AIRGAirgain, Inc.Technology · Communication Equipmentas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $5.33 · now $5.33 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, AIRG has typically landed between $4.04 and $6.80 — a range of −24.2% to +27.6% from the issuance price $5.33.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,516 overlapping 1 month windows · 2016-08-12 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($5.33) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where AIRG has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $5.33 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$4.04worst · -24.2%$6.8best · +27.6%
  • now $5.33 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $5.25 (-1.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $4.79–$5.72
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $4.04–$6.8
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,516 windows spanning 2016-08-12 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2023-10-12−51.6%−51.6%+0.0%
2016-11-23−45.8%−48.0%+0.0%
2016-11-22−43.3%−47.6%+0.7%
3 best
2023-11-10+97.6%+0.0%+100.0%
2016-08-16+89.3%+0.0%+89.3%
2016-10-25+89.3%−17.7%+89.3%

2,516 overlapping windows · 2016-08-12 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~11 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
70%
+8.5%
n=10
Feb
20%
−6.2%
n=10
Mar
40%
−2.7%
n=10
Apr
80%
+10.4%
n=10
May
50%
−0.8%
n=10
Jun
70%
+3.6%
n=10
Jul
50%
+1.5%
n=10
Aug
30%
−5.1%
n=10
Sep
55%
−0.4%
n=11
Oct
30%
−2.4%
n=10
Nov
30%
−0.5%
n=10
Dec
40%
+1.8%
n=10

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$7$32026-09-03: 1 insider sale, $5K — SUEN JACOB2026-09-01: 1 insider purchase, $42K — SIMS JAMES K2026-08-31: 1 insider purchase, $36K — SIMS JAMES K2026-06-01: 1 insider sale, $7K — SUEN JACOB2026-05-13: 2 insider sales, $55K — SUEN JACOB, Elbaz Michael2026-05-12: 1 insider sale, $10K — Elbaz Michael2026-05-01: 1 insider sale, $7K — SUEN JACOB2026-04-17: 1 insider sale, $6K — Sadri Ali2026-04-01: 1 insider sale, $6K — SUEN JACOB2026-03-23: 2 insider sales, $10K — SUEN JACOB, Sadri Ali2026-03-20: 3 insider sales, $262K — SUEN JACOB, Sadri Ali, Elbaz Michael2026-03-04: 2 insider sales, $21K — SUEN JACOB, Sadri Ali2026-02-17: 1 insider sale, $5K — Sadri Ali2026-02-10: 2 insider sales, $9K — Sadri Ali, SUEN JACOB2026-02-09: 2 insider sales, $41K — SUEN JACOB, Sadri Ali2026-01-20: 3 insider sales, $101K — SUEN JACOB, Sadri Ali, Elbaz Michael2025-11-24: 3 insider sales, $31K — Elbaz Michael, SUEN JACOB, Sadri Ali2025-11: 3 open-market sales, $31K2026-01: 3 open-market sales, $101K2026-02: 5 open-market sales, $56K2026-03: 7 open-market sales, $293K2026-04: 2 open-market sales, $12K2026-05: 4 open-market sales, $73K2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $7K2026-08: 1 open-market purchase, $36K2026-09: 1 open-market purchase, $42K2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $5K↑ buys↓ salesdirector SUEN JACOB — Sale on 2026-09-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SIMS JAMES K — Purchase on 2026-09-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SIMS JAMES K — Purchase on 2026-08-31, filed 2 days after the tradedirector SUEN JACOB — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SUEN JACOB — Sale on 2026-05-13, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Elbaz Michael — Sale on 2026-05-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Elbaz Michael — Sale on 2026-05-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector SUEN JACOB — Sale on 2026-05-01, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Sadri Ali — Sale on 2026-04-17, filed 4 days after the tradedirector SUEN JACOB — Sale on 2026-04-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SUEN JACOB — Sale on 2026-03-23, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Sadri Ali — Sale on 2026-03-23, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SUEN JACOB — Sale on 2026-03-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Sadri Ali — Sale on 2026-03-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Elbaz Michael — Sale on 2026-03-20, filed 4 days after the tradedirector SUEN JACOB — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Sadri Ali — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Sadri Ali — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Sadri Ali — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SUEN JACOB — Sale on 2026-02-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector SUEN JACOB — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Sadri Ali — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector SUEN JACOB — Sale on 2026-01-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Sadri Ali — Sale on 2026-01-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Elbaz Michael — Sale on 2026-01-20, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Elbaz Michael — Sale on 2025-11-24, filed 2 days after the tradedirector SUEN JACOB — Sale on 2025-11-24, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Sadri Ali — Sale on 2025-11-24, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-03SUEN JACOBdirectorSale1,000 @ $5.20$5K−0.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open279,431Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-01SIMS JAMES KdirectorPurchase8,269 @ $5.11$42K+1.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open457,733Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-31SIMS JAMES KdirectorPurchase6,731 @ $5.31$36K+1.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open449,464Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-01SUEN JACOBdirectorSale1,000 @ $7.04$7K−0.4% of holding−7.3%not yet — horizon still open280,431Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-13SUEN JACOBdirectorSale4,573 @ $6.51$30K−1.6% of holding+3.8%not yet — horizon still open281,431Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-13Elbaz MichaelofficerSale3,787 @ $6.77$26K−2.7% of holding+3.8%not yet — horizon still open135,506Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12Elbaz MichaelofficerSale1,487 @ $6.98$10K−1.1% of holding−2.7%not yet — horizon still open139,293Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-01SUEN JACOBdirectorSale1,000 @ $7.03$7K−0.4% of holding−2.6%not yet — horizon still open281,431Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-17Sadri AliofficerSale1,000 @ $6.21$6K−0.8% of holding−1.3%not yet — horizon still open124,263Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-01SUEN JACOBdirectorSale1,000 @ $5.51$6K−0.4% of holding+26.7%not yet — horizon still open282,431Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-23SUEN JACOBdirectorSale1,000 @ $5.00$5K−0.4% of holding+15.6%not yet — horizon still open283,431Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-23Sadri AliofficerSale1,000 @ $5.00$5K−0.8% of holding+15.6%not yet — horizon still open125,263Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-20SUEN JACOBdirectorSale37,314 @ $4.12$154K−11.6% of holding+25.0%not yet — horizon still open284,431Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-20Sadri AliofficerSale13,638 @ $4.12$56K−9.7% of holding+25.0%not yet — horizon still open126,263Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-20Elbaz MichaelofficerSale12,769 @ $4.12$53K−8.3% of holding+25.0%not yet — horizon still open140,780Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-04SUEN JACOBdirectorSale3,704 @ $4.16$15K−1.3% of holding+35.7%+9.3%282,931Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-04Sadri AliofficerSale1,228 @ $4.16$5K−1.0% of holding+35.7%+9.3%121,802Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-17Sadri AliofficerSale1,000 @ $5.28$5K−0.8% of holding−24.9%−11.3%123,030Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-10Sadri AliofficerSale881 @ $5.24$5K−0.7% of holding−22.7%−15.5%124,030Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-10SUEN JACOBdirectorSale888 @ $5.07$5K−0.3% of holding−22.7%−15.5%286,635Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-09SUEN JACOBdirectorSale6,112 @ $5.01$31K−2.1% of holding−17.0%−4.0%287,523Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-09Sadri AliofficerSale2,119 @ $5.01$11K−1.7% of holding−17.0%−4.0%124,911Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-20SUEN JACOBdirectorSale15,993 @ $4.00$64K−5.2% of holding+25.3%+34.8%293,635Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-20Sadri AliofficerSale4,733 @ $4.00$19K−3.6% of holding+25.3%+34.8%127,030Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-20Elbaz MichaelofficerSale4,587 @ $4.00$18K−3.3% of holding+25.3%+34.8%133,106Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-24Elbaz MichaelofficerSale4,820 @ $3.99$19K−3.4% of holding−7.9%+62.1%137,693Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-24SUEN JACOBdirectorSale2,070 @ $3.99$8K−0.7% of holding−7.9%+62.1%309,628Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-24Sadri AliofficerSale976 @ $3.99$4K−0.7% of holding−7.9%+62.1%131,763Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-18SUEN JACOBdirectorSale2,000 @ $5.00$10K−0.6% of holding−8.1%−22.7%311,698Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-23Toscanini Arthur M.directorSale4,812 @ $4.05$19K−5.1% of holding−1.3%−10.8%89,956Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-22Toscanini Arthur M.directorSale5,535 @ $4.05$22K−5.8% of holding+4.1%−4.1%89,956Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2025-05-20Sadri AliofficerSale1,055 @ $4.10$4K−0.8% of holding−2.3%−9.0%126,851Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-16Toscanini Arthur M.directorSale3,088 @ $4.12$13K−3.3% of holding−5.1%−26.6%89,956Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-15Toscanini Arthur M.directorSale6,912 @ $4.01$28K−7.1% of holding−1.3%−37.3%89,956Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-17SUEN JACOBdirectorSale6,982 @ $4.16$29K−2.2% of holding−6.7%−16.4%305,546Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-14SUEN JACOBdirectorSale5,000 @ $4.43$22K−2.1% of holding−14.2%−19.3%229,999Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-13SUEN JACOBdirectorSale120 @ $4.66$559−0.1% of holding−21.7%−29.0%229,999Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-03-07SUEN JACOBdirectorSale12,093 @ $4.85$59K−5.0% of holding−14.9%−23.5%229,999Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

99 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-05-19Toscanini Arthur M.directorOption exercise7,832120,824Form 4
2026-05-19Toscanini Arthur M.directorOption exercise7,8320Form 4
2026-05-13SUEN JACOBdirectorOption exercise4,573286,004Form 4
2026-05-13SUEN JACOBdirectorOption exercise4,5730Form 4
2026-04-10SIMS JAMES KdirectorOption exercise9,510442,733Form 4
2026-04-10SIMS JAMES KdirectorOption exercise9,5100Form 4
2026-03-15Sadri AliofficerAward / grant6,983139,901Form 4
2026-03-15Sadri AliofficerAward / grant43,65643,656Form 4
2026-03-15Elbaz MichaelofficerAward / grant10,774143,880Form 4
2026-03-15Elbaz MichaelofficerAward / grant9,669153,549Form 4
2026-03-15Elbaz MichaelofficerAward / grant60,44760,447Form 4
2026-03-15SUEN JACOBdirectorAward / grant25,653308,584Form 4
2026-03-15SUEN JACOBdirectorAward / grant82,27582,275Form 4
2026-03-15SUEN JACOBdirectorAward / grant13,161321,745Form 4
2026-03-15Sadri AliofficerAward / grant11,116132,918Form 4
2026-02-02SIMS JAMES KdirectorAward / grant10,885433,223Form 4
2026-02-02Toscanini Arthur M.directorAward / grant7,257112,992Form 4
2026-02-02CHUNG T JdirectorAward / grant7,25751,015Form 4
2026-02-02CHUNG T JdirectorAward / grant12,66012,660Form 4
2026-02-02SIMS JAMES KdirectorAward / grant18,99118,991Form 4
2026-02-02Toscanini Arthur M.directorAward / grant12,66012,660Form 4
2026-02-02Allgood Kiva A.directorAward / grant7,25736,849Form 4
2026-02-02Allgood Kiva A.directorAward / grant12,66012,660Form 4
2026-02-02Gillman Joan HdirectorAward / grant7,25743,991Form 4
2026-02-02Gillman Joan HdirectorAward / grant12,66012,660Form 4
2026-02-02MUNRO THOMAS AdirectorAward / grant7,25784,171Form 4
2026-02-02MUNRO THOMAS AdirectorAward / grant12,66012,660Form 4
2026-01-02Gillman Joan HdirectorAward / grant2,97036,734Form 4
2026-01-02Toscanini Arthur M.directorAward / grant2,970105,735Form 4
2026-01-02MUNRO THOMAS AdirectorAward / grant3,13176,914Form 4
2026-01-02Allgood Kiva A.directorAward / grant2,22829,592Form 4
2026-01-02CHUNG T JdirectorAward / grant2,30843,758Form 4
2026-01-02SIMS JAMES KdirectorAward / grant3,948422,338Form 4
2025-10-01Toscanini Arthur M.directorAward / grant2,809102,765Form 4
2025-10-01Allgood Kiva A.directorAward / grant2,10627,364Form 4
2025-10-01CHUNG T JdirectorAward / grant2,18341,450Form 4
2025-10-01SIMS JAMES KdirectorAward / grant3,734418,390Form 4
2025-10-01MUNRO THOMAS AdirectorAward / grant2,96173,783Form 4
2025-10-01Gillman Joan HdirectorAward / grant2,80933,764Form 4
2025-07-15Elbaz MichaelofficerAward / grant5,706142,513Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.