AEEAmeren CorporationUtilities · Regulated Electricas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $103.04 · now $103.04 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, AEE has typically landed between $95.75 and $112.00 — a range of −7.1% to +8.7% from the issuance price $103.04.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($103.04) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where AEE has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $103.04 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$95.75worst · -7.1%$112best · +8.7%
  • now $103.04 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $103.9 (+0.8%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $100.4–$107.41
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $95.75–$112
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2009-02-05−40.4%−40.4%+0.0%
2009-02-09−40.0%−40.1%+0.0%
2009-02-06−39.4%−40.2%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-23+25.1%+0.0%+28.7%
2008-10-27+19.2%+0.0%+19.2%
2021-02-26+18.5%+0.0%+18.5%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$31.5B
market cap
$5.56
EPS (TTM)
20.5
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-30
next earnings
Revenue$8.8B
'20'25
Net income$1.5B
'20'25
Free cash flow−$821M
'20'25
Net margin · by yr16.5%
'20'25
ROE · by yr10.9%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr1.48
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 32 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $103.04$-157.31$148.06
  • DCF (intrinsic)$-136.25
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 22.6× · n=32$125.51
  • Analyst target · range $117.00–$127.00$120.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$103.04

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+0.3%
n=18
Feb
47%
−1.1%
n=19
Mar
79%
+3.6%
n=19
Apr
53%
+0.8%
n=19
May
47%
−1.1%
n=19
Jun
47%
+0.5%
n=19
Jul
74%
+3.1%
n=19
Aug
53%
+0.8%
n=19
Sep
53%
−0.6%
n=19
Oct
72%
+1.2%
n=18
Nov
61%
+1.9%
n=18
Dec
50%
+0.7%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$118$962026-09-11: 1 insider sale, $26K — Flores Rafael2026-08-20: 1 insider sale, $55K — Martin Ryan J2026-08-18: 1 insider sale, $52K — Martin Ryan J2026-08-14: 1 insider sale, $35K — Shaw Theresa A2026-08-03: 1 insider sale, $708K — MOEHN MICHAEL L2026-05-14: 1 insider sale, $35K — Shaw Theresa A2026-05-12: 1 insider sale, $164K — Shaw Theresa A2026-05-01: 1 insider sale, $739K — MOEHN MICHAEL L2026-03-04: 1 insider sale, $147K — Martin Ryan J2026-03-03: 3 insider sales, $3.8M — LYONS MARTIN J, Schukar Shawn E, Lindgren Mark C2026-02-17: 4 insider sales, $943K — Mizell Gwendolyn G, Arora Ajay K, Flores Rafael, Shaw Theresa A2026-02-02: 1 insider sale, $673K — MOEHN MICHAEL L2025-11-17: 1 insider sale, $24K — Flores Rafael2025-11-14: 3 insider sales, $548K — HARSHMAN RICHARD J, Smith Patrick E, Shaw Theresa A2025-11-03: 1 insider sale, $659K — MOEHN MICHAEL L2025-09-12: 1 insider sale, $353K — Lindgren Mark C2025-09-03: 1 insider sale, $149K — Mizell Gwendolyn G2025-08-22: 1 insider sale, $102K — Mizell Gwendolyn G2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $768K2025-09: 2 open-market sales, $502K2025-11: 5 open-market sales, $1.2M2026-02: 5 open-market sales, $1.6M2026-03: 4 open-market sales, $3.9M2026-05: 3 open-market sales, $938K2026-08: 4 open-market sales, $850K2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $26K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Flores Rafael — Sale on 2026-09-11, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Martin Ryan J — Sale on 2026-08-20, filed same dayofficer Martin Ryan J — Sale on 2026-08-18, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Shaw Theresa A — Sale on 2026-08-14, filed 3 days after the tradedirector MOEHN MICHAEL L — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Shaw Theresa A — Sale on 2026-05-14, filed same dayofficer Shaw Theresa A — Sale on 2026-05-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MOEHN MICHAEL L — Sale on 2026-05-01, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Martin Ryan J — Sale on 2026-03-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector LYONS MARTIN J — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed same dayother Schukar Shawn E — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed same dayother Lindgren Mark C — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed same daydirector Mizell Gwendolyn G — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Arora Ajay K — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Flores Rafael — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Shaw Theresa A — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MOEHN MICHAEL L — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Flores Rafael — Sale on 2025-11-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector HARSHMAN RICHARD J — Sale on 2025-11-14, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Smith Patrick E — Sale on 2025-11-14, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Shaw Theresa A — Sale on 2025-11-14, filed 4 days after the tradedirector MOEHN MICHAEL L — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 1 day after the tradeother Lindgren Mark C — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Mizell Gwendolyn G — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Mizell Gwendolyn G — Sale on 2025-08-22, filed 4 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-11Flores RafaeldirectorSale248 @ $105.53$26K−1.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open13,888Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-20Martin Ryan JofficerSale500 @ $109.88$55K−1.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open25,595Form 4 · filed same day
2026-08-18Martin Ryan JofficerSale471 @ $109.87$52K−1.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open26,008Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-14Shaw Theresa AofficerSale325 @ $108.93$35K−1.0% of holding−3.7%not yet — horizon still open32,340Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-03MOEHN MICHAEL LdirectorSale6,500 @ $108.96$708K−3.2% of holding−3.7%not yet — horizon still open199,689Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-14Shaw Theresa AofficerSale325 @ $109.08$35K−1.0% of holding−0.2%not yet — horizon still open32,618Form 4 · filed same day
2026-05-12Shaw Theresa AofficerSale1,500 @ $109.35$164K−4.4% of holding−0.4%not yet — horizon still open32,943Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-01MOEHN MICHAEL LdirectorSale6,500 @ $113.63$739K−3.1% of holding−11.4%not yet — horizon still open205,598Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-04Martin Ryan JofficerSale1,300 @ $113.31$147K−4.7% of holding+3.2%−18.2%26,479Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-03-03LYONS MARTIN JdirectorSale26,818 @ $111.84$3.0M−8.7% of holding+3.0%−16.5%282,681Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-03Schukar Shawn EotherSale4,975 @ $111.84$556K−8.0% of holding+3.0%−16.5%56,830Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-03Lindgren Mark CotherSale2,073 @ $111.84$232K−4.4% of holding+3.0%−16.5%44,983Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-17Mizell Gwendolyn GdirectorSale3,548 @ $110.90$393K−32.8% of holding+4.0%−12.4%7,267Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-17Arora Ajay KofficerSale3,000 @ $111.44$334K−12.5% of holding+4.0%−12.4%21,037Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-17Flores RafaeldirectorSale1,600 @ $111.52$178K−10.3% of holding+4.0%−12.4%13,953Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-17Shaw Theresa AofficerSale325 @ $111.89$36K−0.9% of holding+4.0%−12.4%35,693Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-02MOEHN MICHAEL LdirectorSale6,500 @ $103.60$673K−3.3% of holding+12.2%−3.1%193,076Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-17Flores RafaeldirectorSale225 @ $105.21$24K−1.6% of holding−6.7%−7.4%14,173Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-14HARSHMAN RICHARD JdirectorSale2,500 @ $104.90$262K−10.9% of holding−7.1%−4.6%20,378Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-14Smith Patrick EofficerSale2,404 @ $104.80$252K−13.8% of holding−7.1%−4.6%15,077Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-14Shaw Theresa AofficerSale325 @ $104.77$34K−1.0% of holding−7.1%−4.6%32,942Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-11-03MOEHN MICHAEL LdirectorSale6,500 @ $101.44$659K−3.2% of holding−0.1%+1.4%198,973Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-12Lindgren Mark CotherSale3,500 @ $100.89$353K−7.6% of holding+1.6%+11.2%42,574Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-03Mizell Gwendolyn GdirectorSale1,500 @ $99.50$149K−16.4% of holding−0.5%+6.7%7,629Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-22Mizell Gwendolyn GdirectorSale1,000 @ $101.79$102K−9.9% of holding−3.4%+3.6%9,129Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-01MOEHN MICHAEL LdirectorSale6,500 @ $102.54$667K−3.1% of holding−5.3%−10.8%204,879Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-05-20MOEHN MICHAEL LdirectorSale6,500 @ $98.62$641K−3.0% of holding−3.8%−4.0%210,768Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-04LYONS MARTIN JdirectorSale14,833 @ $103.79$1.5M−5.2% of holding+3.4%−10.9%269,683Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-04Nwamu Chonda JdirectorSale5,500 @ $101.37$558K−11.3% of holding+3.4%−10.9%43,344Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-04Schukar Shawn EotherSale4,743 @ $103.79$492K−7.6% of holding+3.4%−10.9%57,486Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-04Lindgren Mark CotherSale1,870 @ $103.79$194K−3.9% of holding+3.4%−10.9%46,480Form 4 · filed same day
2025-02-26Shaw Theresa AofficerSale1,000 @ $99.53$100K−3.0% of holding+4.3%−6.3%31,993Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-20MOEHN MICHAEL LdirectorSale6,500 @ $97.54$634K−2.7% of holding+9.8%+1.2%230,016Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-02-19Ivey Craig SdirectorSale2,716 @ $98.27$267K−15.8% of holding+10.6%+1.0%14,495Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-19Flores RafaeldirectorSale1,900 @ $97.93$186K−11.9% of holding+10.6%+1.0%14,107Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

108 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-01Arora Ajay KofficerAward / grant71623,119Form 4
2026-07-01Smith Patrick EofficerAward / grant28020,275Form 4
2026-07-01Melda Aaron PofficerAward / grant2,5206,251Form 4
2026-06-01Arora Ajay KofficerAward / grant6,79722,326Form 4
2026-06-01Melda Aaron PofficerAward / grant3,7053,705Form 4
2026-03-05BRUNE CATHERINE SdirectorGift45026,628Form 4
2026-03-01Rausch Timothy S.directorAward / grant1,2511,251Form 4
2026-02-27LYONS MARTIN JdirectorWithheld for tax28,154309,499Form 4
2026-02-27MOEHN MICHAEL LdirectorWithheld for tax14,355211,525Form 4
2026-02-27Singh Leonard PotherWithheld for tax5,47832,776Form 4
2026-02-27Schukar Shawn EotherWithheld for tax3,14861,805Form 4
2026-02-27Lindgren Mark CotherWithheld for tax2,05447,046Form 4
2026-02-27Shaw Theresa AofficerWithheld for tax1,29634,397Form 4
2026-02-27Arora Ajay KofficerWithheld for tax1,03515,499Form 4
2026-02-27Seidler Eric VofficerWithheld for tax98214,041Form 4
2026-02-27Mizell Gwendolyn GdirectorWithheld for tax9436,324Form 4
2026-02-27Smith Patrick EofficerWithheld for tax91019,910Form 4
2026-02-27Martin Ryan JofficerWithheld for tax72627,779Form 4
2026-02-05Smith Patrick EofficerAward / grant2,17820,822Form 4
2026-02-05Feinberg David MatthewofficerAward / grant4,4498,260Form 4
2026-02-05MOEHN MICHAEL LdirectorAward / grant9,955203,031Form 4
2026-02-05MOEHN MICHAEL LdirectorAward / grant22,849225,880Form 4
2026-02-05Martin Ryan JofficerAward / grant1,29426,711Form 4
2026-02-05Martin Ryan JofficerAward / grant1,75228,505Form 4
2026-02-05Schukar Shawn EotherAward / grant2,82459,191Form 4
2026-02-05Schukar Shawn EotherAward / grant5,69964,953Form 4
2026-02-05Seidler Eric VofficerAward / grant1,06612,601Form 4
2026-02-05Seidler Eric VofficerAward / grant2,36415,023Form 4
2026-02-05Shaw Theresa AofficerAward / grant1,33332,843Form 4
2026-02-05Shaw Theresa AofficerAward / grant3,12636,018Form 4
2026-02-05Singh Leonard PotherAward / grant5,50828,321Form 4
2026-02-05Singh Leonard PotherAward / grant9,51538,254Form 4
2026-02-05Smith Patrick EofficerAward / grant3,66318,620Form 4
2026-02-05LYONS MARTIN JdirectorAward / grant23,170290,853Form 4
2026-02-05LYONS MARTIN JdirectorAward / grant44,840337,652Form 4
2026-02-05Lindgren Mark CotherAward / grant2,08244,656Form 4
2026-02-05Lindgren Mark CotherAward / grant4,34949,099Form 4
2026-02-05Mizell Gwendolyn GdirectorAward / grant8658,494Form 4
2026-02-05Mizell Gwendolyn GdirectorAward / grant2,27610,815Form 4
2026-02-05Arora Ajay KofficerAward / grant1,46714,008Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-06$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-29$15–50K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2025-10-072025-09-25$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2025-07-092025-06-27$1–15K
Rob BresnahanHousesale2025-06-092025-05-15$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-05-122025-04-25$15–50K
Rob BresnahanHousepurchase2025-05-082025-04-08$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2025-03-062025-02-24$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2024-09-062024-08-20$1–15K
John JamesHousesale2024-09-062024-09-04$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-07-082024-06-24$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2024-07-082024-06-20$50–100K
Diana HarshbargerHousesale2022-11-292022-10-25$1–15K
Diana HarshbargerHousesale2022-11-292022-10-25$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.