ADMAADMA Biologics, Inc.Healthcare · Biotechnologyas of 2026-09-25
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-25 at $9.38 · now $9.38 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, ADMA has typically landed between $7.80 and $12.11 — a range of −16.8% to +29.2% from the issuance price $9.38.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

3,233 overlapping 1 month windows · 2013-10-17 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.7% (90% CI 51.5–55.9%, ≈1,391 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($9.38) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ADMA has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $9.38 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$7.8worst · -16.8%$12.11best · +29.2%
  • now $9.38 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $9.7 (+3.5%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $8.68–$10.73
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $7.8–$12.11
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 3,233 windows spanning 2013-10-17 to 2026-09-25. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-18−59.6%−59.6%+5.9%
2018-11-27−58.6%−59.7%+0.4%
2018-11-23−57.9%−57.9%+4.8%
3 best
2016-02-26+89.9%+0.0%+89.9%
2020-03-18+79.3%+0.0%+112.0%
2016-02-25+76.1%−5.5%+76.1%

3,233 overlapping windows · 2013-10-17 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~13 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
46%
+2.7%
n=13
Feb
46%
−1.8%
n=13
Mar
54%
+5.8%
n=13
Apr
62%
+2.6%
n=13
May
62%
+3.9%
n=13
Jun
31%
−3.5%
n=13
Jul
77%
+9.1%
n=13
Aug
31%
+0.7%
n=13
Sep
23%
−1.9%
n=13
Oct
50%
−2.6%
n=12
Nov
62%
+8.1%
n=13
Dec
31%
−5.8%
n=13

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$20$82026-05-27: 1 insider purchase, $51K — Grossman Jerrold B2026-05-12: 1 insider purchase, $100K — Grossman Jerrold B2026-05-11: 1 insider purchase, $100K — Grossman Jerrold B2026-03-16: 2 insider sales, $318K — Grossman Adam S …2026-03-09: 1 insider sale, $158K — Kestenberg-Messina Kaitlin M.2026-03-06: 1 insider purchase, $108K — ELMS STEVE2026-03-05: 1 insider purchase, $110K — ELMS STEVE2026-02-17: 2 insider sales, $338K — Grossman Adam S …2025-12-15: 2 insider sales, $416K — Grossman Adam S …2025-11-19: 2 insider sales, $336K — Grossman Adam S …2025-10-24: 2 insider sales, $336K — Grossman Adam S …2025-09-15: 2 insider sales, $339K — Grossman Adam S …2025-08: 2 open-market sales, $354K2025-09: 2 open-market sales, $339K2025-10: 2 open-market sales, $336K2025-11: 2 open-market sales, $336K2025-12: 2 open-market sales, $416K2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $338K2026-03: 2 open-market purchases, $217K2026-03: 3 open-market sales, $476K2026-05: 3 open-market purchases, $251K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Grossman Jerrold B — Purchase on 2026-05-27, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Grossman Jerrold B — Purchase on 2026-05-12, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Grossman Jerrold B — Purchase on 2026-05-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Grossman Adam S — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Grossman Adam S — Sale on 2026-03-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Kestenberg-Messina Kaitlin M. — Sale on 2026-03-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector ELMS STEVE — Purchase on 2026-03-06, filed 3 days after the tradedirector ELMS STEVE — Purchase on 2026-03-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Grossman Adam S — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed same daydirector Grossman Adam S — Sale on 2026-02-17, filed same daydirector Grossman Adam S — Sale on 2025-12-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Grossman Adam S — Sale on 2025-12-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Grossman Adam S — Sale on 2025-11-19, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Grossman Adam S — Sale on 2025-11-19, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Grossman Adam S — Sale on 2025-10-24, filed same daydirector Grossman Adam S — Sale on 2025-10-24, filed same daydirector Grossman Adam S — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Grossman Adam S — Sale on 2025-09-15, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-27Grossman Jerrold BdirectorPurchase6,400 @ $7.91$51K+1.2% of holding+13.1%not yet — horizon still open520,284Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-05-12Grossman Jerrold BdirectorPurchase12,500 @ $8.01$100K+2.5% of holding−1.0%not yet — horizon still open513,884Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-11Grossman Jerrold BdirectorPurchase12,500 @ $8.01$100K+2.6% of holding+9.5%not yet — horizon still open501,384Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16Grossman Adam SdirectorSale15,000 @ $15.16$227K−0.7% of holding−37.7%−59.2%2,118,777Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-16Grossman Adam SdirectorSale6,000 @ $15.16$91K−0.3% of holding−37.7%−59.2%2,112,777Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-09Kestenberg-Messina Kaitlin M.officerSale10,096 @ $15.63$158K−2.1% of holding−37.8%−53.2%466,600Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-06ELMS STEVEdirectorPurchase7,000 @ $15.39$108K+0.3% of holding−38.1%−52.6%2,045,730Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-05ELMS STEVEdirectorPurchase7,000 @ $15.67$110K+0.3% of holding−37.9%−53.1%2,038,730Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-17Grossman Adam SdirectorSale15,000 @ $16.08$241K−0.7% of holding−3.6%−53.2%2,290,379Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-17Grossman Adam SdirectorSale6,000 @ $16.08$96K−0.3% of holding−3.6%−53.2%2,284,379Form 4 · filed same day
2025-12-15Grossman Adam SdirectorSale15,000 @ $19.79$297K−0.7% of holding−13.3%−66.8%2,013,850Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-12-15Grossman Adam SdirectorSale6,000 @ $19.79$119K−0.3% of holding−13.3%−66.8%2,007,850Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-19Grossman Adam SdirectorSale15,000 @ $16.00$240K−0.7% of holding+19.7%−61.5%2,019,850Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-19Grossman Adam SdirectorSale6,000 @ $16.00$96K−0.3% of holding+19.7%−61.5%2,013,850Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-24Grossman Adam SdirectorSale15,000 @ $16.00$240K−0.7% of holding+21.9%−33.9%2,025,850Form 4 · filed same day
2025-10-24Grossman Adam SdirectorSale6,000 @ $16.00$96K−0.3% of holding+21.9%−33.9%2,019,850Form 4 · filed same day
2025-09-15Grossman Adam SdirectorSale15,000 @ $16.13$242K−0.7% of holding−2.8%+3.5%2,031,850Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-15Grossman Adam SdirectorSale6,000 @ $16.13$97K−0.3% of holding−2.8%+3.5%2,025,850Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-15Grossman Adam SdirectorSale15,000 @ $16.88$253K−0.7% of holding−10.2%−12.9%2,037,850Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-15Grossman Adam SdirectorSale6,000 @ $16.88$101K−0.3% of holding−10.2%−12.9%2,031,850Form 4 · filed same day
2025-07-15Grossman Adam SdirectorSale15,000 @ $18.66$280K−0.7% of holding−8.0%−13.7%2,043,850Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-07-15Grossman Adam SdirectorSale6,000 @ $18.66$112K−0.3% of holding−8.0%−13.7%2,037,850Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-16ELMS STEVEdirectorSale194,749 @ $20.24$3.9M−69.0% of holding−18.3%−16.9%87,330Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-16Grossman Adam SdirectorSale15,000 @ $20.81$312K−0.7% of holding−18.3%−16.9%2,049,850Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-16Grossman Adam SdirectorSale6,000 @ $20.81$125K−0.3% of holding−18.3%−16.9%2,043,850Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-13ELMS STEVEdirectorSale137,931 @ $20.82$2.9M−32.8% of holding−19.9%−19.8%282,079Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-06-12ELMS STEVEdirectorSale92,941 @ $21.69$2.0M−4.4% of holding−20.1%−20.5%2,031,730Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-06-09Guiheen Lawrence P.directorSale20,000 @ $20.96$419K−17.4% of holding−16.2%−21.7%94,830Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-09Grossman Jerrold BdirectorSale10,000 @ $21.31$213K−2.0% of holding−16.2%−21.7%478,194Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-22Guiheen Lawrence P.directorSale1,221 @ $20.12$25K−1.1% of holding−15.8%−31.4%114,830Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-21Guiheen Lawrence P.directorSale7,779 @ $20.32$158K−6.3% of holding−14.5%−35.1%114,830Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-15Grossman Adam SdirectorSale15,000 @ $19.45$292K−0.7% of holding+4.2%−32.7%2,055,850Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-15Grossman Adam SdirectorSale6,000 @ $19.45$117K−0.3% of holding+4.2%−32.7%2,049,850Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-15Grossman Adam SdirectorSale15,000 @ $21.46$322K−0.7% of holding−23.1%−56.3%2,061,850Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-04-15Grossman Adam SdirectorSale6,000 @ $21.46$129K−0.3% of holding−23.1%−56.3%2,055,850Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-19Grossman Adam SdirectorSale15,000 @ $18.92$284K−0.7% of holding+10.3%−39.1%2,067,850Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-19Grossman Adam SdirectorSale6,000 @ $18.92$114K−0.3% of holding+10.3%−39.1%2,061,850Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-11-22Grossman Adam SdirectorSale48,967 @ $21.10$1.0M−2.4% of holding−19.1%−6.4%1,989,007Form 4 · filed same day
2024-11-22Tade Brad L.officerSale15,000 @ $21.15$317K−7.0% of holding−19.1%−6.4%199,433Form 4 · filed same day
2024-09-09Guiheen Lawrence P.directorSale9,000 @ $18.47$166K−5.5% of holding+7.5%−2.3%153,941Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2024-08-30Kestenberg-Messina Kaitlin M.officerSale24,150 @ $16.90$408K−5.1% of holding+13.0%−2.0%449,088Form 4 · filed same day
2024-08-29Grossman Jerrold BdirectorSale136,861 @ $17.27$2.4M−22.7% of holding+13.0%−5.2%467,305Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-08-27Grossman Adam SdirectorSale389,356 @ $17.29$6.7M−15.9% of holding+9.8%−12.0%2,059,726Form 4 · filed same day
2024-08-26Grossman Adam SdirectorSale236,889 @ $17.69$4.2M−10.3% of holding+9.7%−16.6%2,059,726Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-08-23KWON YOUNGdirectorSale60,000 @ $18.26$1.1M−19.9% of holding+2.9%−20.7%241,441Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2024-06-14Grossman Adam SdirectorSale100,000 @ $10.72$1.1M−4.6% of holding+22.1%+62.9%2,081,475Form 4 · filed same day
2024-03-19ELMS STEVEdirectorSale411,829 @ $6.08$2.5M−16.3% of holding+3.3%+202.9%2,115,671Form 4 · filed same day
2024-03-18ELMS STEVEdirectorSale49,887 @ $6.01$300K−1.9% of holding+4.1%+204.8%2,527,500Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-03-15ELMS STEVEdirectorSale183,008 @ $6.01$1.1M−6.6% of holding+4.1%+193.1%2,577,387Form 4 · filed same day
2024-03-14ELMS STEVEdirectorSale448,276 @ $6.05$2.7M−14.0% of holding+1.1%+190.7%2,760,395Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-03-13ELMS STEVEdirectorSale407,000 @ $6.21$2.5M−11.3% of holding−3.1%+172.9%3,208,671Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

199 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-24Kestenberg-Messina Kaitlin M.officerWithheld for tax3,177443,061Form 4
2026-07-16Kohler TerryofficerAward / grant136,363136,363Form 4
2026-07-16Kohler TerryofficerAward / grant85,130143,149Form 4
2026-04-01Kestenberg-Messina Kaitlin M.officerWithheld for tax20,362446,238Form 4
2026-03-17Guiheen Lawrence P.directorGift30,000105,520Form 4
2026-03-17Guiheen Lawrence P.directorGift30,00030,000Form 4
2026-03-16Grossman Adam SdirectorOption exercise15,0002,133,777Form 4
2026-03-16Grossman Adam SdirectorOption exercise15,000690,950Form 4
2026-03-13Guiheen Lawrence P.directorOption exercise30,000135,520Form 4
2026-03-13Guiheen Lawrence P.directorOption exercise30,00023,837Form 4
2026-03-09Kestenberg-Messina Kaitlin M.officerOption exercise2,500469,100Form 4
2026-03-09Kestenberg-Messina Kaitlin M.officerOption exercise2,646472,996Form 4
2026-03-09Kestenberg-Messina Kaitlin M.officerOption exercise1,250470,350Form 4
2026-03-09Kestenberg-Messina Kaitlin M.officerOption exercise1,525474,521Form 4
2026-03-09Kestenberg-Messina Kaitlin M.officerOption exercise2,175476,696Form 4
2026-03-09Kestenberg-Messina Kaitlin M.officerOption exercise2,6462,771Form 4
2026-03-09Kestenberg-Messina Kaitlin M.officerOption exercise1,2501,250Form 4
2026-03-09Kestenberg-Messina Kaitlin M.officerOption exercise1,5252,225Form 4
2026-03-09Kestenberg-Messina Kaitlin M.officerOption exercise2,1752,825Form 4
2026-03-09Kestenberg-Messina Kaitlin M.officerOther acquisition91,266466,600Form 4
2026-03-09Kestenberg-Messina Kaitlin M.officerOption exercise2,5002,500Form 4
2026-03-07Grossman Adam SdirectorWithheld for tax29,5132,118,777Form 4
2026-03-07Kestenberg-Messina Kaitlin M.officerWithheld for tax4,235557,866Form 4
2026-03-06Grossman Adam SdirectorWithheld for tax56,4382,148,290Form 4
2026-03-06Kestenberg-Messina Kaitlin M.officerWithheld for tax10,059562,101Form 4
2026-02-26Grossman Adam SdirectorWithheld for tax54,8582,204,728Form 4
2026-02-19Grossman Adam SdirectorWithheld for tax24,7932,259,586Form 4
2026-02-19Kestenberg-Messina Kaitlin M.officerWithheld for tax8,161572,160Form 4
2026-02-19Tade Brad L.officerWithheld for tax6,479232,940Form 4
2026-02-17Grossman Adam SdirectorOption exercise15,0002,305,379Form 4
2026-02-17Grossman Adam SdirectorOption exercise15,000705,950Form 4
2026-02-09Guiheen Lawrence P.directorAward / grant10,690105,520Form 4
2026-02-09Guiheen Lawrence P.directorAward / grant17,73017,730Form 4
2026-02-09Salas Eduardo RenedirectorAward / grant10,69021,579Form 4
2026-02-09Salas Eduardo RenedirectorAward / grant17,73017,730Form 4
2026-02-09FINGER ALISON CECILYdirectorAward / grant10,69045,619Form 4
2026-02-09FINGER ALISON CECILYdirectorAward / grant17,73017,730Form 4
2026-02-09KWON YOUNGdirectorAward / grant10,690263,020Form 4
2026-02-09KWON YOUNGdirectorAward / grant17,73017,730Form 4
2026-02-09Grossman Adam SdirectorAward / grant282,5292,290,379Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.