ACCOACCO Brands CorporationIndustrials · Business Equipment & Suppliesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $4.25 · now $4.25 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ACCO has typically landed between $3.57 and $4.89 — a range of −15.9% to +14.9% from the issuance price $4.25.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,002 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($4.25) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ACCO has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $4.25 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$3.57worst · -15.9%$4.89best · +14.9%
  • now $4.25 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $4.25 (+0.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $3.96–$4.54
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $3.57–$4.89
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,002 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2008-10-20−80.3%−80.3%+0.0%
2008-10-17−77.7%−77.7%+0.0%
2008-10-16−71.9%−71.9%+0.0%
3 best
2008-11-25+273.9%+0.0%+300.4%
2008-12-01+263.6%+0.0%+279.4%
2008-11-18+250.2%+0.0%+250.2%

5,002 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
35%
−2.7%
n=20
Feb
55%
−2.6%
n=20
Mar
50%
−1.1%
n=20
Apr
55%
+7.2%
n=20
May
55%
+0.3%
n=20
Jun
50%
−1.9%
n=20
Jul
70%
+5.3%
n=20
Aug
40%
−1.2%
n=20
Sep
25%
−3.0%
n=20
Oct
40%
−2.3%
n=20
Nov
75%
+3.9%
n=20
Dec
70%
+16.6%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$4$32026-05-28: 1 insider sale, $230K — Jones Angela Y2026-05: 1 open-market sale, $230K↑ buys↓ salesofficer Jones Angela Y — Sale on 2026-05-28, filed 1 day after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-05-28Jones Angela YofficerSale57,217 @ $4.02$230K−75.5% of holding+7.0%not yet — horizon still open18,580Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-06Tedford Thomas WdirectorPurchase5,715 @ $3.43$20K+1.2% of holding−0.2%−16.2%489,327Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

298 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-09RAJKOWSKI E MARKdirectorAward / grant5,127300,451Form 4
2026-09-09Lombardi Ronald M.directorAward / grant3,292192,913Form 4
2026-09-09Keller Robert JdirectorAward / grant4,514264,537Form 4
2026-09-09DVORAK KATHLEEN SdirectorAward / grant5,464320,187Form 4
2026-09-09BURTON JOSEPH BdirectorAward / grant2,539148,780Form 4
2026-09-09Simermeyer Elizabeth AdirectorAward / grant1,940113,694Form 4
2026-09-09Jotwani PradeepdirectorAward / grant4,961290,736Form 4
2026-09-09Monteagudo GracieladirectorAward / grant4,150243,175Form 4
2026-06-17Simermeyer Elizabeth AdirectorAward / grant2,098111,754Form 4
2026-06-17Monteagudo GracieladirectorAward / grant4,487239,025Form 4
2026-06-17RAJKOWSKI E MARKdirectorAward / grant5,544295,324Form 4
2026-06-17Keller Robert JdirectorAward / grant4,882260,022Form 4
2026-06-17Jotwani PradeepdirectorAward / grant5,365285,775Form 4
2026-06-17DVORAK KATHLEEN SdirectorAward / grant5,909314,723Form 4
2026-06-17BURTON JOSEPH BdirectorAward / grant2,746146,241Form 4
2026-06-17Lombardi Ronald M.directorAward / grant3,560189,621Form 4
2026-05-19RAJKOWSKI E MARKdirectorAward / grant32,809289,780Form 4
2026-05-19Keller Robert JdirectorAward / grant32,809255,141Form 4
2026-05-19DVORAK KATHLEEN SdirectorAward / grant32,809308,815Form 4
2026-05-19BURTON JOSEPH BdirectorAward / grant32,809143,496Form 4
2026-05-19Jotwani PradeepdirectorAward / grant32,809280,410Form 4
2026-05-19Lombardi Ronald M.directorAward / grant32,809186,061Form 4
2026-05-19Monteagudo GracieladirectorAward / grant32,809234,538Form 4
2026-05-19Simermeyer Elizabeth AdirectorAward / grant32,809109,656Form 4
2026-03-26Lombardi Ronald M.directorAward / grant3,787153,252Form 4
2026-03-26RAJKOWSKI E MARKdirectorAward / grant6,350256,971Form 4
2026-03-26Simermeyer Elizabeth AdirectorAward / grant1,89976,847Form 4
2026-03-26BURTON JOSEPH BdirectorAward / grant2,735110,687Form 4
2026-03-26DVORAK KATHLEEN SdirectorAward / grant6,821276,006Form 4
2026-03-26Jotwani PradeepdirectorAward / grant6,119247,601Form 4
2026-03-26Keller Robert JdirectorAward / grant5,494222,332Form 4
2026-03-26Monteagudo GracieladirectorAward / grant4,985201,729Form 4
2026-03-14Tedford Thomas WdirectorWithheld for tax44,771716,440Form 4
2026-03-14OCONNOR DEBORAH AofficerWithheld for tax27,548174,087Form 4
2026-03-14Jones Angela YofficerWithheld for tax10,25775,797Form 4
2026-03-14McCormack Gregory J.officerWithheld for tax9,476209,110Form 4
2026-03-14Spijkervet Ard-JenofficerWithheld for tax8,31236,106Form 4
2026-03-14Daniel Paul PofficerWithheld for tax5,79245,760Form 4
2026-03-14Dudek JamesofficerWithheld for tax5,73366,807Form 4
2026-03-14Peters JohnofficerWithheld for tax5,22532,172Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.