AIRJAirJoule Technologies CorporationIndustrials · Electrical Equipment & Partsas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.08 · now $4.08 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, AIRJ has typically landed between $3.00 and $5.59 — a range of −26.5% to +36.9% from the issuance price $4.08.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,138 overlapping 1 month windows · 2022-02-01 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.08) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where AIRJ has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.08 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$3worst · -26.5%$5.59best · +36.9%
  • now $4.08 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $4.1 (+0.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.99–$4.2
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $3–$5.59
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,138 windows spanning 2022-02-01 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2024-03-12−47.6%−49.3%+0.0%
2025-10-31−46.1%−46.1%+1.0%
2024-03-14−45.9%−45.9%+0.0%
3 best
2024-02-08+93.7%−5.0%+93.7%
2024-04-26+89.6%+0.0%+89.6%
2026-05-05+88.0%+0.0%+88.0%

1,138 overlapping windows · 2022-02-01 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
75%
−3.3%
n=4
Feb
50%
−0.4%
n=4
Mar
60%
−12.0%
n=5
Apr
80%
+6.0%
n=5
May
60%
+8.8%
n=5
Jun
80%
+4.4%
n=5
Jul
40%
−7.9%
n=5
Aug
60%
−4.6%
n=5
Sep
80%
−0.6%
n=5
Oct
50%
+1.3%
n=4
Nov
75%
+0.8%
n=4
Dec
100%
+6.7%
n=4

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$7$32026-06-09: 1 insider sale, $9K — MacDonald Chad2026-06-08: 1 insider sale, $25K — MacDonald Chad2026-03-03: 1 insider sale, $11K — Gutke Jeff2026-01-15: 3 insider purchases, $775K — Porter Stuart D, EILERS PATRICK C, JORE MATTHEW B2025-12-12: 1 insider purchase, $49K — Murphy Thomas Edward2025-12-10: 4 insider purchases, $841K — Porter Stuart D, Murphy Thomas Edward, Pang Stephen S., JORE MATTHEW B2025-12-09: 2 insider purchases, $148K — Porter Stuart D, JORE MATTHEW B2025-12-08: 2 insider purchases, $98K — Porter Stuart D, JORE MATTHEW B2025-12: 9 open-market purchases, $1.1M2026-01: 3 open-market purchases, $775K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $11K2026-06: 2 open-market sales, $34K↑ buys↓ salesofficer MacDonald Chad — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer MacDonald Chad — Sale on 2026-06-08, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Gutke Jeff — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed same daydirector Porter Stuart D — Purchase on 2026-01-15, filed 5 days after the tradedirector EILERS PATRICK C — Purchase on 2026-01-15, filed 5 days after the tradedirector JORE MATTHEW B — Purchase on 2026-01-15, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Murphy Thomas Edward — Purchase on 2025-12-12, filed same daydirector Porter Stuart D — Purchase on 2025-12-10, filed same daydirector Murphy Thomas Edward — Purchase on 2025-12-10, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Pang Stephen S. — Purchase on 2025-12-10, filed same daydirector JORE MATTHEW B — Purchase on 2025-12-10, filed same daydirector Porter Stuart D — Purchase on 2025-12-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector JORE MATTHEW B — Purchase on 2025-12-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Porter Stuart D — Purchase on 2025-12-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector JORE MATTHEW B — Purchase on 2025-12-08, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-09MacDonald ChadofficerSale1,987 @ $4.50$9K−4.3% of holding−5.8%not yet — horizon still open44,080Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-08MacDonald ChadofficerSale5,320 @ $4.65$25K−10.4% of holding−3.9%not yet — horizon still open46,067Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-03Gutke JeffofficerSale3,462 @ $3.17$11K−3.0% of holding−17.1%+21.2%110,439Form 4 · filed same day
2026-01-15Porter Stuart DdirectorPurchase153,846 @ $3.25$500K+24.7% of holding−5.5%−6.3%776,879Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-01-15EILERS PATRICK CdirectorPurchase76,923 @ $3.25$250K+4.3% of holding−5.5%−6.3%1,860,518Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-01-15JORE MATTHEW BdirectorPurchase7,692 @ $3.25$25K+0.1% of holding−5.5%−6.3%7,718,123Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-12-12Murphy Thomas EdwarddirectorPurchase14,450 @ $3.40$49K+82.6% of holding+0.2%+14.2%31,950Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-10Porter Stuart DdirectorPurchase264,150 @ $2.95$779K+73.6% of holding+40.4%+34.0%623,033Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-10Murphy Thomas EdwarddirectorPurchase17,500 @ $2.86$50Kownership Δ n/a+40.4%+34.0%17,500Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-10Pang Stephen S.officerPurchase2,169 @ $2.95$6K+12.9% of holding+40.4%+34.0%18,990Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-10JORE MATTHEW BdirectorPurchase1,779 @ $2.95$5K+0.0% of holding+40.4%+34.0%7,710,431Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-09Porter Stuart DdirectorPurchase46,800 @ $2.84$133K+15.0% of holding+46.5%+42.6%358,883Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-09JORE MATTHEW BdirectorPurchase5,200 @ $2.84$15K+0.1% of holding+46.5%+42.6%7,708,652Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-08Porter Stuart DdirectorPurchase31,695 @ $2.77$88K+11.3% of holding+47.0%+41.8%312,083Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-08JORE MATTHEW BdirectorPurchase3,521 @ $2.77$10K+0.0% of holding+47.0%+41.8%7,703,452Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-09Pang Stephen S.officerSale7,635 @ $4.23$32K−33.0% of holding+0.3%−51.9%15,490Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-09JORE MATTHEW BdirectorSale3,865 @ $4.23$16K−0.1% of holding+0.3%−51.9%7,699,931Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-09EILERS PATRICK CdirectorSale1,931 @ $4.23$8K−0.1% of holding+0.3%−51.9%1,783,595Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-09Gutke JeffofficerSale1,605 @ $4.23$7K−1.6% of holding+0.3%−51.9%99,838Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

85 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-05Pang Stephen S.officerWithheld for tax7,24846,937Form 4
2026-06-05JORE MATTHEW BdirectorWithheld for tax3,7297,748,020Form 4
2026-06-05EILERS PATRICK CdirectorWithheld for tax1,8321,873,844Form 4
2026-06-05EILERS PATRICK CdirectorOption exercise6,2501,875,676Form 4
2026-06-05Pang Stephen S.officerOption exercise23,12554,185Form 4
2026-06-05EILERS PATRICK CdirectorOption exercise6,25012,500Form 4
2026-06-05MacDonald ChadofficerOption exercise23,12551,387Form 4
2026-06-05MacDonald ChadofficerOption exercise23,12546,250Form 4
2026-06-05JORE MATTHEW BdirectorOption exercise12,50025,000Form 4
2026-06-05Pang Stephen S.officerOption exercise23,12546,250Form 4
2026-06-05JORE MATTHEW BdirectorOption exercise12,5007,751,749Form 4
2026-05-28Murphy Thomas EdwarddirectorOption exercise25,4870Form 4
2026-05-28Murphy Thomas EdwarddirectorAward / grant30,22730,227Form 4
2026-05-28Porter Stuart DdirectorAward / grant30,22730,227Form 4
2026-05-28Agrawal AjaydirectorOption exercise28,03733,437Form 4
2026-05-28Agrawal AjaydirectorOption exercise28,0370Form 4
2026-05-28Agrawal AjaydirectorAward / grant30,22730,227Form 4
2026-05-28Zaatari MarwadirectorOption exercise28,03733,437Form 4
2026-05-28Zaatari MarwadirectorOption exercise28,0370Form 4
2026-05-28Zaatari MarwadirectorAward / grant30,22730,227Form 4
2026-05-28Porter Stuart DdirectorOption exercise28,037804,916Form 4
2026-05-28Porter Stuart DdirectorOption exercise28,0370Form 4
2026-05-28Sterling Denise Marie BruciadirectorOption exercise25,48725,487Form 4
2026-05-28Sterling Denise Marie BruciadirectorOption exercise25,4870Form 4
2026-05-28Sterling Denise Marie BruciadirectorAward / grant30,22730,227Form 4
2026-05-28Murphy Thomas EdwarddirectorOption exercise25,48757,437Form 4
2026-02-27JORE MATTHEW BdirectorWithheld for tax9,0097,739,249Form 4
2026-02-27Pang Stephen S.officerWithheld for tax5,50931,060Form 4
2026-02-27EILERS PATRICK CdirectorWithheld for tax3,6481,869,426Form 4
2026-02-27JORE MATTHEW BdirectorOption exercise30,1357,748,258Form 4
2026-02-27JORE MATTHEW BdirectorOption exercise30,13560,270Form 4
2026-02-27EILERS PATRICK CdirectorOption exercise12,55625,113Form 4
2026-02-27EILERS PATRICK CdirectorOption exercise12,5561,873,074Form 4
2026-02-27Gutke JeffofficerOption exercise14,063113,901Form 4
2026-02-27Gutke JeffofficerOption exercise14,06328,126Form 4
2026-02-27Pang Stephen S.officerOption exercise17,57936,569Form 4
2026-02-27Pang Stephen S.officerOption exercise17,57935,157Form 4
2026-02-11JORE MATTHEW BdirectorAward / grant156,250156,250Form 4
2026-02-11EILERS PATRICK CdirectorAward / grant72,84472,844Form 4
2026-02-11Pang Stephen S.officerAward / grant59,44159,441Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.