalizia Michael J	officer	Disposition	4,590	Form 4
2026-08-26	Carll Thomas Wayne	officer	Disposition	4,590	Form 4
2026-08-26	NEVIN DARIUS G	director	Disposition	4,313	Form 4
2026-08-26	Ittmann Jorik	director	Disposition	3,018	Form 4
2026-08-26	Carll Thomas Wayne	officer	Disposition	2,799	Form 4
2026-08-26	Natalizia Michael J	officer	Disposition	2,689	Form 4
2026-08-26	QUAIN MITCHELL I	director	Disposition	5,000	Form 4
2026-08-26	Ittmann Jorik	director	Disposition	2,581	Form 4
2026-08-26	WARZALA RICHARD S	director	Disposition	5,000	Form 4
2026-08-26	Ittmann Jorik	director	Disposition	2,334	Form 4
2026-08-26	Schlaeppi Yvonne	director	Disposition	5,000	Form 4
2026-08-26	Finn Padraig	officer	Disposition	2,171	Form 4
2026-08-26	WARZALA RICHARD S	director	Disposition	5,000	Form 4
2026-08-26	QUAIN MITCHELL I	director	Disposition	5,000	Form 4
2026-08-26	Schlaeppi Yvonne	director	Disposition	5,000	Form 4
2026-08-26	Finn Padraig	officer	Disposition	1,685	Form 4
2026-08-26	Finn Padraig	officer	Disposition	1,200	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

18d remaining

2026-09-0543% elapsed2026-10-05

Logged immutably 2026-09-05; scored automatically on 2026-10-05 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i