ADIAnalog Devices, Inc.Technology · Semiconductorsas of 2026-09-25
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-25 at $393.60 · now $393.60 (2026-09-25, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-25 close, ADI has typically landed between $351.47 and $457.60 — a range of −10.7% to +16.3% from the issuance price $393.60.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,692 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-26 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Base rate up 53.7% (90% CI 51.5–55.9%, ≈1,391 obs). Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-25 issuance close ($393.60) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-26, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ADI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-25 close of $393.6 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$351.47worst · -10.7%$457.6best · +16.3%
  • now $393.6 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $396.1 (+0.6%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $375.44–$416.77
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $351.47–$457.6
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,692 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-25. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-20−31.3%−33.6%+0.0%
2020-02-18−30.3%−30.3%+5.0%
2020-02-21−30.3%−32.7%+0.0%
3 best
2025-04-16+29.1%−0.5%+29.1%
2026-03-30+28.4%+0.0%+33.3%
2025-04-21+28.3%+0.0%+29.8%

4,692 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-25 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$181.1B
market cap
$6.73
EPS (TTM)
55.3
P/E (TTM)
2026-08-19
next earnings
Revenue$11.0B
'20'25
Net income$2.3B
'20'25
Free cash flow$4.3B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr20.6%
'20'25
ROE · by yr6.7%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.26
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 80 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $393.60$163.67$578.62
  • DCF (intrinsic)$192.29
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 34.2× · n=80$230.20
  • Analyst target · range $360.00–$550.00$450.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-25$393.60

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
50%
+0.9%
n=18
Feb
63%
+3.9%
n=19
Mar
63%
+0.9%
n=19
Apr
42%
+1.9%
n=19
May
79%
+5.3%
n=19
Jun
42%
+0.1%
n=19
Jul
58%
+0.8%
n=19
Aug
42%
−1.2%
n=19
Sep
42%
−0.2%
n=19
Oct
50%
−0.5%
n=18
Nov
72%
+6.1%
n=18
Dec
67%
+2.3%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$445$2232026-09-22: 1 insider sale, $573K — Puccio Richard C Jr2026-09-09: 5 insider sales, $515K — STATA RAY …2026-09-08: 7 insider sales, $1.1M — Puccio Richard C Jr, STATA RAY …2026-09-01: 1 insider sale, $3.6M — ROCHE VINCENT2026-08-27: 1 insider sale, $375K — Golz Karen2026-08-26: 1 insider sale, $1.0M — Puccio Richard C Jr2026-08-05: 8 insider sales, $536K — STATA RAY …2026-08-04: 11 insider sales, $534K — STATA RAY …2026-08-03: 1 insider sale, $3.6M — ROCHE VINCENT2026-07-13: 1 insider sale, $390K — Golz Karen2026-07-08: 11 insider sales, $545K — STATA RAY …2026-07-07: 10 insider sales, $534K — STATA RAY …2026-07-01: 1 insider sale, $3.9M — ROCHE VINCENT2026-06-12: 1 insider sale, $412K — Golz Karen2026-06-10: 16 insider sales, $564K — STATA RAY …2026-06-09: 22 insider sales, $574K — STATA RAY …2026-06-02: 1 insider sale, $7.4M — Cotter Martin2026-06-01: 1 insider sale, $4.0M — ROCHE VINCENT2026-05-26: 2 insider sales, $12.5M — ROCHE VINCENT …2026-05-22: 2 insider sales, $11.9M — ROCHE VINCENT …2026-05-01: 1 insider sale, $4.0M — ROCHE VINCENT2026-04-01: 1 insider sale, $3.2M — ROCHE VINCENT2026-03-11: 5 insider sales, $996K — STATA RAY …2026-03-10: 6 insider sales, $1.0M — STATA RAY …2026-03-03: 1 insider sale, $416K — STATA RAY2026-03-02: 1 insider sale, $3.5M — ROCHE VINCENT2026-02-25: 1 insider sale, $1.5M — Sondel Michael2026-02-05: 11 insider sales, $1.0M — STATA RAY …2026-02-04: 10 insider sales, $992K — STATA RAY …2026-02-02: 1 insider sale, $3.1M — ROCHE VINCENT2026-01-14: 5 insider sales, $924K — STATA RAY …2026-01-13: 7 insider sales, $929K — STATA RAY …2026-01-09: 1 insider sale, $151K — Nakamura Katsufumi2026-01-07: 1 insider sale, $145K — Nakamura Katsufumi2026-01-05: 1 insider sale, $2.8M — Cotter Martin2026-01-02: 1 insider sale, $2.8M — ROCHE VINCENT2025-12-17: 10 insider sales, $2.2M — Cotter Martin, STATA RAY …2025-12-16: 4 insider sales, $873K — STATA RAY …2025-12-12: 1 insider sale, $2.8M — ROCHE VINCENT2025-12-10: 1 insider sale, $2.3M — Sondel Michael2025-12-01: 1 insider sale, $1.6M — Jain Vivek2025-11-05: 7 insider sales, $736K — STATA RAY …2025-11-04: 5 insider sales, $719K — STATA RAY …2025-11-03: 1 insider sale, $2.3M — ROCHE VINCENT2025-10-06: 1 insider sale, $243K — Frank Edward H.2025-10-02: 3 insider sales, $757K — STATA RAY …2025-10-01: 9 insider sales, $3.2M — ROCHE VINCENT, STATA RAY …2025-09-18: 4 insider sales, $780K — STATA RAY …2025-09-17: 5 insider sales, $772K — STATA RAY …2025-09-05: 1 insider sale, $3.1M — Cotter Martin2025-09-02: 1 insider sale, $2.5M — ROCHE VINCENT2025-08: 12 open-market sales, $7.1M2025-09: 11 open-market sales, $7.1M2025-10: 13 open-market sales, $4.2M2025-11: 13 open-market sales, $3.8M2025-12: 17 open-market sales, $9.8M2026-01: 16 open-market sales, $7.7M2026-02: 23 open-market sales, $6.6M2026-03: 13 open-market sales, $5.9M2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $3.2M2026-05: 5 open-market sales, $28.3M2026-06: 41 open-market sales, $12.9M2026-07: 23 open-market sales, $5.4M2026-08: 22 open-market sales, $6.1M2026-09: 14 open-market sales, $5.7M↑ buys↓ salesofficer Puccio Richard C Jr — Sale on 2026-09-22, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-09-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-09-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-09-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-09-09, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-09-09, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Puccio Richard C Jr — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-09-08, filed 2 days after the tradedirector ROCHE VINCENT — Sale on 2026-09-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Golz Karen — Sale on 2026-08-27, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Puccio Richard C Jr — Sale on 2026-08-26, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-08-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-08-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector ROCHE VINCENT — Sale on 2026-08-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Golz Karen — Sale on 2026-07-13, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-07-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-07-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-07-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-07-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-07-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-07-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-07-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-07-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-07-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-07-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-07-08, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-07-07, filed 2 days after the tradedirector ROCHE VINCENT — Sale on 2026-07-01, filed 5 days after the tradedirector Golz Karen — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed 3 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-06-09, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Cotter Martin — Sale on 2026-06-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector ROCHE VINCENT — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector ROCHE VINCENT — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 1 day after the tradedirector ROCHE VINCENT — Sale on 2026-05-26, filed 1 day after the tradedirector ROCHE VINCENT — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradedirector ROCHE VINCENT — Sale on 2026-05-22, filed 5 days after the tradedirector ROCHE VINCENT — Sale on 2026-05-01, filed 3 days after the tradedirector ROCHE VINCENT — Sale on 2026-04-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-03-11, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-03-10, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-03-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector ROCHE VINCENT — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Sondel Michael — Sale on 2026-02-25, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-02-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector ROCHE VINCENT — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-01-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-01-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-01-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-01-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-01-14, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-01-13, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-01-13, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-01-13, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-01-13, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-01-13, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-01-13, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2026-01-13, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Nakamura Katsufumi — Sale on 2026-01-09, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Nakamura Katsufumi — Sale on 2026-01-07, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Cotter Martin — Sale on 2026-01-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector ROCHE VINCENT — Sale on 2026-01-02, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Cotter Martin — Sale on 2025-12-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-12-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-12-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-12-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-12-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-12-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-12-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-12-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-12-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-12-17, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-12-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-12-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-12-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-12-16, filed 2 days after the tradedirector ROCHE VINCENT — Sale on 2025-12-12, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Sondel Michael — Sale on 2025-12-10, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Jain Vivek — Sale on 2025-12-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-11-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-11-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-11-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-11-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-11-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-11-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-11-05, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-11-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-11-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-11-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-11-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-11-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector ROCHE VINCENT — Sale on 2025-11-03, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Frank Edward H. — Sale on 2025-10-06, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-10-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-10-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-10-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector ROCHE VINCENT — Sale on 2025-10-01, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-10-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-10-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-10-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-10-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-10-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-10-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-10-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-10-01, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-09-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-09-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-09-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-09-18, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-09-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-09-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-09-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-09-17, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STATA RAY — Sale on 2025-09-17, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Cotter Martin — Sale on 2025-09-05, filed 3 days after the tradedirector ROCHE VINCENT — Sale on 2025-09-02, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-22Puccio Richard C JrofficerSale1,500 @ $382.19$573K−2.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open51,177Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-09STATA RAYdirectorSale461 @ $363.90$168K−0.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open110,691Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-09STATA RAYdirectorSale369 @ $362.94$134K−0.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open111,152Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-09STATA RAYdirectorSale356 @ $364.90$130K−0.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open110,335Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-09STATA RAYdirectorSale158 @ $361.93$57K−0.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open111,521Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-09STATA RAYdirectorSale72 @ $365.97$26K−0.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open110,263Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-08Puccio Richard C JrofficerSale1,500 @ $363.65$545K−2.8% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open52,677Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-09-08STATA RAYdirectorSale462 @ $362.20$167K−0.4% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open112,269Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08STATA RAYdirectorSale364 @ $361.26$131K−0.3% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open112,731Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08STATA RAYdirectorSale222 @ $363.38$81K−0.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open112,047Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08STATA RAYdirectorSale200 @ $364.37$73K−0.2% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open111,847Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08STATA RAYdirectorSale156 @ $365.51$57K−0.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open111,691Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-08STATA RAYdirectorSale12 @ $366.05$4K−0.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open111,679Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-09-01ROCHE VINCENTdirectorSale10,000 @ $356.33$3.6M−6.9% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open134,660Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-27Golz KarendirectorSale1,000 @ $374.50$375K−9.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open10,019Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-26Puccio Richard C JrofficerSale2,683 @ $374.56$1.0M−4.7% of holding+5.5%not yet — horizon still open54,177Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05STATA RAYdirectorSale373 @ $378.62$141K−0.3% of holding−6.0%not yet — horizon still open113,554Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05STATA RAYdirectorSale271 @ $377.62$102K−0.2% of holding−6.0%not yet — horizon still open113,927Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05STATA RAYdirectorSale237 @ $376.58$89K−0.2% of holding−6.0%not yet — horizon still open114,198Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05STATA RAYdirectorSale229 @ $379.62$87K−0.2% of holding−6.0%not yet — horizon still open113,325Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05STATA RAYdirectorSale116 @ $380.71$44K−0.1% of holding−6.0%not yet — horizon still open113,209Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05STATA RAYdirectorSale86 @ $381.97$33K−0.1% of holding−6.0%not yet — horizon still open113,123Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05STATA RAYdirectorSale76 @ $375.63$29K−0.1% of holding−6.0%not yet — horizon still open114,435Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-05STATA RAYdirectorSale28 @ $383.44$11K−0.0% of holding−6.0%not yet — horizon still open113,095Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-04STATA RAYdirectorSale248 @ $380.74$94K−0.2% of holding−5.7%not yet — horizon still open114,611Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-04STATA RAYdirectorSale244 @ $377.55$92K−0.2% of holding−5.7%not yet — horizon still open115,045Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-04STATA RAYdirectorSale240 @ $376.59$90K−0.2% of holding−5.7%not yet — horizon still open115,289Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-04STATA RAYdirectorSale178 @ $374.35$67K−0.2% of holding−5.7%not yet — horizon still open115,613Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-04STATA RAYdirectorSale134 @ $378.69$51K−0.1% of holding−5.7%not yet — horizon still open114,911Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-04STATA RAYdirectorSale100 @ $381.80$38K−0.1% of holding−5.7%not yet — horizon still open114,511Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-04STATA RAYdirectorSale84 @ $375.44$32K−0.1% of holding−5.7%not yet — horizon still open115,529Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-04STATA RAYdirectorSale76 @ $372.90$28K−0.1% of holding−5.7%not yet — horizon still open115,791Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-04STATA RAYdirectorSale52 @ $379.89$20K−0.0% of holding−5.7%not yet — horizon still open114,859Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-04STATA RAYdirectorSale37 @ $370.95$14K−0.0% of holding−5.7%not yet — horizon still open115,867Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-04STATA RAYdirectorSale23 @ $370.17$9K−0.0% of holding−5.7%not yet — horizon still open115,904Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-03ROCHE VINCENTdirectorSale10,000 @ $363.00$3.6M−6.8% of holding−2.6%not yet — horizon still open137,538Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-13Golz KarendirectorSale1,000 @ $389.83$390K−8.3% of holding−3.0%not yet — horizon still open11,019Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-08STATA RAYdirectorSale339 @ $385.67$131K−0.3% of holding−5.2%not yet — horizon still open116,379Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-08STATA RAYdirectorSale217 @ $386.67$84K−0.2% of holding−5.2%not yet — horizon still open116,162Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-08STATA RAYdirectorSale197 @ $387.61$76K−0.2% of holding−5.2%not yet — horizon still open115,965Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-08STATA RAYdirectorSale174 @ $381.44$66K−0.1% of holding−5.2%not yet — horizon still open117,086Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-08STATA RAYdirectorSale152 @ $383.45$58K−0.1% of holding−5.2%not yet — horizon still open116,826Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-08STATA RAYdirectorSale108 @ $384.50$42K−0.1% of holding−5.2%not yet — horizon still open116,718Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-08STATA RAYdirectorSale108 @ $382.50$41K−0.1% of holding−5.2%not yet — horizon still open116,978Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-08STATA RAYdirectorSale44 @ $380.19$17K−0.0% of holding−5.2%not yet — horizon still open117,260Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-08STATA RAYdirectorSale38 @ $388.73$15K−0.0% of holding−5.2%not yet — horizon still open115,927Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-08STATA RAYdirectorSale24 @ $378.76$9K−0.0% of holding−5.2%not yet — horizon still open117,304Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-08STATA RAYdirectorSale15 @ $378.01$6K−0.0% of holding−5.2%not yet — horizon still open117,328Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-07STATA RAYdirectorSale282 @ $378.14$107K−0.2% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open117,691Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07STATA RAYdirectorSale230 @ $376.06$86K−0.2% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open118,112Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07STATA RAYdirectorSale199 @ $374.05$74K−0.2% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open118,486Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07STATA RAYdirectorSale184 @ $379.60$70K−0.2% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open117,507Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07STATA RAYdirectorSale144 @ $375.17$54K−0.1% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open118,342Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07STATA RAYdirectorSale138 @ $380.36$52K−0.1% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open117,369Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07STATA RAYdirectorSale139 @ $377.16$52K−0.1% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open117,973Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07STATA RAYdirectorSale62 @ $373.09$23K−0.1% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open118,685Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07STATA RAYdirectorSale26 @ $381.11$10K−0.0% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open117,343Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-07STATA RAYdirectorSale12 @ $371.48$4K−0.0% of holding−3.3%not yet — horizon still open118,747Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-01ROCHE VINCENTdirectorSale10,000 @ $389.75$3.9M−6.8% of holding−5.7%not yet — horizon still open137,538Form 4 · filed 5 days after the trade
2026-06-12Golz KarendirectorSale1,000 @ $411.95$412K−7.7% of holding−8.4%not yet — horizon still open12,019Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

88 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-18ROCHE VINCENTdirectorGift19,200115,460Form 4
2026-09-01ROCHE VINCENTdirectorOption exercise10,000144,660Form 4
2026-09-01ROCHE VINCENTdirectorOption exercise10,00060,803Form 4
2026-08-17ROCHE VINCENTdirectorWithheld for tax2,878134,660Form 4
2026-08-17Jain VivekofficerWithheld for tax1,11147,733Form 4
2026-08-17Puccio Richard C JrofficerWithheld for tax1,10856,860Form 4
2026-08-17Cotter MartinofficerWithheld for tax70555,648Form 4
2026-08-17Sondel MichaelofficerWithheld for tax23715,638Form 4
2026-08-17Nakamura KatsufumiofficerWithheld for tax20216,049Form 4
2026-08-03ROCHE VINCENTdirectorOption exercise10,00070,803Form 4
2026-08-03ROCHE VINCENTdirectorOption exercise10,000147,538Form 4
2026-07-01ROCHE VINCENTdirectorOption exercise10,000147,538Form 4
2026-07-01ROCHE VINCENTdirectorOption exercise10,00080,803Form 4
2026-06-02Cotter MartinofficerOption exercise17,5940Form 4
2026-06-02Cotter MartinofficerOption exercise17,59473,926Form 4
2026-06-01ROCHE VINCENTdirectorOption exercise10,00090,803Form 4
2026-06-01ROCHE VINCENTdirectorOption exercise10,000147,538Form 4
2026-05-26ROCHE VINCENTdirectorOption exercise30,000400,000Form 4
2026-05-26ROCHE VINCENTdirectorOption exercise30,000167,538Form 4
2026-05-22ROCHE VINCENTdirectorOption exercise30,000430,000Form 4
2026-05-22ROCHE VINCENTdirectorOption exercise30,000167,538Form 4
2026-05-01ROCHE VINCENTdirectorOption exercise10,00014,637Form 4
2026-05-01ROCHE VINCENTdirectorOption exercise10,000197,538Form 4
2026-04-07Jain VivekofficerAward / grant6,73448,823Form 4
2026-04-07Puccio Richard C JrofficerAward / grant6,51357,969Form 4
2026-04-07Sondel MichaelofficerAward / grant1,34115,855Form 4
2026-04-07Cotter MartinofficerAward / grant5,80756,332Form 4
2026-04-07ROCHE VINCENTdirectorAward / grant19,712187,538Form 4
2026-04-07Nakamura KatsufumiofficerAward / grant4,08516,230Form 4
2026-04-01ROCHE VINCENTdirectorOption exercise10,000177,826Form 4
2026-04-01ROCHE VINCENTdirectorOption exercise10,00024,637Form 4
2026-03-30ROCHE VINCENTdirectorWithheld for tax27,027167,826Form 4
2026-03-30Jain VivekofficerWithheld for tax6,38642,089Form 4
2026-03-30Cotter MartinofficerWithheld for tax3,88150,525Form 4
2026-03-30Sondel MichaelofficerWithheld for tax40614,514Form 4
2026-03-30Nakamura KatsufumiofficerWithheld for tax12112,145Form 4
2026-03-18Sondel MichaelofficerAward / grant95814,919Form 4
2026-03-18Jain VivekofficerAward / grant12,57648,476Form 4
2026-03-18Cotter MartinofficerAward / grant8,02654,405Form 4
2026-03-18ROCHE VINCENTdirectorAward / grant55,899194,853Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-25 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatepurchase2026-07-212026-03-27$1–15K
Thomas H. Kean JrHousesale2026-07-152026-06-30$1–15K
Richard Dean Dr MccormickHousesale2026-07-092026-06-12$1–15K
Richard Dean Dr MccormickHousesale2026-07-092026-06-12$1–15K
Josh GottheimerHousepurchase2026-06-032026-05-19$1–15K
Thomas H. Kean JrHousesale2026-05-222026-04-29$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-05-112026-04-13$1–15K
Richard Dean Dr MccormickHousesale2026-04-072026-03-19$1–15K
Richard Dean Dr MccormickHousesale2026-04-072026-03-19$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-03-092026-02-05$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-03-092026-02-06$1–15K
Shelley Moore CapitoSenatesale2026-03-042026-02-10$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-02-062026-01-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-02-062026-01-29$15–50K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.