ACIAlbertsons Companies, Inc.Consumer Defensive · Grocery Storesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $12.56 · now $12.56 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ACI has typically landed between $11.10 and $13.75 — a range of −11.6% to +9.5% from the issuance price $12.56.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,542 overlapping 1 month windows · 2020-06-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($12.56) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ACI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $12.56 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$11.1worst · -11.6%$13.75best · +9.5%
  • now $12.56 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $12.47 (-0.7%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $11.98–$12.97
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $11.1–$13.75
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,542 windows spanning 2020-06-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2026-05-19−21.8%−21.8%+0.0%
2021-01-27−20.8%−20.8%+0.0%
2026-06-24−20.8%−20.8%+7.0%
3 best
2021-07-15+51.5%+0.0%+51.5%
2021-07-14+50.1%−0.2%+50.1%
2021-07-16+48.3%+0.0%+50.8%

1,542 overlapping windows · 2020-06-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~7 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
33%
−1.8%
n=6
Feb
50%
−0.3%
n=6
Mar
83%
+7.0%
n=6
Apr
33%
−1.7%
n=6
May
50%
−1.1%
n=6
Jun
33%
−4.0%
n=6
Jul
57%
−2.4%
n=7
Aug
71%
+6.5%
n=7
Sep
57%
−2.7%
n=7
Oct
50%
+2.2%
n=6
Nov
100%
+6.4%
n=6
Dec
33%
−1.2%
n=6

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$19$112026-07-31: 1 insider purchase, $103K — MCCOLLAM SHARON2026-07-28: 2 insider purchases, $450K — MORRIS SUSAN …2026-07-27: 1 insider purchase, $2.0M — Moriarty Thomas M2025-10: 3 open-market sales, $6.7M2026-01: 5 open-market sales, $864K2026-04: 16 open-market sales, $761K2026-05: 3 open-market sales, $711K2026-07: 4 open-market purchases, $2.5M↑ buys↓ salesdirector MCCOLLAM SHARON — Purchase on 2026-07-31, filed 3 days after the tradedirector MORRIS SUSAN — Purchase on 2026-07-28, filed 2 days after the tradedirector MORRIS SUSAN — Purchase on 2026-07-28, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Moriarty Thomas M — Purchase on 2026-07-27, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-07-31MCCOLLAM SHARONdirectorPurchase9,000 @ $11.48$103K+1.6% of holding+4.0%not yet — horizon still open567,051Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2026-07-28MORRIS SUSANdirectorPurchase20,277 @ $11.46$232K+1.9% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open1,073,824Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-28MORRIS SUSANdirectorPurchase19,132 @ $11.38$218K+1.8% of holding+3.7%not yet — horizon still open1,092,956Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-07-27Moriarty Thomas MofficerPurchase170,500 @ $11.51$2.0M+123.2% of holding+5.3%not yet — horizon still open308,946Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

296 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-08WHITMAN MARGARET CdirectorAward / grant733,114733,114Form 4
2026-09-08Moriarty Thomas MofficerAward / grant164,745164,745Form 4
2026-09-08Moriarty Thomas MofficerAward / grant164,745164,745Form 4
2026-09-08WHITMAN MARGARET CdirectorAward / grant733,114733,114Form 4
2026-09-08WHITMAN MARGARET CdirectorAward / grant733,114733,114Form 4
2026-09-08WHITMAN MARGARET CdirectorAward / grant733,114733,114Form 4
2026-09-08Moriarty Thomas MofficerAward / grant164,745164,745Form 4
2026-09-08Moriarty Thomas MofficerAward / grant164,745164,745Form 4
2026-09-01Larson Robert BruceofficerAward / grant40,12840,128Form 4
2026-09-01Larson Robert BruceofficerAward / grant40,12840,128Form 4
2026-09-01Larson Robert BruceofficerAward / grant40,12840,128Form 4
2026-09-01Larson Robert BruceofficerAward / grant40,12840,128Form 4
2026-08-07DHANDA ANUJdirectorAward / grant1,781127,578Form 4
2026-08-07Larson Robert BruceofficerAward / grant735,257Form 4
2026-08-07DHANDA ANUJdirectorAward / grant62744,947Form 4
2026-08-07MCCOLLAM SHARONdirectorAward / grant2,564183,719Form 4
2026-08-07MCCOLLAM SHARONdirectorAward / grant1,835131,479Form 4
2026-08-07Larson Robert BruceofficerAward / grant735,257Form 4
2026-08-07DHANDA ANUJdirectorAward / grant32723,456Form 4
2026-08-07MORRIS SUSANdirectorAward / grant4,811344,666Form 4
2026-08-07MORRIS SUSANdirectorAward / grant2,494178,699Form 4
2026-08-07MCCOLLAM SHARONdirectorAward / grant91665,622Form 4
2026-08-07Allen Sharon L.directorAward / grant15411,002Form 4
2026-08-07Larson MichelleofficerAward / grant17512,538Form 4
2026-08-07Moriarty Thomas MofficerAward / grant78256,009Form 4
2026-08-07DHANDA ANUJdirectorAward / grant1,26790,784Form 4
2026-08-07Larson Robert BruceofficerAward / grant14710,550Form 4
2026-08-07Larson MichelleofficerAward / grant17512,538Form 4
2026-08-07Fennebresque Kim SdirectorAward / grant31522,583Form 4
2026-08-07Pinkham Allison SuzanneofficerAward / grant2,425173,716Form 4
2026-08-07MORRIS SUSANdirectorAward / grant55339,634Form 4
2026-08-07MORRIS SUSANdirectorAward / grant1,24389,056Form 4
2026-08-07MCCOLLAM SHARONdirectorAward / grant48434,682Form 4
2026-08-07DHANDA ANUJdirectorAward / grant62744,947Form 4
2026-08-07Withers MichaelofficerAward / grant694,926Form 4
2026-08-07Withers MichaelofficerAward / grant856,067Form 4
2026-08-07Pinkham Allison SuzanneofficerAward / grant2,425173,716Form 4
2026-08-07Larson MichelleofficerAward / grant20714,865Form 4
2026-08-07Withers MichaelofficerAward / grant1,06976,594Form 4
2026-08-07Withers MichaelofficerAward / grant785,618Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.