ABTAbbott LaboratoriesHealthcare · Medical - Devicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $102.36 · now $102.36 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ABT has typically landed between $92.25 and $112.09 — a range of −9.9% to +9.5% from the issuance price $102.36.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

4,685 overlapping 1 month windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($102.36) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ABT has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $102.36 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$92.25worst · -9.9%$112.09best · +9.5%
  • now $102.36 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $102.36 (+0.0%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $97.76–$106.96
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $92.25–$112.09
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 4,685 windows spanning 2008-01-02 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−28.2%−28.2%+0.0%
2020-02-20−23.1%−23.1%+0.0%
2009-02-09−22.4%−22.4%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-23+52.6%+0.0%+56.6%
2020-03-20+38.9%−7.6%+44.7%
2020-03-24+35.4%+0.0%+41.2%

4,685 overlapping windows · 2008-01-02 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Fundamentals iCompany financials — revenue, earnings, margins — from the newest filings shown, each carried with its date.iAs-reported figures and standard ratios from FMP, as of 2026-07-25. Revenue, net income and free cash flow can toggle annual or quarterly; margin, ROE and debt-to-equity are shown by fiscal year. We report the figures and the trend — no target price and no over/under-valued call. More on /methodology.

$179.6B
market cap
$3.11
EPS (TTM)
33.2
P/E (TTM)
2026-10-21
next earnings
Revenue$44.3B
'20'25
Net income$6.5B
'20'25
Free cash flow$7.4B
'20'25
Net margin · by yr14.7%
'20'25
ROE · by yr12.5%
'20'25
Debt / equity · by yr0.29
'20'25

Fair value — three views iIndependent reference estimates of worth (a cash-flow model, peer multiples, analyst targets), shown as separate views — not a single verdict.

iThree independent estimates of per-share value, each by a different method and each with its own assumptions: a discounted-cash-flow intrinsic value, a peer comparable (the median trailing P/E of 54 sector peers times this company's trailing EPS), and the analyst price-target consensus. They routinely disagree — that gap is the point. We show the three marks and the current price; we do not blend them into a single number or call the stock over- or under-valued. Marks as of the latest capture. More on /methodology.
now $102.36$80.57$149.77
  • DCF (intrinsic)$141.58
  • Peer P/E × EPS · sector median 27.4× · n=54$85.34
  • Analyst target · range $92.00–$145.00$120.00
  • Current price · last close 2026-09-16$102.36

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~19 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
56%
+0.9%
n=18
Feb
58%
+0.7%
n=19
Mar
47%
−0.0%
n=19
Apr
42%
−0.3%
n=19
May
58%
+0.6%
n=19
Jun
58%
+1.1%
n=19
Jul
84%
+4.4%
n=19
Aug
63%
−0.1%
n=19
Sep
47%
−0.3%
n=19
Oct
50%
+1.1%
n=18
Nov
72%
+2.2%
n=18
Dec
72%
+1.3%
n=18

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$134$822026-09-02: 1 insider sale, $3K — MCCOY JOHN A. JR.2026-08-25: 2 insider sales, $46.2M — Ford Robert B …2026-08-11: 1 insider sale, $643K — Morrone Louis H.2026-05-07: 1 insider purchase, $174K — Stratton John G2026-04-27: 1 insider purchase, $927K — STARKS DANIEL J2026-04-23: 1 insider purchase, $201K — Boudreau Philip P2026-03-02: 6 insider sales, $485K — Morrone Louis H., Salvadori Daniel Gesua Sive, Shroff Eric, Moreland Mary K …2026-02-04: 2 insider purchases, $1.1M — STARKS DANIEL J …2026-01-23: 1 insider purchase, $2.0M — Ford Robert B2025-11-25: 1 insider sale, $203K — Shroff Eric2025-08: 1 open-market sale, $747K2025-11: 1 open-market sale, $203K2026-01: 1 open-market purchase, $2.0M2026-02: 2 open-market purchases, $1.1M2026-03: 6 open-market sales, $485K2026-04: 2 open-market purchases, $1.1M2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $174K2026-08: 3 open-market sales, $46.8M2026-09: 1 open-market sale, $3K↑ buys↓ salesofficer MCCOY JOHN A. JR. — Sale on 2026-09-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector Ford Robert B — Sale on 2026-08-25, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Ford Robert B — Sale on 2026-08-25, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Morrone Louis H. — Sale on 2026-08-11, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Stratton John G — Purchase on 2026-05-07, filed 42 days after the tradedirector STARKS DANIEL J — Purchase on 2026-04-27, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Boudreau Philip P — Purchase on 2026-04-23, filed 4 days after the tradeofficer Morrone Louis H. — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Salvadori Daniel Gesua Sive — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Shroff Eric — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Moreland Mary K — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer MCCOY JOHN A. JR. — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer Cushman Elizabeth C. — Sale on 2026-03-02, filed 1 day after the tradedirector STARKS DANIEL J — Purchase on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector STARKS DANIEL J — Purchase on 2026-02-04, filed 2 days after the tradedirector Ford Robert B — Purchase on 2026-01-23, filed 3 days after the tradeofficer Shroff Eric — Sale on 2025-11-25, filed same day
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-09-02MCCOY JOHN A. JR.officerSale27 @ $109.54$3K−0.1% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open24,549Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-08-25Ford Robert BdirectorSale218,535 @ $115.57$25.3M−31.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open486,758Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-25Ford Robert BdirectorSale180,297 @ $116.19$20.9M−37.0% of holdingnot yet — horizon still opennot yet — horizon still open306,461Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-08-11Morrone Louis H.officerSale5,850 @ $109.83$643K−7.6% of holding−4.1%not yet — horizon still open70,724Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-05-07Stratton John GdirectorPurchase2,000 @ $86.82$174K+9.4% of holding+3.0%not yet — horizon still open23,319Form 4 · filed 42 days after the trade
2026-04-27STARKS DANIEL JdirectorPurchase10,000 @ $92.65$927K+0.1% of holding−12.6%not yet — horizon still open6,751,103Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-04-23Boudreau Philip PofficerPurchase2,200 @ $91.50$201Kownership Δ n/a−10.7%not yet — horizon still open2,200Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-03-02Morrone Louis H.officerSale1,144 @ $115.58$132K−1.5% of holding−5.0%−14.3%76,843Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02Salvadori Daniel Gesua SiveofficerSale885 @ $115.58$102K−0.6% of holding−5.0%−14.3%146,377Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02Shroff EricofficerSale709 @ $115.58$82K−1.8% of holding−5.0%−14.3%39,164Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02Moreland Mary KofficerSale613 @ $115.58$71K−0.6% of holding−5.0%−14.3%104,291Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02MCCOY JOHN A. JR.officerSale585 @ $115.58$68K−2.3% of holding−5.0%−14.3%24,628Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-02Cushman Elizabeth C.officerSale263 @ $115.58$30K−0.7% of holding−5.0%−14.3%38,573Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-04STARKS DANIEL JdirectorPurchase5,033 @ $108.33$545K+0.1% of holding+3.3%−11.5%6,738,817Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-04STARKS DANIEL JdirectorPurchase4,967 @ $109.14$542K+0.1% of holding+3.3%−11.5%6,733,784Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-01-23Ford Robert BdirectorPurchase18,800 @ $107.13$2.0M+9.5% of holding+6.9%−9.2%216,203Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-11-25Shroff EricofficerSale1,586 @ $128.02$203K−5.0% of holding−5.1%−45.1%30,384Form 4 · filed same day
2025-08-08Boudreau Philip PofficerSale5,550 @ $134.55$747K−9.8% of holding−3.8%−26.0%51,003Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-04-30Blount Sally E.directorSale2,600 @ $129.66$337K−7.1% of holding−4.1%−28.6%34,058Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-03-07Earnhardt Lisa DofficerSale200 @ $136.65$27K−0.3% of holding+3.2%−16.1%71,928Form 4 · filed same day
2025-03-06Earnhardt Lisa DofficerSale91,167 @ $133.82$12.2M−55.9% of holding+3.6%−14.4%71,928Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-03Morrone Louis H.officerSale1,111 @ $138.17$154K−1.6% of holding−2.5%−15.7%66,878Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-03Wainer Andrea FdirectorSale949 @ $138.17$131K−1.3% of holding−2.5%−15.7%74,381Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-03Moreland Mary KofficerSale791 @ $138.17$109K−0.8% of holding−2.5%−15.7%95,583Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-03Shroff EricofficerSale562 @ $138.17$78K−1.7% of holding−2.5%−15.7%31,970Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-03MCCOY JOHN A. JR.officerSale562 @ $138.17$78K−2.6% of holding−2.5%−15.7%21,061Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-02-05Ford Robert BdirectorSale285,388 @ $131.17$37.4M−56.5% of holding+8.5%−4.3%220,059Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-30ALLEN HUBERT LofficerSale58,428 @ $128.07$7.5M−24.0% of holding+12.4%−3.7%184,806Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-30Salvadori Daniel Gesua SiveofficerSale23,771 @ $128.50$3.1M−15.9% of holding+12.4%−3.7%125,697Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-01-29ALLEN HUBERT LofficerSale131,360 @ $128.35$16.9M−41.5% of holding+9.2%−6.1%184,806Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-01-28Morrone Louis H.officerSale2,644 @ $127.39$337K−100.0% of holding+9.9%−3.7%0Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

146 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-09-01Boudreau Philip PofficerWithheld for tax38870,784Form 4
2026-09-01MCCOY JOHN A. JR.officerWithheld for tax5224,576Form 4
2026-08-25Ford Robert BdirectorOption exercise246,963705,293Form 4
2026-08-25Ford Robert BdirectorOption exercise151,869458,330Form 4
2026-08-25Ford Robert BdirectorOption exercise246,9630Form 4
2026-08-25Ford Robert BdirectorOption exercise151,8690Form 4
2026-08-12Morrone Louis H.officerDiscretionary120Form 4
2026-06-30Stratton John GdirectorAward / grant43214,022Form 4
2026-06-30Roman Michael FdirectorAward / grant4166,746Form 4
2026-06-30Gonzalez Patricia PaoladirectorAward / grant3635,963Form 4
2026-06-30Ahuja NitadirectorAward / grant347450Form 4
2026-06-30Morrone Louis H.officerWithheld for tax26976,574Form 4
2026-06-30Conroy Kevin TdirectorAward / grant231231Form 4
2026-06-27Cushman Elizabeth C.officerWithheld for tax56038,013Form 4
2026-04-28Moreland Mary KofficerDiscretionary5,31417,159Form 4
2026-04-24Babineaux-Fontenot ClairedirectorAward / grant2,2867,603Form 4
2026-04-24Gonzalez Patricia PaoladirectorAward / grant2,2869,205Form 4
2026-04-24STARKS DANIEL JdirectorAward / grant2,2866,741,103Form 4
2026-04-24STARKS DANIEL JdirectorAward / grant7,1057,105Form 4
2026-04-24Stratton John GdirectorAward / grant2,28621,319Form 4
2026-04-24Blount Sally E.directorAward / grant2,28636,344Form 4
2026-04-24O'Grady MichaeldirectorAward / grant2,2867,603Form 4
2026-04-24O'Grady MichaeldirectorAward / grant5,9295,929Form 4
2026-04-24Roman Michael FdirectorAward / grant2,28610,764Form 4
2026-04-24Kumbier MichelledirectorAward / grant2,28618,000Form 4
2026-04-24McDew Darren WdirectorAward / grant2,28612,678Form 4
2026-04-24Ahuja NitadirectorAward / grant2,2862,286Form 4
2026-04-24McKinstry NancydirectorAward / grant2,28641,010Form 4
2026-04-24McKinstry NancydirectorAward / grant2,3052,305Form 4
2026-04-24Conroy Kevin TdirectorAward / grant2,286133,737Form 4
2026-04-23Boudreau Philip PofficerDiscretionary8,9099,276Form 4
2026-03-31Stratton John GdirectorAward / grant38213,489Form 4
2026-03-31Roman Michael FdirectorAward / grant3676,283Form 4
2026-03-31Gonzalez Patricia PaoladirectorAward / grant3215,558Form 4
2026-03-31Ahuja NitadirectorAward / grant102102Form 4
2026-03-31Alpern Robert JdirectorAward / grant7610,544Form 4
2026-03-23ORVILLE JACOB AofficerAward / grant13,25550,493Form 4
2026-02-27Ford Robert BdirectorWithheld for tax30,308306,461Form 4
2026-02-27Earnhardt Lisa DofficerWithheld for tax8,57790,407Form 4
2026-02-27Boudreau Philip PofficerWithheld for tax7,44171,172Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures iStock trades disclosed by members of Congress for this company, by the date they were filed.iDisclosures shown as facts. A purchase “cluster” (≥2 members of Congress filing a buy within 90 days) has historically preceded modestly higher forward returns — and it persisted out-of-sample, though it roughly halved after 2021 (see below). A descriptive historical tendency, not a signal to trade and not used in our forecast. See /methodology.

As of 2026-09-16 · point-in-time by filed date

Purchase clusters · 2015–2021 (dev)+45 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 59.3% vs 57.3% · n=31,607 cluster ticker-weeks
Purchase clusters · 2022–2026 (out-of-sample)+32 bp/mo vs baseline · up-rate 54.0% vs 53.3% · n=27,793

A cluster = ≥2 members of Congress filing a purchase within 90 days. The historical tilt persisted after 2021 but roughly halved (+45 → +32 bp/mo forward 1-month vs the S&P 500 weekly-grid baseline). Descriptive historical tendency — not a signal to trade, and not used in our forecast (audition-log 2026-07-27, recomputed 2026-09-08).

'23 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'24 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'25 Q'26 Q'26 Q'26 Qpurchases ▲ / sales ▼ ($ vol)
MemberChamberTypeFiledTradedSize
Alan ArmstrongSenatesale2026-07-212026-03-27$15–50K
Rick LarsenHousesale2026-07-122026-07-08$1–15K
Richard Dean Dr MccormickHousepurchase2026-07-092026-06-12$1–15K
Richard Dean Dr MccormickHousepurchase2026-07-092026-06-12$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-30$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-07-062026-06-23$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-07-062026-06-02$1–15K
Gilbert CisnerosHousepurchase2026-07-022026-06-16$1–15K
Julie JohnsonHousesale2026-06-122026-05-12$1–15K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-01$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousepurchase2026-06-092026-05-15$15–50K
Ro KhannaHousesale2026-06-092026-05-27$15–50K
Gilbert CisnerosHousesale2026-06-082026-05-15$1–15K

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.