Issued 2026-09-16 at $11.41 · now $11.41 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)
Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, AGMB has typically landed between $8.20 and $17.23 — a range of −28.1% to +51.0% from the issuance price $11.41.
- Actual close
- Typical path (median)
- Middle 50% of outcomes
- 90% range
132 overlapping 1 month windows · 2026-02-06 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch).
The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($11.41) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.
Where AGMB has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $11.41 — the range is history, not a prediction.
- now $11.41 (+0.0%)
- typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $11.54 (+1.2%)
- middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $10.23–$12.86
- 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $8.2–$17.23
| Start | Return | Max drop | Max rise |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 worst | |||
| 2026-02-27 | −38.5% | −38.5% | +1.2% |
| 2026-03-02 | −35.3% | −39.2% | +0.0% |
| 2026-02-26 | −32.2% | −32.2% | +1.2% |
| 3 best | |||
| 2026-05-28 | +54.4% | −16.7% | +54.4% |
| 2026-06-09 | +33.5% | −1.9% | +81.8% |
| 2026-06-12 | +31.4% | +0.0% | +85.4% |
132 overlapping windows · 2026-02-06 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked
Reported insider & political trades
Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares @ price | Value | Ownership Δ | vs S&P 1m | vs S&P 6m | Owned after | Filing |
|---|
The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.
2 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases
Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.
| Date | Person | Role | Action | Shares | Owned after | Filing |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Patel Naimish | director | Award / grant | 56,328 | 56,328 | Form 4 |
| 2026-09-11 | Garcia Marino | director | Award / grant | 57,482 | 57,482 | Form 4 |
Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.
Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.
Congressional disclosures
No congressional trades disclosed for this company.
Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.