AIN · TickerCove

AINAlbany International Corp.as of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $60.20 · now $60.20 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, AIN has typically landed between $51.21 and $68.39 — a range of −14.9% to +13.6% from the issuance price $60.20.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

4,673 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($60.20) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$60.2 · 55% of range

$40.8 low$76.29 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

−0.1%

typical move · IQR 10.9%

−14.9%worst (p90)+13.6%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

13 buys · 1 sells · 2 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where AIN has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $60.2 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $60.2 (+0.0%)
typical $60.17 (-0.1%)
middle 50% $56.88–$63.46
90% range $51.21–$68.39

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,673 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2020-02-18	−57.4%	−57.4%	+0.7%
2009-02-06	−53.4%	−53.4%	+0.0%
2009-02-09	−51.4%	−52.9%	+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-06	+78.2%	−2.1%	+87.9%
2009-03-11	+71.6%	+0.0%	+85.9%
2009-03-09	+64.9%	−0.3%	+91.4%

4,673 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

44%

−1.8%

n=18

Feb

58%

+2.1%

n=19

Mar

47%

−1.4%

n=19

Apr

74%

+2.1%

n=19

May

63%

+2.5%

n=19

Jun

58%

+0.7%

n=19

Jul

58%

+1.4%

n=19

Aug

47%

+0.5%

n=19

Sep

47%

−1.2%

n=19

Oct

56%

−0.0%

n=18

Nov

72%

+6.0%

n=18

Dec

44%

+1.3%

n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2025-11-17	Kleveland Gunnar	director	Purchase	2,300 @ $42.04	$97K	+13.1% of holding	+21.2%	+35.1%	19,895	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-05	Kleveland Gunnar	director	Purchase	1,750 @ $59.75	$105K	+11.0% of holding	+1.2%	−14.2%	17,595	Form 4 · filed same day

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

175 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-01	Station Willard C	officer	Option exercise	10,599	12,123	Form 4
2026-09-01	Station Willard C	officer	Option exercise	10,599	21,519	Form 4
2026-08-12	Stone Christopher Eric	officer	Option exercise	6,905	6,904	Form 4
2026-08-12	Stone Christopher Eric	officer	Option exercise	6,905	16,608	Form 4
2026-06-09	Valashinas Sean C	officer	Withheld for tax	315	1,204	Form 4
2026-06-09	Valashinas Sean C	officer	Option exercise	1,321	1,320	Form 4
2026-06-09	Valashinas Sean C	officer	Option exercise	1,321	1,519	Form 4
2026-05-15	McQuade John Michael	director	Award / grant	3,792	17,258	Form 4
2026-05-15	PLOURDE KATHARINE	director	Award / grant	2,390	5,862	Form 4
2026-05-15	Toney Russell	director	Award / grant	2,390	8,284	Form 4
2026-05-15	Scannell John	director	Award / grant	2,390	21,917	Form 4
2026-05-15	LIND BONNIE CRUICKSHANK	director	Award / grant	2,390	5,682	Form 4
2026-05-15	Alvord Christina M	director	Award / grant	2,390	5,682	Form 4
2026-05-15	LIND BONNIE CRUICKSHANK	director	Award / grant	2,390	5,609	Form 4
2026-05-15	KRUEGER KENNETH W	director	Award / grant	2,390	16,621	Form 4
2026-05-15	Murphy Mark J.	director	Award / grant	1,195	13,745	Form 4
2026-03-01	Kleveland Gunnar	director	Withheld for tax	7,534	38,019	Form 4
2026-03-01	Station Willard C	officer	Withheld for tax	2,581	9,552	Form 4
2026-03-01	Stone Christopher Eric	officer	Withheld for tax	1,975	14,633	Form 4
2026-03-01	Gaug Joseph M	officer	Withheld for tax	1,849	12,640	Form 4
2026-03-01	Hansen Robert Alan	officer	Disposition	827	0	Form 4
2026-03-01	Stone Christopher Eric	officer	Withheld for tax	793	9,703	Form 4
2026-03-01	Hansen Robert Alan	officer	Disposition	760	0	Form 4
2026-03-01	Purdum Suzanne K	officer	Withheld for tax	716	2,910	Form 4
2026-03-01	Stein Merle A	officer	Withheld for tax	656	1,759	Form 4
2026-03-01	Stein Merle A	officer	Disposition	651	651	Form 4
2026-03-01	Hansen Robert Alan	officer	Disposition	644	0	Form 4
2026-03-01	Station Willard C	officer	Withheld for tax	600	1,524	Form 4
2026-03-01	Hansen Robert Alan	officer	Disposition	569	0	Form 4
2026-03-01	Stein Merle A	officer	Disposition	521	521	Form 4
2026-03-01	Stein Merle A	officer	Disposition	360	360	Form 4
2026-03-01	Stein Merle A	officer	Disposition	302	302	Form 4
2026-03-01	Hansen Robert Alan	officer	Withheld for tax	128	8,596	Form 4
2026-03-01	Valashinas Sean C	officer	Withheld for tax	84	198	Form 4
2026-03-01	Hansen Robert Alan	officer	Option exercise	827	827	Form 4
2026-03-01	Hansen Robert Alan	officer	Option exercise	644	644	Form 4
2026-03-01	Hansen Robert Alan	officer	Option exercise	760	760	Form 4
2026-03-01	Hansen Robert Alan	officer	Option exercise	569	569	Form 4
2026-03-01	Hansen Robert Alan	officer	Option exercise	377	8,724	Form 4
2026-03-01	Hansen Robert Alan	officer	Option exercise	827	0	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iiDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks

Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

Member	Chamber	Type	Filed	Traded	Size
Nicholas Van Taylor	House	sale	2019-04-15	2019-03-25	$1–15K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2014-04-10	2014-03-17	$1–15K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2014-04-10	2014-03-17	$1–15K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2014-04-10	2014-03-14	$1–15K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2014-04-10	2014-03-14	$1–15K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2014-04-10	2014-03-12	$1–15K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2014-04-10	2014-03-12	$1–15K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2014-04-10	2014-03-11	$1–15K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2014-04-10	2014-03-11	$1–15K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2014-03-13	2014-02-21	$1–15K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2014-03-13	2014-02-21	$1–15K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2014-03-13	2014-02-20	$1–15K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2014-03-13	2014-02-20	$1–15K
Michael T. McCaul	House	purchase	2014-03-13	2014-02-19	$1–15K

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Seasonality · by month i