ABMABM Industries Inc.Industrials · Specialty Business Servicesas of 2026-09-16
Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $50.34 · now $50.34 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ABM has typically landed between $43.37 and $56.49 — a range of −13.8% to +12.2% from the issuance price $50.34.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.
  • Actual close
  • Typical path (median)
  • Middle 50% of outcomes
  • 90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($50.34) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

Where ABM has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $50.34 — the range is history, not a prediction.

$43.37worst · -13.8%$56.49best · +12.2%
  • now $50.34 (+0.0%)
  • typicalThe typical outcome — half of similar past periods did better and half did worse (not an average, so a few wild periods don't skew it). $50.94 (+1.2%)
  • middle 50%The central range of outcomes — half of similar past periods landed inside it, a quarter finished above, a quarter below. $48.25–$53.63
  • 90% rangeA nine-in-ten range — in about nine of every ten similar past periods the outcome stayed within these bounds. $43.37–$56.49
Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.
StartReturnMax dropMax rise
3 worst
2020-02-21−46.8%−46.8%+0.0%
2020-02-20−46.0%−46.0%+0.0%
2020-02-24−43.6%−45.1%+0.0%
3 best
2020-03-27+56.2%+0.0%+56.2%
2020-03-23+51.7%+0.0%+62.1%
2020-03-25+51.6%+0.0%+57.7%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.
Jan
65%
+1.2%
n=20
Feb
75%
+1.4%
n=20
Mar
65%
+1.7%
n=20
Apr
60%
+2.6%
n=20
May
50%
−0.4%
n=20
Jun
55%
+0.8%
n=20
Jul
70%
+3.8%
n=20
Aug
55%
+0.6%
n=20
Sep
25%
−5.0%
n=20
Oct
60%
+0.9%
n=20
Nov
80%
+3.0%
n=20
Dec
45%
+0.8%
n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Share price & reported tradesMonthly open-market valueReporting lag — trade date to filing date2026-092026-082026-072026-062026-052026-042026-032026-022026-012025-122025-112025-102025-092025-08$51$372026-07-16: 1 insider sale, $79K — VALENTIN RAUL JAVIER2026-07-13: 1 insider sale, $179K — CHIN DEAN A2026-06-12: 2 insider sales, $2.3M — SALMIRS SCOTT B …2026-02-09: 1 insider sale, $441K — JACOBSEN RENE2026-01-13: 1 insider sale, $1.4M — JACOBSEN RENE2025-10-01: 1 insider sale, $165K — CHIN DEAN A2025-10: 1 open-market sale, $165K2026-01: 1 open-market sale, $1.4M2026-02: 1 open-market sale, $441K2026-06: 2 open-market sales, $2.3M2026-07: 2 open-market sales, $258K↑ buys↓ salesdirector VALENTIN RAUL JAVIER — Sale on 2026-07-16, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer CHIN DEAN A — Sale on 2026-07-13, filed 2 days after the tradedirector SALMIRS SCOTT B — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same daydirector SALMIRS SCOTT B — Sale on 2026-06-12, filed same dayofficer JACOBSEN RENE — Sale on 2026-02-09, filed 1 day after the tradeofficer JACOBSEN RENE — Sale on 2026-01-13, filed 2 days after the tradeofficer CHIN DEAN A — Sale on 2025-10-01, filed 2 days after the trade
DatePersonRoleActionShares @ priceValueOwnership Δvs S&P 1mvs S&P 6mOwned afterFiling
2026-07-16VALENTIN RAUL JAVIERdirectorSale1,639 @ $48.00$79K−3.2% of holding−3.5%not yet — horizon still open49,036Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-07-13CHIN DEAN AofficerSale3,958 @ $45.31$179K−18.9% of holding+3.6%not yet — horizon still open16,993Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2026-06-12SALMIRS SCOTT BdirectorSale39,576 @ $46.25$1.8M−9.1% of holding−0.2%not yet — horizon still open395,285Form 4 · filed same day
2026-06-12SALMIRS SCOTT BdirectorSale10,424 @ $46.69$487K−2.3% of holding−0.2%not yet — horizon still open434,861Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-09JACOBSEN RENEofficerSale9,339 @ $47.23$441K−18.3% of holding−10.1%−6.9%41,626Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-01-13JACOBSEN RENEofficerSale31,034 @ $44.12$1.4M−37.5% of holding+0.6%+2.3%51,714Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-10-01CHIN DEAN AofficerSale3,567 @ $46.25$165K−19.0% of holding−9.6%−14.3%15,217Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-07-07JACOBSEN RENEofficerSale17,250 @ $48.03$829K−19.5% of holding−3.8%−20.5%71,256Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-06-13Gartland Thomas MdirectorSale3,711 @ $45.52$169K−10.7% of holding+2.9%−9.9%30,958Form 4 · filed 3 days after the trade
2025-05-15SALMIRS SCOTT BdirectorSale37,065 @ $52.37$1.9M−9.1% of holding−16.3%−32.2%369,656Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-13SALMIRS SCOTT BdirectorSale12,135 @ $52.06$632K−2.9% of holding−13.7%−34.5%406,721Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-12SALMIRS SCOTT BdirectorSale800 @ $52.09$42K−0.2% of holding−12.8%−34.3%418,856Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-05-08MAHONEY SEAN MICHAELofficerSale12,626 @ $50.54$638K−26.6% of holding−11.1%−35.7%34,799Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-05-07MAHONEY SEAN MICHAELofficerSale1,800 @ $50.03$90K−3.7% of holding−13.3%−32.8%47,425Form 4 · filed same day
2025-05-05MAHONEY SEAN MICHAELofficerSale574 @ $50.06$29K−1.2% of holding−0.3%−33.9%49,225Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-02-03JACOBSEN RENEofficerSale7,730 @ $52.68$407K−8.1% of holding+1.3%−16.1%87,808Form 4 · filed 8 days after the trade
2025-02-03JACOBSEN RENEofficerSale2,270 @ $53.38$121K−2.3% of holding+1.3%−16.1%95,538Form 4 · filed 8 days after the trade
2025-01-14CHIN DEAN AofficerSale4,281 @ $52.36$224K−18.6% of holding−4.7%−16.4%18,681Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

112 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

DatePersonRoleActionSharesOwned afterFiling
2026-07-01ORR DAVID MARSHALLofficerWithheld for tax53936,034Form 4
2026-01-10SALMIRS SCOTT BdirectorWithheld for tax36,721442,901Form 4
2026-01-10JACOBSEN RENEofficerWithheld for tax11,02282,748Form 4
2026-01-10VALENTIN RAUL JAVIERdirectorWithheld for tax3,21550,398Form 4
2026-01-10Gallo Thomas JamesofficerWithheld for tax3,15421,077Form 4
2026-01-10ORR DAVID MARSHALLofficerWithheld for tax2,63736,264Form 4
2026-01-10MAHONEY SEAN MICHAELofficerWithheld for tax2,63448,043Form 4
2026-01-10JACOBSEN RENEofficerWithheld for tax2,00393,770Form 4
2026-01-10CHIN DEAN AofficerWithheld for tax1,23220,834Form 4
2026-01-10Ruiz MelaniedirectorWithheld for tax88122,071Form 4
2026-01-10TOLAR MIRANDA ROSEofficerWithheld for tax52316,991Form 4
2026-01-10CHIN DEAN AofficerWithheld for tax24822,066Form 4
2026-01-10ORR DAVID MARSHALLofficerAward / grant2,16138,901Form 4
2026-01-10Gallo Thomas JamesofficerAward / grant1,96424,231Form 4
2026-01-10VALENTIN RAUL JAVIERdirectorAward / grant7,54253,613Form 4
2026-01-10MAHONEY SEAN MICHAELofficerAward / grant7,54250,677Form 4
2026-01-10TOLAR MIRANDA ROSEofficerAward / grant1,27017,514Form 4
2026-01-10CHIN DEAN AofficerAward / grant3,29322,314Form 4
2026-01-10JACOBSEN RENEofficerAward / grant22,23095,773Form 4
2026-01-10Ruiz MelaniedirectorAward / grant2,42622,952Form 4
2026-01-10SALMIRS SCOTT BdirectorAward / grant60,869479,622Form 4
2026-01-09JACOBSEN RENEofficerWithheld for tax21,44573,543Form 4
2026-01-09SALMIRS SCOTT BdirectorWithheld for tax15,272418,753Form 4
2026-01-09VALENTIN RAUL JAVIERdirectorWithheld for tax2,40546,071Form 4
2026-01-09MAHONEY SEAN MICHAELofficerWithheld for tax1,77543,135Form 4
2026-01-09CHIN DEAN AofficerWithheld for tax1,09419,021Form 4
2026-01-09Gallo Thomas JamesofficerWithheld for tax92722,267Form 4
2026-01-09Ruiz MelaniedirectorWithheld for tax91320,526Form 4
2026-01-09TOLAR MIRANDA ROSEofficerWithheld for tax72216,244Form 4
2026-01-09ORR DAVID MARSHALLofficerWithheld for tax58836,740Form 4
2026-01-08CHIN DEAN AofficerAward / grant4,85520,115Form 4
2026-01-08ORR DAVID MARSHALLofficerAward / grant10,90437,328Form 4
2026-01-08JACOBSEN RENEofficerAward / grant22,88794,988Form 4
2026-01-08VALENTIN RAUL JAVIERdirectorAward / grant11,35848,476Form 4
2026-01-08Ruiz MelaniedirectorAward / grant6,24721,439Form 4
2026-01-08Gallo Thomas JamesofficerAward / grant5,28123,194Form 4
2026-01-08SALMIRS SCOTT BdirectorAward / grant62,571434,025Form 4
2026-01-08TOLAR MIRANDA ROSEofficerAward / grant7,95016,966Form 4
2026-01-08MAHONEY SEAN MICHAELofficerAward / grant9,81344,910Form 4
2026-01-06Colleran Donald FdirectorWithheld for tax1,18820,527Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.