ALGM · TickerCove

ALGMAllegro MicroSystems, Inc.Technology · Semiconductorsas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $33.02 · now $33.02 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ALGM has typically landed between $26.02 and $42.71 — a range of −21.2% to +29.3% from the issuance price $33.02.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

1,455 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-10-29 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($33.02) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$33.02 · 22% of range

$22.8 low$69.62 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.4%

typical move · IQR 19.8%

−21.2%worst (p90)+29.3%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where ALGM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $33.02 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $33.02 (+0.0%)
typical $33.15 (+0.4%)
middle 50% $29.88–$36.43
90% range $26.02–$42.71

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,455 windows spanning 2020-10-29 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2026-06-30	−40.5%	−40.5%	+0.0%
2025-03-20	−38.4%	−38.4%	+1.3%
2025-03-21	−36.9%	−37.8%	+2.3%
3 best
2025-04-21	+64.9%	+0.0%	+66.4%
2026-03-30	+57.2%	+0.0%	+57.4%
2025-04-22	+56.7%	+0.0%	+64.0%

1,455 overlapping windows · 2020-10-29 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

67%

+7.7%

n=6

Feb

50%

+3.6%

n=6

Mar

33%

−1.6%

n=6

Apr

33%

−0.4%

n=6

May

83%

+9.2%

n=6

Jun

67%

+12.5%

n=6

Jul

33%

−5.0%

n=6

Aug

33%

−5.8%

n=6

Sep

17%

−6.0%

n=6

Oct

60%

−1.2%

n=5

Nov

67%

+7.6%

n=6

Dec

67%

+5.7%

n=6

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-17	Raubacher Jennie	director	Sale	1,000 @ $45.32	$45K	−6.7% of holding	−23.0%	not yet — horizon still open	13,976	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-10	Hagen Erin	officer	Sale	2,285 @ $44.39	$101K	−6.9% of holding	−14.2%	not yet — horizon still open	31,052	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-03	Madormo Richard	officer	Sale	5,000 @ $52.72	$264K	−6.7% of holding	+6.6%	not yet — horizon still open	69,687	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-22	Coleman Troy	officer	Sale	4,500 @ $45.72	$206K	−5.5% of holding	+22.0%	not yet — horizon still open	77,476	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-05-21	Webster Roald Graham	officer	Sale	5,217 @ $44.88	$234K	−28.5% of holding	+25.2%	not yet — horizon still open	13,106	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-18	Kent Ian	officer	Sale	2,642 @ $41.56	$110K	−9.4% of holding	+30.2%	not yet — horizon still open	25,392	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-14	Lynch Susan D	director	Sale	16,711 @ $45.46	$760K	−56.6% of holding	+21.4%	not yet — horizon still open	12,805	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-11	Doogue Michael	director	Sale	30,089 @ $47.23	$1.4M	−10.6% of holding	−6.1%	not yet — horizon still open	252,797	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-11	Briansky Sharon	officer	Sale	8,948 @ $47.54	$425K	−10.6% of holding	−6.1%	not yet — horizon still open	75,232	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-02	Briansky Sharon	officer	Sale	9,727 @ $35.00	$340K	−10.4% of holding	−8.8%	−13.3%	84,180	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02	Hagen Erin	officer	Sale	2,598 @ $35.00	$91K	−7.9% of holding	−8.8%	−13.3%	30,094	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-17	Briansky Sharon	officer	Sale	9,258 @ $41.56	$385K	−8.2% of holding	−21.3%	−18.5%	103,014	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-10	Briansky Sharon	officer	Sale	27,873 @ $30.00	$836K	−18.7% of holding	+1.7%	+63.7%	121,263	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-08-22	Webster Roald Graham	officer	Sale	8,266 @ $32.81	$271K	−32.3% of holding	−5.3%	+14.4%	17,300	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-12	Lury Richard R.	director	Sale	7,000 @ $31.81	$223K	−27.1% of holding	−8.3%	+26.0%	18,857	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-04	Hagen Erin	officer	Sale	5,043 @ $31.18	$157K	−12.7% of holding	−7.2%	+13.7%	34,688	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-11	Lury Richard R.	director	Sale	3,100 @ $30.45	$94K	−13.5% of holding	+17.6%	−17.6%	19,925	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-04	Lury Richard R.	director	Sale	6,849 @ $27.60	$189K	−22.9% of holding	+21.9%	−12.2%	23,025	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

64 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-08-05	WHITE BRIAN C	director	Award / grant	4,251	4,251	Form 4
2026-08-05	Raubacher Jennie	director	Award / grant	4,251	4,251	Form 4
2026-08-05	Palepu Krishna G.	director	Award / grant	4,251	14,212	Form 4
2026-08-05	PUMA MARY G	director	Award / grant	4,251	21,734	Form 4
2026-08-05	MARTIN JOSEPH R	director	Award / grant	4,251	39,430	Form 4
2026-08-05	Suzuki Yoshihiro	director	Award / grant	4,251	217,811	Form 4
2026-08-05	Willett Robert	director	Award / grant	4,251	4,251	Form 4
2026-06-17	WHITE BRIAN C	director	Award / grant	594	594	Form 4
2026-05-16	Doogue Michael	director	Withheld for tax	60,508	279,076	Form 4
2026-05-16	D'Antilio Derek	officer	Withheld for tax	37,840	238,813	Form 4
2026-05-16	Briansky Sharon	officer	Withheld for tax	13,942	79,753	Form 4
2026-05-16	Coleman Troy	officer	Withheld for tax	9,670	81,976	Form 4
2026-05-16	Hagen Erin	officer	Withheld for tax	5,815	33,337	Form 4
2026-05-16	Madormo Richard	officer	Withheld for tax	5,439	74,687	Form 4
2026-05-16	Webster Roald Graham	officer	Withheld for tax	4,277	18,323	Form 4
2026-05-16	Kent Ian	officer	Withheld for tax	2,345	28,034	Form 4
2026-05-13	Kent Ian	officer	Award / grant	8,492	30,379	Form 4
2026-05-13	Webster Roald Graham	officer	Award / grant	4,756	22,056	Form 4
2026-05-13	D'Antilio Derek	officer	Award / grant	29,439	246,215	Form 4
2026-05-13	D'Antilio Derek	officer	Award / grant	30,438	276,653	Form 4
2026-05-13	Willett Robert	director	Award / grant	1,094	1,094	Form 4
2026-05-13	Webster Roald Graham	officer	Award / grant	544	22,600	Form 4
2026-05-13	Doogue Michael	director	Award / grant	77,135	255,884	Form 4
2026-05-13	Doogue Michael	director	Award / grant	83,700	339,584	Form 4
2026-05-13	Coleman Troy	officer	Award / grant	18,116	91,646	Form 4
2026-05-13	Briansky Sharon	officer	Award / grant	15,852	91,084	Form 4
2026-05-13	Briansky Sharon	officer	Award / grant	2,611	93,695	Form 4
2026-05-13	Hagen Erin	officer	Award / grant	9,058	39,152	Form 4
2026-05-13	Madormo Richard	officer	Award / grant	19,815	80,126	Form 4
2026-03-24	Madormo Richard	officer	Disposition	6,498	60,311	Form 4
2026-02-27	D'Antilio Derek	officer	Withheld for tax	9,995	216,776	Form 4
2026-02-27	Briansky Sharon	officer	Withheld for tax	9,107	93,907	Form 4
2026-02-27	Hagen Erin	officer	Withheld for tax	1,996	32,692	Form 4
2026-02-13	D'Antilio Derek	officer	Withheld for tax	17,808	226,771	Form 4
2026-02-13	Briansky Sharon	officer	Withheld for tax	8,991	112,272	Form 4
2026-02-02	Kent Ian	officer	Award / grant	9,183	21,887	Form 4
2025-11-11	Coleman Troy	officer	Award / grant	73,530	73,530	Form 4
2025-08-07	Raubacher Jennie	director	Award / grant	5,932	14,976	Form 4
2025-08-07	Lury Richard R.	director	Award / grant	5,932	25,857	Form 4
2025-08-07	Lynch Susan D	director	Award / grant	5,932	29,516	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

28d remaining

2026-09-173% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i