AHCOAdaptHealth Corp.Healthcare · Medical - Devicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $5.91 · now $5.91 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, AHCO has typically landed between $4.45 and $7.18 — a range of −24.7% to +21.4% from the issuance price $5.91.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

2,067 overlapping 1 month windows · 2018-05-24 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($5.91) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where AHCO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $5.91 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$4.45worst · -24.7%$7.18best · +21.4%
  • now $5.91 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $5.86 (-0.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $5.35–$6.38
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $4.45–$7.18
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 2,067 windows spanning 2018-05-24 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-07-22−50.5%−52.0%+3.1%
2026-07-27−50.0%−52.4%+2.4%
2026-07-21−49.5%−53.4%+0.1%
3 best
2024-02-21+56.1%+0.0%+56.1%
2022-05-09+55.6%+0.0%+59.1%
2024-02-07+55.0%+0.0%+56.6%

2,067 overlapping windows · 2018-05-24 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~9 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
75%
+3.2%
n=8
Feb
50%
+0.9%
n=8
Mar
50%
+3.3%
n=8
Apr
25%
−9.1%
n=8
May
50%
+0.3%
n=8
Jun
78%
+3.7%
n=9
Jul
78%
+5.8%
n=9
Aug
44%
−6.8%
n=9
Sep
56%
−1.9%
n=9
Oct
75%
+4.6%
n=8
Nov
50%
−1.4%
n=8
Dec
63%
+5.3%
n=8

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$13$52026-08-07: 1 insider purchase, $117K — WOLF DALE B2026-08-06: 2 insider purchases, $277K — SAMET KENNETH A, WOLF DALE B2026-07-01: 1 insider sale, $118K — Schuster III Russell E.2026-06-01: 1 insider sale, $113K — Schuster III Russell E.2026-03-20: 1 insider purchase, $4.4M — CASHIN RICHARD M JR2026-03-19: 1 insider purchase, $7K — CASHIN RICHARD M JR2026-03-12: 1 insider purchase, $6.7M — CASHIN RICHARD M JR2026-03-11: 1 insider purchase, $5.2M — CASHIN RICHARD M JR2026-03-10: 1 insider purchase, $8.0M — CASHIN RICHARD M JR2026-02-27: 1 insider purchase, $72K — WOLF DALE B2026-02-26: 1 insider purchase, $45K — Rew Richard W. II2025-12-04: 1 insider sale, $47K — Williams David Solomon III2025-08-22: 1 insider sale, $80K — Williams David Solomon III2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $80K2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $47K2026-02: 2 open-market purchases, $116K2026-03: 5 open-market purchases, $24.4M2026-06: 1 open-market sale, $113K2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $118K2026-08: 3 open-market purchases, $395K↑ buys↓ salesdirector WOLF DALE B — Purchase on 2026-08-07, filed 3 days after the tradedirector SAMET KENNETH A — Purchase on 2026-08-06, filed 4 days after the tradedirector WOLF DALE B — Purchase on 2026-08-06, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Schuster III Russell E. — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 5 days after the tradeofficer Schuster III Russell E. — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector CASHIN RICHARD M JR — Purchase on 2026-03-20, filed 3 days after the tradedirector CASHIN RICHARD M JR — Purchase on 2026-03-19, filed 4 days after the tradedirector CASHIN RICHARD M JR — Purchase on 2026-03-12, filed same daydirector CASHIN RICHARD M JR — Purchase on 2026-03-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector CASHIN RICHARD M JR — Purchase on 2026-03-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector WOLF DALE B — Purchase on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Rew Richard W. II — Purchase on 2026-02-26, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Williams David Solomon III — Sale on 2025-12-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Williams David Solomon III — Sale on 2025-08-22, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-07WOLF DALE BdirectorPurchase20,000 @ $5.86$117K+142.9% of holding+9.7%not yet — horizon still open34,000Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-06SAMET KENNETH AdirectorPurchase23,500 @ $6.38$150K+93.7% of holding+7.1%not yet — horizon still open48,569Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-08-06WOLF DALE BdirectorPurchase20,000 @ $6.37$127K+16.2% of holding+7.1%not yet — horizon still open143,234Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-01Schuster III Russell E.officerSale11,275 @ $10.44$118K−8.3% of holding+1.7%not yet — horizon still open125,263Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-06-01Schuster III Russell E.officerSale11,275 @ $10.06$113K−7.6% of holding+8.2%not yet — horizon still open136,538Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-20CASHIN RICHARD M JRdirectorPurchase447,100 @ $9.91$4.4M+2.8% of holding+14.0%not yet — horizon still open16,312,698Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-19CASHIN RICHARD M JRdirectorPurchase727 @ $9.94$7K+0.0% of holding+18.0%not yet — horizon still open15,865,598Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-12CASHIN RICHARD M JRdirectorPurchase689,336 @ $9.73$6.7M+4.5% of holding+23.1%−53.2%15,864,871Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-11CASHIN RICHARD M JRdirectorPurchase536,827 @ $9.73$5.2M+3.7% of holding+24.1%−52.6%15,175,535Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-10CASHIN RICHARD M JRdirectorPurchase820,528 @ $9.73$8.0M+5.9% of holding+25.3%−54.4%14,638,708Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-27WOLF DALE BdirectorPurchase8,000 @ $8.96$72K+8.3% of holding+31.0%−49.5%104,235Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-26Rew Richard W. IIofficerPurchase5,000 @ $8.91$45K+4.9% of holding+31.1%−48.6%107,097Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-04Williams David Solomon IIIdirectorSale5,000 @ $9.43$47K−10.0% of holding+6.1%−5.7%45,045Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-22Williams David Solomon IIIdirectorSale8,200 @ $9.73$80K−14.1% of holding−9.7%−14.9%50,045Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-10Clemens Jason AofficerSale35,000 @ $9.35$327K−7.7% of holding+11.5%−9.5%420,719Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

44 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-09CURRIE HARRISS TofficerAward / grant141,372141,372Form 4
2026-06-24SAMET KENNETH AdirectorAward / grant6,07025,069Form 4
2026-06-24Connors Terence JdirectorAward / grant18,99995,262Form 4
2026-06-24Weaver Susan TdirectorAward / grant18,99940,345Form 4
2026-06-24Williams David Solomon IIIdirectorAward / grant18,99964,044Form 4
2026-06-24SAMET KENNETH AdirectorAward / grant18,99918,999Form 4
2026-06-24WOLF DALE BdirectorAward / grant18,999123,234Form 4
2026-06-24Lundberg Theodore B.directorAward / grant18,999892,495Form 4
2026-06-24Coppens Bradley JdirectorAward / grant18,99996,345Form 4
2026-06-24BELINFANTI GREGORYdirectorAward / grant18,999104,269Form 4
2026-05-27McFadden Daniel EdwardofficerAward / grant20,134103,376Form 4
2026-03-13Prast Albert A.officerWithheld for tax58,203474,155Form 4
2026-03-13Prast Albert A.officerOption exercise89,451532,358Form 4
2026-03-13Prast Albert A.officerOption exercise89,4510Form 4
2026-03-05Weaver Susan TdirectorGift73,47273,472Form 4
2026-03-05Weaver Susan TdirectorGift73,47221,346Form 4
2026-01-30Foster SuzannedirectorAward / grant329,449924,050Form 4
2026-01-30McFadden Daniel EdwardofficerAward / grant29,28483,242Form 4
2026-01-30Prast Albert A.officerAward / grant63,449442,907Form 4
2026-01-30Barnhart Toby ScottofficerAward / grant68,330220,654Form 4
2026-01-30Rew Richard W. IIofficerAward / grant53,688102,097Form 4
2026-01-30Clemens Jason AofficerAward / grant126,899673,481Form 4
2026-01-30Archbold Christine E.officerAward / grant32,213107,198Form 4
2026-01-30Schuster III Russell E.officerAward / grant48,807147,813Form 4
2026-01-09Lundberg Theodore B.directorAward / grant13,740873,496Form 4
2026-01-09BELINFANTI GREGORYdirectorAward / grant11,77685,270Form 4
2025-06-26BELINFANTI GREGORYdirectorAward / grant6,74073,494Form 4
2025-06-26Coppens Bradley JdirectorAward / grant21,34677,346Form 4
2025-06-26Nole Diana LdirectorAward / grant21,34633,045Form 4
2025-06-26Weaver Susan TdirectorAward / grant21,34694,818Form 4
2025-06-26Connors Terence JdirectorAward / grant21,34676,263Form 4
2025-06-26Lundberg Theodore B.directorAward / grant7,864859,756Form 4
2025-06-26Lundberg Theodore B.directorAward / grant21,346851,892Form 4
2025-06-26WOLF DALE BdirectorAward / grant21,34696,235Form 4
2025-06-26Williams David Solomon IIIdirectorAward / grant21,34658,245Form 4
2025-06-26BELINFANTI GREGORYdirectorAward / grant21,34666,754Form 4
2025-02-01Archbold Christine E.officerAward / grant31,95074,985Form 4
2025-02-01Barnhart Toby ScottofficerAward / grant62,932152,324Form 4
2025-02-01Schuster III Russell E.officerAward / grant48,40948,409Form 4
2025-02-01Schuster III Russell E.officerAward / grant50,59799,006Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.