AHRAmerican Healthcare REIT, Inc.Real Estate · REIT - Healthcare Facilitiesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $53.14 · now $53.14 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, AHR has typically landed between $49.08 and $62.21 — a range of −7.6% to +17.1% from the issuance price $53.14.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

633 overlapping 1 month windows · 2024-02-07 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($53.14) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where AHR has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $53.14 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$49.08worst · -7.6%$62.21best · +17.1%
  • now $53.14 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $55.6 (+4.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $53.21–$58
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $49.08–$62.21
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 633 windows spanning 2024-02-07 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-02-26−11.4%−11.4%+0.0%
2026-02-25−10.4%−10.4%+0.5%
2026-03-02−10.4%−11.3%+0.2%
3 best
2024-08-05+39.1%+0.0%+39.1%
2024-08-09+37.1%+0.0%+37.1%
2024-08-14+36.2%+0.0%+36.2%

633 overlapping windows · 2024-02-07 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~3 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
0%
−0.4%
n=2
Feb
100%
+8.3%
n=2
Mar
67%
+1.0%
n=3
Apr
67%
+2.4%
n=3
May
67%
+3.8%
n=3
Jun
100%
+4.8%
n=3
Jul
100%
+6.9%
n=3
Aug
67%
+13.8%
n=3
Sep
33%
+7.0%
n=3
Oct
100%
+4.9%
n=2
Nov
100%
+12.0%
n=2
Dec
0%
−5.3%
n=2

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$58$402026-09-01: 1 insider sale, $111K — Foster Mark E.2026-06-26: 1 insider sale, $1.3M — PEAY BRIAN2026-06-24: 1 insider sale, $121K — Foster Mark E.2026-06-01: 1 insider sale, $97K — Foster Mark E.2026-03-25: 1 insider sale, $97K — Foster Mark E.2025-12-23: 1 insider sale, $930K — Hanson Jeffrey T2025-12-22: 1 insider sale, $1.7M — Hanson Jeffrey T2025-11-11: 1 insider sale, $74K — Foster Mark E.2025-11-10: 1 insider sale, $994K — Hanson Jeffrey T2025-09-03: 1 insider sale, $161K — Foster Mark E.2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $161K2025-11: 2 open-market sales, $1.1M2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $2.7M2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $97K2026-06: 3 open-market sales, $1.5M2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $111K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Foster Mark E. — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed same dayofficer PEAY BRIAN — Sale on 2026-06-26, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Foster Mark E. — Sale on 2026-06-24, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Foster Mark E. — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Foster Mark E. — Sale on 2026-03-25, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Hanson Jeffrey T — Sale on 2025-12-23, filed 6 days after the tradedirector Hanson Jeffrey T — Sale on 2025-12-22, filed 7 days after the tradeofficer Foster Mark E. — Sale on 2025-11-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Hanson Jeffrey T — Sale on 2025-11-10, filed same dayofficer Foster Mark E. — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Foster Mark E.officerSale2,000 @ $55.39$111K−3.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open51,617Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-26PEAY BRIANofficerSale25,000 @ $50.70$1.3M−14.1% of holding+12.1%not yet — horizon still open152,700Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-24Foster Mark E.officerSale2,500 @ $48.58$121K−4.5% of holding+14.4%not yet — horizon still open52,995Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-01Foster Mark E.officerSale2,000 @ $48.32$97K−3.5% of holding+15.6%not yet — horizon still open55,495Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-25Foster Mark E.officerSale2,000 @ $48.55$97K−3.4% of holding−3.6%not yet — horizon still open56,121Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-23Hanson Jeffrey TdirectorSale19,208 @ $48.40$930K−100.0% of holding−4.6%+0.1%0Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade
2025-12-22Hanson Jeffrey TdirectorSale35,570 @ $48.38$1.7M−64.9% of holding−4.8%−1.7%19,208Form 4 · filed 7 days after the trade
2025-11-11Foster Mark E.officerSale1,500 @ $49.35$74K−2.5% of holding−5.9%−5.1%57,600Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-10Hanson Jeffrey TdirectorSale20,010 @ $49.68$994K−47.9% of holding−3.4%−3.9%21,798Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-03Foster Mark E.officerSale3,850 @ $41.89$161K−6.1% of holding−5.2%+19.1%59,100Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-30Oh Stefan K.L.officerSale3,860 @ $36.10$139K−100.0% of holding+0.8%+20.3%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

192 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-21Prosky DannydirectorWithheld for tax59,945286,524Form 4
2026-07-21Prosky DannydirectorWithheld for tax16,663300,747Form 4
2026-07-21Prosky DannydirectorWithheld for tax11,283310,376Form 4
2026-07-21Hanson Jeffrey TdirectorAward / grant35,98135,981Form 4
2026-07-21Prosky DannydirectorOption exercise30,8860Form 4
2026-07-21Prosky DannydirectorOption exercise20,9120Form 4
2026-07-21Willhite Gabriel MofficerAward / grant6,0386,038Form 4
2026-07-21Prosky DannydirectorAward / grant2,594312,970Form 4
2026-07-21Prosky DannydirectorOption exercise30,886317,410Form 4
2026-07-21Prosky DannydirectorOption exercise20,912321,659Form 4
2026-07-21Prosky DannydirectorOption exercise30,886317,410Form 4
2026-07-21Prosky DannydirectorOption exercise20,912321,659Form 4
2026-06-24Flornes Brian J.directorAward / grant2,59433,020Form 4
2026-06-24Streiff Mathieu B.directorAward / grant2,59434,971Form 4
2026-06-24Smith Wilbur H IIIdirectorAward / grant2,59435,013Form 4
2026-06-24ESTES SCOTT AdirectorAward / grant2,59421,489Form 4
2026-06-24Richardson ValeriedirectorAward / grant2,59420,656Form 4
2026-06-24O'Quinn Marvin RdirectorAward / grant2,59420,656Form 4
2026-06-24Hurley DiannedirectorAward / grant2,59434,037Form 4
2026-04-06Prosky DannydirectorWithheld for tax8,596346,469Form 4
2026-04-06PEAY BRIANofficerWithheld for tax3,654177,700Form 4
2026-04-06Willhite Gabriel MofficerWithheld for tax3,654148,165Form 4
2026-04-06Oh Stefan K.L.officerWithheld for tax1,62196,994Form 4
2026-04-06Foster Mark E.officerWithheld for tax1,61257,495Form 4
2026-04-06Willhite Gabriel MofficerOption exercise6,7680Form 4
2026-04-06Foster Mark E.officerOption exercise2,9860Form 4
2026-04-06PEAY BRIANofficerOption exercise6,7680Form 4
2026-04-06Oh Stefan K.L.officerOption exercise3,1850Form 4
2026-04-06Prosky DannydirectorOption exercise15,9240Form 4
2026-04-06Willhite Gabriel MofficerOption exercise6,768151,819Form 4
2026-04-06Prosky DannydirectorOption exercise15,924355,065Form 4
2026-04-06Foster Mark E.officerOption exercise2,98659,107Form 4
2026-04-06Oh Stefan K.L.officerOption exercise3,18598,615Form 4
2026-04-06PEAY BRIANofficerOption exercise6,768181,354Form 4
2026-04-06Prosky DannydirectorOption exercise15,924355,065Form 4
2026-04-06Willhite Gabriel MofficerOption exercise6,768151,819Form 4
2026-04-06Foster Mark E.officerOption exercise2,98659,107Form 4
2026-04-06PEAY BRIANofficerOption exercise6,768181,354Form 4
2026-04-06Oh Stefan K.L.officerOption exercise3,18598,615Form 4
2026-03-26Hanson Jeffrey TdirectorAward / grant42,75642,756Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.