ABCB · TickerCove

ABCBAmeris BancorpFinancial Services · Banks - Regionalas of 2026-09-16

Horizon

Issued 2026-09-16 at $83.72 · now $83.72 (2026-09-16, +0.0% since)

Based on its own history, a month from the 2026-09-16 close, ABCB has typically landed between $73.67 and $96.51 — a range of −12.0% to +15.3% from the issuance price $83.72.

Range of outcomes in historically similar periods — not a price prediction. Ranges are scored publicly on /methodology.

Actual close
Typical path (median)
Middle 50% of outcomes
90% range

5,003 overlapping 1 month windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-08-17 · basis climatology · forecast (batch). Probability up 53.9% (90% CI 51.7–56.1%, ≈1,408 obs).

The cone is anchored at the 2026-09-16 issuance close ($83.72) — the price the forecast resolves against on 2026-10-15, not the latest close. The drawn path shape is illustrative (bands widen with √t); every labeled number is real — the anchor, the scored batch p90/IQR endpoints, and the typical move.

52-week range$83.72 · 61% of range

$68.89 low$93.17 high

Trailing 52 weeks to 2026-09-16 — factual context, not a signal.

Base rate up · monthiClimatology base rate that a US-listed stock rises over a month, with its 90% CI and ≈1,408 effective observations. Not a call on this stock — we have no evidence its odds differ.

53.9%

90% CI 51.7%–56.1%

Distribution · month iiThe price-anchored range: typical move (median), and the p90 downside/upside — 90% of similar periods stayed inside these. Ranges, not a prediction of direction.

+0.8%

typical move · IQR 11.2%

−12.0%worst (p90)+15.3%best (p90)

Insider convictioniOpen-market common-stock purchases by company insiders in the last 90 days (grants and option exercises excluded). Historical tendency, not advice — detail below.

conviction buys

0 open-market sales

Congress disclosuresiRecent disclosed congressional trades for this company. Purchase clusters (≥2 members buying within 90 days) historically preceded a modestly higher forward return (+32 bp/mo in 2022–2026, +45 bp/mo in 2015–2021) — a descriptive tendency, not a forecast input. Detail below.

0 buys · 0 sells · 0 members

cluster tilt persisted, ~halved after 2021

Where ABCB has typically landed a month from the 2026-09-16 close of $83.72 — the range is history, not a prediction.

now $83.72 (+0.0%)
typical $84.4 (+0.8%)
middle 50% $79.7–$89.09
90% range $73.67–$96.51

Actual 1-month windows behind the coneiEvery overlapping 1-month window in this security's own price history was ranked by realized return; shown are the 3 worst and 3 best of 5,003 windows spanning 2006-09-26 to 2026-09-16. Not cherry-picked — these are the extremes of the full sample. Max drop / max rise are the deepest and highest points reached within each window. See /methodology.

Start	Return	Max drop	Max rise
3 worst
2009-02-03	−54.6%	−54.6%	+7.2%
2009-02-05	−54.1%	−55.8%	+4.3%
2020-02-21	−53.0%	−53.0%	+0.0%
3 best
2009-03-05	+81.6%	+0.0%	+104.5%
2009-03-06	+71.3%	−4.2%	+88.7%
2008-07-15	+59.6%	+0.0%	+59.9%

5,003 overlapping windows · 2006-09-26 – 2026-09-16 · not cherry-picked

Seasonality · by month i

iFor each calendar month, the share of years this security closed higher than the month before, and the average month-over-month return, over ~20 years of its own price history. Cells are shaded by average return. This is historical frequency, not a prediction — no month is a signal.

Jan

50%

−0.3%

n=20

Feb

55%

−0.8%

n=20

Mar

55%

−1.7%

n=20

Apr

45%

+2.1%

n=20

May

50%

+0.1%

n=20

Jun

55%

−1.4%

n=20

Jul

65%

+4.8%

n=20

Aug

50%

−0.1%

n=20

Sep

55%

+2.7%

n=20

Oct

45%

+0.8%

n=20

Nov

70%

+5.2%

n=20

Dec

60%

+2.3%

n=20

Up-frequency and average month-over-month return · historical frequency, not a prediction

Reported insider & political trades

Every Form 4 the people closest to this company have filed with the SEC — plotted against the share price, aggregated by month, and shown with the gap between when each trade happened and when it was disclosed. A public record, not advice.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares @ price	Value	Ownership Δ	vs S&P 1m	vs S&P 6m	Owned after	Filing
2026-03-09	HILL LEO J	director	Sale	0 @ $75.15	$24	−0.0% of holding	+7.9%	−1.7%	15,256	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-03-09	HILL LEO J	director	Sale	0 @ $75.15	$2	−0.0% of holding	+7.9%	−1.7%	467	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2026-02-24	Strange Douglas D	officer	Sale	1 @ $78.76	$47	−0.0% of holding	+1.7%	−3.7%	31,130	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-24	Creasy Ross L	officer	Sale	1 @ $79.40	$42	−0.0% of holding	+1.7%	−3.7%	58,298	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-24	Stokes Nicole S	officer	Sale	1 @ $79.20	$42	−0.0% of holding	+1.7%	−3.7%	86,210	Form 4 · filed same day
2026-02-19	LaHaise James A	officer	Sale	6,641 @ $82.93	$551K	−5.6% of holding	−5.2%	−7.7%	111,470	Form 4 · filed 4 days after the trade
2025-12-31	Strange Douglas D	officer	Sale	205 @ $71.62	$15K	−100.0% of holding	+5.6%	+12.1%	0	Form 4 · filed 54 days after the trade
2025-12-08	STERN WILLIAM H	director	Purchase	308 @ $77.22	$24K	+0.7% of holding	+2.4%	+7.0%	47,276	Form 4 · filed 2 days after the trade
2025-09-15	STERN WILLIAM H	director	Purchase	320 @ $74.14	$24K	+0.7% of holding	+0.9%	−0.1%	46,898	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade
2025-03-12	Strange Douglas D	officer	Purchase	1,000 @ $56.95	$57K	+5.4% of holding	−3.3%	+14.6%	19,403	Form 4 · filed 1 day after the trade

The vs-S&P columns are a labeled look-back on what the stock did after each filing, measured against the index over the same window. Descriptive history, not a claim about the person or a reason to trade.

129 award / exercise / gift records — not counted as purchases

Awards, option exercises, gifts and tax-withholding disposals are shown separately and never counted as open-market purchases or sales — they carry no conviction information.

Date	Person	Role	Action	Shares	Owned after	Filing
2026-09-14	STERN WILLIAM H	director	Award / grant	279	49,534	Form 4
2026-09-14	Bullard Rodney D	director	Award / grant	221	17,062	Form 4
2026-08-19	Strange Douglas D	officer	Gift	120	29,520	Form 4
2026-08-18	MILLER JAMES B JR	director	Gift	22,279	299,625	Form 4
2026-08-18	MILLER JAMES B JR	director	Gift	22,279	1,559,261	Form 4
2026-06-22	STERN WILLIAM H	director	Award / grant	272	49,254	Form 4
2026-06-22	Bullard Rodney D	director	Award / grant	214	16,841	Form 4
2026-05-21	Choate William Millard	director	Award / grant	1,003	11,000	Form 4
2026-05-21	HILL LEO J	director	Award / grant	1,003	16,263	Form 4
2026-05-21	JETER DANIEL B	director	Award / grant	1,003	47,097	Form 4
2026-05-21	McLean Claire E	director	Award / grant	1,003	4,785	Form 4
2026-05-21	Bullard Rodney D	director	Award / grant	1,003	16,627	Form 4
2026-05-21	STERN WILLIAM H	director	Award / grant	1,003	48,983	Form 4
2026-05-21	LYNCH ROBERT P	director	Award / grant	1,003	213,176	Form 4
2026-05-21	Bowen William I. Jr.	director	Award / grant	1,003	29,980	Form 4
2026-05-21	MILLER JAMES B JR	director	Award / grant	1,003	1,581,518	Form 4
2026-04-29	Strange Douglas D	officer	Gift	710	29,640	Form 4
2026-02-24	PROCTOR H PALMER JR	director	Withheld for tax	3,198	417,934	Form 4
2026-02-24	Strange Douglas D	officer	Withheld for tax	780	30,350	Form 4
2026-02-24	LaHaise James A	officer	Withheld for tax	738	109,414	Form 4
2026-02-24	Stokes Nicole S	officer	Withheld for tax	738	85,472	Form 4
2026-02-24	Pierson Michael T	officer	Withheld for tax	615	83,330	Form 4
2026-02-24	Bassett Lawton E III	officer	Withheld for tax	615	114,031	Form 4
2026-02-24	Spencer Jody L	officer	Withheld for tax	615	55,646	Form 4
2026-02-24	McKendry William D	officer	Withheld for tax	615	46,786	Form 4
2026-02-24	Creasy Ross L	officer	Withheld for tax	615	57,718	Form 4
2026-02-21	PROCTOR H PALMER JR	director	Withheld for tax	6,149	421,053	Form 4
2026-02-21	Stokes Nicole S	officer	Withheld for tax	1,318	86,211	Form 4
2026-02-21	LaHaise James A	officer	Withheld for tax	1,318	110,152	Form 4
2026-02-21	McKendry William D	officer	Withheld for tax	1,098	47,401	Form 4
2026-02-21	Bassett Lawton E III	officer	Withheld for tax	1,098	114,646	Form 4
2026-02-21	Creasy Ross L	officer	Withheld for tax	1,098	58,298	Form 4
2026-02-21	Pierson Michael T	officer	Withheld for tax	1,098	83,945	Form 4
2026-02-21	Spencer Jody L	officer	Withheld for tax	1,098	56,261	Form 4
2026-02-21	Strange Douglas D	officer	Withheld for tax	842	31,131	Form 4
2026-02-20	Stokes Nicole S	officer	Award / grant	27,470	87,529	Form 4
2026-02-20	Pierson Michael T	officer	Award / grant	10,510	85,043	Form 4
2026-02-20	Spencer Jody L	officer	Award / grant	11,108	57,359	Form 4
2026-02-20	Strange Douglas D	officer	Award / grant	10,152	31,973	Form 4
2026-02-20	Bassett Lawton E III	officer	Award / grant	18,811	115,744	Form 4

Source: SEC Form 4 filings. Each row links to its original filing.

Across 2012–2021, stocks where a CEO, C-suite officer, or director had recently made an open-market common-stock purchase ran about +28 bp per month above the universe average (n=34,268 stock-weeks). A historical tendency, not a prediction.

Congressional disclosures

No congressional trades disclosed for this company.

Resolves in i

27d remaining

2026-09-174% elapsed2026-10-15

Logged immutably 2026-09-17; scored automatically on 2026-10-15 — no edits, ever.

Earnings & context analysis

These panels are being prepared. They are generated by multiple language models, checked, and stored before display — never written live for a page view. Until a model panel has been generated and reviewed for a company, nothing is shown here, honestly, rather than a placeholder.

Calibration i

Every forecast is logged when made and scored when the month is up. The record is shown from the day it starts — young and honest.

How scoring works →

Research tool, not investment advice — historical frequencies, not recommendations. A product of Marovel Technologies LLC. Full terms.

Seasonality · by month iHow this security has tended to do in each calendar month historically — a frequency, never a prediction.

Reported insider & political trades

Congressional disclosures

Seasonality · by month i