ACNT · TickerCove

ACNTAscent Industries Co.Basic Materials · Chemicalsas of 2026-09-17

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-17 at $14.84 · now $14.75 (2026-09-18, −0.6% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-17 close, ACNT has typically landed between $12.61 and $17.42 — a range of −15.0% to +17.4% from the issuance price $14.84.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,004 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-18 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,377 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-17 issuance close ($14.84) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-16, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$14.75 · 48% of range

$11.95 low$17.78 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-18 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,377 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.2%

typical move · IQR 10.8%

−15.0%worst (p90)+17.4%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where ACNT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-17 close of $14.84 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $14.75 (-0.6%)
typical $14.87 (+0.2%)
middle 50% $14.07–$15.67
90% range $12.61–$17.42

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,005 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-18. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2008-10-22	−56.1%	−56.1%	+0.0%
2008-09-25	−55.8%	−55.8%	+0.0%
2008-10-17	−55.2%	−55.2%	+0.0%
3 best
2020-10-20	+81.1%	+0.0%	+81.1%
2020-10-21	+65.6%	+0.0%	+77.1%
2020-10-22	+55.0%	−1.9%	+71.9%

5,005 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-18 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

60%

+1.9%

n=20

Feb

35%

+0.4%

n=20

Mar

55%

−0.1%

n=20

Apr

90%

+9.5%

n=20

May

50%

+1.9%

n=20

Jun

35%

−3.8%

n=20

Jul

55%

−1.0%

n=20

Aug

50%

+0.6%

n=20

Sep

35%

−0.7%

n=20

Oct

30%

−3.6%

n=20

Nov

45%

−0.6%

n=20

Dec

70%

+5.3%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-26	Mazzaferro Aldo John Jr	director	Sale	1,500 @ $14.10	$21K	−7.6% of holding	+9.8%	not yet — horizon still open	18,362	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-17	Kitchen John Bryan	officer	Purchase	7,450 @ $12.98	$97K	+10.3% of holding	+4.8%	+4.8%	79,985	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-17	Kitchen John Bryan	officer	Purchase	145 @ $12.88	$2K	+0.2% of holding	+4.8%	+4.8%	72,535	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-06	Pan Anthony X	officer	Purchase	1,900 @ $13.28	$25K	+11.0% of holding	−0.3%	−0.1%	19,151	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-03-06	Pan Anthony X	officer	Purchase	1,500 @ $13.34	$20K	+7.8% of holding	−0.3%	−0.1%	20,651	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-09-11	Hutter Christopher Gerald	director	Sale	47,935 @ $12.25	$587K	−21.1% of holding	−2.1%	+3.0%	178,959	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-09-10	Hutter Christopher Gerald	director	Sale	40,000 @ $12.38	$495K	−15.0% of holding	−3.4%	+3.6%	226,894	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-28	Hutter Christopher Gerald	director	Sale	2,100 @ $12.07	$25K	−0.8% of holding	+3.6%	+42.4%	266,894	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-26	Hutter Christopher Gerald	director	Sale	9,326 @ $12.02	$112K	−3.4% of holding	+3.4%	+36.5%	268,994	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-25	Hutter Christopher Gerald	director	Sale	40,000 @ $12.12	$485K	−12.6% of holding	+1.0%	+34.5%	278,320	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-22	Hutter Christopher Gerald	director	Sale	40,000 @ $12.11	$484K	−11.2% of holding	−0.4%	+33.1%	318,320	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-19	Hutter Christopher Gerald	director	Sale	470 @ $12.26	$6K	−0.1% of holding	+2.9%	+38.6%	358,320	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-08-15	Hutter Christopher Gerald	director	Sale	169 @ $12.55	$2K	−0.0% of holding	+1.8%	+40.8%	358,790	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-08-14	Hutter Christopher Gerald	director	Sale	20,000 @ $12.51	$250K	−5.3% of holding	−2.7%	+35.5%	358,959	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-18	Srinivas Ravi Ramesh	other	Purchase	4,000 @ $12.44	$50K	+33.3% of holding	−0.8%	+11.9%	16,000	Form 4 · filed same day
2025-06-11	Hutter Christopher Gerald	director	Sale	8,300 @ $13.45	$112K	−2.1% of holding	−3.5%	+2.5%	378,959	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-06-10	Hutter Christopher Gerald	director	Sale	4,740 @ $13.58	$64K	−1.2% of holding	−8.7%	−1.9%	387,259	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-14	Pan Anthony X	officer	Purchase	4,000 @ $11.67	$47K	+37.8% of holding	+5.4%	+0.5%	14,570	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-14	Pan Anthony X	officer	Purchase	1,400 @ $11.65	$16K	+108.3% of holding	+5.4%	+0.5%	2,693	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-21	Srinivas Ravi Ramesh	other	Purchase	4,000 @ $12.65	$51K	+50.0% of holding	+7.4%	−15.7%	12,000	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-03-17	Hutter Christopher Gerald	director	Sale	15,010 @ $12.16	$183K	−6.7% of holding	+2.2%	−20.3%	209,233	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-06	Srinivas Ravi Ramesh	other	Purchase	4,000 @ $11.81	$47K	+100.0% of holding	+18.8%	−10.6%	8,000	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-20	Srinivas Ravi Ramesh	other	Purchase	4,000 @ $11.21	$45K	ownership Δ n/a	−4.8%	+8.1%	4,000	Form 4 · filed same day
2024-12-11	Durham Nicole M	officer	Purchase	824 @ $11.89	$10K	ownership Δ n/a	−2.6%	+5.5%	824	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2024-12-06	Kitchen John Bryan	officer	Purchase	4,600 @ $11.99	$55K	+9.0% of holding	−1.3%	+8.3%	55,441	Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

55 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-06-10	Giannantonio Carmen Joseph	director	Award / grant	5,519	6,495	Form 4
2026-06-10	Rohen Jeremy	director	Award / grant	4,783	6,942	Form 4
2026-06-10	Guy Henry L	director	Award / grant	4,783	76,093	Form 4
2026-06-10	Rosenzweig Benjamin L	director	Award / grant	4,415	7,213	Form 4
2026-06-10	Hutter Christopher Gerald	director	Award / grant	4,231	215,846	Form 4
2026-06-10	Mazzaferro Aldo John Jr	director	Award / grant	4,231	19,862	Form 4
2026-04-01	Rohen Jeremy	director	Award / grant	2,159	2,159	Form 4
2026-04-01	Giannantonio Carmen Joseph	director	Award / grant	976	976	Form 4
2026-03-27	Shah Harshil Vipul	other	Withheld for tax	2,096	6,894	Form 4
2026-03-27	Portnoy Kimberly	officer	Withheld for tax	1,735	7,321	Form 4
2026-03-27	Pan Anthony X	officer	Withheld for tax	1,733	23,946	Form 4
2026-03-27	Srinivas Ravi Ramesh	other	Withheld for tax	1,551	21,518	Form 4
2026-03-27	Herring Kenneth Wayne Jr	other	Withheld for tax	1,350	4,471	Form 4
2026-03-26	Portnoy Kimberly	officer	Award / grant	5,896	9,056	Form 4
2026-03-26	Shah Harshil Vipul	other	Award / grant	5,896	8,990	Form 4
2026-03-26	Pan Anthony X	officer	Award / grant	5,028	25,679	Form 4
2026-03-26	Srinivas Ravi Ramesh	other	Award / grant	4,610	23,069	Form 4
2026-03-26	Herring Kenneth Wayne Jr	other	Award / grant	3,750	5,821	Form 4
2026-02-11	Kitchen John Bryan	officer	Withheld for tax	1,220	72,390	Form 4
2026-02-11	Kavalauskas Ryan	officer	Withheld for tax	867	14,428	Form 4
2026-01-23	Kitchen John Bryan	officer	Withheld for tax	3,199	73,610	Form 4
2026-01-23	Kavalauskas Ryan	officer	Withheld for tax	895	15,295	Form 4
2026-01-22	Kitchen John Bryan	officer	Award / grant	9,081	76,809	Form 4
2026-01-22	Kavalauskas Ryan	officer	Award / grant	2,508	16,190	Form 4
2026-01-05	Kitchen John Bryan	officer	Withheld for tax	42	67,728	Form 4
2026-01-05	Kavalauskas Ryan	officer	Withheld for tax	25	13,682	Form 4
2026-01-05	Shah Harshil Vipul	other	Withheld for tax	21	3,094	Form 4
2026-01-05	Portnoy Kimberly	officer	Withheld for tax	19	3,160	Form 4
2026-01-05	Pan Anthony X	officer	Withheld for tax	16	17,251	Form 4
2026-01-05	Srinivas Ravi Ramesh	other	Withheld for tax	15	18,459	Form 4
2026-01-05	Herring Kenneth Wayne Jr	other	Withheld for tax	13	2,071	Form 4
2026-01-02	Kitchen John Bryan	officer	Withheld for tax	987	67,770	Form 4
2026-01-02	Kavalauskas Ryan	officer	Withheld for tax	593	13,707	Form 4
2026-01-02	Shah Harshil Vipul	other	Withheld for tax	491	3,115	Form 4
2026-01-02	Portnoy Kimberly	officer	Withheld for tax	427	3,179	Form 4
2026-01-02	Pan Anthony X	officer	Withheld for tax	378	17,267	Form 4
2026-01-02	Srinivas Ravi Ramesh	other	Withheld for tax	346	18,474	Form 4
2026-01-02	Herring Kenneth Wayne Jr	other	Withheld for tax	278	2,084	Form 4
2025-12-02	Kitchen John Bryan	officer	Award / grant	9,082	72,863	Form 4
2025-12-02	Kitchen John Bryan	officer	Withheld for tax	4,106	68,757	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-184% elapsed2026-10-16

Logged immutably 2026-09-18; scored automatically on 2026-10-16 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i