AIOTPowerFleet, Inc.Technology · Software - Infrastructureas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $3.03 · now $3.03 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, AIOT has typically landed between $2.21 and $3.83 — a range of −27.0% to +26.4% from the issuance price $3.03.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

552 overlapping 1 month windows · 2024-06-04 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($3.03) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where AIOT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $3.03 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$2.21worst · -27.0%$3.83best · +26.4%
  • now $3.03 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $3.02 (-0.3%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $2.73–$3.32
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $2.21–$3.83
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 552 windows spanning 2024-06-04 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-01-22−37.3%−37.3%+0.0%
2026-01-13−34.9%−34.9%+2.2%
2026-07-13−34.3%−34.3%+2.1%
3 best
2025-01-10+50.1%−1.9%+50.1%
2024-11-01+47.6%+0.0%+54.3%
2025-01-14+45.1%+0.0%+53.1%

552 overlapping windows · 2024-06-04 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~3 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
0%
−7.6%
n=2
Feb
50%
−5.4%
n=2
Mar
0%
−17.9%
n=2
Apr
50%
−1.8%
n=2
May
50%
+5.9%
n=2
Jun
0%
−3.7%
n=2
Jul
33%
−1.4%
n=3
Aug
67%
+0.6%
n=3
Sep
100%
+4.5%
n=3
Oct
50%
−1.0%
n=2
Nov
50%
+18.7%
n=2
Dec
50%
+0.8%
n=2

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$6$32025-08-18: 1 insider purchase, $46K — McConnell Michael J2025-08-14: 1 insider purchase, $102K — Towe Steven Mark2025-08: 2 open-market purchases, $149K↑ buys↓ salesdirector McConnell Michael J — Purchase on 2025-08-18, filed same daydirector Towe Steven Mark — Purchase on 2025-08-14, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2025-08-18McConnell Michael JdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $4.64$46K+55.5% of holding+12.6%−26.1%28,028Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-14Towe Steven MarkdirectorPurchase23,157 @ $4.42$102K+1.0% of holding+16.0%−18.7%2,457,923Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

34 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-17CASEY MICHAEL JdirectorAward / grant3,050189,053Form 4
2026-08-11Lalljie Paul SdirectorAward / grant225,000225,000Form 4
2026-08-11Lalljie Paul SdirectorAward / grant225,000450,000Form 4
2026-07-27Towe Steven MarkdirectorWithheld for tax48,9592,837,055Form 4
2026-07-27Towe Steven MarkdirectorWithheld for tax27,3132,886,014Form 4
2026-07-27WILSON DAVIDofficerWithheld for tax13,250575,926Form 4
2026-07-27Ingram Melissa RoseofficerWithheld for tax12,018505,135Form 4
2026-05-18McConnell Michael JdirectorAward / grant24,39652,424Form 4
2026-05-18JACOBS IANdirectorAward / grant24,39673,142Form 4
2026-02-25Towe Steven MarkdirectorAward / grant193,5452,526,237Form 4
2026-02-25Powell Michael JosephofficerAward / grant77,418192,199Form 4
2026-02-25WILSON DAVIDofficerAward / grant96,772395,631Form 4
2026-02-25WILSON DAVIDofficerAward / grant193,545589,176Form 4
2026-02-25Powell Michael JosephofficerAward / grant38,709114,781Form 4
2026-02-25Ingram Melissa RoseofficerAward / grant85,160346,834Form 4
2026-02-25Ingram Melissa RoseofficerAward / grant170,319517,153Form 4
2026-02-25Towe Steven MarkdirectorAward / grant387,0902,913,327Form 4
2026-01-07Powell Michael JosephofficerWithheld for tax3,04276,072Form 4
2026-01-01Towe Steven MarkdirectorWithheld for tax48,9592,332,692Form 4
2025-07-27Towe Steven MarkdirectorWithheld for tax76,2722,381,651Form 4
2025-07-27WILSON DAVIDofficerWithheld for tax13,250298,859Form 4
2025-07-27Ingram Melissa RoseofficerWithheld for tax12,018261,674Form 4
2025-03-30Towe Steven MarkdirectorAward / grant312,5001,911,754Form 4
2025-03-30Towe Steven MarkdirectorAward / grant174,3372,086,091Form 4
2025-03-30Towe Steven MarkdirectorAward / grant348,6752,434,766Form 4
2025-03-30Ingram Melissa RoseofficerAward / grant76,709120,275Form 4
2025-03-30Ingram Melissa RoseofficerAward / grant153,417273,692Form 4
2025-03-30Powell Michael JosephofficerAward / grant26,37126,371Form 4
2025-03-30Powell Michael JosephofficerAward / grant52,74379,114Form 4
2025-03-30WILSON DAVIDofficerAward / grant87,169137,772Form 4
2025-03-30WILSON DAVIDofficerAward / grant174,337312,109Form 4
2025-03-30Towe Steven MarkdirectorAward / grant312,500974,254Form 4
2025-03-30Towe Steven MarkdirectorAward / grant312,5001,286,754Form 4
2025-03-30Towe Steven MarkdirectorAward / grant312,5001,599,254Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.