ABSIAbsci CorporationHealthcare · Biotechnologyas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $8.04 · now $8.04 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ABSI has typically landed between $5.33 and $12.61 — a range of −33.7% to +56.8% from the issuance price $8.04.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

1,273 overlapping 1 month windows · 2021-07-22 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($8.04) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ABSI has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $8.04 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$5.33worst · -33.7%$12.61best · +56.8%
  • now $8.04 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $7.87 (-2.1%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $6.56–$9.18
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $5.33–$12.61
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 1,273 windows spanning 2021-07-22 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2022-04-19−55.7%−55.7%+1.3%
2022-04-20−55.1%−56.2%+0.0%
2021-08-20−54.0%−54.0%+0.4%
3 best
2023-11-27+244.6%+0.0%+244.6%
2023-11-28+202.6%+0.0%+215.1%
2023-11-24+177.8%−3.5%+177.8%

1,273 overlapping windows · 2021-07-22 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~6 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
40%
+10.6%
n=5
Feb
60%
+6.5%
n=5
Mar
40%
−8.5%
n=5
Apr
40%
+3.4%
n=5
May
40%
+3.3%
n=5
Jun
20%
+2.6%
n=5
Jul
60%
+12.8%
n=5
Aug
33%
−8.3%
n=6
Sep
17%
−11.4%
n=6
Oct
80%
+13.4%
n=5
Nov
20%
−13.4%
n=5
Dec
40%
+21.8%
n=5

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$12$22026-06-30: 1 insider purchase, $149K — Szela Mary T2026-05-13: 1 insider purchase, $201K — Pangalos Menelas N2026-03-12: 1 insider purchase, $229K — Busch Andreas2026-02-27: 1 insider purchase, $206K — Pangalos Menelas N2026-02-02: 2 insider sales, $132K — McClain Sean, Jonasson Zachariah2025-12-05: 1 insider purchase, $149K — VAN HOUTEN FRANS2025-09-22: 2 insider purchases, $282K — Pangalos Menelas N, Bedrick Todd2025-09: 2 open-market purchases, $282K2025-12: 1 open-market purchase, $149K2026-02: 1 open-market purchase, $206K2026-02: 2 open-market sales, $132K2026-03: 1 open-market purchase, $229K2026-05: 1 open-market purchase, $201K2026-06: 1 open-market purchase, $149K↑ buys↓ salesdirector Szela Mary T — Purchase on 2026-06-30, filed 6 days after the tradedirector Pangalos Menelas N — Purchase on 2026-05-13, filed same dayofficer Busch Andreas — Purchase on 2026-03-12, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Pangalos Menelas N — Purchase on 2026-02-27, filed 4 days after the tradedirector McClain Sean — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Jonasson Zachariah — Sale on 2026-02-02, filed 2 days after the tradedirector VAN HOUTEN FRANS — Purchase on 2025-12-05, filed 4 days after the tradedirector Pangalos Menelas N — Purchase on 2025-09-22, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer Bedrick Todd — Purchase on 2025-09-22, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-06-30Szela Mary TdirectorPurchase12,900 @ $11.54$149K+153.6% of holding−33.4%not yet — horizon still open21,300Form 4 · filed 6 days after the trade
2026-05-13Pangalos Menelas NdirectorPurchase37,453 @ $5.36$201K+19.2% of holding+28.4%not yet — horizon still open232,308Form 4 · filed same day
2026-03-12Busch AndreasofficerPurchase100,000 @ $2.29$229K+31.1% of holding+29.3%+241.6%421,446Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-27Pangalos Menelas NdirectorPurchase75,095 @ $2.74$206K+65.9% of holding+8.4%+205.1%189,055Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2026-02-02McClain SeandirectorSale26,761 @ $2.99$80K−0.3% of holding−10.4%+169.3%8,334,567Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-02-02Jonasson ZachariahofficerSale17,496 @ $2.99$52K−4.4% of holding−10.4%+169.3%383,538Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-12-05VAN HOUTEN FRANSdirectorPurchase40,000 @ $3.72$149K+171.5% of holding+11.4%+82.7%63,320Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-09-22Pangalos Menelas NdirectorPurchase95,785 @ $2.66$255K+527.0% of holding+70.7%+13.4%113,960Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-22Bedrick ToddofficerPurchase10,000 @ $2.70$27K+5.9% of holding+70.7%+13.4%180,428Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-28Busch AndreasofficerPurchase50,000 @ $3.04$152K+18.0% of holding−15.4%−9.5%327,264Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

74 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-08-31Jonasson ZachariahofficerWithheld for tax8,320483,144Form 4
2026-08-03Somaratne Ransi MudalinayakeofficerAward / grant383,000383,000Form 4
2026-06-24McClain SeandirectorWithheld for tax59,8968,655,555Form 4
2026-06-04MCGINNIS KAREN KdirectorAward / grant10,10048,420Form 4
2026-06-04MCGINNIS KAREN KdirectorAward / grant39,80039,800Form 4
2026-06-04Szela Mary TdirectorAward / grant10,10010,100Form 4
2026-06-04Szela Mary TdirectorAward / grant39,80039,800Form 4
2026-06-04Sirosh JosephdirectorAward / grant10,10033,420Form 4
2026-06-04Sirosh JosephdirectorAward / grant39,80039,800Form 4
2026-06-04Rabinovitsj Daniel AdirectorAward / grant10,10033,420Form 4
2026-06-04Rabinovitsj Daniel AdirectorAward / grant39,80039,800Form 4
2026-06-04VAN HOUTEN FRANSdirectorAward / grant10,10073,420Form 4
2026-06-04VAN HOUTEN FRANSdirectorAward / grant39,80039,800Form 4
2026-06-04Pangalos Menelas NdirectorAward / grant10,100242,408Form 4
2026-06-04Pangalos Menelas NdirectorAward / grant39,80039,800Form 4
2026-05-31Jonasson ZachariahofficerWithheld for tax8,319491,464Form 4
2026-03-03McClain SeandirectorWithheld for tax25,3168,715,451Form 4
2026-03-03Jonasson ZachariahofficerWithheld for tax10,848499,783Form 4
2026-03-03Walker Shelby J.officerWithheld for tax9,825139,775Form 4
2026-03-03Bedrick ToddofficerWithheld for tax5,282216,942Form 4
2026-03-03Busch AndreasofficerWithheld for tax1,257321,446Form 4
2026-03-03Somaratne Ransi MudalinayakeofficerAward / grant650,000650,000Form 4
2026-03-02Jonasson ZachariahofficerWithheld for tax8,307375,231Form 4
2026-03-02Jonasson ZachariahofficerAward / grant534,400534,400Form 4
2026-03-02McClain SeandirectorAward / grant406,2008,740,767Form 4
2026-03-02McClain SeandirectorAward / grant1,603,2001,603,200Form 4
2026-03-02Bedrick ToddofficerAward / grant49,600222,224Form 4
2026-03-02Bedrick ToddofficerAward / grant195,900195,900Form 4
2026-03-02Jonasson ZachariahofficerAward / grant135,400510,631Form 4
2026-03-02Walker Shelby J.officerAward / grant356,300356,300Form 4
2026-03-02Pangalos Menelas NdirectorAward / grant5,800194,855Form 4
2026-03-02Pangalos Menelas NdirectorAward / grant22,80022,800Form 4
2026-03-02Walker Shelby J.officerAward / grant90,300149,600Form 4
2026-02-23McClain SeandirectorWithheld for tax267,0088,463,958Form 4
2026-02-23McClain SeandirectorOption exercise396,3998,730,966Form 4
2026-02-23McClain SeandirectorOption exercise396,3990Form 4
2026-02-03Busch AndreasofficerWithheld for tax1,469322,703Form 4
2026-02-02Bedrick ToddofficerWithheld for tax3,659172,624Form 4
2026-01-28Bedrick ToddofficerAward / grant59,40059,400Form 4
2026-01-28Bedrick ToddofficerAward / grant15,000176,283Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.