ADPAutomatic Data Processing, Inc.Industrials · Staffing & Employment Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $273.19 · now $273.19 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ADP has typically landed between $247.13 and $302.72 — a range of −9.5% to +10.8% from the issuance price $273.19.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-022026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.756.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($273.19) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ADP has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $273.19 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$247.13worst · -9.5%$302.72best · +10.8%
  • now $273.19 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $274.78 (+0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $263.28$286.29
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $247.13$302.72
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−38.5%−38.5%+0.0%
2020-02-20−37.6%−37.6%+0.0%
2020-02-19−34.8%−34.8%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-23+27.2%+0.0%+31.9%
2008-10-29+23.4%−3.5%+23.4%
2022-07-18+23.1%+0.0%+23.1%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-022026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$100.0B
market cap
$10.73
EPS (TTM)
23.3
P/E (TTM)
2026-07-29
next earnings
Revenue$20.6B
'20'25
Net income$4.1B
'20'25
Free cash flow$4.8B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr19.8%
'20'25
ROE · by yr65.9%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr1.46
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 74 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $273.19$178.47$345.71
  • DCF (intrinsic)$334.17
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 30.7× · n=74$328.91
  • Analyst target · range $190.00$294.00$260.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$273.19

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
44%
−1.3%
n=18
Feb
58%
+0.2%
n=19
Mar
68%
+2.3%
n=19
Apr
58%
+1.1%
n=19
May
58%
+1.1%
n=19
Jun
58%
+0.2%
n=19
Jul
79%
+4.3%
n=19
Aug
63%
+1.0%
n=19
Sep
53%
−0.4%
n=19
Oct
67%
+2.2%
n=18
Nov
72%
+4.5%
n=18
Dec
61%
+0.3%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$301$1872026-09-03: 1 insider sale, $178K — DeSilva Joseph2026-09-02: 17 insider sales, $11.2M — Black Maria, DeSilva Joseph, D'Ambrosio Christopher, Foskett David …2026-08-21: 1 insider sale, $34K — Michaud Brian L.2026-08-20: 1 insider sale, $223K — Kwon David2026-07-30: 3 insider sales, $641K — Kwon David …2026-05-08: 1 insider sale, $180K — Michaud Brian L.2026-05-07: 1 insider purchase, $746K — SWAN ROBERT HOLMES2026-04-14: 1 insider sale, $106K — D'Ambrosio Christopher2026-03-16: 1 insider sale, $113K — D'Ambrosio Christopher2026-02-17: 1 insider sale, $115K — D'Ambrosio Christopher2026-02-06: 1 insider sale, $234K — Michaud Brian L.2026-02-05: 1 insider sale, $63K — Foskett David2026-01-13: 1 insider sale, $142K — D'Ambrosio Christopher2026-01-12: 1 insider sale, $213K — Kwon David2026-01-06: 1 insider sale, $234K — Kwon David2026-01-05: 6 insider sales, $184K — Black Maria …2025-09-12: 5 insider sales, $374K — Rodriguez Carlos A …2025-09-11: 7 insider sales, $832K — Rodriguez Carlos A …2025-09-10: 8 insider sales, $6.6M — Rodriguez Carlos A, D'Ambrosio Christopher …2025-09-09: 4 insider sales, $9.1M — Rodriguez Carlos A, Bonarti Michael A …2025-09-05: 9 insider sales, $3.6M — Rodriguez Carlos A …2025-09-04: 5 insider sales, $3.5M — Rodriguez Carlos A …2025-09-03: 27 insider sales, $16.3M — McGuire Don, Rodriguez Carlos A, Black Maria, DeSilva Joseph …2025-09-02: 6 insider sales, $3.2M — Black Maria, DeSilva Joseph, Foskett David …2025-09: 71 open-market sales, $43.6M2026-01: 9 open-market sales, $774K2026-02: 3 open-market sales, $413K2026-03: 1 open-market sale, $113K2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $106K2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $746K2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $180K2026-07: 3 open-market sales, $641K2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $257K2026-09: 18 open-market sales, $11.4M↑ buys↓ salesofficer DeSilva Joseph — Sale on 2026-09-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer DeSilva Joseph — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer D'Ambrosio Christopher — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Foskett David — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Michaud Brian L. — Sale on 2026-08-21, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Kwon David — Sale on 2026-08-20, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Kwon David — Sale on 2026-07-30, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kwon David — Sale on 2026-07-30, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kwon David — Sale on 2026-07-30, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Michaud Brian L. — Sale on 2026-05-08, filed 3 days after the tradedirector SWAN ROBERT HOLMES — Purchase on 2026-05-07, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer D'Ambrosio Christopher — Sale on 2026-04-14, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer D'Ambrosio Christopher — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer D'Ambrosio Christopher — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Michaud Brian L. — Sale on 2026-02-06, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Foskett David — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer D'Ambrosio Christopher — Sale on 2026-01-13, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kwon David — Sale on 2026-01-12, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Kwon David — Sale on 2026-01-06, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-12, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-11, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer D'Ambrosio Christopher — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-10, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Bonarti Michael A — Sale on 2025-09-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-04, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-04, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer McGuire Don — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer DeSilva Joseph — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Foskett David — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Rodriguez Carlos A — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2025-09-03, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer DeSilva Joseph — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Foskett David — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Black Maria — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-03DeSilva JosephofficerSale631 @ $282.87$178K−3.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open18,824Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02Black MariadirectorSale10,591 @ $280.82$3.0M−11.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open80,624Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02Black MariadirectorSale7,724 @ $281.66$2.2M−7.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open91,215Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02DeSilva JosephofficerSale6,512 @ $283.00$1.8M−25.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open19,455Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02Black MariadirectorSale2,898 @ $279.74$811K−2.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open98,939Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02D'Ambrosio ChristopherofficerSale1,872 @ $283.00$530K−15.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open9,928Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02Foskett DavidofficerSale1,529 @ $283.00$433K−9.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open14,146Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02Black MariadirectorSale1,483 @ $281.13$417K−1.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open101,837Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02Black MariadirectorSale1,193 @ $280.96$335K−1.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open103,320Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02Black MariadirectorSale1,018 @ $281.60$287K−1.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open105,531Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02Black MariadirectorSale1,018 @ $280.60$286K−1.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open104,513Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02Black MariadirectorSale786 @ $280.27$220K−0.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open106,549Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02Black MariadirectorSale760 @ $281.70$214K−0.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open107,335Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02Black MariadirectorSale700 @ $278.59$195K−0.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open108,095Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02Black MariadirectorSale610 @ $281.86$172K−0.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open108,795Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02Black MariadirectorSale559 @ $279.93$156K−0.5% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open109,405Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02Black MariadirectorSale256 @ $279.44$72K−0.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open109,964Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-02Black MariadirectorSale214 @ $279.21$60K−0.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open110,220Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-21Michaud Brian L.officerSale120 @ $279.70$34K−0.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open18,442Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-08-20Kwon DavidofficerSale798 @ $280.00$223K−5.7% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open13,193Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-07-30Kwon DavidofficerSale1,053 @ $265.62$280K−9.8% of holding+5.2%not yet — horizon still open9,660Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-30Kwon DavidofficerSale887 @ $265.62$236K−7.6% of holding+5.2%not yet — horizon still open10,713Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-30Kwon DavidofficerSale474 @ $265.62$126K−3.9% of holding+5.2%not yet — horizon still open11,600Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-08Michaud Brian L.officerSale848 @ $212.13$180K−5.5% of holding+8.6%not yet — horizon still open14,462Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-05-07SWAN ROBERT HOLMESdirectorPurchase3,619 @ $206.05$746K+249.1% of holding+6.0%not yet — horizon still open5,072Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-04-14D'Ambrosio ChristopherofficerSale543 @ $195.74$106K−6.1% of holding+0.1%not yet — horizon still open8,369Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16D'Ambrosio ChristopherofficerSale543 @ $208.45$113K−5.7% of holding−10.7%+19.4%8,912Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-17D'Ambrosio ChristopherofficerSale543 @ $212.43$115K−5.4% of holding+1.7%+15.4%9,455Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-06Michaud Brian L.officerSale1,000 @ $234.18$234K−6.1% of holding−4.1%+7.7%15,310Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-05Foskett DavidofficerSale266 @ $237.00$63K−2.4% of holding−4.8%+3.1%10,954Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-01-13D'Ambrosio ChristopherofficerSale543 @ $262.29$142K−5.2% of holding−16.5%−7.4%9,998Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-12Kwon DavidofficerSale806 @ $264.80$213K−6.7% of holding−16.7%−13.5%11,187Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-06Kwon DavidofficerSale900 @ $260.00$234K−7.0% of holding−8.3%−15.4%11,993Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-05Black MariadirectorSale294 @ $258.09$76K−0.4% of holding−8.6%−13.7%75,052Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-05Black MariadirectorSale145 @ $257.24$37K−0.2% of holding−8.6%−13.7%75,346Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-05Black MariadirectorSale98 @ $258.77$25K−0.1% of holding−8.6%−13.7%75,491Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-05Black MariadirectorSale71 @ $254.95$18K−0.1% of holding−8.6%−13.7%75,589Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-05Black MariadirectorSale56 @ $255.73$14K−0.1% of holding−8.6%−13.7%75,660Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-05Black MariadirectorSale51 @ $253.32$13K−0.1% of holding−8.6%−13.7%75,716Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-12Rodriguez Carlos AdirectorSale855 @ $293.76$251K−3.9% of holding−4.3%−30.1%21,275Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-12Rodriguez Carlos AdirectorSale230 @ $292.81$67K−1.0% of holding−4.3%−30.1%22,130Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-12Rodriguez Carlos AdirectorSale129 @ $296.13$38K−0.6% of holding−4.3%−30.1%22,360Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-12Rodriguez Carlos AdirectorSale52 @ $294.41$15K−0.2% of holding−4.3%−30.1%22,489Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-12Rodriguez Carlos AdirectorSale7 @ $296.94$2K−0.0% of holding−4.3%−30.1%22,541Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-11Rodriguez Carlos AdirectorSale802 @ $294.80$236K−3.4% of holding−3.4%−29.9%22,548Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-11Rodriguez Carlos AdirectorSale623 @ $297.98$186K−2.6% of holding−3.4%−29.9%23,350Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-11Rodriguez Carlos AdirectorSale591 @ $295.82$175K−2.4% of holding−3.4%−29.9%23,973Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-11Rodriguez Carlos AdirectorSale337 @ $296.92$100K−1.4% of holding−3.4%−29.9%24,564Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-11Rodriguez Carlos AdirectorSale202 @ $293.04$59K−0.8% of holding−3.4%−29.9%24,901Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-11Rodriguez Carlos AdirectorSale186 @ $293.93$55K−0.7% of holding−3.4%−29.9%25,103Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-11Rodriguez Carlos AdirectorSale72 @ $298.57$21K−0.3% of holding−3.4%−29.9%25,289Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-10Rodriguez Carlos AdirectorSale8,297 @ $293.08$2.4M−24.7% of holding−4.9%−30.9%25,361Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-10Rodriguez Carlos AdirectorSale5,363 @ $292.12$1.6M−13.7% of holding−4.9%−30.9%33,658Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-10Rodriguez Carlos AdirectorSale3,311 @ $290.98$963K−7.8% of holding−4.9%−30.9%39,021Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-10Rodriguez Carlos AdirectorSale2,192 @ $293.78$644K−4.9% of holding−4.9%−30.9%42,332Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-10Rodriguez Carlos AdirectorSale1,607 @ $296.19$476K−3.5% of holding−4.9%−30.9%44,524Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-10Rodriguez Carlos AdirectorSale800 @ $294.96$236K−1.7% of holding−4.9%−30.9%46,131Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-10D'Ambrosio ChristopherofficerSale597 @ $296.90$177K−5.4% of holding−4.9%−30.9%10,541Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-10Rodriguez Carlos AdirectorSale380 @ $296.84$113K−0.8% of holding−4.9%−30.9%46,931Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-09Rodriguez Carlos AdirectorSale15,545 @ $296.95$4.6M−38.0% of holding−5.5%−32.1%25,361Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

169 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-09Sugla VishwasofficerAward / grant2,8272,827Form 4
2026-09-09Sugla VishwasofficerAward / grant2,0734,900Form 4
2026-09-01Black MariadirectorWithheld for tax31,215110,434Form 4
2026-09-01Rodriguez Carlos AdirectorWithheld for tax13,47234,178Form 4
2026-09-01Bonarti Michael AofficerWithheld for tax7,72789,336Form 4
2026-09-01DeSilva JosephofficerWithheld for tax7,48225,967Form 4
2026-09-01KUTAM SREENIVASAofficerWithheld for tax7,32949,699Form 4
2026-09-01Boland PaulofficerWithheld for tax3,13412,334Form 4
2026-09-01Magliulo VirginiaofficerWithheld for tax2,70917,792Form 4
2026-09-01Michaud Brian L.officerWithheld for tax2,28118,843Form 4
2026-09-01Foskett DavidofficerWithheld for tax1,98015,675Form 4
2026-09-01Kwon DavidofficerWithheld for tax1,96912,986Form 4
2026-09-01D'Ambrosio ChristopherofficerWithheld for tax1,73611,800Form 4
2026-09-01Hadley Peter JofficerWithheld for tax1,65117,213Form 4
2026-09-01Lehberger Jonathan SofficerWithheld for tax4065,731Form 4
2026-09-01Orihuela Samantha DofficerWithheld for tax154296Form 4
2026-09-01Hadley Peter JofficerAward / grant6,46418,864Form 4
2026-09-01Magliulo VirginiaofficerAward / grant2,85820,501Form 4
2026-09-01Lehberger Jonathan SofficerAward / grant9036,138Form 4
2026-09-01KUTAM SREENIVASAofficerAward / grant5,25957,028Form 4
2026-09-01Black MariadirectorAward / grant21,689141,650Form 4
2026-09-01Bonarti Michael AofficerAward / grant5,07697,063Form 4
2026-09-01D'Ambrosio ChristopherofficerAward / grant2,56513,535Form 4
2026-09-01DeSilva JosephofficerAward / grant5,08933,449Form 4
2026-09-01Orihuela Samantha DofficerAward / grant1,1636,454Form 4
2026-09-01Michaud Brian L.officerAward / grant2,68321,125Form 4
2026-09-01Foskett DavidofficerAward / grant4,00617,656Form 4
2026-09-01Boland PaulofficerAward / grant3,63415,467Form 4
2026-09-01Kwon DavidofficerAward / grant1,76314,956Form 4
2026-08-20Kwon DavidofficerOption exercise9670Form 4
2026-08-20Kwon DavidofficerOption exercise96713,991Form 4
2026-08-05Magliulo VirginiaofficerAward / grant4,05017,643Form 4
2026-08-05Black MariadirectorAward / grant44,859119,961Form 4
2026-08-05Boland PaulofficerAward / grant4,67211,833Form 4
2026-08-05Bonarti Michael AofficerAward / grant11,57391,987Form 4
2026-08-05D'Ambrosio ChristopherofficerAward / grant2,60110,970Form 4
2026-08-05DeSilva JosephofficerAward / grant10,90328,360Form 4
2026-08-05Foskett DavidofficerAward / grant2,64713,650Form 4
2026-08-05Hadley Peter JofficerAward / grant1,47912,400Form 4
2026-08-05KUTAM SREENIVASAofficerAward / grant11,08351,769Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-07-022026-06-16$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-27$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-13$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-05-112026-04-24$15–50K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-05-082026-04-14$1–15K
Jared MoskowitzHousesale2026-04-302026-03-23$1–15K
Jared MoskowitzHousesale2026-04-302026-03-23$1–15K
Jared MoskowitzHousesale2026-04-302026-03-23$1–15K
Richard Dean Dr MccormickHousesale2026-04-072026-03-19$1–15K
Richard Dean Dr MccormickHousepurchase2026-04-072026-03-19$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-04-072026-03-30$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-04-072026-03-23$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-24$15–50K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.