ACTEnact Holdings Inc.Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualtyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $48.93 · now $48.93 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ACT has typically landed between $44.59 and $54.60 — a range of −8.9% to +11.6% from the issuance price $48.93.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,234 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-09-16 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($48.93) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ACT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $48.93 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$44.59worst · -8.9%$54.6best · +11.6%
  • now $48.93 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $49.91 (+2.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $47.89–$51.94
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $44.59–$54.6
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,234 windows spanning 2021-09-16 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-08-26−16.1%−16.1%+0.0%
2022-08-25−16.1%−16.1%+0.0%
2022-08-17−16.0%−16.0%+0.0%
3 best
2022-07-18+31.0%+0.0%+31.0%
2022-07-19+26.7%−0.1%+26.7%
2022-07-14+26.3%−1.9%+26.3%

1,234 overlapping windows · 2021-09-16 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~5 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
80%
+2.7%
n=5
Feb
40%
−0.4%
n=5
Mar
60%
+2.5%
n=5
Apr
80%
+3.0%
n=5
May
60%
+1.3%
n=5
Jun
60%
+1.2%
n=5
Jul
80%
+4.7%
n=5
Aug
100%
+6.5%
n=5
Sep
60%
−2.4%
n=5
Oct
60%
+1.7%
n=5
Nov
80%
+2.8%
n=5
Dec
40%
−0.9%
n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$50$342026-08-31: 1 insider sale, $34.0M — Genworth Holdings, Inc.2026-08-17: 1 insider sale, $992K — Stolove Evan2026-07-31: 1 insider sale, $24.0M — Genworth Holdings, Inc.2026-06-30: 1 insider sale, $25.6M — Genworth Holdings, Inc.2026-06-01: 1 insider sale, $947K — Gould Brian2026-05-29: 1 insider sale, $25.9M — Genworth Holdings, Inc.2026-04-30: 1 insider sale, $23.8M — Genworth Holdings, Inc.2026-03-31: 1 insider sale, $33.6M — Genworth Holdings, Inc.2026-03-06: 1 insider sale, $104K — McMullen James2026-03-02: 1 insider sale, $380K — Derstine Michael2026-02-27: 1 insider sale, $16.8M — Genworth Holdings, Inc.2026-02-11: 1 insider sale, $215K — RESTREPO ROBERT P JR2026-01-30: 1 insider sale, $25.0M — Genworth Holdings, Inc.2025-12-31: 1 insider sale, $35.9M — Genworth Holdings, Inc.2025-11-28: 1 insider sale, $32.8M — Genworth Holdings, Inc.2025-11-19: 1 insider sale, $278K — RESTREPO ROBERT P JR2025-11-18: 1 insider sale, $96K — RESTREPO ROBERT P JR2025-10-31: 1 insider sale, $34.1M — Genworth Holdings, Inc.2025-09-30: 1 insider sale, $35.4M — Genworth Holdings, Inc.2025-08-29: 2 insider sales, $24.3M — Genworth Holdings, Inc., Gupta Rohit2025-08-28: 1 insider sale, $671K — Gupta Rohit2025-08-27: 1 insider sale, $421K — Gupta Rohit2025-08: 4 open-market sales, $25.4M2025-09: 1 open-market sale, $35.4M2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $34.1M2025-11: 3 open-market sales, $33.2M2025-12: 1 open-market sale, $35.9M2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $25.0M2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $17.0M2026-03: 3 open-market sales, $34.1M2026-04: 1 open-market sale, $23.8M2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $25.9M2026-06: 2 open-market sales, $26.5M2026-07: 1 open-market sale, $24.0M2026-08: 2 open-market sales, $34.9M↑ buys↓ salestenPercentOwner Genworth Holdings, Inc. — Sale on 2026-08-31, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Stolove Evan — Sale on 2026-08-17, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Genworth Holdings, Inc. — Sale on 2026-07-31, filed 3 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Genworth Holdings, Inc. — Sale on 2026-06-30, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Gould Brian — Sale on 2026-06-01, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Genworth Holdings, Inc. — Sale on 2026-05-29, filed 3 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Genworth Holdings, Inc. — Sale on 2026-04-30, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Genworth Holdings, Inc. — Sale on 2026-03-31, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer McMullen James — Sale on 2026-03-06, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Derstine Michael — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Genworth Holdings, Inc. — Sale on 2026-02-27, filed 3 days after the tradedirector RESTREPO ROBERT P JR — Sale on 2026-02-11, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Genworth Holdings, Inc. — Sale on 2026-01-30, filed 3 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Genworth Holdings, Inc. — Sale on 2025-12-31, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Genworth Holdings, Inc. — Sale on 2025-11-28, filed 3 days after the tradedirector RESTREPO ROBERT P JR — Sale on 2025-11-19, filed 1 day after the tradedirector RESTREPO ROBERT P JR — Sale on 2025-11-18, filed 2 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Genworth Holdings, Inc. — Sale on 2025-10-31, filed 3 days after the tradetenPercentOwner Genworth Holdings, Inc. — Sale on 2025-09-30, filed 1 day after the tradetenPercentOwner Genworth Holdings, Inc. — Sale on 2025-08-29, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Gupta Rohit — Sale on 2025-08-29, filed same daydirector Gupta Rohit — Sale on 2025-08-28, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Gupta Rohit — Sale on 2025-08-27, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-08-31Genworth Holdings, Inc.tenPercentOwnerSale687,379 @ $49.40$34.0M−0.6% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open110,390,967Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-17Stolove EvanofficerSale20,024 @ $49.52$992K−38.5% of holding+0.7%not yet — horizon still open32,003Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-31Genworth Holdings, Inc.tenPercentOwnerSale523,226 @ $45.92$24.0M−0.5% of holding−0.8%not yet — horizon still open111,078,346Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-06-30Genworth Holdings, Inc.tenPercentOwnerSale605,067 @ $42.28$25.6M−0.5% of holding+4.6%not yet — horizon still open111,601,572Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-06-01Gould BrianofficerSale23,000 @ $41.18$947K−50.8% of holding+11.9%not yet — horizon still open22,291Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-29Genworth Holdings, Inc.tenPercentOwnerSale602,440 @ $42.91$25.9M−0.5% of holding+10.4%not yet — horizon still open112,206,639Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-04-30Genworth Holdings, Inc.tenPercentOwnerSale560,453 @ $42.55$23.8M−0.5% of holding−9.4%not yet — horizon still open112,809,079Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-31Genworth Holdings, Inc.tenPercentOwnerSale820,567 @ $40.92$33.6M−0.7% of holding−5.2%not yet — horizon still open113,369,532Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-06McMullen JamesofficerSale2,500 @ $41.64$104K−66.3% of holding+2.5%+4.4%1,272Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-02Derstine MichaelofficerSale9,000 @ $42.21$380K−18.7% of holding+1.2%+1.9%39,104Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-27Genworth Holdings, Inc.tenPercentOwnerSale398,731 @ $42.19$16.8M−0.3% of holding+5.1%+5.2%114,190,099Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-02-11RESTREPO ROBERT P JRdirectorSale5,000 @ $42.95$215K−100.0% of holding−2.3%+2.5%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-30Genworth Holdings, Inc.tenPercentOwnerSale634,953 @ $39.37$25.0M−0.6% of holding+7.5%+11.6%114,588,830Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-12-31Genworth Holdings, Inc.tenPercentOwnerSale908,673 @ $39.47$35.9M−0.8% of holding+0.1%+5.7%115,223,783Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-11-28Genworth Holdings, Inc.tenPercentOwnerSale878,006 @ $37.36$32.8M−0.8% of holding+2.6%−4.3%116,132,456Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-19RESTREPO ROBERT P JRdirectorSale7,438 @ $37.39$278K−59.8% of holding+5.0%+1.7%5,000Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-11-18RESTREPO ROBERT P JRdirectorSale2,562 @ $37.41$96K−17.1% of holding+7.0%+4.4%12,438Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-31Genworth Holdings, Inc.tenPercentOwnerSale940,819 @ $36.19$34.1M−0.8% of holding+9.5%+13.0%117,010,462Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-30Genworth Holdings, Inc.tenPercentOwnerSale922,169 @ $38.35$35.4M−0.8% of holding−12.1%+8.0%117,951,281Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-29Genworth Holdings, Inc.tenPercentOwnerSale648,312 @ $37.18$24.1M−0.5% of holding−1.7%+6.3%118,873,450Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-08-29Gupta RohitdirectorSale4,000 @ $37.73$151K−1.1% of holding−1.7%+6.3%369,755Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-28Gupta RohitdirectorSale17,856 @ $37.59$671K−4.6% of holding+0.5%+7.7%373,755Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-27Gupta RohitdirectorSale11,039 @ $38.18$421K−2.7% of holding−0.1%+4.2%391,611Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-31Genworth Holdings, Inc.tenPercentOwnerSale721,793 @ $35.83$25.9M−0.6% of holding+6.9%+5.6%119,521,762Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-30Genworth Holdings, Inc.tenPercentOwnerSale691,152 @ $35.49$24.5M−0.6% of holding−10.0%−2.8%120,243,555Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-04RESTREPO ROBERT P JRdirectorSale10,000 @ $34.72$347K−40.0% of holding+3.4%−2.7%15,000Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-30Genworth Holdings, Inc.tenPercentOwnerSale677,121 @ $36.11$24.4M−0.6% of holding+1.3%−6.0%120,934,707Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-06McMullen JamesofficerSale4,000 @ $36.45$146K−65.2% of holding−10.7%−19.7%2,132Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-04-30Genworth Holdings, Inc.tenPercentOwnerSale561,977 @ $34.59$19.4M−0.5% of holding−6.8%−25.9%121,611,828Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-31Genworth Holdings, Inc.tenPercentOwnerSale577,361 @ $33.87$19.6M−0.5% of holding+3.9%−8.1%122,173,805Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

270 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-06-18McMullen JamesofficerAward / grant4592Form 4
2026-06-18McMullen JamesofficerAward / grant81,395Form 4
2026-06-18McMullen JamesofficerAward / grant152,642Form 4
2026-06-18McMullen JamesofficerAward / grant101,726Form 4
2026-06-18THOMPSON WESTLEY VdirectorAward / grant20134,846Form 4
2026-06-18FISK JOHN DdirectorAward / grant20134,846Form 4
2026-06-18RESTREPO ROBERT P JRdirectorAward / grant20134,846Form 4
2026-06-18Gupta RohitdirectorAward / grant10718,966Form 4
2026-06-18Gupta RohitdirectorAward / grant21738,506Form 4
2026-06-18Mitchell Hardin DeanofficerAward / grant366,319Form 4
2026-06-18Mitchell Hardin DeanofficerAward / grant5810,239Form 4
2026-06-18Mitchell Hardin DeanofficerAward / grant7513,309Form 4
2026-06-18Mitchell H ElizabethdirectorAward / grant569,714Form 4
2026-06-18Stolove EvanofficerAward / grant152,526Form 4
2026-06-18Stolove EvanofficerAward / grant244,096Form 4
2026-06-18Stolove EvanofficerAward / grant284,930Form 4
2026-06-18Hooda SheiladirectorAward / grant20134,846Form 4
2026-06-18Gupta RohitdirectorAward / grant17330,717Form 4
2026-06-18Derstine MichaelofficerAward / grant244,096Form 4
2026-06-18Derstine MichaelofficerAward / grant396,901Form 4
2026-06-18McMullen JamesofficerAward / grant5816Form 4
2026-06-18STILL DEBRAdirectorAward / grant20134,846Form 4
2026-06-18Gould BrianofficerAward / grant122,020Form 4
2026-06-18Gould BrianofficerAward / grant193,277Form 4
2026-06-18Gould BrianofficerAward / grant233,945Form 4
2026-06-18Derstine MichaelofficerAward / grant152,526Form 4
2026-06-18BLESS MICHAEL AdirectorAward / grant17630,747Form 4
2026-06-18Addesso Dominic JamesdirectorAward / grant3487,069Form 4
2026-06-03Addesso Dominic JamesdirectorGift9,2939,293Form 4
2026-06-03Addesso Dominic JamesdirectorGift9,2936,721Form 4
2026-05-13BLESS MICHAEL AdirectorAward / grant3,94030,571Form 4
2026-05-13FISK JOHN DdirectorAward / grant3,94034,645Form 4
2026-05-13THOMPSON WESTLEY VdirectorAward / grant3,94034,645Form 4
2026-05-13Addesso Dominic JamesdirectorAward / grant6,72116,014Form 4
2026-05-13STILL DEBRAdirectorAward / grant3,94034,645Form 4
2026-05-13Hooda SheiladirectorAward / grant3,94034,645Form 4
2026-05-13RESTREPO ROBERT P JRdirectorAward / grant3,94034,645Form 4
2026-05-13Mitchell H ElizabethdirectorAward / grant3,9409,658Form 4
2026-04-01McMullen JamesofficerWithheld for tax1691,697Form 4
2026-04-01McMullen JamesofficerOption exercise594588Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.